Archive for June, 2009
2009 Draft: Scheppers stock dropping
Posted by: | CommentsKeith Law tweeted that RHP Tanner Scheppers, once projected to go as high as #2 overall to the Mariners, is dropping on draft boards because of bonus demands and questionable medicals. Scheppers was a top ten talent for the 2008 draft, but fell to the Pirates in the second round after suffering a stress fracture in his throwing shoulder. He didn’t sign and is currently playing for the independent St. Paul Saints.
Marc Hulet recently interviewed Scheppers for Baseball Analysts, and (surprise surprise) Scheppers said his shoulder feels great and is stronger now than it was before the injury. Scheppers said Dr. Lewis Yocum attributed the injury to “normal wear and tear on an overworked arm,” and he spent four months doing strictly shoulder strengthening excercises as part of his rehab.
I don’t know what kind of bonus money Scheppers is looking for, but I’m sure he and his agent are looking for a Major League deal. In terms of talent, he’d be a steal for the Yanks at any point, and then you just have to hope the doctors like what they see.
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Should the Yanks bring back Betemit?
Posted by: | CommentsThe White Sox will designate infielder Wilson Betemit for assignment today so they can call up uber-prospect Gordon Beckham, and I can’t believe I’m saying this, but the Yanks should try to reacquire Betemit. Sure, we all remember watching him strike out a ton and boot grounders all over the infield, but when Angel Berroa and his .266 OPS occupy a bench spot, almost everyone’s an upgrade. Betemit would give the Yanks something they don’t have right now: power off the bench (.174 IsoP). And as an added bonus, he’s a switch hitter. The only downside is that Betemit’s kinda expensive ($1.3M this year), but that extra cost is worth the upgrade over Berroa. What do you guys think?
Would Wang have been so bad in the bullpen?
Posted by: | CommentsYesterday the Yankees announced their first solution to the good problem. With six starting pitchers for five rotation spots, the Yanks opted to place Chien-Ming Wang back in his rotation spot at the expense of Phil Hughes. The latter will go to the bullpen for the next two weeks while the Yankees make sure Wang is back to his former self. If he is, Hughes heads back to AAA Scranton to get consistent starts and innings. As far as solutions to this problem go, it’s tough to argue against this one.
Since starting pitchers are more valuable than relievers, the Yankees want their five best pitchers in the starting rotation. How they define “best” is clear. First you have established guys, then your reliable vets, then your high ceiling guys. CC and A.J. fit the first descriptor, Wang and Pettitte fit the second. That leaves Joba and Hughes. Chamberlain’s ceiling is probably a bit higher than Hughes’s, but in any case Joba wins on performance this year. So Hughes is the odd man out. But rather than just option him now, they’re holding onto him just in case this solution doesn’t work out. It seems like the smart thing to do, as it 1) keeps Phil around in case the plan doesn’t work out, and 2) holds in back just a little, which is okay given his innings ceiling for the year.
What’s wrong, some might ask, with keeping Hughes in the pen? It’s a weakness, and he could help out. While both statements are true, it doesn’t mean that Hughes is the man to fill that role. He’s young and still has parts of his game which need to develop. This includes working his innings up to over 200. Installing him in the bullpen will only serve to limit his innings beyond what the Yankees have planned for him this season. So while they might get a bump in the short term, they do it at the expense of the long term.
(This isn’t to say that you always sacrifice the short term for the long term. There’s a balance for sure, but I’m not so sure Hughes and Joba are the guys you want on the short term side of that equation.)
The only alternative to the current solution (or one exactly like it) is to place one of those vets in the pen. If that seems unconventional, well, it is. When that vet is a two-time 19-game winner, it’s even less conventional. But, from a baseball standpoint, what if it’s the optimal move? What if your two high ceiling guys are among your five best pitchers. Do you dare move one of the vets to the pen?
Michael Salfino of SNY wonders if Chien-Ming Wang would work in the bullpen. Most fans don’t consider this, because we’re used to seeing Wang start games and go seven, eight strong innings. Clearly, that’s more valuable than a bullpen arm. The only way for it to make sense is if Wang is not among the Yankees five best starters. In any case, it appears he would work well out of the bullpen. This uses work from Harvy Pavlidis and the inimitable Tom Tango, based on a formula by Dan Szymborski. So how does it work for Wang?
My Wang conversion (based on how he’s pitched as a starter for his career) is a 2.89 ERA, 5.71 K/9, and 1.08 WHIP (baserunners per inning). Of course, he’d still be an extreme groundball pitcher. (Note: my conversion formula is based on how a sampling of modern starters turned relievers actually performed through 2006.)
Szymborski says Wang as a reliever would have a 3.09 ERA with 5.4 strikeouts per nine innings and a 1.21 WHIP.
That’s not bad at all. Of course, it’s all theoretical. We can’t expect a computer to definitively predict a player’s performance in a foreign role. I like to think of it as “should be able to.” Wang should be able to attain these marks out of the bullpen. Of course, those numbers are based on his numbers as a starter, and if he can put up his normal starter numbers he’s more valuable in the rotation.
The advantage of having Wang in the pen is that the Yankees are no longer developing him. They can use the starting innings on Joba and Hughes, who both are pitching well at the major league level. Wang can spot start and eventually take over when Joba hits his innings limit (whether he’s shut down or transitioned to the bullpen). In other words, not getting Wang enough innings isn’t a big deal, but not getting Hughes and Joba their innings is.
The point is pretty much moot at this point. The Yankees have moved Wang into the rotation, and I’d be hard pressed to argue that it’s not the best place for him to be. With Andy Pettitte struggling lately (and possibly being injured), the Yanks should certainly be focused on getting their best guys the ball every five days. Who knows; maybe Pettitte hits the DL and comes back in relief. Yes, Andy Pettitte is a starting pitcher, but the Yanks have shown that they’re not reluctant to try different solutions to their good problem.
Montero picks up a hit in AA debut
Posted by: | CommentsTwo years ago today on DotF, Mitch Hilligoss’ South Atlantic League record 38-game hit streak came to an end.
Chad Jennings spoke to farm director Mark Newman about a ton of things, so check it out. Dellin Betances is a week or two away from returning, but neither Bradley Suttle or Jairo Heredia will be back anytime soon.
Triple-A Scranton was washed out. I’m guessing they’ll play two tomorrow.
Double-A Trenton (8-0 win over Bowie)
Justin Snyder, Kevin Smith & Marcos Vechionacci: all 1 for 4, 1 RBI – Snyder doubled, drew a walk & K’ed … Smith K’ed three times … Vech doubled & K’ed
Colin Curtis & James Cooper: both 1 for 3, 1 K – Curtis hit a solo & scored another run … Cooper drew a walk & scored a run
Chris Malec: 1 for 5, 1 3B, 1 K, 1 E (fielding)
Noah Hall: 1 for 3, 1 R, 2 BB
Jesus Montero: 1 for 4, 2 R, 1 RBI, 1 BB, 1 K – Mike Ashmore has video of his first AA at-bat & his first AA hit
Edwar Gonzalez: 2 for 4, 2 R, 1 3B, 2 RBI
Wilkins DeLaRosa: 6 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 8 K, 1 Balk, 4-6 GB/FB – best start since his first outing of the year
Kanekoa Texeira: 3 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 2 K, 1 WP, 1 HB, 6-1 GB/FB – his second 2+ IP save in the last four days
Game 52: So will we call them B-Hughesers?
Posted by: | CommentsIf B-Jobber – bullpen + Joba, we could go one of two ways with Phil Hughes in the bullpen:
B-Phils
B-Hughesers
I pick the latter. We could also mutate that to B-Hosers, but that might be a bit of a stretch. In any case, the big news of the day was Chien-Ming Wang back to the rotation, Hughes to the bullpen. It’s going to cause some debate, but I’d like to point out RAB commenter mustang, who put it best:
Regardless what a nice problem to have too much quality starting pitching.
thank you Mr. Cashman.
We’ll see where the Yanks go with this, of course, but I wouldn’t expect Hughes in the bullpen too long. He’ll back up Wang tomorrow, who himself said he could probably only go 80 pitches. Apparently Brian Cashman was on the Michael Kay Show and said that it’s a two-week trial, and that if Wang pitches well it’s back to AAA for Hughes. (thanks to tsjc for the find)
Oh, what’s that you say? There’s a game tonight? Given the bleak forecast and the gray clouds which have covered the sky since mid-afternoon, I wouldn’t be too sure about that. If they do play, it will be Andy Pettitte against Scott Feldman.
Feldman, 26, has pitched well in his 48.1 innings this year, allowing 21 runs for a 3.91 ERA. He doesn’t have great strikeout numbers, and doesn’t have a 2:1 K/BB ratio. That usually doesn’t bode well against the Yankees lineup. Yet last year, when Feldman was pretty horrible, he had two good starts against the Yanks. The first was one run over 5.2 innings, and the other was two runs over 7.0 IP. He did walk five in those 12.2 innings, though. This year’s version of the Yanks will make you pay for those a lot more than they did last year.
Yet the last time Feldman pitched what you could call a bad start was on May 1, when he allowed three runs over 5.2 IP. Even then, it’s not too bad. He hasn’t allowed more than three runs in a start since the Rangers placed him in the rotation on April 25. So while the Yanks have improved since their last meeting with Feldman, so has he. He was also born in Hawaii, for whatever that’s worth.
Lineup:
1. Derek Jeter, SS
2. Johnny Damon, LF Nick Swisher, 1B
3. Mark Teixeira, 1B Johnny Damon, LF
4. Alex Rodriguez, 3B
5. Robinson Cano, 2B
6. Jorge Posada, C
7. Hideki Matsui, DH
8. Nick Swisher, RF Melky Cabrera, RF
9. Brett Gardner, CF
And on the mound, number forty-six, Andy Pettitte.
Update by Mike (6:58pm): Tex scratch with a bruised ankle, x-rays negative. Lineup changes above.
A dugout in the middle of nowhere
Posted by: | Comments
It’s getting harder and harder to look at Tom Kaminski’s pictures of the Yankee Stadium deconstruction without tearing up a bit. Kaminski — profiled this spring by The Times — took Chopper 880 for a spin over Yankee Stadium on Monday, and his photos are poignant. Work crews has nearly finished deconstructing the old field level box seat sections along the third base side.
In the Tier level, the seats behind home plate are on the way out as well. Those Tier Box sections right behind the dish were my favorite spots in the old stadium. From there, you could see the entire field of play unfold below you, and the seats were low enough to feel close to the action. Check out the full photo gallery here.
Report: Wang to start tomorrow
Posted by: | CommentsAccording to multiple reports, Chien-Ming Wang will make his first start since April 18th tomorrow against the Rangers. Phil Hughes will work out of the bullpen for the time being. Wang’s three relief outings since returning from the DL have gotten progressively better, so the writing for his return to the rotation has been on the wall for over a week now. I imagine once Brian Bruney and Damaso Marte return from injury, Hughes will return to Triple-A Scranton and continue working as a starter.
Improved defense helps Yanks get to the top
Posted by: | CommentsWhen the Yanks’ streak of 18 consecutive games without an error ended on a Jorge Posada errant throw last night, it ended a fun little streak, but not one that tells us much of anything about the Yanks defense. You can’t make an error on a ball you can’t get to, after all. But as Peter Gammons notes, the Yanks took off when Alex Rodriguez returned not because of the extra offense, but because the pitching staff finally righted itself.
Recently, the Yankees have gone on a big-time roll and taken first place in the AL East, all after the return of Alex Rodriguez. However, the key difference hasn’t been offense, although the tandem of A-Rod and Mark Teixeira is similar to what David Ortiz and Manny Ramirez once were with Boston. With A-Rod and Teixeira in the order, the Yankees’ runs per game have only risen slightly. The Yankees’ ERA, though, has dropped by more than two runs, as CC Sabathia, A.J. Burnett, Joba Chamberlain and Co. have come together as a power rotation.
The Yankees’ rotation is made up of hard throwers who get minimal hard contact, and put little pressure on the defense. Teixeira, the owner of two Gold Gloves, has made the infield much better, and Melky Cabrera‘s defensive matrix is the best of any major league center fielder. Last year, the Yankees were near the bottom in defensive efficiency, but this year they are 13th out of 30 major league teams.
I’m not sure what defensive matrix Gammons is referring to, but UZR has Melky at a studly 13.4 in CF. When he moves over to RF, that mark improves to 24.3 and Brett Gardner adds his 19.3 UZR to the mix. Gone is Bobby Abreu and his -25.3 UZR last year and in comes Nick Swisher‘s just about league average -0.3 mark. Robinson Cano has improved his UZR by 12.5 runs from last year. You don’t need any fancy stats to tell you the difference between Jason Giambi and Mark Teixeira at first, and even Derek Jeter has gone from -0.7 UZR last year to 3.0 this year, the highest total FanGraphs has for the Cap’n. As a team, the Yanks have gone from a squad with a -5.4 UZR rating last year, third worst in baseball, to a better than league average UZR at 0.4 this year, good enough for 14th in the league.
By no means are the Yankees a great defensive squad, but as Joe Girardi said, they “make the plays they’re supposed to.” They couldn’t even do that last year. Better defense means more batted balls are turned into outs. More outs means fewer pitches by the pitchers, and fewer pitches by the pitchers means fewer innings thrown by the bullpen. It’s the baseball circle of life, and it’s helped the Yanks to the best record in the American League.


