Jan
05

Open Thread: A busy day

By

Baseball execs returned from their holiday vacations today, and did so with a bang. There was a lot of news and we had quite a bit of content today, so let’s  review:

  • Mark Teixeira‘s press conference is tomorrow at 1pm, and will be held in the Old Stadium. Between YES, MLB Network and ESPN’s family of networks, I’m sure this one will be on TV. One of us will liveblog it.
  • Ben tackled the issue of parity in baseball.
  • Pat the Bat joined the Rays for the bargain price of $16M over 2 years, and Milton Bradley agreed to a 3yr, $30M deal with the Cubbies. The Burrell signing is an outstanding one for Tampa, Bradley … not so much. I just can’t see how you can expect him to play the field every day for the next three years and remain healthy.
  • Jason Giambi appears to be heading back to Oaktown. Giambi hit .260-.404-.521 with 207 homers during his seven years in pinstripes, and I will stand and applaud him when he returns to the Bronx as a visitor.
  • Twins’ owner Carl Pohlad passed away.
  • One time great Yankee Nick Green signed with the Sox. I’m sure everyone remembers “The Nick Green Game.”
  • Ex-Yank Luis Vizcaino is on the verge of joining his sixth team in six seasons.
  • December was the greatest month in RAB history.

Busy day, so talk about all of it here. The Fiesta Bowl (Ohio St. vs Texas) is on FOX at 8pm, and the Rangers will be taking on Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin and the rest of the Penguins at home tonight. Dave’s back from his vacation, so check out what a real hockey blogger looks like at Blueseat Blogs. You know the drill, anything goes, just play nice.

Categories : Open Thread

224 Comments»

  1. Ryan S. says:

    Hook ‘em Horns!

  2. Matt says:

    I hate Ohio State and Texas.

  3. christoper says:

    i know that i may be greedy or perhaps just getting bored since the yanks havent added anyone to the team in a while.

    it may be a crazy idea, but why not look into john smoltz. as i understand it he may have to miss time early in the season, but if they were to geet him on the cheap – who better to come in in june to help give the rotation some rest and to be their as a dependable big game starter should they neeed to fill in for an injured player?

    both joba and hughes will be on inning limits and will need some to have there starts skipped periodically throughout the season. this is where a guy like smoltz can come in and start in place of either one on a rotating basis similar to what the redsox have done when breaking in lester and bucholz and helping dice-k adjust to pitching in america on less rest.

    should the best case scenario unfold and joba has the season we all hope for cementng himself into the playoff rotation with the healthy arms of burnett, CC, and wang – who better equipped to make the adjustment to pitching out of the pen in the playoffs perhaps giving them the 1-2 punch everyone of the “joba to the pen” freaks seek.

    throughout the season, there will be injuries and its best for post-season success to rest your pitchers when you can even burnett cc and wang. smoltz can give them a big time boost in that department and really help not only to get to the post-season, but win once there. while i still think highly of hughes and want him to be given the chance to pitch – having an insurance policy in what is a somewhat fragile staff – burnett injury history, wang missing a large part of last year and joba and phil not being physically able to make 35 starts next year

    i really want that insurance policywho can pick up the slack and gve the yanks 20 quality starts. while i havent seen him pitch this offseason and have no inside information – from watching him early last season it looks as though he still has good stuff and we know he has great mental make-up and could come at a very affordable 1 year deal

    • Matt says:

      I don’t think John Smoltz is a great option because of a) missing time and b) he’ll cost more than Andy Pettitte would, I’d imagine. It’s much more likely that Pettitte gets signed than the Yankees going out and getting some other pitcher on the market.

      • christoper says:

        do you really think he would cost more than pettite? I was thinking that because of his missing time, coming off an injury and the seemingly lack of interest from other teams (even the braves told him to sign if he got an offer elsewhere) that he would come relatively cheap.

        i would think that he is at least behind lowe, oliver perez, petitte, and even randy wolf on team’s wishlists.

    • Let's Talk About TEX Baby says:

      Couldn’t agree more about Smoltz. It’d be a low-risk signing and the guy is an absolute bulldog.

    • steve (different one) says:

      i am a huge Smoltz fan, but he won’t even pitch until May.

      it’s fairly likely that he doesn’t contribute much at all this year.

      i don’t know if signing a huge question mark accomplishes what they need their 5th starter to.

      but i’d probably love it if they did get him, even thought it’s just not that practical.

  4. Mike A. says:

    My Lord is Dmitri Kalinin terrible.

  5. Jamal G. says:

    Heh, I remember “the Nick Green game”. I remember my father and I having a little back-and-forth about ARod’s lack of clutch hitting as a Yankee during the time he was coming to the plate to hit that grand slam.

  6. 'The' Steve says:

    From earlier today

    “Two weeks ago I noted that a lineup with Melky as the starting centerfielder would score about 5.774 runs per game, and with Gardner that would jump to 5.808 runs per game. If we assume Swisher plays center Tex takes Melky’s/Gardner’s spot in the lineup – giving you the best possible offensive lineup – the Yanks would average 6.072 runs per game, or ~984 runs over the course of a 162 game season. Wowza.”

    OK, that’s the plus side. But is their some way of calculating how many extra runs we give give up with the sub-par Swisher in CF as opposed to the +defender Melky or the ++Gardner?

    I would think the spread between the two would be at least 15-20 plays annually, giving Swisher a -10 and Gardner +6 for example. I would also think many of those plays would be doubles or triples, given the position he plays.

    If 16 plays translates into 8 runs per year then that would be .2 runs per game right there. Which would make Gardner/Swisher a wash when you look at both sides of the game.

    BTW-I’m just throwing out #s. If anyone knows a more precise way of doing this, I’d love to see it.

    • Matt says:

      For what it’s worth, CHONE has Swisher at only -3 in center, Gardner at +5. Putting Swisher (or Damon, -2 projection in CF) in center wouldn’t be awful. Having Damon, Swisher, and Nady in some combo gets the Yankees the most runs for sure.

    • steve (different one) says:

      If 16 plays translates into 8 runs per year then that would be .2 runs per game right there.

      8/162 = .049

      what am i missing?

  7. Mike, I think you forgot something in your list of the busy things going on today:

    • tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside won the Inaugural RAB Fantasy Football League Championship, crushing numerous whiny little she-girls like SAMIAMSPORTS, Rafi, jsbrendog, Mike, and Joe in the process, and, today, he’s quite proud of it.

    [ Fantasy Football Championship Bragging Rights Name Drop #15 of 1000 ]

  8. E-ROC says:

    Another big bowl game for Ohio State. Hopefully, they actually make the game competitive.

  9. JeffG says:

    “Twins’ owner Carl Pohlad passed away.” – I was skimming down and thought it said Carl Pavano passed away… whew… ridiculous.

    Interesting that Bat is going to the Rays. Really difficult to look for a clear cut favorite in the AL East. I don’t even think it is bias to believe the three best teams in baseball are in the same division.

    The post I wanted to write though was about the new MLB Network – I’m loving the Hotstove. I think I’m pretty much done with Gammons, ESPN and the BS crew. Perhaps I’ll tune in for March Madness but screw them for baseball which is petty much the main sport I follow.

  10. BigBlueAL says:

    You know I usually enjoy watching/reading Buster Olney. Liked him when he covered the Yankees for the NY Times and really enjoyed his book about the Yankees (“The Last Night of the Yankees Dynasty”). But today he lost me. Apparently the signing of Pat Burrell gives the Rays the best offense in the AL East and makes them the favorite to win the AL East.

    I mean it is a nice signing, but please. This is why my fave writer right now is Rob Neyer (from ESPN.com 2009 predictions):

    THE EARLY FAVORITE IS …
    New York Yankees

    What if I told you that a team with unlimited financial resources won 89 games, and then acquired the world’s greatest pitcher and the American League’s greatest first baseman? Is that something you’d be interested in? I’m fairly sure it’s going to interest the oddsmakers. It has been so long since the Yankees have won a World Series that it’s now fashionable to look for reasons why they’ll continue not winning. It’s really not that complicated, though: The World Series favorite should be the best team in the American League, and right now that perfectly describes the New York Yankees.
    – Rob Neyer

    • Manimal says:

      Lets break it down.

      1. Damon vs Iwamura
      2.Jeter vs Upton
      3. Tex vs Pena
      4.Arod vs Burrell
      5.Matsui vs Longoria
      6.Posada vs Crawford
      7.Nady vs (Probably Griffey), TBD
      8.Cano vs Navarro
      9.Gardner vs Bartlett

      -Damon has the clear edge over Iwamura
      -I’ll take Upton over Jeter, the whole age thing is a huge factor and Upton has superior speed.
      -VERY close comparrison, great defensive 1st basemen that can rake. Tie.
      -Arod. nuff’ said.
      Longoria, kid is amazing. Matsui is old and you don’t know what your getting out of him.
      -Crawford, Posada probably wont replicate 2006, his best year.207 was a flop year with that shoulder.
      -TBD.
      -Cano over Navarro, close one as well but I like Cano’s bat(potentially)
      -ehh Gardner is more talented but Bartlett had the results. Bartlett.

      3 Yanks, 3 Rays, 2 tied. Could go either way. Rotation is another story. A healthy AJ and I think we are better.

      • Manimal says:

        shit forgot Joyce. Ill take Nady over Joyce but still too close to call.

      • VO says:

        not to be too confident but i think tex is better then pena

      • Mike A. says:

        Here’s the thing though: in slots 2, 5, 6, 7, and arguably 1, the Rays player has his best years ahead of him.

        • Here’s thing #2: The Rays were incredibly lucky pitching-wise last year. That’s not likely to continue.

          • Mike A. says:

            I wouldn’t say lucky, it’s more like they were healthy. I guess that qualifies as luck.

            I don’t think they’ll win 97 games again, but they’re not going to revert back to the old D-rays.

            • I’m not saying they’ll drop back to the cellar. I am saying, I can’t in good conscience pick them in front of the Yankees.

              1) NYY
              2) TB
              3) BOS
              4) BAL
              5) TOR

              • Matt says:

                If that’s how it stacks up, there’s gonna be like…3-5 games separating first to third place.

                • GG says:

                  bahston will finsih like 8 back, tb 4

                • Boston is my #2 candidate for “Biggest Disappointment of 2009″ behind the Angels.

                  They need big bouncebacks from Ellsbury and Buccholz way more than we need bouncebacks from Hughes and Kennedy.

                  And Ortiz/Lowell/Wakefield are the anti-Benjamin Buttons; Dice-K and Okajima will continue the standard slow downward slide of Japanese import pitchers; and Jason Bay will continue to not be Manny Ramirez for the forseeable future.

                  The story of the 2008 Yankees could look like a prequel to the story of the 2009 Red Sox.

                • 'The' Steve says:

                  I think Dice-K is following the same pattern that happened to Hideo Nomo. Getting bat shy, walking WAY too many guys. You can’t get away with that long term and be successful in the bigs. He was DAMN lucky to wiggle out of as many jams as he did last year, I don’t think he can keep that up.

                  Bobby Valentine said when he was signed that one of the biggest adjustments he would have is learning to deal with “the crack of the bat” in the US. Meaning that hitters are so much bigger and stronger that your mistakes will go a long way, and you just have to accept that. If you don’t accept it and get bat shy, you’ll be in worse trouble.

            • 'The' Steve says:

              I think they were lucky, Mike. NOBODY could have predicted the years they would get out of Balfour and Howell. Throw in the phoenix that they had closing for them and the whole bullpen is pretty remarkable.

              They did also enjoy good health throughout their roster last year, and that’s unlikely to happen again.

              • Mike A. says:

                When you go to the World Series and the only two guys on the team to have career years were middle relievers, that’s a good thing.

                • steve (different one) says:

                  there rotation will probably NOT stay healthy all year again.

                  how often does that happen 2 years in a row? that you get almost 155 starts from the same 5 starters?

                  i’d guess “never”.

                • 'The' Steve says:

                  Don’t get me wrong, I’m not saying they aren’t talented. But the long standing Achilles heel for the Rays was always their pen, and they had a remarkable turnaround last year. They didn’t score many runs last year, so any steps back in the pitching dept could be devastating.

                  Also, like most small market teams they lack the depth to withstand any major injuries. So I’m in the 1 year wonder camp on the Rays, and pick them for 3rd place this year.

                • But the long standing Achilles heel for the Rays was always their pen, and they had a remarkable turnaround last year. They didn’t score many runs last year, so any steps back in the pitching dept could be devastating.

                  Huh, maybe they should put David Price in the pen. Nah, forget I said that, that’s crazy.

                  Sincerely,
                  Two-Faced, Biased MSM

      • Steve H says:

        Tex>>>>Pena. Pena doesn’t have the track record of Tex yet is 2 years older. Pena was a monster in 2007 and fell back in 2008, more along the lines of his career norms.

      • 'The' Steve says:

        The Rays were 9th in the AL in Runs Scored last year.

        Someone’s going to have to explain to me why adding Pat Burrell will make them a top 5 team, as a healthy Yankee team will be.

    • 'The' Steve says:

      I agree the Yanks are the team to beat, but disagree with Neyer’s reasoning.

      -The difference between Tex and Giambi’s bat isn’t huge, certainly not worth the 6-8 wins you would have needed to make the playoffs last year.

      -CC and Tex should approximate the 34 wins we got from Moose and Pettitte last year. That’s a wash.

      I think there are 2 reasons why this team will be a big upgrade over last years edition.

      1-Having a healthy Wang, Posada, Bruney and Matsui. Hopefully Hughes stays on the field as well.

      2-Huge upgrades in fielding at 1B, RF, CF and hopefully 2B with a return to the 2007 Cano. Using their +/- numbers from last year, there is over 100 plays difference between the 2007 and 2008 Yankees at these 4 positions, plus Swisher replacing Betemit. Plus, we have a far better bench with Swisher>Betemit and a healthy Matsui to DH and PH.

      • steve (different one) says:

        and hopefully another 50 innings from Joba.

        the Yankees should score more runs, given up fewer runs, and have improved (though no one is going to confuse them for the Rays) defense.

        seems like a winning recipe for a team that won 89 games.

  11. Dave says:

    My Vs feed just crapped out. My TV is frozen with Whitney carrying the puck at the blue line with 19:04 left in the second.

    I’m following the announcers though.

  12. Ladies and Gentlemen, the 2009 First Round Draft Pick of the Cincinnati Bengals… BEANIE WELLS!!!

  13. Reggie C. says:

    That Bronx Insider entry up in Lohud is a pretty decent read, especially when you read the blogger is 17. Check it out.

  14. Doc says:

    The pinch hit series makes the river av boys look better and better. They are as unreadable as the lohud comments section.

  15. 'The' Steve says:

    Here’s my candidate for “Biggest Disappointment of 2009″

    The LA Angels.

    Look at their run differential from last year (+68). Barely above the Yankees, they appear to be a middle of the pack team but won a ton of 1 run games last year. That’s the definition of being lucky. Plus they lost their closer, lost Tex, and Vlad isn’t getting any younger.

    88 wins next year.

    • … along with the A’s hanging around all summer long, eventually winning 85 games and just barely losing out on the west, and thousands of trees killed extolling the virtue of the awesome Billy Beane…

    • Ryan S. says:

      Agreed! Angels are in trouble after losing Teixeira and, don’t forget, Garret Anderson.

      I think they’ll do just fine without K-Rod … they should still have excellent pitching overall, but their hitting took a big step back losing out on the Tex race – they needed him more than anyone else.

      I love Vlad as a hitter, which is why I’m a bit nervous for him this year…he’s starting to decline.

      Unless one of their young guys steps up BIG TIME, I think the AL West is a free for all.

  16. Crab Dribble Ointment says:

    Holy mother of God, the (usually) fine folks over at nyyfans.com are wondering which middle of the rotation pitcher the Yanks can trade Juan Miranda for now that Tex has rendered him obsolete.

    This does raise an interesting question though, what does become of Miranda now? Bench spot? I’m assuming unless he recently switched names and teams with Colby Rasmus he won’t be fetching much in the way of trade.

  17. Dave says:

    What a pass by Prucha, 3-0 Rangers.

  18. A.D. says:

    Funny that Pryor went to OSU instead of Michigan, because he didn’t want to be labeled as a “system” QB, and then OSU is just going to play a version of the spread with him back there

  19. 'The' Steve says:

    Sleeper team of 2009

    The Toronto Blue Jays

    I really should know better, because I think this every year and they never fail to disappoint me. But their pitching was SOOOO good last year, 1st in all of baseball in ERA by almost half a run. So even with the loss of AJ Burnett they should still be terrific. It appears they’re not going to spend any $$ this off season (what else is new) but I’m looking for bounce back years from Wells and a healthy return of Scott Rolen. Their 2008 run differential was that of a top team (#4 in baseball) yet they managed just 86 wins. If that’s not bad luck, I don’t know what is.

    If they pick up Adam Dunn on the cheap, watch out.

  20. Nady Nation says:

    TSJC – How was growing up in Nebraska? When did you move to NY? You mentioned you got your Knicks fandom from hating the Bulls due to living in the midwest, what about Jets/Yanks? Have I asked enough questions? I’m Ron Burgundy?

  21. Paulie says:

    Does anyone know what network Teixeira’s press conference will be on (YES, ESPN, MLB Network)? I won’t be home and I want to record it. What network was the Sabathia-Burnett one on, because it will probably be the same one.

  22. A.D. says:

    Applewhite looks like a freshman

  23. A.D. says:

    terrible throw, piss poor colt

  24. Reading Moneyball has increased my already-respectable interest in statistics application. As a Halo player, I’ve been reading through a lot of stats from matches I played (i.e. lost) and been trying to find out what exactly indicates, for instance, a “good” player.

    Any other Halo fans out there? Send me a friend request to ‘LordZymurgy’ (no apostrophes) and please check out my Halo blog, just click Yip-Yip.

  25. Ivan says:

    Sleeper Team in the NL?

    Mines………..fuck it, the Florida Marlins.

  26. A.D. says:

    Sleepers:

    AL West: A’s
    AL Central: Indians
    AL East: i don’t think Yanks, Sox, or Tb can qualify, Balt no, so Toronto by default

    NL West: Colorado
    NL Central: Reds
    NL East: Marlins

    I will defend & explain in what hopefully will be a RAB blog series coming up

  27. Thirty5Thirty6 says:

    This is one ugly game. Despise both teams, but I would like to see some GD offense.

    Thankfully I am leaving in twenty minutes to get my ultimate frisbee on.

    • A.D. says:

      At least is is far better than the Sugar or Rose bowl at this point… and i pretty much found the Orange bowl uninspiring from when the match-up was announced.

      • Thirty5Thirty6 says:

        I’m an USC fan, so I actually enjoyed the Rose Bowl.

        • A.D. says:

          I like USC, and more importantly very much dislike Penn State, so yes watch Penn State get killed in the 1st half was enjoyable, but it didn’t make it a good football game.

          I also enjoyed the Sugar since I was in NO leading up to that game, and ‘Bama fans were being incredible dicks on the street, since they figured the game was a no brainer. It was nice seeing them get theirs.

          Otherwise funny story in all the t-shirt shops in NO they printed that Utah was in the WAC, so Utes fans weren’t too happy.

    • Thirty5Thirty6 says:

      I still don’t like you Colt.

  28. GG says:

    Neyer’s new blod post is funny check it out if you have he chance, but if you click the link they changed it already

  29. Mike A. says:

    Hah, JC Romero busted for steroids.

  30. BklynJT says:

    Per Gammons, “As he neared signing with the Yankees, Sabathia got a message from Red Sox GM Theo Epstein telling him how much Epstein respected him for putting aside free agency to try to bring Milwaukee a championship. Some look at what Sabathia has done the past two seasons — from Opening Day to the playoffs: 36 wins, 513 innings pitched, 69 starts — and worry about what that means to his long-term career. The Yankees look at him and see what they most need: the model of reliability.”

    Why does this geriatric fool need to bring up the Red Sox in every freakin discussion!

    • A.D. says:

      this is the best:

      6. CC Sabathia. Faced with the prospect of a $161 million contract, to go out and make one start after another on three days’ rest was an extreme outward sign of Pedroia’s motto: “It’s all about championships.”

      Completely unnecessary

    • Speaking of geriatric fools bringing up the Red Sox in every discussion, did you know that I won the Inaugural RAB Fantasy Football League Championship?

      I stood head and shoulders in greatness over the intellectually miniscule (and less physically attractive) Mike, Joe, Rafi, jsbrendog, and SAMIAMSPORTS, in much the same way that Robinson “Boobie” Cano stands heads and shoulders over Dustin “Faustino” Pedroia.

      It was a laughingstock. There was no Average Joes capable of defeating the GloboGym Purple Cobras this time, I won handily.

      [ Fantasy Football Championship Bragging Rights Name Drop #18 of 1000 ]

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