Comments on: Innings math with Johnny Damon

By: Yankee1010

Yankee1010 — Fri, 25 Apr 2008 21:14:14 +0000

Lloyd,

Have you tested out of 5th grade yet?

By: Sky

Sky — Fri, 25 Apr 2008 13:14:11 +0000

My bad, it’s actually more like 28-29% — sorry about that. But it’s wrong to assume a pitcher will always give up exactly one run. It’s often 2, 3, 4 or more. Teams are held scoreless just over 70% of the time against league-average pitching.

By: jt

jt — Thu, 24 Apr 2008 01:56:15 +0000

Talk show hosts are not much better. The only ones i can stand listening to are max kellerman and brandon tierney.

By: jt

jt — Thu, 24 Apr 2008 01:53:29 +0000

I thought only the idiot talk show hosts thought like this…

By: Sciorsci

Sciorsci — Thu, 24 Apr 2008 01:42:12 +0000

If a league average guy, in your example, gives up one run in 20% of his innings, his era would be 1.80 - last I checked, that’s not the league average for relievers.

By: Bruno

Bruno — Thu, 24 Apr 2008 01:35:58 +0000

The late innings are made important because the starter failed for the first 5+. If the other teams is shut-out, or even 1-2 runs, over that span then the late innings probably won’t be as “stressful”.

By: Bruno

Bruno — Thu, 24 Apr 2008 01:33:19 +0000

“To me, it seems as though the idea of Joba has become something of a crutch for the Yankees.”

This is exactly why I said keep him out of the ‘pen in the first place.

By: fay day

fay day — Thu, 24 Apr 2008 00:20:35 +0000

The math might be off for the regular season but it adds up if we are talkin about the post season.

By: ceciguante

ceciguante — Wed, 23 Apr 2008 23:26:15 +0000

why am i supposed to believe that this formula represents reality? b/c some statistician said so? 10% more important for joba’s innings last year? i’d argue that it is more than that, that he was in some way the heart of the team down the stretch last year and made the league (and the yanks) believe the yanks were dangerous. leverage index? not for me. i prefer to watch the games to decide which spots are important.

By: ceciguante

ceciguante — Wed, 23 Apr 2008 23:04:25 +0000

but are we “building a baseball team” as you say, or are we trying to get a good team over the top? for 2008, it really depends who has emerged by the playoffs. we should have starters 1 and 2 already, and need another good top 3 starter. we also have the closer, and need a top flight setup guy. but there is only one joba. hopefully, hughes will emerge as a solid 3 starter to form the core of the playoff rotation, but there is a lot of growth needed between now and then for that to happen. i don’t trust kennedy as a top 3 SP, he just doesn’t have killer stuff. of course, ohlie, bruney or someone else can rise to the 8th inning slot, too. it’s an intriguing situation and will make for a fascinating season. but we’re asking for a lot of improvement (or a trade) to be ready for the playoffs.