They play the games on the field, but…

Open Thread: Oh no he di'int!
Who's spending more on pitching?

Using the rosters as of this week and The Hardball Times’ projections, RLYW has run a simulation of the 2009 season, and the results are encouraging. The Yanks end up winning the AL East 76 percent of the time and the Wild Card 19 percent of the time. They average out to be about 102-60. I’ll take that.

Open Thread: Oh no he di'int!
Who's spending more on pitching?
  • Artist formerly known as ‘The’ Steve

    Lets see 76+19=95% of the time we’re in the playoffs.

    Hmmmm . . . . not enough. Lets sign Manny just to make sure.

  • http://nyfaninboston.blogspot.com/ Manimal

    Angels aren’t the same with out Tex and K rod.

  • http://26ncounting.blogspot.com VO

    102 thats it? dont you know that the redsox signed smoltz and baldelli there guna win minimum 160

    • Artist formerly known as ‘The’ Steve

      You’re forgetting Brad Penny. I heard Gammons say the other day he has an excellent chance of being every bit as good as AJ Burnett this year.

      • http://26ncounting.blogspot.com VO

        burnett! id compare him to cc

      • http://26ncounting.blogspot.com VO

        burnett! id compare him to cc

    • http://26ncounting.blogspot.com VO

      those results are quite encouraging though 2nd best runs against, and best runs scored

  • Mike

    I’ll definitely take that. It also has us having the best pitching in the majors (lowest runs against) which would be nice.

  • huuz

    i wonder how we fared under 2008’s projections…?

    • Artist formerly known as ‘The’ Steve

      Shhhhhhhhhhh!!

      Injuries, my friend, injuries.

  • Pel

    26. Posted at 12:00:10 pm on Friday, January 9, 2009 by SG

    The current state of the free agent market massively biases this analysis in favor the Yankees.

    Yeah, that’s why this is still too early to really be doing this.

    • Greg G.

      The only time that it’s not too early to be doing this: when the regular season ends.

  • http://YouTube.com/kevyyankeea Kevin G

    Wow, best offense in MLB and 2nd pitching in MLB. I’ll take that. And wow they have the Angels winning the west while only winning 80 games. They’ll probably still find a way to beat us in the ALDS.

    • Artist formerly known as ‘The’ Steve

      Angels def take a big step back this year, the question will be do the Rangers have enough pitching and did Beane do enough with his lineup to compete this year.

      My pick is Oakland. They have enough pitching and you have to like the Holliday and Giambi moves.

      • BklynJT

        Haven’t we learned this year not to count the Angels out of anything. Let me guess, people are going to pick Seattle to win the division again.

  • http://www.teamnerdrage.com leo

    I really enjoy the AL West projections.

  • ortforshort

    They’re probably using last year’s numbers. I’m guessing that they haven’t factored in the probability of old guys getting injured or declining and a weak bench as replacements – that hurts the Yankees’ numbers. They haven’t factored in Tampa’s young guys getting appreciably better and having a better chance of staying healthy or their young stud pitchers coming up from AAA. That being said, as things stand now, it’s Tampa and the Yankees with the Sox a sorry third.

  • http://26ncounting.blogspot.com VO

    Down furthur on the comments it said about how many innings picthed as well, so i did the math and the yankees would need over 400 innings from the bullpen

    • http://www.riveraveblues.com Ben K.

      That’s not that many. Last year, the Yanks’ pen tossed 543.1 innings.