Archive for April, 2009
Brackman not so sharp in Charleston loss
Posted by: | CommentsUpdate by Mike (11:45pm): Manny Banuelos was placed on the DL today with one of those pesky upper body injuries.
Yeah, I’m filling in for Mike tonight. I have to say, compiling DotF is fun, but I give Mr. Axisa credit; I could not do this every night.
Triple-A Scranton (12-6 win over Norfolk)
Leo Nunez: 1 for 4, 1 K, 1 BB
J-Rod: 0 for 5, 3K — sad for J-Rod, who had been 10 for his last 23 before this game
Todd Linden: 1 for 5, 1 2B, 2K
Shelley Duncan: 2 for 5, 1K, 2 HR — second one came as part of Scranton’s 5-run 7th
Juan Miranda: 1 for 3, 2 BB, 1 K
Ajax: 2 for 3, 1 BB, 1 K, 1 SB — 6 SB, 0 CS this season
E-Dunc: 1 for 4, 1 K — BA is still above .300
Chris Malec: 2 for 3, 2 RBI
P.J. Pilittere: 3 for 4, 1 HR — not only is the best game I’ve ever seen for P.J. in DotF, but probably the first homer I can remember him hitting
Kei Igawa: 5.1 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 0 BB, 3 K — Good ol’ Kei…ERA sits at 6.75
Jose Valdez: 0.2 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 1 BB, 1 K
Anthony Claggett: 2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 1 K
Brett Tomko: 1 IP, 1 H, 1 K — 10.1 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 12 K on the season
Game 22: Start of a streak?
Posted by: | Comments
The Bombers are coming off two big wins in Detroit and two impressive starting pitching performances, but their bane comes marching in to the New Stadium tonight for a four game series. The Angels have beat the Yanks down the last few years, but the Halos are decimated by injuries and the unfortunate passing of Nick Adenhart. Young Anthony Ortega is making his second career start tonight, having allowed five runs in five innings against the Mariners last Saturday.
A nice little side story to tonight’s game is Bobby Abreu’s return to the Bronx. Bobby put up two-and-a-half productive years with the Yanks, and has been just as productive with Anaheim. He’s hitting .368-.430-.434 and is third in the AL with eight steals. (Who saw that coming?) Bobby has yet to hit a homer this year, but I’m guessing he’ll finish this four game set with at least one. I’ll give him a nice hand from my seat in the bleachers, but first plate appearance only. After that, I’m going for blood.
The lineup:
Jeter, SS
Damon, LF
Teixeira, 1B
Matsui, DH
Cano, 2B
Posada, C
Swisher, RF
Melky, CF
Pena, 3B
And on the mound, number thirty-four, AJ Burnett.
Credit: Kevork Djansezian, Getty Images
Fangraphs reviews Yanks’ recent drafts
Posted by: | CommentsMarc Hulet at Fangraphs is running though how each organization each organization has performed in recent drafts, as well as a taking a quick look at what we could expect this year, and today he touched on the Yankees. Everything is pretty much spot on regarding the ’08, ’07 and ’06 drafts (remember that it’s tough to say anything definitive on last year’s or even 2007′s class), and for the most part the ’09 outlook is solid. I do disagree that the Yanks need relievers though, they actually have bullpen arms coming out of their ears at the upper levels, it’s just that they’ve performed poorly in the first twenty games of the season. And besides, drafting relievers high is a dumb strategy anyway. Give a read, it’s quick, painless and informative.
On sample sizes, too small and just right
Posted by: | CommentsWe talk a lot about small sample sizes on River Ave. Blues. For stat-minded analysts, it can easily become a default excuse for a player’s performance. Sabathia not pitching up to expectations? Small sample size. Blue Jays leading the AL East? Small sample size.
It is a phrase that sounds good, but most people have no idea what it means. In fact, even people who know what it means aren’t too comfortable with the concept. After all, there is no magic tipping point when a small sample size becomes a just-right sample size.
To that end, two pieces hit the Internet yesterday that warrant a reading by fans looking for more insight into the sample size process. On the one hand, Dave Cameron at FanGraphs writes about the proper way to use small sample sizes. On the other, Jonah Keri warns about reading too much into small sample sizes. “As unsatisfying as it is to say it,” Keri writes, “sometimes stuff just happens.”
As the Yankees gear up to take on the Angels tonight, the Bombers find themselves on the precipice of a frustrating April. They’ll finish the month either at or two games above .500 and could easy have found themselves at 15-7 instead of 11-11 or 12-10. That’s just part of the sample size issue.
Some players are off to bad starts; some are off to good starts. When the dust settles in the end, those small sample sizes will morph into season-long representations. For now though, when a player can go 5-for-5 and raise his average nearly .040 points in the process, we’re still firmly in the realm of a small sample size. These numbers can inform our discussion, but in no way can draw many, if any, conclusions from them.
Why do the Angels kill the Yankees?
Posted by: | CommentsTonight begins a four-game set between the Yankees and the Angels, the first of their 2009 meetings. Over the years commentators have been quick to point out the Halos’s relative dominance of the Bombers. In nearly every national broadcast the announcers mention that the Angels were the only MLB team with a winning record against the Yanks with Joe Torre at the helm. It’s just one of those quirky things about baseball.
| Year | Record |
|---|---|
| 1996 | 6-7 |
| 1997 | 7-4 |
| 1998 | 5-6 |
| 1999 | 4-6 |
| 2000 | 5-5 |
| 2001 | 3-4 |
| 2002 | 4-3 |
| 2003 | 6-3 |
| 2004 | 4-5 |
| 2005 | 4-6 |
| 2006 | 4-6 |
| 2007 | 3-6 |
| Total | 55-61 |
That’s a .474 win percentage during the Torre years. Even worse are the Scioscia years, which run 2000 through present: 36-45 (.444). This includes last year, where the Yanks went 3-7 against the Angels under Joe Girardi. Why exactly do the Yankees, who have an overall 862 – 592 record (.593) from 2000 through 2008, flop in the face of the Angels? I have no idea. Perhaps it’s just Scioscia’s style that unhinges the team, throws it off its game plan.
The Yankees have a real opportunity to beat up on a weakened team this time around. The Angels are 9-11 and have been decimated by injuries. Vlad Guerrero won’t be around, nor will John Lackey, Ervin Santana, or Kelvim Escobar. Instead the Yanks will face Anthony Ortega, a 23-year-old prospect who got roughed up in his Major League debut, and Matt Palmer, a 30-year-old journeyman who got roughed up in 12 innings for the Giants last year.
What’s truly strange, though, is that the three missing Angels’ pitchers haven’t fared too well, relatively, against the Yanks. John Lackey has a 4.81 ERA in 95.1 career innings, Escobar a 4.11 in 35 (while pitching for the Angels), and Santana 5.09. Thankfully there’s still Jered Weaver, who the Yanks have knocked around for 15 runs in 22 innings, and Joe Saunders, who has allowed 13 runs over 15.1 innings. In other words, the Yankees have an opportunity to beat up on a normally-strong opponent this weekend. If they’re going to turn things around, this is the chance right here.
A-Rod homers in intrasquad game
Posted by: | CommentsWe interrupt your coverage of the neverending Alex Rodriguez saga to bring you some actual baseball news. Via PeteAbe, A-Rod made his long awaited return to game action today, going 1 for 6 with a homer and a pair of walks in an Extended Spring Training intrasquad game down in Tampa. A-Rod did not run the bases at full speed, and didn’t go beyond first base on the homer. No word on if he played the field, but I’m guessing he didn’t. Can’t wait to have him back.
Molinas tracking Molinas
Posted by: | CommentsI love “Inside Baseball” stories such as the one Tyler Kepner has featured on the Bats Blog this week. Jose Molina, one third of the Catching Molina Brothers, was sitting in the Detroit clubhouse when a clip of his brother Bengie’s hitting a triple came on screen. Jose started cheering, and Kepner asked him how he keeps track of his brothers during the season. Molina has BlackBerry alerts for his two brothers and records all of their games at home. Now that is family devotion.
Building starts, building velocity
Posted by: | CommentsLast summer, on a hot evening in July, Joba Chamberlain utterly dominated the Red Sox. In a game the Yanks won 1-0, Joba went seven innings, giving up three hits and a walk while striking out nine.
During that game, Joba dialed up his fastball to 99 mph twice and averaged 95.51 mph for the game. He was as on as he could be. For most of the 2008 sumer, he averaged around 95 mph on his fastball, and when this season started with Joba flashing only a low 90s fastball, pundits grew worried.
To start the season against Kansas City, his fastball averaged 92.44 mph. In his next start on April 17th against Cleveland, he sat around 91.5 mph. On Friday against the Red Sox, he was at 92.39 and threw fastballs at or over 94 mph just seven times. None went faster tan 94.6.
Rob Neyer, riffing off that same John Harper column I mentioned yesterday, wondered about the velocity and Joba’s seemingly lost penchant for missing bats. Wrote Rob:
In 16 innings as a starter this year, he has struck out 11 batters and walked 10. So, yes, if he continues on this path — say, another eight or 10 starts like this — the Yankees will be forced to consider making a move, at least if Chien-Ming Wang is back in action…
Maybe Joba’s not healthy, and maybe it’s because he’s starting. But the Yankees need to be real sure about what’s going on before doing anything rash. Because it’s rapidly becoming apparent that they won’t have a great margin for error this season.
Last night, though, Joba calmed the nerves of the velocity-watchers. He struck out six in seven innings and flashed the fastball and a dominating curve. Most comforting for the worriers about us though are the numbers. He hit 96.3 miles per hour on the Gameday gun and averaged 92.76 miles per hour on his fastball. Both figures are season highs. Around 14 of his fastballs were at or over 94 miles per hour, and he induced around eight swings-and-misses after generating just two on Friday.
As Joba builds arm strength, his speed will come. It’s the nature of the beast for a young power pitcher. It’s important to remember that Joba is coming off of a late-season shoulder strain, and while the injury was minor last year, it was still an injury. As the season grows older and the weather warmer, Joba and his fastball will continue to heat up.


