Projecting the league community style

Pondering the implications of Saito's surgery
Game One: Play Ball!

Predictions are stupid (I said this yesterday). How can one person expect to figure out what’s going to happen over the course of a season before it’s even begun? The answer is they can’t. Yet if they’re right in their guesses, they’ll make sure everyone remembers it. If they’re wrong, no biggie; no one remembers pre-season predictions.

There is, however, value in the community. If we band together and each make predictions, perhaps if we add them together we’ll come up with something that resembles reality. Plenty of blogs conduct community projections for their teams’ rosters. While we’ve never done that at RAB, we’ve proved that we’re not above copying good ideas. So let’s dive into some community projections.

Here’s how we’ll work it. You’ll pick the six division winners, wild cards, playoff brackets, and MVPs, Cy Youngs, and ROYs for each league. Not only that, but at the suggestion of TJSC (okay, so maybe he came up with this entire idea; shut up), let’s take this further and talk mid-season trade. If a few high-payroll teams drop out of contention we could see a robust trade market come July. For the projections, name the player you think will be traded, and where he’ll land. Don’t worry about who the team gets in return. So, for example, Magglio Ordonez to the White Sox. That’s all we need.

To get the ball rolling, here are my picks:

Yanks
Twins
Angels
WC: Red Sox

Braves
Cubs
Dodgers
WC: Phillies

AL MVP: Mark Teixeira
NL MVP: Ryan Howard

AL Cy Young: A.J. Burnett (hey, can’t go back on my bold prediction)
NL Cy Young: Derek Lowe

AL ROY: Matt Weiters
NL ROY: Colby Rasmus

Notable trades:
Magglio Ordonez to the Angels (after a Vlad injury)
Aubrey Huff to Cleveland
Jake Peavy to the Cubs
Placido Polanco to Arizona
Matt Holliday to Atlanta
Garrett Atkins to Houston

Make your picks, in more or less this format, in the comments. Then we’ll add ‘em up and make a page for it. With our powers combined, we are Captain Planet maybe we can approach something resembling accurate projections.

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Pondering the implications of Saito's surgery
Game One: Play Ball!
  • Harry G

    Ok, here goes:

    My division winners are almost the same as yours:

    Yanks
    Twins
    Angels
    WC: Red Sox

    Phillies
    Cubs
    Dodgers
    WC: Mets

    AL MVP: Kevin Youkillis
    NL MVP: Manny Ramirez

    AL Cy Young: Joba Chamberlain (yes,on 150-180 innings…)
    NL Cy Young: Johan Santana

    AL ROY: Matt Weiters
    NL ROY: Colby Rasmus

    Notable trades:
    Jake Peavy to the Cubs (after a Rich Harden injury)
    Roy Halladay to the Mets (after Oliver Perez stinks up the joint and John Maine doesn’t bounce back)

    Let me add this if I may:

    AL Division Series:
    Yanks over Twins
    Red Sox over Angels

    NL Division Series:
    Dodgers over Phillies
    Cubs over Mets

    ALCS:
    Red Sox over Yankees

    NLCS:
    Cubs over Philllies

    World Series:
    Red Sox over Cubs

    • Harry G

      Of course, I had to mess up one spot.

      I meant “Cubs over DODGERS”in the NLCS.

      • kunaldo

        boooo w/ the non-homer WS prediction! haha

      • kunaldo

        oh, unless this is a reverse jinx, in which case, forget we had this conversation

    • Tom Zig

      What do the Mets trade for Halladay?
      as in what do they have to trade for Halladay?

      • Harry G

        I say with Sheffield on board, they trade a package starting with Freddy Martinez and Jon Neise.

        • Mike Pop

          Fernando.

          • Tom Zig

            so their farm system will look like the Yankees circa 2003?

      • Mike Pop

        fmart and Parnell.

  • Mike Pop

    Yanks
    Twins
    A’s
    Rays-wc

    Braves
    Cubs
    D-backs
    Marlins-wc

    Al: joe mauer
    Nl: hanley ramirez

    ROY’s- Snider and Maybin

    Cy- Nolasco and Liriano

    Trades:
    Maggs to Atlanta

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      You’re crazy, man!

      • Mike Pop

        I’m a cliffhanger.

  • http://www.riveraveblues.com Benjamin Kabak

    Endison Volquez for ROY. That’s my only prediction.

    • Harry G

      Ha. The BBWAA – or whatever it’s called – writards probably won’t vote for him because he’s ineligible. How do they know? Well someone voted for him last year already….

  • Joey

    Yankees
    Indians
    A’s
    WC: Tampa Bay

    Braves
    Cubs
    Dodgers
    WC: Mets

    AL MVP: Grady Sizemore
    NL MVP: David Wright

    AL Cy Young: King Felix
    NL Cy Young: Lincecum

    AL ROY: Travis Snider
    NL ROY: Colby Rasmus

    AL Manager: Girardi
    NL Manager: Torre

    Notable trades:
    Guessing who gets into the playoffs, wins MVP and Cy are bad enough, I have no idea about trades.

    • jsbrendog

      wow, lincecum for cy tow yrs in a row? bold

      • Joey

        Of course health dictates all, but if he stays healthy I can easily see him winning again. I do want to change my AL Cy Young to Halladay, but King Felix will be my other bold prediction :-)

  • Mattingly’s Love Child

    Yanks/Indians/Angels WC-Red Sox

    Braves/Cubs/Dodgers WC-Cardinals

    AL MVP-Grady Sizemore
    NL MVP-Albert Pujols

    AL CY Young- CC Sabathia
    NL CY Young- Johan Santana

    AL ROY-Travis Snider
    NL ROY-Cameron Maybin

    Trades: Matt Holiday to Cleveland, Jake Peavy to NY Mets, Alex Rios to Atlanta, Magglio Ordonez to Boston, Adrian Gonzalez to SanFran

    • http://www.riveraveblues.com Benjamin Kabak

      It’s tough to pick the Braves winning the division and a Peavy-to-the-Mets trade at the same time. With Peavy and Santana in the same rotation, the Mets would be formidable at any point in the season.

      • Mattingly’s Love Child

        I would agree, but I just don’t see enough pitching outside of Santana/Peavy (for 2 months) and Pelfrey to overcome the garbage they have at 2B,C, and in the corner OF spots(assuming they don’t let Murphy play everyday).

        IMO most teams outside of the AL BEAST are very flawed.

      • Tom Zig

        Peavy would go 5 innings, and the mets bullpen would blow it in the 6th.

        • http://www.blogtalkradio.com/pics/hostpics/5e4be77c-8e57-4d7a-8533-add8ed030ad5JerkStore.jpg Slugger27

          IETC

  • http://sonofsteinbrenner.blogspot.com/ Dennis C.

    Yankees
    Indians
    Angels
    WC – Red Sox

    Mets
    Cubs
    Dodgers
    WC – Phillies

    AL MVP – Grady Sizemore
    NL MVP – Albert Pujols
    AL Cy Young – Roy Halladay
    NL Cy Young – Brandon Webb
    AL ROY – David Price
    NL ROY – Jordan Zimmerman

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      Both RoY awards going to pitchers? That’s bold, my friend.

  • Jim L

    Yanks
    Indians
    Angels
    WC: Tampa

    Phillies
    Cubs
    Dodgers
    WC: Mets

    AL Playoffs

    Yanks over Indians
    Tampa over Angels

    AL Champion = New York Yankees

    NL Playoffs
    Mets over Dogers
    Cubs over Phillies

    NL Champion = Mets

    World Series Champion = New York Yankees

    AL MVP: Mark Teixeira
    NL MVP: Ryan Howard

    AL Cy Young: Wanger
    NL Cy Young: Brandon Webb

    AL ROY: Matt Weiters
    NL ROY: Cameron Maybin

  • Moshe Mandel

    Yanks
    Twins
    Angels
    WC: Red Sox

    Mets
    Cubs
    D-Backs
    WC: Phillies
    AL MVP: Justin Mourneau NL MVP: David Wright
    AL Cy Young: King Felix NL Cy Young: Johan Santana
    AL ROY: Matt Weiters NL ROY: Colby Rasmus
    Notable trades:

    Jake Peavy to Cubs
    Elijah Dukes to Arizona
    Magglio to Atlanta
    Atkins and Huff to Angels

    AL Division Series:
    Yanks over Twins
    Red Sox over Angels
    NL Division Series:
    Mets over Dodgers
    Cubs over Phillies
    ALCS:
    Yankees over red Sox
    NLCS:
    Cubs over Mets
    World Series:
    Cubs over Yankees

    • Mike Pop

      Boo!

    • http://www.riveraveblues.com Joseph Pawlikowski

      I actually had Morneau down as my AL MVP at first glance, but then changed it to Teixeira. I figured that Tex will have a numerically better season and he’ll be on a winner, making Morneau almost unpickable (yes, I can make up words, too).

      • Mike Pop

        With that last name, anything is possible.

      • Moshe Mandel

        I think Tex’s contract may work against him- he will hit 32-35 HR’s, and people will wonder why he doesnt have more for the money he is making. If the Twins win the division in a close race, which I expect, I think Mourneau is a good bet.

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      Oooooh, Elijah Dukes to Arizona. Nice.

      Wait, is a single team allowed to have three black outfielders at the same time? Isn’t that like against the rules now?

      • Mike Pop

        Will you be at the rally tonight?

      • Moshe Mandel

        I think the Yankees should make a deal for him. I know he has a bad rap, but this clubhouse seems like it has some younger vets (CC, AJ) that may be able to help with that, and he is quite undervalued right now- they have Kearns starting over him. He could fill the Melky role for now, allow them to trade Nady at the deadline in the right deal, and would let them stay away from huge Bay/Holliday/Manny contracts next year.

        • Mike Pop

          Ya, I was pimping a deal for Dukes. Watching his home run swings, love it. But, in NYC, could turn out to be bad.

        • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

          I’m totally down with a Dukes acquisition.

          His nose has been clean for what, two or three years now? Maybe he’s turned a corner.

          Furthermore (and this may sound ironic from the guy that always pooh-poohs chemistry) I think we have a really good clubhouse full of leaders and good chemistry guys. I think he’ll be okay here. Like I always say, the single biggest contributing factor to bad chemistry and discord is losing. If Dukes is here on a winning team surrounded by winners, I have faith he’ll be okay.

  • J.R.

    Bold prediction: Cubs don’t win the world series. AGAIN. Going for 101.

  • El Generalissimo

    Miggy Cabrera to the Sox… to replace Ortiz as theo ruthlessly throws him out of town like he did Nomar.

    • El Generalissimo

      Or to play 1st base and Youk back to third, when Lowell cant hack it.

  • http://www.blogtalkradio.com/pics/hostpics/5e4be77c-8e57-4d7a-8533-add8ed030ad5JerkStore.jpg Slugger27

    al east – yanks
    al central – tigers
    al west – angels
    WC – the gritty pedroias

    nl east – braves
    nl central – cubbies
    nl west – dodgers
    WC – mets

    al mvp – miguel cabrera
    nl mvp – david wright

    al cy young – cc sabathia
    nl cy young – brandon webb

    al roy – david price
    nl roy – cameron maybin

    trade prediction – halladay to the dodgers

  • MattG

    Yankees
    Twins
    Athletics
    Red Sox
    ———-
    Marlins
    Cubs
    Diamondbacks
    Mets
    ———–
    Mauer
    Hanley
    ———–
    Sabathia
    Santana
    ———–
    Weiters
    Rasmus
    ———–
    Beltre to Min
    Street to Atl
    Polanco to CHN
    B Giles to Bos
    Ankiel to NYA
    N Johnson to Oak

  • Pete Law

    Yankees/Royals/A’s/WC: Rays

    Mets/Cubs/Dodgers/WC: Braves

    MVP: Mark Teixeira/David Wright
    Cy Young: CC Sabathia/Javier Vazquez
    ROY: David Price/Jordan Schafer

    Notable trades:
    Jake Peavy to the Cubs
    Roy Halladay to the Braves

    Yanks over Cubs in WS

  • Mark Da Rosa

    Yanks
    Indians
    A’s
    WC: Rays

    Mets
    Cubs
    Dodgers
    WC: Marlins

    AL MVP: Grady Sizemore
    NL MVP: Hanley Ramirez

    AL Cy Young: C.C. Sabathia
    NL Cy Young: Tim Lincecum

    AL ROY: Travis Snider
    NL ROY: Colby Rasmus

  • http://www.riveraveblues.com Mike Axisa

    Playoff teams: Yanks, Twins, Angels, Red Sox (WC), Phils, Cubs, Dodgers, Cards (WC)

    Cy: Halladay, Haren
    MVP: Burrell, Pujols
    ROY: Snider, Walter Silva

    Trades: Peavy to Cubs, Konerko to Angels, Giles to Mets, Nady to SF

    • http://www.blogtalkradio.com/pics/hostpics/5e4be77c-8e57-4d7a-8533-add8ed030ad5JerkStore.jpg Slugger27

      i like all your playoff picks (minus the phils) but i cant see burrell winning an mvp if the rays arent in the playoffs… he would need to have an arod in 07 year if the rays finish in 3rd

      • http://www.riveraveblues.com Mike Axisa

        Good point.

      • http://www.riveraveblues.com Mike Axisa

        Actually, all he really needs is a super hot September to help them fight for a playoff spot. The voters are big on Sept. stats.

        • Mike Pop

          That’s howw Morneua won, right?

          You like the Cards that much, maybe if Carpenter stays healthy. But, I guess with Pujols….anything is possible. I’m with you, I think the Twins run away with that division. Got a great squad.

          • http://www.blogtalkradio.com/pics/hostpics/5e4be77c-8e57-4d7a-8533-add8ed030ad5JerkStore.jpg Slugger27

            i think the al central just flat out sucks… any team but the royals could probably win that division

        • jeremy

          Isn’t Burrel going to be spending the majority of his time as a DH? If Ortiz didn’t win in 05′ or 06′, there’s no way Burrel wins unless he just goes bonkers.

  • andrew

    This is actually a principle we just went over in psychology called the “wisdom of the crowd,” which basically states the sum of all of our guesses are on average more accurate than any singular guess

    AL East: Yanks
    Central: Twins
    West: Angels
    WC: Rays

    NL East: Phillies
    Central: Cubs
    West: Dodgers
    WC: Braves

    AL MVP: Kevin Youkillis
    NL MVP: Manny Ramirez
    AL Cy Young: Halladay
    NL Cy Young: Santana
    AL ROY: Snider
    NL ROY: Schafer

    Notable trades:
    Miguel Cabrera to White Sox

    AL Division Series:
    Yanks over Twins
    Angels over Rays

    NL Division Series:
    Dodgers over Phillies
    Cubs over Braves

    ALCS:
    Yankees over Angels

    NLCS:
    Cubs over Dodgers

    World Series:
    Yankees over Cubs

    • andrew

      My bad, i copy-pasted this and forgot to change it all

      AL MVP: Tex

      • http://www.blogtalkradio.com/pics/hostpics/5e4be77c-8e57-4d7a-8533-add8ed030ad5JerkStore.jpg Slugger27

        i was about to type “booooooo” before this footnote u just added

        as far as fandom, a youk pick negates the yankees in the WS pick in my opinion

        • andrew

          Hahaha yea, Harry G made the first post so I just copy pasted his template down here and forgot to change his Youk pick. Considering I don’t have the Sox in the playoffs, i think it would be nearly impossible for Youk to win MVP, not to mention i think he’ll regress slightly this year.

  • anonymous

    Yanks
    Twins
    A’s
    WC – Rays

    Mets
    Cubs
    Diamond Backs
    WC – Marlins

    AL MVP – Jeter
    NL MVP – David Wright

    AL CY – Mo
    NL CY – Santana

    AL ROTY Gardner (srsly.)
    NL ROTY ?

    I left out the Red Sox because Im expecting them to have major starting rotation problems to go along with their reclamation projects being total busts. They throw in the towel in August and Rays take the WC.

    Mets and Phills I see pretty even as far as possible problems. I give the edge to the Mets because if they need a starting pitcher they will do everything to add what they need this year. They cant sit out another post season. And with Florida and Atlanta knocking at the door that division is going to be hell. At least one of the Mets and Phills get left out of the party.

    • http://www.blogtalkradio.com/pics/hostpics/5e4be77c-8e57-4d7a-8533-add8ed030ad5JerkStore.jpg Slugger27

      i think the phils get left out… not having hamels really hurts them, ibanez is a downgrade from burrell, and lidge i think will come back to earth

      didnt chan ho park make their rotation?

      • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

        They’re not going to be without Hamels forever, just for a little bit in the beginning.

        And yes, Park made their rotation, because he pitched damn well in the spring. But when he falls back to earth, they have J.A. Happ and Carlos Carrasco waiting to take his spot.

      • anonymous

        As far as Ive heard Hamels is coming back soon. Its still to be seen but I also figure Santana has the same likelihood for injury this year. The Aces probably decide this division if there is any major downtime. The rest of both their rotations leave something to be desired.

        Ibanez looks really ugly in that lineup yeh. Sheff would have really helped them out. Mets also have a big question mark in Delgado repeating anything close to last year in their lineup.

  • http://toph chris konopka

    AL
    ——–
    Yanks
    Indians
    A’s
    WC – Tampa

    NL
    ——–
    Mets
    Cubs
    Dodgers
    WC – Marlins

    AL MVP – Sizemore
    NL MVP – Hanley Ramirez

    AL CY – Sabathia
    NL CY – Santana

    AL ROY – Snider
    NL ROY – Rasmus

    Trade
    Matt Holliday to the Mets

    • Mark Da Rosa

      very similar to my picks except for nl cy young. I think people are overlooking Florida Marlins this year. They are a sleeper despite having a winning record last year.

      • Chris K

        Ya, their pitching staff is awesome, plus they have some really solid hitters with Hanley, Uggla, and Cantu.

  • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

    AL East
    99-63 Yankees
    96-66 Red Sox
    92-70 Rays
    77-85 Jays
    77-85 Orioles

    AL Central
    85-77 White Sox
    83-79 Indians
    82-80 Twins
    77-85 Tigers
    75-87 Royals

    AL West
    88-74 A’s
    83-79 Angels
    79-83 Rangers
    69-93 Mariners

    NL East
    88-74 Phillies
    86-76 Braves
    85-77 Mets
    85-77 Marlins
    63-99 Nationals

    NL Central
    90-72 Cubs
    84-78 Cardinals
    83-79 Reds
    78-84 Brewers
    70-92 Astros
    65-97 Pirates

    NL West
    86-76 Dodgers
    82-80 Giants
    81-81 Diamondbacks
    76-86 Rockies
    66-96 Padres

    Trades and junk:
    Starters
    -San Diego finally trades Jake Peavy to the Cubs for Josh Vitters, Sean Marshall, Kevin Hart, and Hak-Ju Lee
    -Ben Sheets signs with the Cardinals
    -Houston trades Roy Oswalt to the desperate for an answer Mets for Fernando Martinez and Dillon Gee
    -Texas trades Kevin Millwood to the Phillies for Joe Savery and Jeremy Slayden
    -Colorado trades Aaron Cook to the surprisingly frisky White Sox for Aaron Poreda, Jose Martinez, and Jon Gilmore
    -Seattle trades a tantalizingly rejuvenated Erik Bedard to the Dodgers for Tony Abreu, Josh Bell, and Josh Lindblom

    Relievers
    Baltimore trades George Sherrill to the Giants for Henry Sosa
    Colorado trades Houston Street to the Rays for Jeff Neimann

    Position Players
    Detroit trades Miguel Cabrera (!!!) to the Red Sox (!!!) for Lars Anderson, Clay Buchholz, Ryan Kalish and Stephen Fife (!!!)
    Milwaukee trades Mike Cameron to the White Sox for John Shelby
    Seattle trades Adrian Beltre to the Reds for Ramon Ramirez and Devin Mesoraco
    Texas trades Marlon Byrd to the Braves for James Parr

    Roy Halladay, B.J. Ryan, Prince Fielder, Magglio Ordoñez, Miguel Tejada, and Carlos Lee are put on the block but not moved

    Playoffs:
    AL
    Yankees over White Sox 4-1
    Red Sox over A’s 4-2
    Yankees over Red Sox 4-2

    NL
    Cubs over Braves 4-3
    Dodgers over Phillies 4-2
    Dodgers over Cubs (!!!) 4-3

    World Series
    Yankees over Dodgers 4-1

    Awards
    MVP
    AL-Carlos Quentin, NL-Manny Ramirez

    Cy Young
    AL-A.J. Burnett, NL-Tim Lincecum

    ROY
    AL-Matt Wieters, NL-Colby Rasmus

    • anonymous

      overachiever.

    • http://www.blogtalkradio.com/pics/hostpics/5e4be77c-8e57-4d7a-8533-add8ed030ad5JerkStore.jpg Slugger27

      enjoyed reading your trade suggestions… u know youre committed when u start predicting relievers getting moved

      i can totally see sheets signing with the cardinals too

      also, nitpicking but 1st round is 3 outta 5

      • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

        also, nitpicking but 1st round is 3 outta 5

        Whoops, my bad.

        AL
        Yankees over White Sox 3-1
        Red Sox over A’s 3-1
        Yankees over Red Sox 4-2

        NL
        Cubs over Braves 3-2
        Dodgers over Phillies 3-2
        Dodgers over Cubs (!!!) 4-3

        enjoyed reading your trade suggestions… u know youre committed when u start predicting relievers getting moved

        In a bacon, egg, and cheese sandwich, the chicken is involved but the pig is committed. BE THAT PIG!

        i can totally see sheets signing with the cardinals too

        My favorite predictions were the White Sox trading for Cook and Cameron. I can totally see the Southsiders sticking around all summer and Kenny Williams saying “Fuck it, I’m going all in”.

        That Cameron deal makes a ton of sense for them.

      • anonymous

        “Detroit trades Miguel Cabrera (!!!) to the Red Sox (!!!) for Lars Anderson, Clay Buchholz, Ryan Kalish and Stephen Fife (!!!)”

        Im wondering what you’re thinking here. Lowell having a horrific year and them panicking? I dont think they want to trade Lars. Isnt he only a year away from being called up? And I think they are saving Laptop for a catcher trade.

        • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

          Here’s my thinking:

          Yes, the Red Sox don’t have room for Cabrera, and yes, they’d prefer to acquire a catcher (and would consider using Buchholz to get a good enough one but don’t think Teagarden or Satalamacchia are good enough, and they’re right).

          But they also didn’t have room for Teixeira, and yet they lusted after him and rightfully so. Ortiz and Lowell are both on their way to the glue factory; you don’t let their presence stop you from acquiring the young middle of the order bat you know you need both now and going forward. That was supposed to be Tex, but they lost that battle, so if Cabrera comes on the market, they leap at him. Plus, he’s younger.

          He’s well worth that price. (It’s hard to give up Anderson, but if they’ve got Youk and Miggy they’re good, Anderson wouldn’t have a place to play. Gotta give up something to get something.)

          • Sweet Dick Willie

            I don’t know if Theo pulls the trigger on that contract. If Lars continues to impress at AAA, I think they’d just rather plug him in at 1st and move Youks to 3rd.

    • jsbrendog

      AL
      Yankees over White Sox 4-1
      Red Sox over A’s 4-2
      Yankees over Red Sox 4-2

      NL
      Cubs over Braves 4-3
      Dodgers over Phillies 4-2
      Dodgers over Cubs (!!!) 4-3

      aren’t divisional series 5? or did thye make them 7 now?

      and i believe it is Huston Street

      H-U-S-T-O-N

      • jsbrendog

        /nitpick

        haha come on tjsc know the names of the players you write about

        • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

          Touché.

    • Mike Pop

      Wow Tommie, Twins 3rd? I don’t like your style, brotha.

      A.J. for Cy? I like your style, brotha!

      • http://www.blogtalkradio.com/pics/hostpics/5e4be77c-8e57-4d7a-8533-add8ed030ad5JerkStore.jpg Slugger27

        that aj bandwagon u started is just about at full capacity… good thing u called shotgun several months ago

      • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

        Everyone loves the Indians and Twins in the Central, but the Indians have no pitching outside of Lee and Carmona (and you can’t even really count on those two, either) and they’re relying on Hafner and Garko not sucking, which is also dicey.

        The Twins are basically Mauer, Morneau, and… http://www.instantcrickets.com, and Mauer’s dinged up. I’m not bullish on them, sorry. Plus, of those top three teams (CLE, MIN, CWS) you basically know the Indians and Twins aren’t going to be adding any salary at the deadline, so they are what they are. My AL Central prediction is predicated on the Sox sticking around and then making a trade or two midseason to acquire reinforcements. The front of their rotation in Buehrle/Danks/Floyd and the heart of their order in Quentin/Dye/Konerko/Thome is probably the best of the three teams, and I like their kids too (Getz/Ramirez/Fields/Lillibridge).

        Oh, yeah, and two words:

        Wilson. Betemit.

        BAM! THAT JUST HAPPENED.

        • anonymous

          awesome

        • Mike Pop

          Liriano, Baker, Blackburn, and Slowey. Combine that with Neshek and Nathan for the dominant 8th and 9th(mind you what the Yankees should be doing with Joba and Mo), combined with Mauer, Morneau, Gomez ;), Span, and Jason Kubel who apparently is a stud in the making(hat tip Mike A). Everything about their team is better than the White Sox, young, athletic, and did not lose their best starting pitcher. But that said, I respect your opinion sir, and will just laugh at you at the end of the year when you’re wrong. ;). You’re just a cliffhanger!!

    • http://ryanhandt.blogspot.com/ handtius

      good lord. specific. my brain hurts.

  • jsbrendog

    AL:

    Yankees
    Indians
    A’s
    WC – bosox

    NL:
    Braves
    Cubs
    dodgers
    WC- Reds

    AL ROY – price
    NL ROY – Maybin (just beating out edinson volquez)

    AL MVP – Holliday
    NL MVP – Han-Ram

    AL CY – CC
    NL CY – TEH YOHAN!1!!11! (cause with a bullpen last yr he wins like 24 games)

    division series:
    Yanks over A’s
    Sox over Indians
    Cubs over dodgers
    Reds over Braves (because vasquez is teh unclucthiest right ozzie?)

    Champ series
    Yanks over sox in 7 on a hr off papelsuckmybone
    Cubs over reds

    WS
    Yanks over cubbies just like this weekend

    trade:
    uggla to the cubs.

    • jsbrendog

      i fucked up my nl mvp sorry

      my nl mvp is actually going to be man-ram. sorry my b

  • Flipper

    Yanks
    Indians
    Angels
    Rays – WC

    Mets
    Cubs
    Dodgers
    Braves – WC

    AL MVP – Sizemore
    NL MVP – Soriano

    AL Cy Young – Garza
    NL Cy Young – Santana

    AL ROY – Price
    NL ROY – Maybin

    Trades
    Halladay to the Mets
    Rios to the Braves
    HanRam to the Red Sox
    Holliday to the Phillies

    • andrew

      Hanley to the Sox? Wow. Hm. I hope not.

    • andrew

      Hanley to the Sox? Wow. Hm. I hope not.

      • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

        Yeah, I was really hoping that people would at least give a shot at predicting what these guys would actually be traded for, not just who they’d be traded to.

        You just predicted that four contenders made four MAMMOTH acquisitions. Who are they giving up?

        • andrew

          They’d have to give up… I don’t even know. Would Lester, Lars and Lowrie do it? Would the Sox even want that?

    • http://www.blogtalkradio.com/pics/hostpics/5e4be77c-8e57-4d7a-8533-add8ed030ad5JerkStore.jpg Slugger27

      “hanram to the red sox”

      what a disaster that would be….

  • http://actyankee.blogspot.com Matt

    NL West:
    Dodgers
    Giants
    D-Backs
    Rockies
    Padres

    NL Central:
    Cubs
    Cardinals
    Reds
    Brewers
    Astros
    Pirates

    NL East
    Phillies
    Mets*
    Braves
    Marlins
    Nationals

    AL West:
    A’s
    Angels
    Rangers
    Mariners

    AL Central:
    Indians
    Twins
    White Sox
    Royals
    Tigers

    AL East
    Yankees
    Red Sox*
    Rays
    Orioles
    Blue Jays

    ALDS:
    Yankees over Indians
    Boston over Oakland

    NLDS:
    Phillies over Dodgers
    Cubs over Mets

    ALCS:
    Yankees over Boston

    NLCS:
    Phillies over Cubs

    WS:
    Yankees over Phillies, 4-1, Jorge Posada = WS MVP

    AL MVP: Grady Sizemore
    NL MVP: Albert Pujols…come on. I know it’s a safe bet but..come on..

    AL CY: CC Sabathia
    NL CY: Cole Hamels

    AL ROY: Travis Snider
    NL ROY: Cameron Maybin

    Managers of the Year: Eric Wedge and Bruce Bochy

    Silver Sluggers:
    C: Mauer/Martin
    1B: Tex/Pujols
    2B: Kinsler/Utley
    3B: Rodriguez (still)/Jones
    SS: Jeter/Hanley
    OF: Holliday/Manny
    OF: Sizemore/Beltran
    OF: Hamilton/Dunn

    Bold Prediction: Gardner will win a GG. Yep. I said it.

    • http://www.blogtalkradio.com/pics/hostpics/5e4be77c-8e57-4d7a-8533-add8ed030ad5JerkStore.jpg Slugger27

      “Gardner will win a GG”

      i diggggggg.

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      Bold Prediction: Gardner will win a GG. Yep. I said it.

      The thing is, I don’t even think it’s all that bold.

      Wait, wait… Nate McLouth won a gold glove. Yes, I do think it’s that bold. I take it back.

      Grittner finishes third in the Gold Glove vote behind Torii Hunter and Coco Crisp. (Take THAT, Taco Bellsbury!)

    • jeremy

      In the realm of bold predictions relating to Yankees:

      AL Batting Title= Robinson Cano

      • andrew

        I really hope he turns back the clock a few years and becomes the guy we thought he could be.
        Thanks,
        Andrew’s Fantasy Teams

    • http://actyankee.blogspot.com Matt

      More:

      Biggest Regression by an AL Pitcher: Cliff Lee (and not just because he’s getting hit hard today)
      Biggest Regression by an NL Pitcher: Ryan Dempster

      Biggest Progression by an AL Pitcher: Joba Chamberlain
      Biggest Progression by an NL Pitcher: Jonathan Sanchez and Ricky Nolasco

      Biggest Regression by an AL Batter: Carlos Quentin
      Biggest Regression by an NL Batter: Nate McLouth

      Biggest Progression by an AL Batter: Robinson Cano and Nick Swisher
      Biggest Progression by an NL Batter: Andre Ethier

      • http://www.blogtalkradio.com/pics/hostpics/5e4be77c-8e57-4d7a-8533-add8ed030ad5JerkStore.jpg Slugger27

        biggest regression by an nl pitcher – roy oswalt
        biggest regression by an nl batter – ryan howard

        • http://actyankee.blogspot.com Matt

          I disagree with the Oswalt prediction. He had just a good year last year instead of a typical Roy Oswalt year last yeat, but most of his peripherals were right in line with his career marks.

      • Thomas

        Biggest Regression by an AL Pitcher: Cliff Lee
        Biggest Regression by an NL Pitcher: Ryan Dempster

        Biggest Progression by an NL Pitcher: Rich Harden (stays healthy)

        Biggest Regression by an AL Batter: Kevin Youkilis (won’t IsoP .257 again)
        Biggest Regression by an NL Batter: Ryan Ludwick (won’t wOBA over .400)

        Biggest Progression by an AL Batter: Matt Holiday (I’d say wOBA over .400 outside of Coors)
        Biggest Progression by an NL Batter: Andre Ethier (hits in front of Manny)

        and

        Biggest Progression by an AL Pitcher: Mariano Rivera

  • Bill

    Yanks/Minn/Angels/Red Sox
    Mets/ChC/Dodgers/Giants

    MVP: Mourneau/Manny

    Cy: Sabathia/Peavy

    ROY: Elvis Andrus/Dexter Fowler

    Trades: Peavy to the Dodgers
    Halladay to the Angels

    Yanks over Dodgers

    • Tom Zig

      Yanks over Dodgers would be awesome

      Girardi will use statistics to out manage Torre.

  • ClayBuchholzLovesLaptops

    Yanks
    Twins
    A’s
    WC: Red Sox

    Marlins
    Reds
    Giants
    WC: Cubs

    AL MVP: Jason Giambi
    NL MVP: Hanley Ramirez

    AL Cy Young: Chien-Ming Wang
    NL Cy Young: Matt Cain

    AL ROY: Matt Weiters
    NL ROY: Dexter Fowler

    Notable trades:
    Jake Peavy to Angels
    Adrain Beltre to Reds
    Roy Halladay to Cubs
    Chris Carpenter to Red Sox

    • http://www.blogtalkradio.com/pics/hostpics/5e4be77c-8e57-4d7a-8533-add8ed030ad5JerkStore.jpg Slugger27

      id have to laugh if giambi won the mvp… im pulling for the guy

      • ClayBuchholzLovesLaptops

        I think Youk will get the award, but I just couldn’t type it. My fingers just wouldn’t obey. Besides, I think he will have a really good season and with my pick of the A’s winning the AL West it might be possible. I mean, he has won it before, we shouldn’t he do it again???

  • Steve in MN

    Yanks
    White Sox
    A’s
    WC: Rays

    Braves
    Cubs
    D’backs
    WC: Phillies

    AL MVP: Youk
    NL MVP: Manny

    AL Cy Young: Price
    NL Cy Young: Johan

    AL ROY: Matt Price
    NL ROY: Colby Rasmus

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      Youk and Manny win the MVP but the Sox and Dodgers don’t make the postseason?

      • http://www.myspace.com/bayside Thirty5Thirty6

        You have a problem with that?

        Not a problem with Matt Price(?) winning AL ROY?

  • manimal

    Yankees
    Twins
    Angels
    WC: Redsox

    Phillies
    Cubs
    Dodgers
    WC: Mets

    AL MVP: Justin Morneau
    NL MVP: Manny Ramierez

    AL Cy Young: Sabathia
    NL Cy Young: Webb

    AL ROY: Matt Weiters
    NL ROY: Colby Rasmus

    AL Manager: Girardi
    NL Manager: Pinella

    Matt Holliday to Indians

  • Joe R

    Yankees
    Twins
    LA
    Rays – WC

    Braves
    Cubs
    D-backs
    LA – WC

    AL – A-Rod
    NL – Manny

    ROY – Weiters/Schafer

    CY – Halladay/Lincecum

    Yanks > Cubs in 5

  • Macphisto

    Yankees
    Royals
    Angels
    WC: Rays

    Mets
    Cubs
    Dodgers
    WC: Reds

    Dodgers win the WS in 7 games over the Yanks.

    AL MVP: Robinson Cano
    NL MVP: Joey Votto

    AL Cy Young: Felix Hernandez
    NL Cy Young: Clayton Kershaw

    AL ROY: David Price
    NL ROY: Cameron Maybin

    Notable trades:
    Michael Young to the Red Sox
    Roy Halladay to the Mets
    Magglio Ordonez to the Reds
    Peavy to the Dodgers

    • http://www.blogtalkradio.com/pics/hostpics/5e4be77c-8e57-4d7a-8533-add8ed030ad5JerkStore.jpg Slugger27

      boooo WS prediction

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      Dodgers win the WS in 7 games over the Yanks.

      I know we have only partial evidence to support this, but I’m making this claim anyway: Your prediction that the Dodgers will beat the Yankees in 7 games makes no sense for one huge reason:

      Playoff series in-game management, especially bullpen:
      Joe Girardi >>>>>>>>> Joe Torre

      • Macphisto

        Of course I want the Yanks to win. But, Girardi’s management over Torre certainly doesn’t disqualify a Dodgers win. There are tons of other factors. One in particular that is named Manny.

        • andrew

          I don’t think the Dodgers have the pitching though. I do think Manny carries them a lot of the year though.

          • Macphisto

            Well, if you look at my predictions I have them trading for Peavy and Kershaw winning the NL Cy Young. So Kershaw/Peavy/Billingsley/Kuroda. Not bad. I think Broxton has a breakout year as well. It is all just projections anyway. Just for fun.

            • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

              The reason Peavy’s not on the Dodgers yet is
              A) They could barely afford Manny, they probably can’t take on his salary
              B) The Padres won’t trade Peavy in-division without raping the Dodgers in prospect return

              I could see the Dodgers making a trade for a pitcher, I just don’t think they have the salary room for or the stomach to swing a deal for Peavy or Halladay. Too many dollars, too many prospects.

              • Macphisto

                Well, if you look at it, Peavy is making, what, $11mm this year. If they pick him up at the deadline they are not taking on that much and I think the Dodgers will be one of the teams that does ok financially this year. His salary jumps next year and other contracts come off the books. Maybe they keep him, maybe they move him. If they win the WS I think they keep him. I agree. They would have to give up a lot. Maybe Kemp. McDonald. But that would be one helluva staff.

  • Patrick T

    Rays
    Indians
    A’s
    WC: Yanks

    Braves
    Cubs
    Diamondbacks
    WC: Mets

    AL MVP: Mark Teixeira
    NL MVP: David Wright

    AL Cy Young: C.C. Sabathia
    NL Cy Young: Johan Santana

    AL ROY: Travis Snider
    NL ROY: Jordan Schafer

    Notable trades:
    Adrian Beltre to the Twins
    Erik Bedard to the Mets
    Brian Giles to the Mets
    Jake Peavy to the Cubs

  • radnom

    AL
    Yankees
    Twins
    A’s
    WC- Red Sox

    NL
    Mets
    Cubs
    Dodgers
    WC-Philies

    AL MVP: Justin Morneau
    NL MVP: Albert Pujols

    AL CY: CC
    NY CY: Johan

    AL ROY: Travis Snider
    NL ROY: Cameron Maybin

    Yanks over A’s
    Red Sox over Twins
    Dodgers over Mets
    Cubs over Phillies

    Yanks over Red Sox
    Cubs over Dodgers

    Yankees over Cubs

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      Any trades of note?

  • Glen L

    AL Orioles, White Sox, Rangers, Detroit (WC)

    NL Nats, Pirates, Rox, Astros (WC)

    Orioles over Nats in the WS

    AL MVP – Matt Weiters
    NL MVP – Daniel Murphy

    AL Cy – Matt Weiters
    NL Cy – Livan Hernandez

    AL ROY – Matt Weiters
    NL ROY – Matt Weiters

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      You had me until you said:

      NL MVP – Daniel Murphy

      • http://www.blogtalkradio.com/pics/hostpics/5e4be77c-8e57-4d7a-8533-add8ed030ad5JerkStore.jpg Slugger27

        but he just homered!!!111!1!

  • Reggie C.

    A couple things i’d like to say:

    1. Mets don’t have anything in the farm besides F-Mart and Niese. F-mart is all ceiling and hasn’t actually put up numbers recently. Niese’s ceiling is 3/4 starter. He’s overhyped. All that places the Mets in big trouble if they decide to go after Halladay or Holliday. They simply dont have the ammo and they’ll be facing the loss of Wilmer Flores in a trade for Halladay. Is it really worth it?? For Halladay = Hell Yes.

    2. Lars Anderson isn’t safe. RS would move Lars and Hagadone for Miguel Cabrera if they’re staring 3rd place in the face. If the RS are within striking distance then Epstein will call Dombrowski.

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      So, then, do you like my predictions of:

      -Houston trades Roy Oswalt to the desperate for an answer Mets for Fernando Martinez and Dillon Gee
      -Detroit trades Miguel Cabrera (!!!) to the Red Sox (!!!) for Lars Anderson, Clay Buchholz, Ryan Kalish and Stephen Fife (!!!)

    • Glen L

      Flores and Marte, while still far away certainly count as prospects of note for the mets … those who like brad holt really like him, as well

  • Justin

    American League

    East: Yankees
    Central: Indians
    West: A’s

    National League

    East: Mets
    Central: Cubs
    West: Dodgers
    WC: Braves

    AL MVP: Mark Teixiera
    NL MVP: Manny Ramirez

    AL Cy Young: Jon Lester
    NL Cy Young: Johan Santana

    AL ROY: Matt Wieters
    NL ROY: Clayton Kershaw

    Trades:

    Peavy to Cubs
    Magglio to Rangers
    D-Train Dontrelle Willis to Mexican league for bag of bats(Detriot also eats salary)

    Playoff Predictions:

    ALDS: Yankees vs A’s- Yankees
    ALDS: Rays vs. Indians- Rays

    ALCS: Yankees vs. Rays- Yankees

    NLDS: Mets vs. Dodgers- Mets
    NLDS: Cubs vs. Braves- Cubs

    NLCS: Mets vs. Cubs- Mets

    WS: Yankees vs. Mets

    WS Champion: Yankees

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      Hmm, Magglio to the Rangers? You see them sticking around and making a run for it, even with their 4 man rotation of suckitude?

      Even though they already have like 5 outfielders?

  • BG

    AL: Yankees, Twins, Angels; WC: Redsox
    NL: Mets, Cubs, Dodgers; WC: Diamondbacks

    MVP:Mark Texeira/Manny Ramierez
    Cy Young: AJ Burnett/Johan Santana
    ROY: Matt LaPorta/Jordan Schafer

    WS: Yankees over Dodgers

    Trades are nearly impossible to guess unless you also want to guess injuries on contenders.

    I think people who predict Sizemore as MVP are placing a lot of underserved faith in the voters. I’d be happy to predict he’ll deserve it but I doubt he’ll get it unless the Indians end up being a much better team than I expect them to be (not enough pitching).

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      Trades are nearly impossible to guess unless you also want to guess injuries on contenders.

      For Mo’s sake, man, show some balls and do it anyway!

      • BG

        Peavy AND Giles to the Cubs
        Joakim Soria to the Rays
        Huston Street to the Braves
        I’d guess the Angels might pick up a 1B or DH bat especially if Kendry Morales doesn’t pan out: Adrian Gonzales?, Prince Fielder?, Adam LaRoche?

        Roy Halladay to someone (maybe the Rangers if they are competitive which they probably won’t be)
        Adrian Beltre to someone (Phillies?, White Sox?, Braves if Chipper is injured?)

  • Brian

    So the Braves have one good game in a lopsided faceoff (Lowe vs. Myers) and they’re favorites to win the division? Come on! You’re blinded by the Braves’ dynasty years.

    This is the beginning of Atlanta’s rebuilding, no doubt, but they are far from the favorites this year.

    The Phillies and Mets have been in a struggle at the top the last few years now.

    If Howard can keep the strikeouts under control this season, the Phillies should win the division (though it will be close). The Mets will win the WC.

    Yankees
    Indians
    Angels
    WC: Red Sox

    Phillies
    Cubs
    Diamondbacks
    WC: Mets

    AL MVP: Mark Teixeira
    NL MVP: Chase Utley

    AL Cy Young: C.C. Sabathia
    NL Cy Young: Johan Santana

    AL ROY: Matt Weiters
    NL ROY: Jordan Schafer

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      The Mets pitching staff is a trainwreck. Gary Sheffield did not fix that.

      The Mets as presently constructed will miss the playoffs. I personally think they know this, and will make a midseason acquisition of a starting pitcher to fix their atrocious pitching staff… and I think they STILL fall short. The NL East is stacked now. They’re not good enough.

      • Thomasq

        62 SAVES!!!!!!1!

      • http://www.blogtalkradio.com/pics/hostpics/5e4be77c-8e57-4d7a-8533-add8ed030ad5JerkStore.jpg Slugger27

        dude, im so pulling for k-rod to blow the save in this game… id pay money for it

  • SexyCorey

    Yanks
    Twins
    Angels
    WC: Red Sox

    Braves
    Cubs
    Dodgers
    WC: Marlins

    AL MVP: Grady Sizemore
    NL MVP: Prince Fielder

    AL CY: C.C. Sabathia
    NL CY: Claytom Kershaw

    AL ROY: Elvis Andrus
    NL ROY: Jordan Schafer

    Notable Trades:
    Peavy to Cubs
    Holliday to Yankees(damon and matsui injuries)
    Halladay to Mets

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      Those picks were no not sexy, Corey.

      Also, Johnny Damon and Hideki Matsui could both be killed tomorrow in a tragic blimp accident and there’s still no chance in hell we trade anything for Matt Holliday. None.

      We’d play Swish and Nady in the corners and sign Frank Thomas to DH.

      • http://www.blogtalkradio.com/pics/hostpics/5e4be77c-8e57-4d7a-8533-add8ed030ad5JerkStore.jpg Slugger27

        “those picks were not sexy, corey”

        i hate myself for laughing at that

  • Jake H

    Playoff teams: Yanks, Twins, Angels, A’s(WC), Braves, Cubs, Dodgers, Phillies (WC)

    Cy: Halladay, Zambrano
    MVP: Tex, Pujols
    ROY: Snider, Jordan Schafer

    Trades: Peavy to Cubs, Konerko to Angels, Nady to SF, Juan Pierre to the scrap heap

  • Chris

    AL
    Yankees
    Twins
    A’s
    WC: Red Sox

    NL
    Mets
    Cubs
    D’Backs
    WC: Braves

    MVP
    Mark Teixeira
    Manny Ramirez

    CY Young
    CC Sabathia
    Johan Santana

    ROY
    Elvis Andrus
    Jordan Schafer

    Mid-Season Trades
    Halladay to the Mets

  • BG

    AL Central is the hardest to project. I could see anyone finishing first (even the Royals) and anyone except the Twins finishing last. That’s really the only reason I picked the Twins to win it, a greater confidence that they will be competitive.

  • Chag

    Below are my picks:

    Yanks
    Twins
    Angels
    Rays – WC

    Phillies
    Cubs
    Dodgers
    Mets – WC

    AL MVP: Mark Teixeira (Yankees)
    NL MVP: Hanley Ramirez (Marlins)

    AL Cy Young: Roy Halladay (Blue Jays)
    NL Cy Young: Brandon Webb (D-Backs)

    AL ROY: Matt Weiters (Oriles)
    NL ROY: Jordan Zimmerman (Nationals)

  • Thomasq

    Yankees
    Twins
    Angels
    WC: Red Sox

    Braves
    Cubs
    Dodgers
    WC: Phillies

    AL MVP: Joe Mauer
    NL MVP: Manny Ramirez

    AL Cy Young: Roy Halladay
    NL Cy Young: Johan Santana

    AL ROY: Matt Weiters
    NL ROY: Dexter Fowler

    Trades:
    Melvin Mora to Giants
    Ramon Hernandez to Red Sox
    Brian Giles to Cubs
    Erik Bedard to Indians
    Mike Cameron to White Sox

    • Thomas

      Name typing fail by me.

  • jsbrendog

    i dont understand this halladay to the mets one bit

    • Thomas

      It’s easy. Mets need pitching and apparently, people think the Blue Jays are willing to give up Halladay for nothing.

      • jsbrendog

        the mets dont have anything to give up to get him.

        • Reggie C.

          What about a package of F-mart, Wilmer Flores, Niese, and access codes to a not-yet seized Bernie Madoff account?

          • Thomas

            Not enough in my book. Martinez is a legit prospect. However, he still hasn’t ever dominated a league like you would want for the centerpiece of a Halladay trade. Niese is a back of the rotation pitcher and Flores is way too far off to anything of major value.

    • Mike Pop

      I’m with ya on that. I see Halladay to the Cards or Dodgers.

      • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

        Halladay still has a year left on his deal.

        I see him in Toronto all season long. None of the teams who would be in on him (Mets, Cards, Dodgers) would meet the Jays asking price.

        • Mike Pop

          But like you’ve said before, if the Jays can’t afford his salary-they will have to move him. Cause god knows, noone is taking on that Vernon Wells contract. Much like Miggy/Maggs/Robertson, they may not want to trade Halladay, but the might have to.

          • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

            I don’t think I said that before. Other people have said that, not me.

  • donttradecano

    NL East: Marlins
    NL Central: Cubs
    NL West: Dodgers
    NL Wild Card: NY Mets

    AL East: Yankees
    AL Central: Royals
    AL West: Angles
    AL Wild Card: Red Sox

    AL MVP: Mark Teixera
    NL MVP: Hanley Ramirez

    AL Cy Young: CC Sabathia
    NL Cy Young: Chad Billingsley

    AL Rookie of the Year: Matt Wieters
    NL Rooke of the Year: Cameron Maybin

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      The ROYALS?!?!?!?!?!??!?!?
      MULTIPLE INTERROBANGS?!!?!?!?!??!?!??!?!?!?

      We’re playing baseball, not beer league softball.

      You have some big nuts, my friend. That’s bold and daring.

      • donttradecano

        thought id be different.

  • Mearl

    Yanks
    Twins
    Rangers
    WC: Red Sox (beating Rays in a 1 game playoff)

    Mets
    Cubs
    Dodgers
    WC: Marlins

    Playoffs:
    Yankees over Twins
    Sox over Rangers

    Dodgers over Mets
    Marlins over Cubs

    Yankees over Sox
    Marlins over Dodgers

    Marlins over Yankees

    AL MVP: Evan Longoria
    NL MVP: Hanley Ramirez

    AL Cy Young: Roy Halladay
    NL Cy Young: Carlos Zambrano

    AL ROY: David Price
    NL ROY: Cameron Maybin

    Notable trades:
    Peavy to Dodgers
    Halladay to Mets
    Bucholz to Texas
    Ankiel to Yankees
    Street to Red Sox

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      Ankiel, like Holliday (and every other corner outfielder in his walk year) won’t be traded to the Yankees.

      Cashman wouldn’t give up assets for a free-agent to be in the position (corner OF) where we’re already well stocked. For that matter, he wouldn’t give up assets for CF either, since we have three low-cost options in Gardner/Melky/AJax, one of whom is bound to be serviceable.

  • K.B.D.

    Off topic: I go to Hopkins in Baltimore and it just started POURING like 5 minutes ago. It’s let up a little bit, but its still coming down pretty well.

    • Mike Pop

      I’m going to be very upset if this game doesn’t get in.

      • K.B.D.

        Drizzling now. They’ll get it in as long as they got the tarp out in time. Ground should have enough time to drain a little.

  • Chris

    Yankees
    Twins
    Rangers
    WC: Athletics

    Braves
    Cardinals
    Diamondbacks
    WC: Phillies

    AL MVP: Robinson Cano
    NL MVP: Albert Pujols

    AL Cy Young: C.C. Sabathia
    NL Cy Young: Brandon Webb

    AL ROY: Matt Weiters
    NL ROY: Jeff Samarszdjia

    Notable trades:
    Magglio Ordonez to the Yankees
    Hideki Matsui to the Mariners
    Johnny Damon to the Athletics
    Matt Holliday to Boston
    Roy Halladay to San Francisco

    • K.B.D.

      What type of record are you predicting for the Rangers/Athletics? Gotta be 92+ (in my mind) to take the WC from Boston/Tampa Bay. Don’t know if I see that for the Rangers or the Athletics considering their starting rotations.

    • Mike Pop

      Ya, well this is batshit crazy.

      • K.B.D.

        I stopped reading after Rangers taking the West with the Athletics getting the WC, and let me tell you, I don’t regret it.

        • Mike Pop

          Oh Mo let it be, let this game get in!

      • Chris

        I think the bottom feeders in the AL East are heavily underrated. In my opinion, the AL East winner will have around 85-90 wins.

        I’m hoping offense carries the Rangers, and Oakland is always around.

        The NL is self explanatory. I like Garland in Arizona and that young talented offense. The Cardinals will be better.

        • http://actyankee.blogspot.com Matt

          The Blue Jays are now without Burnett, McGowan, and Marcum, and despite what looks to be a strong bullpen, Roy Halladay can’t do it all on his own. Plus, their lineup is ‘meh’ after Wells and Rios. We’re all high on Snider but I don’t think he and Overbay can help the other two that much. The Orioles best starter is Jeremy Guthrie and their lineup isn’t all that wonderful. Markakis is great and Jones should improve, but I’d count on regressions from Luke Scott and Aubrey Huff. I think those two teams are rated just fine.

          Cliff Lee is getting smacked around like a red-headed step child right now.

      • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

        Ya, well this is batshit crazy.

        Here’s the parts that WEREN’T crazy:

        1) Yankees
        2) NL MVP: Albert Pujols
        3) AL ROY: Matt Weiters

    • Reggie C.

      Maggs… Good trade candidate. For all the attention Miggy gets on the trade front, Magglio is probably the more realistic trade piece. Maggs is 35 and has a weird contract set up based on team options that become guaranteed based on playing time. Potentially whoever trades for Maggs could have him at 18 Million per year till 2011, when he’ll be 38 and an “outfielder.” Yikes…

      • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

        Yes and no.

        Both of Magglio’s options are guaranteed if he makes 540 plate appearances the year before, so there’s a good shot he gets all of that money.

        Which means, if you call the Tigers saying you’re willing to take one of their expensive bats off their hands, your choices are:

        3yr/51M for the old, declining Magglio Ordoñez (17M AAV)
        7yr/141M for the young, still dominant Miguel Cabrera (20M AAV)

        If I have the budget to take on a 15M+ deal, I’m taking on Cabrera’s (even though it’s much longer) because he stands to give me a better ROI.

        • Reggie C.

          Well said. And I agree. Maggs is likely to be available, so whoever tries to pull off a trade for Mags better be happy with their 1B.

  • Sweet Dick Willie

    Yankees
    Indians
    A’s
    WC – Red Sox

    Braves
    Cubs
    Giants
    WC – Phillies

    AL MVP – Grady Sizemore
    NL MVP – Albert Pujols
    AL Cy Young – CC
    NL Cy Young – Santana
    AL ROY – Travis Snider
    NL ROY – Jordan Shafer

  • http://ryanhandt.blogspot.com/ handtius

    AL – yankees/royals/mariners/orioles
    NL – nationals/pirates/padres/astros

    MVP – david eckstien (both leagues)

    Cy – pavano

    Roy – gardner/endison volquez

    trade – pujols to the yankees (DH)

    (easiest WS for the Yanks ever!)

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  • Chip

    NL East: Braves
    NL Central: Cards
    NL West: Dodgers
    NL WC: Cubs

    AL East: Yankees
    AL Central: Royals
    AL West: A’s
    AL WC: Texas (yeah, I’m going outside the AL East)

    AL MVP: Justin Upton
    NL MVP: Joey Votto

    AL ROY: Porcello
    NL ROY: Jordan Schafer

    AL Cy Young: Joba Chamberlain
    NL Cy Young: Rich Harden

    Trades:
    Carl Crawford to the Braves
    Peavy to the Mariners
    Ankiel to the Yankees
    Halladay to the Mets
    Holliday to the Red Sox (after the loss of JD Drew to a bruised rear)
    Melvin Crousset to the Rays AND Marlins for Hanley, Upton, Longoria and Price (yeah, he’s so good he can play in the AL and NL at the same time)

    • Mike Pop

      I heard Melvin inseminated a clan of multicultural women to create a super-race in order to be ready for the attack on Earth.

    • ClayBuchholzLovesLaptops

      “Melvin Crousset to the Rays AND Marlins for Hanley, Upton, Longoria and Price (yeah, he’s so good he can play in the AL and NL at the same time)”

      The Marlins and Rays would be committing highway-robbery in that deal. No way Cashman gives up Melvin Croussett for those guys.

      But I agree that Melvin is good enough to play in both leagues. He would even play for both teams at the same time if they met in IL play. Thinking about it, he is so good, he would be facing himself and hit a homerun and throw a strikeout in the same at-bat.

    • donttradecano

      “Holliday to the Red Sox (after the loss of JD Drew to a bruised rear)”

      that could be taken a wrong and immature way.

  • Dan from Durham

    Yankees
    Indians
    Athletics
    WC: Red Sox

    Phillies
    Cubs
    Giants
    WC: Mets

    AL MVP: Mark Teixeira
    NL MVP: Carlos Beltran

    AL CY: CC Sabathia
    NL CY: Roy Oswalt

    AL ROY: Travis Snyder
    NL ROY: Pablo Sandoval

    Notable Trades:
    Jake Peavy to the Chicago Cubs
    Adrian Beltre to the Minnesota Twins
    Magglio Ordonez to the San Francisco Giants
    Erik Bedard to the New York Mets

    • Reggie C.

      Yes! You’ve got a good one in Bedard to the Mets. Has that been brought up once yet?

      I’d go bigger than that for the Giants. They should be all in for Miggy. Giants could offer Cain and Villanova and tell the Tigers to eat a quarter of that total contract, and it’d be worth it. Miggy would be good for 40 homers in SF.

      • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

        I had Bedard to the Dodgers (and Oswalt to the Mets).

        • Mike Pop

          It’s not always about you, tommie.

          • Chip

            Don’t mind him, he’s just THINKIN WIT HIS DIPSTICK!! I just watched that commercial on ESPN and I’m still laughing

          • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

            It’s not always about you, tommie.

            That’s not what your mother said, Popavero.

        • Reggie C.

          Missed that one… predictions are popping up every minute or so. Oswalt to the Mets for Gee and F-mart. I think Mets fans would pass out if that ever happened. Their luck isn’t that good. Oswalt is so tied to the ‘Stros , i wonder if he’d hold up somewhere that wasn’t Mississippi or Texas. And then there’s the gun issues.

    • http://actyankee.blogspot.com Matt

      The Beltre to the Twins trade seems curious, considering they just signed Joe Crede. I could see all the other ones happening, though.

  • J

    Yankees
    Twins
    Angels
    Rays (WC)

    Braves
    Cubs
    Giants
    Marlins (WC)

    WS Yankees over Marlins

    AL MVP
    Mark Teixera
    AL Cy
    Francisco Liriano
    AL ROY
    Matt Wieters
    NL MVP
    Hanley Ramirez
    NL Cy
    Tim Lincecum
    NL Roy
    Jordan Schafer

    Trades
    Miguel Cabrera to Giants
    Adrian Gonzalez to ??
    Adrian Beltre to Phillies
    Mike Cameron to Yankees
    Jake Peavy to Cubs
    Xavier Nady to Braves

    • Thomas

      The major contenders needing a 1B would be the A’s, Angels, and Braves. All have the pieces to trade. I thought of the Braves doing it like Gonzalez for Kotchman, Gorkys Hernandez, Jeff Locke, and Jason Heyward.

      • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

        I thought of the Braves doing it like Gonzalez for Kotchman, Gorkys Hernandez, Jeff Locke, and Jason Heyward.

        No way do they ever give up that much just for Gonzalez. Way too much.

        • Thomas

          I originally thought that was high and had no Gorkys. Also, the Braves did trade Saltalamaccia, Feliz, Andrus, Harrison, and Jones for 1.5 years of Teixeira and while Teixeira is better this is more years.

          • Reggie C.

            No dude. No. Heyward?? You mean the Braves are going to give up their starting 1B , #1 prospect in Heyward (top 10 in baseball), #2 outfield prsopect (Gorkys), and Locke all in a ONE deal! Not happening, especially in light of the Teixeira deal.

          • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

            Also, the Braves did trade Saltalamaccia, Feliz, Andrus, Harrison, and Jones for 1.5 years of Teixeira and while Teixeira is better this is more years.

            All the more reason they don’t pull the trigger here. They’re gunshy.

            Seriously, Heyward is not only a local product (and nobody loves local boys like the Braves) but he’s a top 5 in the game prospect. Heyward will probably be as good if not better than A-Gonz in a couple of years, and he’s actually a plus defender in the outfield as well.

            I could see the Braves doing Kotchman + prospects for Gonzalez, but there’s no way they include Heyward in there, he’s more untouchable than Joba is. And I don’t know that Kotchkam + non-Heyward-level prospects gets it done for Gonzalez.

  • Spaceman.Spiff

    Tampa Bay Rays
    Cleveland Indians
    Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim
    Wild Card: New York Yankees

    Atlanta Braves
    Chicago Cubs
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Wild Card: Philadelphia Phillies

    AL MVP: Grady Sizemore
    NL MVP: Hanley Ramirez

    AL Cy Young: CC Sabathia
    NL Cy Young: Dan Haren

    AL ROY: Matt Weiters
    NL ROY: Cameron Maybin

    Trades:
    Roy Halladay to the New York Mets in a three way deal.
    Jake Peavy to the Philadelphia Phillies.
    Matt Holliday to the Atlanta Braves.
    Garrett Atkins to the Cleveland Indians.
    Todd Helton to the Boston Red Sox.
    Magglio Ordonez to the Cincinnati Reds
    Bill Hall to the Minnesota Twins.
    J.J. Hardy to the Detroit Tigers.

    • Spaceman.Spiff

      Rays over Indians
      Yankees over Angels

      Cubs over Braves
      Diamondbacks over Phillies

      Yankees over Rays

      Diamondbacks over Cubs

      Yankees over Diamondbacks

      WS MVP: Robinson Cano

    • http://actyankee.blogspot.com Matt

      NL Cy Young: Dan Haren

      Love that pick. He’s better than Brandon Webb.

      • K.B.D.

        When he’s healthy.

        • http://actyankee.blogspot.com Matt

          Which is always…? Since 05, he’s started: 34, 34, 34, and 33 games. When has health been an issue for him?

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

      I think all of your trades are insane.

      Can you explain your thought process some more there?

      • http://actyankee.blogspot.com Matt

        Well, Peavy to the Phils makes sense….for the Phils. But they have absolutely nothing of value to give up unless they trade say…Werth or Victorino, and they can’t do that, IMO.

        Helton to the Sox is a little bit more than far-fetched, unless Ortiz literally falls apart this year. And I don’t mean his hitting is no good…I mean he literally falls into multiple pieces.

    • Reggie C.

      dude really?? Maggs to the Reds?? WHY?

      • http://actyankee.blogspot.com Matt

        Maybe Dusty Baker will start liking talented players–and they do need OF help…desperately.

        • Reggie C.

          Okay. Dusty has a talented core of position players on that team – Jay Bruce CF, Joey Votto 1B, Encarnacion 3B. Maggs is 35 and making 15-18 million in the coming years. Maggs makes sense for a team that can win right now. Like the RS, Mets, Phils.

  • John

    Yanks
    Twins
    Angels
    WC: Red Sox

    Mets
    Cubs
    Dodgers
    WC: Phillies

    AL MVP: Mark Teixeira
    NL MVP: David Wright

    AL CY Young: CC Sabathia
    NL Cy Young: Johan Santana

    AL ROY: Matt Weiters
    NL ROY: Dexter Fowler

    Trades:
    Peavy to Cubs
    Holliday to Red Sox
    Beltre to Red Sox

  • http://6pound8ouncebabyjoba.com Kevin

    Yanks
    White Sox
    Angels
    WC: Rays

    Marlins
    Cubs
    Giants
    WC: Mets

    AL MVP: Robinson Cano
    NL MVP: Hanley Ramirez
    AL CY Young: Francisco Liriano
    NL Cy Young: Brandon Webb
    AL ROY: Brett Gardner
    NL ROY: Dexter Fowler

    Trades
    Roy Halladay to the Dodgers
    Jake Peavy to Cubs
    Xavier Nady to San Francisco
    Garrett Atkins to Minnesota
    Magglio Ordonez to Atlanta

    Other Picks:
    Ryan Spilborghs has a big year (He’ll be top 10 for MVP)
    Stephen Strasburg plays significant time at the big league level in Washington this year.
    Detroit holds a firesale.
    Derek Jeter has a HUGE year. .330/.400/.500 20HR/20SB/200+ hits
    CC won’t hit his stride ’till mid-may
    Dice-K’s ERA is above 4.00
    The Phillies won’t win more than 85 games
    Ubaldo Jimenez will have the best season by a Rockies’ pitcher ever.
    Cliff Lee wins less than 17 games with an ERA above 4.

    Yanks over Cubs WS
    Yanks over Rays ALCS
    Cubs over Giants NLCS
    Yanks over Angels ALDS
    Rays over ChiSox ALDS
    Cubs over Mets NLDS
    Giants over Marlins NLDS

  • Rusty S

    My Prediction for the 2009 season is that Dustin Pedroia will have the worst Receding hair line in the majors by the end of the year.
    Whose the real dork home boy?!