Archive for June, 2009

Jun
11

Updated: Wang to start Wednesday

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Despite having the highest ERA in history for any pitcher with 20+ innings pitched and five or more starts in a single season (by over a full run, no less), Chien-Ming Wang will make another start for the Yanks according to Buster Olney’s people. Wang’s next start is scheduled for next Tuesday, but they could choose to skip him with Monday’s off day and push his start back to next Saturday. Considering that the Nationals’ team OPS is nearly 60 points higher than the Marlins’ … yeah, push him back.

Update by Ben (5:10 p.m.): While speaking with reporters prior to tonight’s Yankees/Red Sox game, Joe Girardi said that Chien-Ming Wang will start on Wednesday at home against the Nationals. The Yankees are committed to working through Wang’s problems, and he’ll get the ball while facing a team that has fared well against right-handed pitchers. Despite sporting the Majors’ worst record, the Nats have hit righties to the tune of .265/.345/.417. I hate to call any one start do-or-die, but this will be a do-or-die outing for Wang in Yankee Stadium.

Categories : Asides
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It was common, at the end of May and beginning of June, to hear sportswriters, bloggers included, marvel at how well Mark Teixeira had been hitting since Alex Rodriguez returned to the lineup. True, some made completely unsubstantiated, and in some cases completely false, claims as to why Tex heated up, but despite the platitudes he was hitting the cover off the ball. Still is. The Yankees, the past two games aside, have played remarkably well since then, and much of it is owed to Teixeira shaking his run-of-the-mill early-season slump. However, the team might have looked even better if not for a couple of slumping starters.

As stated in yesterday’s game thread, Melky hasn’t exactly been the hottest hitter since the calendar flipped to May (or, since the season started late, one month into the season). For now we’ll leave him alone. This one is all about Robinson Cano.

Early in the season, Cano was rolling. This came as a joy to Yanks fans, who had seem him stumble out of the gate last year only to partially recover in the second half. It was a long, infuriating slump that no one wants to relive. But he started to alleviate the fears of a repeat by hitting .378/.410/.592 from April 6 through May 1. Robust numbers if there ever were any.

Meanwhile, Mark Teixeira, a notorious slow starter, drew the ire of some Yankees fans. Through May 1 he was hitting a paltry .189/.358/.351. Some fans thought it appropriate to boo him, despite our knowledge that he’s a slow starter. True, he was hitting a bit worse than normal. Over his career he’s hit .251/.349/.433 in April, and that’s counting his slow start in 2009. So yes, he starts slow, but usually not this slow.

Thing started to change that first week of May for Cano. He went 4 for 26 (.154) that week with a double and a walk. Little did we know that it would be a sign of things to come. Since May 1 he’s hit .248/.282/.396. That one week hurt him considerably, as he’s hitting .258/.291/.422 since A-Rod‘s return. Those aren’t good numbers by any stretch — though the power numbers are certainly attractive (7 doubles, 1 triple, 4 home runs). He’s also walked six times since that point, which is good for him but second-lowest among those with over 50 at bats in that span (only Melky is worse…and Gardner had 8 BB in 55 AB during that span).

Meanwhile, Mark Teixeira was busy turning his season around. He, too, hit poorly during that first week of May, sitting at .192/.250/.462. Again, the power is appreciated, but it doesn’t make up for a horrible BA and an equally despicable OBA. Then A-Rod returned, and we all know the story from there. Teixeira has absolutely hit the cover off the ball, to a line of .361/.436/.811.

If only Cano had settled down, rather than falling off a cliff, the Yanks might be even better at this point. Hard to imagine, but it’s true. In fact, this team is rarely firign on all cylinders. Just look at the entire team, first from Opening Day to May 7, and then from May 7 through today.

If Cano and Melky can get back to three quarters of where they were in April, this offense could be an absolute juggernaut. And that’s something to look forward to.

Categories : Offense
Comments (82)

Last night, as Alex Rodriguez stood in against Jonathan Papelbon in the top of the 9th, the Fenway Faithful began to chant. “You did steroids,” they said. “You did steroids.”

The sounds filled the stadium, and while Michael Kay didn’t quote the crowd, he called a “derogatory” crowd. It was by far the most vicious taunting Alex Rodriguez has received all year, but A-Rod has heard louder boos from the Bronx crowds than that. It was almost disappointing in its unoriginality and tameness.

Meanwhile, in related news, USA Today’s Tom Weir reported on Selena Roberts’ low sales totals. Her A-Rod biography has sold just 16,000 copies of its 150,000 press run. It is a bomb (and it’s not very good either).

Across the country, Manny Ramirez, serving a 50-game suspension for a failed drug test, visited the Dodgers’ clubhouse, and his teammates are eagerly anticipating his return. Dodgers fans appear to be as well, and with these tepid responses and outright forgiveness, I have to wonder if we’re at the end of the era when fans actually cared about players’ purported drug use.

For the better part of the decade, steroid use and its impact on baseball have dominated the headlines. The BALCO raid happened in 2003, and Jason Giambi‘s apology came in 2005. The Mitchell Report misfired in 2007, and since then, a steroid-induced fatigue has settled over the game.

Right now, the only people left outraged are baseball columnists and Hall of Fame voters. The fans have embraced their players, and as the Boston crowd showed last night, they taunt their team’s opponents out of some sense of duty with no real emotion behind it.

So if the fans have moved on and if the players and owners are satisfied with the continued efforts to keep the game as clean as possible, it’s probably time for everyone else to move on. Baseball’s leaders need to focus on the future and forget about the past. Hall of Fame voters need to recognize their complicity in feeding a drug-fueled home run-happy beast.

Maybe I’m a little premature in calling the era of outrage over. But if it’s not there yet, it’s on its dying breath. The game is better off for it. We don’t need to take glee in catching players who used drugs when, well, everyone else is doing, and we can instead look ahead to another day, another game and another pennant race free from overwrought accusations and poorly written books.

Categories : STEROIDS!
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When the Yankees signed CC Sabathia and A.J. Burnett to complement Chien-Ming Wang, Joba Chamberlain, and Andy Pettitte, I said that they had assembled their best rotation since 2003. That statement, however, is more an indictment of the 2004 rotation than anything. The 2003 rotation was pretty damn solid, and even the 2009 squad doesn’t appear to approach its greatness. TusconRoyal at Beyond the Boxscore takes a look at that team in terms of how good they were at the time, and then at their careers.

The analysis uses the increasingly-popular WAR, or Wins Above Replacement. You can get an idea of how to calculate WAR from the inimitable Tom Tango. Mike Mussina was lights out that season, and it’s highly unlikely that even CC Sabathia touches his WAR from that season — and “highly unlikely” is an understatement at this point. There’s quite a gap between Moose and the second-highest-rated Yank, David Wells, but he still posted an excellent season.

The top five starters for the Yanks that year — Moose, Wells, Clemens, Pettitte, and Contreras — posted WARs of 6.3, 4.6, 4.1, 3.4, and 1.9. This year’s top five — CC, Pettitte, Joba, Burnett, and Hughes — have posted WARs of 1.9, 0.8, 0.8, 0.5, and 0.2. It’s not really fair to extrapolate that to cover a whole season, since performances will obviously vary over the next three and a half months, but that would put the Yanks’ starters at 3.1, 2.1, 2.1, 0.8, and 0.3. The 2003 rotation that is not.

In fact, the extrapolated data wouldn’t even put this 2009 rotation ahead of its 2004 counterpart. The top five starters on that team — Jon Lieber, Mike Mussina, Kevin Brown, Javy Vazquez, and El Duque — posted WARs of 4.0, 3.3, 2.5, 2.2, and 1.7 (though the last, Duque, pitched only 84.2 innings). In other words, the Yanks rotation will have to show quite an improvement if they’re going to live up to the billing of best rotation since 2003. As it stands now, they’re falling a bit short (though, again, the method for projecting their WAR isn’t exactly the most scientific).

To take some of the attention off the current team, the BtB post also notes the careers of the 2003 rotation and where they stand relative to the average HOFer and a Replacement HOFer (though I’m not really sure what that means). Clemens stands far, far above the pack. Mussina, it appears, deserves a nod to the Hall given its current standards. His WAR in his best season matches up with that of an average HOFer, and 10th through 17th best WAR seasons stand well above those of an average HOFer. I believe the Hall’s standards have sunken considerably, and given that you can make a strong case for Moose. However, if baseball held the Hall to the loftier standards it deserves, the only one of that crew who would get the nod would be Clemens.

So check out the post and remember the 2003 pitching staff. Perhaps it will relieve some of the frustration caused by the 2009 version.

Categories : Days of Yore
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Jun
11

2009 Draft LiveBlog: Day Three

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Use this as your open thread to talk about all things draft. We’ll have regular Yankees-related content sprinkled throughout the day for you. Please follow our ground rules and keep your conversations in the appropriate places. Thanks in advance.

Here’s the link to Draft Tracker.

Categories : Draft
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Jun
11

2009 Draft: Day Three Linkage

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Welcome to the first ever Day Three of the MLB Draft. Hard to believe that after two days and nearly 11 hours of drafting, there’s still 40% of this thing left to go. Here’s some links before the show gets on the road …

  • Baseball America rounds up the best players still left on the board. Eight players from their top 200 draft prospects list are still available (seven high schoolers, one JuCo kid), the best being Jacksonville HS catcher Austin Maddox (#81). At this point, all of these guys are going to end up in school because no one will pay them the kind of money they want this late.
  • Tenth overall pick Drew Storen became the first first rounder to officially sign this year, getting a $1.6M bonus from the Nats. Slot money for that pick was approximately $1.86M. Gotta save up that cash for Strasburg.
  • The Indians are going to develop Alex White, the 15th overall pick, as a reliever. Epic front office fail.
  • Keith Law gives his take on five teams’ drafts so far. He doesn’t mention the Yanks, but did have an interesting bit on the Pirates draft strategy; allow me to quote: “Their philosophy is that high school arms are so volatile that paying premium prices in the first round is a poor strategy, and that the value of that first pick (when you might get a premium bat or college arm) is too high to surrender, so try to stockpile young arms in later rounds.” It makes sense for a team like Pittsburgh to do this because they need all the talent they can get, but at some point you have to take a shot on guys with star potential early.
  • Make sure you also check out yesterday’s KLawChat. More draft knowledge than you know what to do with.
  • WIBW.com notes that Yanks’ 25th rounder Shaeffer Hall threw a no-hitter against Army earlier this year. The Black Knights weren’t a total pushover this year, finishing at 36-21, so that’s quite the accomplishment. Hall led the Big 12 Conference with a 0.97 BB/9 this season.
  • The Daily Commercial has a bit on 15th rounder Shane Greene, who caught the Yanks’ eye during a workout after coming back from Tommy John surgery throwing harder than before.
  • Great quote from New Mexico State catcher Jeff Farnham, the Yanks 27th round pick: “I know (the bonus) isn’t going to be much, maybe a couple of a grand and an airplane ticket to Florida. But I would play for free. I just want a fair chance.”

You can see all of the Yanks’ picks here. You can follow along the final twenty rounds with Draft Tracker when the draft resumes at 11:30. Liveblog will be along shortly.

Categories : Draft
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Jun
11

2009 Draft: Thoughts from Day Two

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Adam WarrenFrom the looks of it, the Yankees went into Day Two of the 2009 Draft with the very clear intention of adding power to the system. Power, regardless if it was at the plate or on the mound, it didn’t matter. Sixth rounder Rob Lyerly’s (3B, UNC-Charlotte) .725 slugging percentage led the Atlantic 10 Conference by nearly 50 points, and over the last two years he’s racked up a .333 IsoP with more extra base hits (73) than strikeouts (68). Outfielder and 11th round pick Neil Medchill has put up a .281 IsoP in two seasons with Oklahoma State, while 13th rounder DeAngelo Mack brings a .249 IsoP from South Carolina’s outfield. All three players project to hit for average or better pop with wood bats, and it’s no accident all three players do their work from the left side of the plate (coughNewYankeeStadiumcough).

While the three power bats are a nice addition to a system devoid of any thump outside of top prospect Jesus Montero, the Yankees also added several big arms to their cache of pitching. Their 7th, 8th, and 9th round picks were all spent on guys who have shown the ability to dial up to the mid-90′s in the past. Righty Sean Black (7th round, Seton Hall) and southpaw Gavin Brooks (9th round, UCLA) were both top prospects out of high school in the 2006 Draft who ended up in college, while righties Caleb Cotham (4th round, Vanderbilt) and Graham Stoneburner (14th round, Clemson) were draft eligible sophomores likely to go in the early rounds next year.

In addition to the power arms and power bats, Damon Oppenheimer & Co. added plenty of depth to the organization. Fourth rounder Adam Warren is a grizzled ACC and College World Series veteran that pounds the zone and should have no trouble carving up hitters in the low minors. He could develop in a high leverage groundball reliever down the road. Nineteenth rounder Luke Murton (Matt’s younger brother) hit behind Matt Wieters and spent four years anchoring the Georgia Tech lineup. Southpaw and 10th round pick Tyler Lyons has been a Friday night starter in the Big 12 for the past two years with Oklahoma State and should climb the ladder quickly.

But that’s not all. The Yanks also took some high upside high school players who fell for various reasons. Righty Brett Gerritse (12th round)  brings three quality offers to the table, while fellow righthander Chad Thompson (17th round) has a big projectable frame and a low-90′s fastball but is out after having Tommy John surgery. Local kid and shortstop Stephen Bruno (26th round) doesn’t bring flashy tools to the table, but he’s a top notch makeup guy with the grinder game people seem to love. Kyle McKenzie (30th round) is a small righty with good stuff and strong command. There’s no guarantee the Yanks will sign any of these four, but if they do they’ll receive tremendous value from a low draft selection.

Today’s conclusion of the draft won’t be very exciting. Mostly players to fill out low level rosters and maybe one or two fliers on guys who have fallen for whatever reason. The more important thing to watch for is how many of these players the Yankees end up actually signing, because selecting guys is only half the battle.

Photo Credit: Nati Harnik, AP

Categories : Draft
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When Chien-Ming Wang went on the DL in April, he had put up some epically bad numbers. He was 0-3 with a 34.50 ERA. He had allowed 23 earned runs on 23 hits and 6 walks in just 6 innings of work, and opponents were hitting .622/.667/1.027.

Since coming back from his injured whatever it was that hurt, he has been better. Unfortunately, “better” is a relative term. In five appearances spanning two starts and three relief stints, Chien-Ming Wang has thrown 15.1 innings, giving up only 11 earned runs on 22 hits and 6 walks. While he’s struck out 12, he has allowed 23 baserunners in those 15.1 innings.

The simple truth is that Chien-Ming Wang as a starting pitcher — now 0-4 in starts with a 25.14 ERA — is not giving the Yankees a chance to win baseball games. He’s not the best man for the job right now, and when his turn in the rotation comes around on Tuesday in New York against the Nationals, he should not be starting.

Tonight, Wang took the loss in a game the Yankees could have won. He lasted just 2.2 innings, giving up 4 runs on 6 hits and 3 walks. The damage could have been worse, and the damage could have been less. But in the end, Wang had nothing on his pitches after the first inning, and the Red Sox just pounded out line drive after line drive against the erstwhile sinker ball specialist.

For Wang, the game actually started off on the right foot. It took him 29 pitches to get through the first, and while he had no control of his sinker, it was sinking. He gave up a few signature ground ball hits and got into trouble when he walked a few Red Sox. He was, however, hitting the mid-90s on the gun and seemed to be throwing with downward movement.

In the second and third, though, nothing. It was all gone. His pitches in the zone were belt high, and his pitches out of the zone weren’t generating any swings. The Red Sox went to town, and while we can’t underestimate the impact of Nick Swisher‘s terrible play in the right field corner, Wang did not do his part. He was gone in the middle of the third.

At that point, the bullpen pitched about as well as could be expected. Phil Hughes threw one mistake, and Kevin Youkilis deposited it into the seats. It would end up being the difference in the game. Outside of that pitch, Hughes threw 3.2 innings, allowing 2 earned runs on 2 hits and 2 walks while striking out 5. If I am giving the ball to someone on Tuesday, it is Phil Hughes.

On the other side of the ball, the Yankees couldn’t get it done. They blasted three home runs, and Mark Teixeira went 4 for 5. However, A-Rod, Derek Jeter and Robinson Cano were a combined 0 for 13. The team was just 2 for 15 with runners in scoring position and left ten runners on base. They had the tying run in scoring position in both the 8th and 9th innings but couldn’t push it across. It seemed as though they couldn’t recover from a base running error by Swisher in the 2nd. It was just one of those nights.

After the game, the Yankees were at a loss for words. Joe Girardi said that he saw “bad counts” from Chien-Ming Wang, and with the Wanger throwing hard but with no control or ability, the Yankees are gasping at straws. When Kim Jones asked Jorge Posada what he saw from Wang tonight, he simply repeated, “I don’t know.” That’s how I feel.

Joe Girardi had David Robertson warming up in the first inning and yanked Wang as soon as the game started to slip away. It was too late, and after the game, Girardi wouldn’t commit either way to Wang. “I’m not ready to make that decision right now,” he said.

Yankee fans will spend the next few days debating this one. Mark Feinsand thinks skipping Wang would be the equivalent of throwing in the towel on him, and Marc Carig puts the odds of another Wang start at 50-50. Much like Jorge, I just don’t know.

Game Notes: The Yankees are now 0-7 against the Red Sox and haven’t beaten Boston since Mike Mussina notched his 20th win in September. If it’s any consolation, the Yankees are 34-18 against everyone else while Boston is just 28-24 against everyone else. There’s a double-edged sword here. When the Yanks’ luck changes, they could really pull away from the pack, but if the Yankees had managed to go just 3-4, they would have a comfortable lead over the Sox. Them’s the breaks.

Categories : Game Stories
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Jun
10

Romine goes deep in Tampa win

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Another bullet point job tonight after today’s five-plus hour draft liveblog. Triple-A Scranton had a scheduled day off, but here’s the box scores for AA, A+, and A-.

  • The Trenton game got a late start, so as of this writing it’s still going. Chris Garcia had his real rough outing of the year, walking six in just three and a third innings. Jesus Montero made his return behind the plate.
  • Austin Romine went deep for Tampa and Humberto Sanchez made his season debut with a scoreless inning of relief.
  • David Phelps twirled a gem for Charleston, allowing just three hits in eight scoreless innings for Charleston. David Adams picked up two hits, including a double.

Categories : Down on the Farm
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Jun
10

Game 59 Spillover Thread III

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This thread is feared.

Categories : Game Threads
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