Comments on: WPA chart of yesterday’s game

By: Baratos Vestidos de Fiesta

Baratos Vestidos de Fiesta — Wed, 10 Aug 2011 18:56:21 +0000

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By: tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside — Tue, 07 Apr 2009 18:44:04 +0000

Thanks for the numbers. Yeah, probably a push.

Oh, and you’re dead freaking right about the bunting 1st to 2nd. I personally disagree with bunting the runner from 2nd to 3rd, but it’s defensible. The other bunt is abhorrent.

By: FL Yank

FL Yank — Tue, 07 Apr 2009 18:23:06 +0000

Very well done my friend.

/golf clap

By: steve (different one)

steve (different one) — Tue, 07 Apr 2009 18:16:26 +0000

using this chart:

http://www.tangotiger.net/welist.html

when Gardner came up, the O’s WE was .605
when Gardner sacrified it was .632

if Gardner K’s, it would be .702
if Gardner is safe on a bunt, it would be .462

according to this chart at least, it looks like Gardner’s bunt did not “cost” as much as you said above.

it had a negative WE for the Yankees, but the upside of beating out the bunt was also quite significant.

i think this is one of those situations, where a WE Matrix that is calculated based on a bunch of AVERAGES, might not apply to the specific batter. Gardner has a very specific skillset that could skew these numbers.

at worst, i think it’s like you said earlier, a “push”.

let me add that Girardi was not asking Gardner to bunt a runner from 1st to 2nd. that is a MUCH less defensible situation, and it is the situation where i think the anti-bunting crowd (rightly) gets their ammunition. there is a big difference between moving a runner from 1st to 2nd and from 2nd to 3rd.

By: Chip

Chip — Tue, 07 Apr 2009 18:16:05 +0000

Derek Jeter hits more groundballs than almost any other player in the majors. It’s just what he does so it didn’t surprise me all that much that he didn’t hit a fly ball. Derek Jeter’s value is in his ability to get on base, hit the ball to the right side, keeping up a rediculously high BABIP and play shortstop (badly) all in one package.

By: tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside — Tue, 07 Apr 2009 18:11:26 +0000

I thought ESPN was going to start showing WPA during their MLB games, but alas.

Rome wasn’t built in a day.

Took a whole weekend to knock that shit out.

By: tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside — Tue, 07 Apr 2009 18:10:17 +0000

Joe to Fangraphs: You have 24 hours to give us our money. And, to show you that we’re serious… you have 12 hours to give us our money.

By: Joseph Pawlikowski

Joseph Pawlikowski — Tue, 07 Apr 2009 18:09:42 +0000

I’m not sure if the FanGraphs log does this, but if you score at home with the WPA Excel sheet (which I’d use and pretty up with graphics if the macros ran properly on a Mac), you can assign the blame of that out to Nady.

By: Joseph Pawlikowski

Joseph Pawlikowski — Tue, 07 Apr 2009 18:08:07 +0000

I’ve already gone through this with them. We link to them, so s’all good.

By: Jason

Jason — Tue, 07 Apr 2009 18:04:18 +0000

Is anyone else as mad about Jeter not getting a flyball with a runner on 3rd and one out as I am.

I read a good article at losjankees.com about it. This really hurt the Yanks last year.