Apr
02

The Brackman Watch

By Mike Axisa

Andrew Brackman cardMan, it feels like just yesterday we wrapped up the TJ Rehab Watch, and now I’m here introducing you to this year’s Watch already. As the title says, this year we’re going to track the progress of Andrew Brackman, the Yanks’ 2007 first round pick who will finally be unleashed on minor league hitters this season after missing all of last year due to Tommy John surgery. It’s been a long time coming, and hopefully it’ll be worth the wait.

Most of you know what this is all about, but for those of you who latched onto RAB for the first this time offseason, here’s a quick primer: During the season we’ll keep track of two sets of stats for Brackman – his pitching line from his most recent start, and his overall season line. You’ll be able to find this info on the far right sidebar, right below the Countdown Clock for the time being. That’s it, simple enough.

So what’s the point of the Watch? To revel in Brackman’s awesomeness. No seriously. It’s there to show off his performance and make sure everyone knows how he’s pitching. Of course there’s always the chance that he might suck, but that’s the risk. So far our previous Watchees (Phil Hughes in ‘06, Joba in ‘07, the TJ Rehab quartet in ‘08) haven’t disappointed.

Usually I have to debate between three or four worthy candidates all winter before settling on my Watch subject, but this year it was a piece of cake. It’s not often a pitching prospect of Brackman’s caliber comes along, and when one does he’s worth paying attention too. As exciting as Austin Jackson and Jesus Montero are, position players just don’t have that wow factor. Zach McAllister and Dellin Betances? They’ll have their day. Mark Melancon won’t be in the minors all year, and the thought of switching to a new Watch mid-season makes me feel dirty, so he didn’t make the cut either.

The minor league season doesn’t start until the middle of next week, but I figured it as about time to get this thing up on the site, especially since some other sites are trying to bite our style. I keed, I keed. Enjoy.

Photo Credit: Sports Card Forum

Posted on Thursday, April 2nd, 2009 at 11:30 am in Administrative Stuff, Minors.

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71 Comments »

mko says:

Good choice ;-)
An idea: Right below that you could track Melancon’s progress in his quest for reaching the majors. What do you think? When he’s arrived simply remove his part.

Good choice is right. I’m already looking forward to hearing about him. The fact that he didn’t pitch last season at all makes me even more interested.

 
 
jsbrendog says:
Matt says:

I tried to get in there to talk to Mark Melancon but they said “Sorry, sir, you can’t go in there. He’s a live bear. He will literally rip your face off.

 

Gothamist already has that covered.

 
 
tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside says:

Off topic. Sue me: I AM IN YANKEE STADIUM.

OH.

MY.

FUCKING.

MO.

Matt says:

Pics or it didn’t happen.

tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside says:
tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside says:

Fuck. Taking too long to email. Open thread, I promise. It’s awesome. Shelley Duncan just stuck his head through the bullpen door into monument park and made funny faces to the people in line.

I don’t know why I enjoyed that but I did.

 
 
 
jsbrendog says:

ill be there friday. field level sec 105 row 24….oHabdug…sorry….just you know whatted in my pants

tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside says:

It’s everything you imagined and more.

You know the holocaust?

Picture the exact opposite of that.

 
 
pat says:

Big deal. I’m on a boat.

tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside says:

POSEIDON, LOOK AT ME, WOAH!

FL Yank says:

I’ll take you…AND T-PAIN!

 
 
 
tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside says:

Batting practice. First pitch. Jeter. Home run.

andrew says:
 
 
 
Expired Milk says:

So what are his peripherals?
I know he has a high 90’s fb but what about the rest of his stuff?

Thomas says:

In addition to his fastball, he also has a real nasty curve and I believe an average change. Essentially, he is like a 6′11″ version of AJ Burnett

 
Matt says:

From HWB:

K/9: 9.53
K/BB: 1.44
BB/9: 6.62
WHIP: 1.65

Those are obviously very unreliable from 34 innings of his first pro baseball.

frits says:

TJ recovery, inconsistent command is expected.

A.D. says:

Yeah, but he had a BB/9 of basically 4 or higher in college

frits says:

Axisa says he’s going to be a #1, not me.

 
 
 
Thomas says:

Here are his college stats at NCST (2005-age 19/2006/2007)

K/9: 9.0/10.2/8.5
K/BB: 2.4/1.7/2.0
BB/9: 3.8/6.0/4.3
H/9: 6.7/11.8/9.0
HR/9: 0.0/0.6/0.8
WHIP: 1.16/1.98/1.47

MattG says:

Is that for real? Those numbers are terrible. So this guy is nothing but projection, then?

Thomas says:

A lot is projection. He has had inconsistent mechanics leading to control issues (which is too be expected with his height).

Also, he did have a good freshman year and his junior year he was pitching hurt I believe.

Troy says:

They say his athleticism should help him in learning to repeat his delivery.

MattG says:

I…just…damn. Major league deal, big bonus…how do you take this gamble? Damn the Tigers picking Porcello.

(Comments wont nest below this level)
pat says:

How do you take this gamble?

Dude would have gone top 3 if he was healthy. The Yankees had absolutely no business even being close to drafting him. When you have the 30th pick overall and it’s a kid whos 6′10″ athletic, with 100mph gas and a knee buckling curveball you pull the trigger every time. If he can’t get it together no big deal, the list of notable 30th overall picks is rather uninspiring. If he gets healthy and even come close to his ceiling, you have an ace pitcher. You gotta make that pick every time.

 
Troy says:
 
ColoYank says:

Look at his logs from Hawaii. He improved drastically after two rough starts that fouled his numbers.

This kid is the real thing.

 
MattG says:

You say if he was healthy he would’ve went top 3? With those control issues? In college, no less? I think not.

 
Rick in Boston says:

Brackman in Mock Drafts from 2007:

RealGM – #6
Outside the Beltway – #11
Phuture Phillies – #27
MLB.com – #24
John Sickels – #30
source:
http://www.everyjoe.com/knuckl.....ck-drafts/

Also, let’s not forget that Brackman wasn’t a full-time baseball player until his draft year; he was a member of the NC State basketball team. He was tabbed as a high first round pick because of his size, fastball, curve. Mechanically he had problems, such as his control. Mechanics are fixable, but 6′11″ pitchers who throw in the high-90’s do not come along very often.

 
MattG says:

“Also, let’s not forget that Brackman wasn’t a full-time baseball player until his draft year…Mechanically he had problems, such as his control.”

This, to me, is reason to avoid drafting him, not reason to move him up on your chart.

“Mechanics are fixable.”

Of course they are. And for every player that gets his mechanics straightened out in A ball, there are 50 that, if they could just shave a walk per nine off their stats, would have a major league career.

I what I see is a bunch of over-zealous scouts projecting greatness onto a massive project, and I think, “What else WOULD a scout do?” I mean, this is the romantic image of a scout, uncovering the hidden gem, the guy they see greatness in, despite all his flaws.

I am just shocked to see so much projection in such a high pick. A guy with a #1 pitcher label should’ve dominated the ACC. I mean, Brett Cecil went 8 picks later, had a better ACC career, and will be pitching in the AL East this season. Brackman might end up being a far better pitcher than Cecil, but he odds of it happening have to be very small.

 
steve (different one) says:

Brett Gardner hit a HR off Cecil.

case closed.

 
andrew says:

“Also, let’s not forget that Brackman wasn’t a full-time baseball player until his draft year…Mechanically he had problems, such as his control.”
This, to me, is reason to avoid drafting him, not reason to move him up on your chart.

I disagree, this means that Brackman has had probably half the coaching that these other guys have had and that’s he’s nowhere near his potential. Moves him up on the board for me.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
frits says:

He throws a 4 seamer, a 2 seamer, a knucklecurve, and a changeup. The knucklecurve has been inconsistent.

 
 
A.D. says:

Didn’t want to go Bleich watch since is already written in stone that he need TJS!!!11!!

 
Stryker says:

didn’t know where to post this, but since this is the most recent thread:

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04.....ppard.html

:(

A few things for you and everyone:

The appropriate place for off-topic news tips is not in another thread. It’s via an email to us or in the daily open thread/game thread at 7 p.m. Our email addresses are in the sidebar.

Additionally, that post is still on the main page. We covered it extensively less than 24 hours ago.

Stryker says:

bah, didn’t see that. my fault.

 
jsbrendog says:

so if i have a ocmpletely relevant post and then end with off topic tidbit/minutiae then its like totally cool right?

 
 
 
Thomas says:

I assumed it would be the Brackman watch, since you mentioned it in a chat at the end of the season. However, it would have been cool to do the 3B watch of Brackman, Betances, and Bliech. However, that may have been too much work.

A.D. says:

Steal one out of the old Astros nicknames and call them the Killer B’s

 
 
pat says:

Does it have to be a pitcher? Suttle is coming off pretty serious labrum surgery.

pat says:
 
A.D. says:

Suttle had surgery? I totally missed that news

pat says:

Word, he hasn’t even been doing stuff in spring training because it’s so sore.

A.D. says:

Damn, found the blog he’s a part of, gives some insight:

http://yankeesprospect.mlblogs.com/

A.D. says:

Looks like it was hurting from overuse, and now he’s easing back into it again. As long as he can hit that’s the key, he’s probably moving off 3rd to ever play with the Yanks in the majors anyways.

pat says:

Yeah, I’m thinking he along with a guy like Addison Marsuzak could make the transition to a corner OF spot. I didn’t realize he had started working out though,thats great. Last time I read something he wasn’t doing anything.

 
 
pat says:
 
 
 
 
 
AndrewYF says:

I don’t know what Mike has against Betances, but at this point, it’s more likely he’ll excel than Brackman, who hasn’t really excelled since high school.

rbizzler says:

But he is a baller, and will dunk on your head. I think that counts for something, if not everything.

rbizzler says:

BTW, all kidding aside, I am looking forward to following Betances this year as well. They could have done the 6 foot 5 plus watch with Z-Mac, Dellin and Brack.

Troy says:

I’m looking forward to watching the entire Tampa rotation (and Brackman). Dare I say the Tampa rotation has…ridiculous upside? ;)

 
frits says:

The 6 foot 5 watch is a great idea. How tall is zmac?

Troy says:

I think he’s something like 6′6 230.

 
 
 
 
whozat says:

That’s false. Betances isn’t even really done growing yet. It’s not “more likely” that he’ll excel than Brackman…Sooooooo much could still go wrong for that kid it’s not even funny. Brackman’s in his man-body, he’s had more experience pitching, and he just has to figure out how to keep all the pieces in sync. A tall order (hah!), but Betances has to do all that while continuing to fill out, AND figure out what it means to be a pitcher.

 
 
Andy In Sunny Daytona says:

May I suggest a “Croussett In America” table?

jsbrendog says:

(to the tune of living in america)

croussett in americaaaaaaa

 
kSturnz says:

may I commend your suggestion?

 
 
A.D. says:

Do we know where Brack is starting out? Charleston?

Troy says:

Yeah, he’s starting in Charleston, hopefully he’ll be in Tampa at some point.

I want to be able to watch the big guy in person.

 
 
Andy In Sunny Daytona says:

Jose Mojica is coming off ACL surgery, he could be a possibility.

 
MattG says:

Ramiro Pena is the next Derek Jeter!!

Bryan says:

Thats a shot at Jeter.

 
Expired Milk says:

In MLB the Show the Yankees replaced Jeter with Jhonny Peralta in 2011 and he wears number 2.Now if that isnt a shot at Jeter I dont know what is

pat says:

Hah, in my game he was traded for Alexi Ramirez. I was actually pleasantly surprised at that.

Reggie C. says:

is this the beginning of a real DJ backlash?

kSturnz says:

it’s only backlash if there are people that don’t want to trade jeter, just playing. He is a legend to teh noobs. but in all seriousness, he is still an above average SS.

 
 
 
 
 
Dan X. says:

I live in Charleston and go see the Riverdogs whenever I can (How can you beat $5 general admission and $6.75 32oz beers) and I’m very excited to see him pitch. Last year I got to meet Dellin and he was quiet but very friendly. The players are extrememly accessible at this field and I will try to report after I see a game. I’m also a professional photographer so I’ll try and bring my camera every now and then.

 
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