2009 Draft: Gibson has a stress fracture

Game 55 Spillover Thread II
Rivera falters in 9th as Tampa tops Yanks 9-7

After experiencing tightness in his forearm during his start last weekend, Missouri righthander Kyle Gibson will be out for six weeks with a stress fracture in his forearm. Gibson was one of the top RHP prospects in the class, and all but a lock for a top 15 pick, probably top ten. There is no ligament damage, and Gibson should be able to throw for whatever team drafts him before the August 15th signing deadline.

The injury will certainly hurt Gibson’s draft status, but it’s hard to predict how far he’ll drop. Tanner Scheppers dropped to just the 49th overall pick last year with a stress fracture to his shoulder, so maybe that serves as a guide. I’m an unabashed Kyle Gibson fan – love the big projectable frame, love the delivery, love the stuff (scouting report, video) – so I’d be ecstatic to see him end up with the Yanks. But in the first round? Eh, I’d rather have a guy who’s healthy and gamble later.

Game 55 Spillover Thread II
Rivera falters in 9th as Tampa tops Yanks 9-7
  • V

    He doesn’t make it to 76.

    • Chip

      Agreed, I still like him as our first round pick

  • John

    Gibson or Purke, given they drop to us?

    • http://www.retire21.org Mike R. – Retire 21

      Purke. No injuries, lefty and approximately the same ceiling.

      • John

        thought so

        • http://www.retire21.org Mike R. – Retire 21

          The argument for Gibson would be he is closer to the majors and is more signable and probably cheaper. Neither would be a bad choice IMO.

    • Reggie C.

      I’d take Gibson.

      Purke is all projection. Gibson has projection left, and already throws 2 effective pitches – the 2 seamer and the changeup – with command. Gibson should be ready for the show alot quicker than Purke. I also think Gibson could be ready before Brackman.

  • Matt-Pitt

    With Gibson going down, does Purke’s stock rise more? I feel like the odds of him dropping now just took a hit.

  • JobaJr

    Andrew Brackman anyone?

    • Jacob

      From what I have seen, he doesn’t have nearly the stuff. I think I would prefer Purke, but if he’s gone, I wouldn’t lose any sleep over Gibson.

  • Joe B.

    Hate to be this guy, but what are the odds that Gibson gets past the Sox’s pick right before ours even if he does drop that far?

    • Stryker

      i’d doubt it. having the red sox and mariners pick right before the yankees scares me – very similar to the tigers in ’07 when they nabbed porcello only a few picks before us.

    • http://www.retire21.org Mike R. – Retire 21

      It depends on who else is on the board at the time. I’m fairly certain Gibson won’t be the only guy to fall.

      • Stryker

        i’d certainly love him to, though. i think drafting him would be a very smart idea if he were available.

  • Kevin S.

    Keith Law tweeted about Gibson a couple hours ago: http://twitter.com/keithlaw/statuses/2057887096

    “Kyle Gibson has a stress fracture in his forearm but no ligament damage. Buying opportunity for a smart team in late first round.”

  • http://sixtyfeetsixinches.wordpress.com Aaron S.

    I’d be ok with Gibson. Where the Yanks have to sign whoever they get at that pick and with his injury, he’ll sign and it won’t be extreme demands. He’d be another nice arm to add to the organization.

  • V

    If Purke is available, I have to take him. Power lefties > polished righty. However, if Purke is gone, take Gibson over a Heathcott.