Archive for May, 2009

The headline says it all. The Yankees have announced that Chien-Ming Wang will make at least one more rehab start and that Phil Hughes will take one more turn in the rotation. Wang’s start is set for Scranton tomorrow, and Hughes is scheduled to pitch on Monday afternoon in Texas. The Yanks will then reevaluate their options and determine if they wish to use Thursday’s off-day to slot Wang back into the Big League five. “We just want to see him have the stuff he had in the bullpen,” Girardi said, explaining the team’s decision.

Categories : Asides, Pitching
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In his latest Rumblings and Grumblings column, the verbose Jayson Stark took on the Yankee Stadium home run controversy. Since Stark’s piece features nearly 4000 words of non-Yankee items before getting there, let me just excerpt:

Those home runs might be flying. But we’re hearing that the Yankees don’t plan to make any firm judgments on the home-run propensity of the new Yankee Stadium until after the summer breezes kick in and the old stadium is dismantled.

The club has been told by its engineers that when the old park is out of the way, the wind currents off the East River should hit the new stadium differently and actually reduce home runs.

In the meantime, we’ve studied the home-run data over at hittrackeronline.com. And even though the new stadium has proven to be 55 percent easier to hit a home run in than the average park, data shows the wind effect might be less dramatic than popularly believed. For instance:

  • Of the 70 outside-the-park home runs hit at the new park through Wednesday, only three were estimated to have carried an additional 10 feet or more because of wind. And all three were hit on the same day (April 18).
  • Only 12 homers were estimated to have carried an extra five feet or more because of the wind (four of those 12 were just hit Tuesday and Wednesday, by the way) — but seven actually had their distance knocked down by five feet or more because they were hit into the wind.
  • And of those 70 home runs, 27 would have been home runs in all 30 parks in baseball, 43 would have been homers in at least 25 of the 30 parks and all but 18 would have been home runs in at least 20 of the 30 parks. Just two were judged to have been homers only in Yankee Stadium.

So is this just a place where pitchers make one gruesome pitch after another? Seems hard to believe that’s the only explanation. But that’s why all those engineers make the big bucks, right?

For those interested, the raw data, including number of stadiums at which a ball would be a home run, can be found at this page.

Now, I take issue with Stark’s conclusion. He says that “the wind effect may be less dramatic than popularly believed.” That’s not really what this study has shown. For all we know, without the wind, new Yankee Stadium would be playing like a pitcher’s park as the old one did.

What this study shows is that the stadium isn’t contributing to an explosion of home runs because of its dimensions. Based purely on distances traveled, balls that land behind the fences at new Yankee Stadium would land behind the fences at most Major League ballparks.

At the same time, though, the numbers trend toward the high end of a hitter’s park. According to Stark, 18 of 70 home runs would be out only at 10 of the 30 parks. That certainly puts the stadium is rarer company that A.J. Burnett and CC Sabathia would like.

In the end, though, we’ll left with the same conclusion: The Yankees have played 19 home games, and it’s just too early to pass final judgment on the stadium’s weather effects and home run tendencies. But hey, what’s a few more words worth of spilled ink on the topic anyway?

Categories : Yankee Stadium
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May
21

RAB Live Chat

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Categories : Chats
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May
21

Nady takes BP

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Via Bryan Hoch, Xavier Nady took batting practice yesterday for the first time since going down with an elbow injury last month. “It felt good,” said Nady. “I was more hesitant the first couple of swings, but I was swinging the bat good. I’ll do this for a couple days, and hopefully by Friday, Saturday and Sunday, I’ll be letting it loose out there.” Nady expects to continue his rehab next week down in Tampa. His bat will be a welcome return to a club currently sporting a bench of Angel Berroa, Ramiro Pena, Brett Gardner and Kevin Cash.

Categories : Asides, Injuries
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Via the fantastic ESPN Draft Blog, the Yanks have shown a lot of interest in prep shortstop David Renfroe, most likely for their second pick, number 76 overall. Renfroe, who hit .509 for South Panola HS (Mississippi), is an excellent athlete and a top two-way prospect.  MLB.com’s scouting report says he has above average offensive potential and possibly the same on defense, and that his game plays up because of outstanding instincts. His father played professionally for nine years, so he’s also got good bloodlines. Here’s a clip of Renfroe going deep in a showcase game.

Categories : Asides, Draft
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According to reports on both ESPN and SI.com, the Padres and White Sox have agreed on a deal that would send Jake Peavy to Chicago in exchange for perhaps 2007 first-rounder Aaron Poreda and two or three other players. Peavy must waive his no-trade clause for the two teams to consummate this deal. The right-handed pitcher would be moving from the pitcher-friendly NL West to the AL Central and is due a guaranteed $49 million from 2010-2012. If this trade is contingent upon the White Sox’s picking up Peavy’s $22 million 2013 option, it would involve quite an investment.

Meanwhile, the White Sox are 17-22, 5.5 games out of first in the central. While Peavy clearly makes them better right now, I’m not sure it’s enough for them to take on the Tigers. After all, run scoring and not run prevention has been the White Sox’s main problem this year.

And in Yankee news, Mike is hosting a chat today at 2 p.m. Check that out.

Categories : Asides, Transactions
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May
21

Assessing Hughes’ stay

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The Yankees are being very coy about their plans for the fifth spot in the rotation. Currently, it belongs to Phil Hughes, but Chien-Ming Wang, the Yanks’ deposed number two starter, is waiting in the wings. Wang, recovering from some sort of an injury and unsightly 34.50 ERA in 6 innings this year, wants that spot.

Wang last threw on Sunday for AAA Scranton. He arrived in the Bronx on Tuesday to throw a side session in advance of a weekend start somewhere, and before the game, Joe Girardi refused to comment on the Yanks’ rotation. Channeling Linda Richman, Girardi simply said, “We’ll talk amongst ourselves.” He did make it perfectly clear that Hughes’ outing last night would in no way inform the decision.

After the game, speculation seemed to be on Wang’s side. Anthony Rieber anticipated that Hughes will be bound for AAA to rejoin the Scranton rotation and that at some point soon, Wang will make his return to the Bronx. It will not, however, be Friday. The Yanks do not seem enthusiastic about the idea of tossing Wang against a hard-hitting, lefty-dominated Philadelphia Phillies lineup.

So Wang sits in limbo, awaiting word on his fate. If he pitches in AAA on Friday, Phil Hughes will live to pitch another day in the Bronx. If Wang sits out, all bets are off. For the sake of this post,though, let’s assume that Wang will be activated and Hughes sent down within the next five days.

If Hughes is destined to return to the minors, at least for now, how did he do in his 2009 Bronx debut? On the surface, the numbers aren’t pretty. He leaves with a 2-2 record but a 7.06 ERA. He allowed six home runs, has a WHIP of 1.94 and opponents are hitting .326 against him. But his is a small sample of just 21.2 innings, and small samples can be corrupted by even smaller samples.

Take, for instance, Hughes’ start in Baltimore on May 9. There, he lasted just 1.2 innings and was Wangian in his pitching futility. He gave up eight earned runs on eight hits and two walks. He didn’t record a strike out and was nothing like the pitcher who had dominated the Tigers ten days earlier.

If we remove those numbers, though, his season to date doesn’t look too bad. In 20 innings, he has allowed nine earned runs on 21 hits and 11 walks. While the 1.60 WHIP is far too high and the five home runs are a concern, he struck out 19 in 20 innings.

Overall, we saw a lot of inconsistency and inefficiency from Hughes. When he was on, he was nearly dominant, and when he was off, he couldn’t finish off hitters. He threw just 59.6 percent of his pitches for strikes and had trouble both inducing swinging strikes and putting away hitters with two strikes.

However, Hughes is just 22 years old. Just six starters with as many starts as Hughes this year are younger than he is, and for a 22-year-old, a 2-2 record with a 4.05 ERA — as he would have without that Baltimore start — is quite respectable. Right now, we don’t know what Hughes’ ceiling will be, but he can get outs at the Major League level. He will only get better, and if last night’s outing was his last start for now, he went out on a positive note. He has a clear sense of what improvements he must make, and I am encouraged by the young right-hander.

Categories : Pitching
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May
21

About last night’s RAB outage

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Last night, shortly before 8 p.m., River Ave. Blues became less than 100 percent accessible. For the next 90 minutes, Joe, Mike and I worked with our hosts and its tech support team to isolate and fix the problem. Eventually, we found a source of it and were able to get the site and all commenting up and running. Last night, we had to jettison the “Show Unread Comments” plugin, and it’s back for now. It may, however, be on borrowed time. In the meantime, RAB should be at full strength now.

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When you’re rolling, you’re rolling. The Yanks right now? They’re rolling. They got the bats going early last night, scoring in each of the first three innings en route to an 11-4 victory over the Orioles.

For a certain Phil Hughes, it was a redemption of sorts. Last time he faced the Orioles he was on the ass end of an 12-5 beating. That outing is now removed from the Yanks’ last 10, in which they are now 9-1, having taken the past eight contests. In its stead is an outing which is tough to describe. The nine strikeouts point to dominance, but the three earned runs do not. The 64 percent strike rate signals relative efficiency, but that he lasted only five innings does not. As in most cases, the truth lies somewhere in the middle. It wasn’t bad, wasn’t great. Serviceable is probably the most appropriate term.

The problem with the strikeout, as Hughes learned tonight, is that it can take a while to set up. It took him 44 pitches to fan those nine Orioles, or roughly half of his total for the evening. That means it took him 45 pitches to record the remaining six outs. So while it was a relief that he threw a good percentage of his pitches for strikes, efficiency is still a problem for the youngster. It didn’t help that the Orioles capitalized on two of his worst pitches of the evening. The Wiggington homer was right down the pike, and Hughes left the cutter up and over the plate to Adam Jones. Again, this performance was difficult to define. Not as good as in Detroit, definitely better than in Baltimore and against Boston, better than against Minnesota.

The offense got working quickly to stake Hughes to a lead. Mark Teixeira crushed a pitch in to the wall in the first, scoring Johnny Damon from first. Then in the second Nick Swisher caught a break in the form of an inside fastball that he turned on, depositing it in the right field seats. Robinson Cano followed with a moon shot that landed beyond the fence. Finally, Melky Cabrera absolutely unloaded on a hanging curveball, sending it to the second deck in right. That sequence doesn’t bode well for the we can’t call it a bandbox yet argument. It does seem, though, like almost everything is going out to right. Everything to center and left looks relatively normal.

The Yanks put on a clinic again in the eighth, putting the hurt on Danys Baez and Jamie Walker. They plated six runs on zero homers. Even better, they plated every single man in scoring position that inning. If there was any bad in the frame at all, it’s that Teixeira bookended it with outs. Cano more than made up for that with a bases loaded single, and Jeter iced it with a double that I thought was going to clear the short porch once again. It still cleared both men on the bases and gave the Yanks more than enough cushion. Never mind that they had Mariano Rivera already in the game — and strangely enough, he still finished it.

At the end of April, things didn’t look so hot for the Yankees. The patient among us kept repeating that the team we saw at the end of April wold not be the same team we would see in June, which would not be the same as the team we would see during the sweltering days of August. Without a doubt this is not the same team that finished April 12-10 and that sat at 13-15 on May 7th. They’re getting better pitching all around, and the hitters are more than making up for an iffy start. Mark Teixeira has his average up to .241. Alex Rodriguez is back and mashing. Melky continues to hit well. Johnny Damon is as hot as it gets. This team is in a great spot right now.

They’ll try to make it nine straight tomorrow night, as Joba Chamberlain faces Adam Eaton. As Rebecca pointed out, the last time the Yanks won eight straight they trotted out Sidney Ponson in Boston on the ninth day. This time around they’ve got Joba taking the hill in their own park. If that doesn’t illustrate the difference between last year and this year, I don’t know what does.

Categories : Game Stories
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One year ago today on DotF, the trio of Ivan Nova, Zach McAllister & Mark Melancon combined for 19 IP, 8 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 16 K, 27-13 GB/FB on the night.

Marc Carig penned a piece on Austin Jackson and his transition to Triple-A. Make sure you check it out. Oh, and Carmen Angelini has been demoted to Extended Spring Training. Can’t say I’m surprised, I hope he turns it around.

Triple-A Scranton had a scheduled off day, as did the rest of the International League.

Double-A Trenton (5-1 win over Akron)
Eduardo Nunez: 2 for 4, 1 R, 1 2B, 1 K, 1 SB
Seth Fortenberry: 1 for 3, 1 3B, 1 BB, 1 K – 37 K in 33 games
Colin Curtis & Marcos Vechionacci: both 0 for 4 – Curtis K’ed once, Vech twice … Vech also committed a fielding error
Jorge Vazquez: 2 for 3, 2 R, 1 HR, 2 RBI – bombs
Edwar Gonzalez: 1 for 4, 1 R, 2 K
Kevin Smith: 2 for 3, 1 R, 1 2B, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Kyle Anson & Justin Snyder: both 0 for 3 – Anson K’ed once, Snyder twice
Chris Garcia: 4.1 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 4 BB, 3 K, 1 WP, 7-2 GB/FB – had been down in Ext. ST dealing with an elbow issue
Kanekoa Texeira: 2.2 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 1 K, 5-2 GB/FB
Wilkins Arias: 1 IP, zeroes, 1 K, 1-1 GB/FB
Josh Schmidt: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 1 K, 1-1 GB/FB

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Categories : Down on the Farm
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