Archive for June, 2009
An eighth inning solution: Alfredo Aceves
Posted by: | CommentsAs the Yankees put together a hot May, the team’s fans have watched Alfredo Aceves blossom into a very effective and useful piece in the bullpen. While he has made just nine appearances, he has shown poise and ability that could provide the shaky Yanks’ pen with a solid piece.
On the season, Aceves has hurled 19.2 innings over those nine appearances. He has allowed 16 hits and has walked just three while striking out 18. He is 3-1 with a 2.75 ERA, and opponents are hitting .219/.256/.342 off him. While his BABIP allowed is .259, lower than the average and thus suggesting that opponents may hit him better in the future, he has limited the damage by throwing 65 percent of his pitches for strikes. It’s amazing what confidence and good stuff can do for a reliever
Over the last few weeks, we’ve explored the various roles of Alfredo Aceves. Rebecca wrote a guest post suggesting that he could be the next Ramiro Mendoza, an unheralded but valuable member of the Yankee championship teams, and the Yankees have deployed Aceves as such. Six of his nine appearances have been of the multiple inning variety. The other three were either in extra innings or in the 9th inning of what was then an 11-0 blowup.
Meanwhile, the infamous Eighth Inning debate rages on in the Yankee Universe. More important than any of the other eight innings, the eighth inning has been a thorn in the Yankees’ side since the end of Steve Karsay’s career. (Ed. Note: Hyperbole.) As the Yanks remain committed, as they should be, to keeping Joba in the rotation and as Brian Bruney and Damaso Marte work their ways back from injuries, the Yanks have struggled to build a proper bridge to Mariano. Jose Veras is a nightmare; Phil Coke hasn’t been able to get the job done. You know the story.
Today, in a very well-researched piece that relies upon some advanced bullpen metrics not often seen among the Yankee beat writers, Marc Carig proposes Alfredo Aceves for the eighth inning. Aceves, notes Carig, is second among team relievers in WXRL or expected wins added over a replacement level pitcher, and he has excelled so far in high-leverage situations. Noting that the analysis is subject to a small sample size warning, Carig concludes:
But Aceves has many of qualities typically associated with good set-up men, specifically impeccable command. And though he’s not overpowering with his fastball, Aceves can throw any pitch at any time, making him equally effective against lefties and righties.
To me, it only makes sense to reward Aceves by having him work in these high-leverage situations as much as possible. And the only way for the Yankees to do that is to scrap the idea of using him as a jack-of-all-trades reliever.
Using Aceves for multiple innings essentially wastes him in non-essential situations that can be worked by lesser relievers. What’s worse, multiple inning stints would mean at times that Aceves would have to rest as much as two days between appearances.
He’s much too valuable for that.
I certainly see Carig’s point, and he makes a very compelling case for the move. Yet, as I believe that Mariano Rivera should not be saved for a save situation that may never come and should be used in the highest leverage situations late in games, I don’t think the Yankees need to limit their use of Aceves to just the eighth inning.
What they have in Aceves is a versatile reliever who could pitch the eighth in close games and can prevent other games from getting out of hand. He can throw multiple innings on back-to-back days and can provide flexibility in a bullpen short on that very trait. There is no need to mess with that, and Joe Girardi seems to agree.
“You could think about it but I do like the flexibility he gives us,” Girardi said. “And with a couple of young starters that we have, sometimes you need a little bit of length out of your guys.”
Tickets available for tomorrow’s game
Posted by: | CommentsWe had a little misunderstanding when we posted these tickets yesterday, so they’re still available. Here are the details again: Field Level Section 136, Row 16, Seats 7 & 8. They’re about eight rows up from the field, and are right in front of the left field bleachers and right next to the visitors’ bullpen. The face value of the tickets is $85 each, but we’re only asking for $50 a pop. Remember, tomorrow is a day game with first pitch set for 1:05pm. Email me using the link in the far right sidebar if you’re interested.
2009 Draft: KLaw’s updated mock draft
Posted by: | CommentsKeith Law post his updated mock draft over at the four-letter last night (subscriber only, sorry), and now has the Yankees taking Texas prep centerfielder Slade Heathcott. Less than a week ago KLaw projected the Yanks to take southpaw Matt Purke, but now sees Purke (and RHP Tanner Scheppers) dropping out of the first round entirely. This isn’t the first time we’ve seen the Yanks connected to Heathcott, as Baseball America also projected the Yanks to take the five tool outfielder last week.
The draft rumblings are only going to get louder and louder over the next week, so susbcribe to our draft feed to make sure you don’t miss a thing.
Injury Report: Nady, Bruney, Marte, Ransom, Molina, Wang
Posted by: | CommentsIt’s hard to believe that the Yanks start June 3 with the best record in the American League. They’ve seen a few key contributors miss significant playing time and were without A-Rod until the middle of May. It makes me wonder how quick a start the Yankees could have had if the entire team were healthy.
Anyway, as the Yanks sit at ten games over .500, they’re still missing five key players with a sixth in a sort of pitching limbo. The team’s Opening Day right fielder is out along with the lefty and right set up men, the back-up infielder and the back-up catcher. We have updates for all of these guys this morning so let’s just jump in.
Xavier Nady: When we last heard from Nady on Monday, he had suffered a set back in his throwing program at Tampa. That day, he had felt something in his injured elbow, and the team was concerned it could be serious. Nady threw again yesterday and, in what Joe Girardi called an improvement, felt pain during only two throws.
Now, pain during two throws doesn’t sound too promising, but Nady is attempting to rehab a badly injured elbow while strengthening the supporting muscles. Anything the Yanks get from him this season will be icing on the cake. He will take off today and resume throwing tomorrow.
Brian Bruney: The Yanks once and future 8th inning guy began a throwing program yesterday. The Yanks have no timetable for his return yet, and I believe the team will take it slower with him this time around. I predict late June but possible after the All Star Break.
Damaso Marte: The Yanks’ left-handed reliever and late-inning specialist stubbed his toe earlier this week but will be back at it later this week. He will throw a bullpen on Friday, and the Yankees will evaluate his injury — now described as shoulder tendinitis — afterward.
Cody Ransom: Ransom injured his quad on April 25 and, due to roster needs, was immediately placed on the 60-day DL. He is eligible to come off on June 24 and will begin a rehab assignment with Scranton on Thursday. While I’m not sure what Ransom offers offensively at this point, he is a marked upgrade over Angel Berroa.
Jose Molina: Molina had to go for an MRI earlier this week when he injured his quad while rehabbing his hamstring. For a back-up catcher, Molina has suffered through a considerable number of leg injuries while with the Yankees. The team has not announce the results of the MRI yet.
Chien-Ming Wang: And finally, we arrive at the non-injured Chien-Ming Wang. The Yanks’ sinkerball specialist has thrown well of late and made an abbreviated appearance on Sunday. In a move that probably cost the Yanks a shot at the game, he was pulled after just three innings in case he had to start on Wednesday in place of Andy Pettitte (back spasms). Well, the move was for naught as Pettitte will take the mound on Wednesday.
Meanwhile, the Yanks said on Tuesday that Phil Hughes will be starting on Friday and that Wang will remain in the bullpen. How the Yankees plan to get Wang enough regular work to build up the arm strength to move him back into the rotation is anyone’s guess. No pitcher has pitched their way out of the rotation yet, and Wang has thrown five good innings after tossing two bad ones in his return from the DL. I still think he should have made another rehab start, but the Yankees have a plan. They’re just not sharing it with anyone else.
Tampa falls despite Montero’s awesomeness
Posted by: | CommentsRobert Pimpsner of Baby Bombers tells me Jesus Montero has been promoted to Double-A Trenton, and should be there tomorrow or Thursday. Yippee.
The Padres released old pal Chris Britton. He had a 10.45 ERA, 2.27 WHIP and a .406 BAA in 20.2 IP split between Double-A & Triple-A this year.
Triple-A Scranton (3-2 loss to Syracuse)
Reegie Corona & Austin Jackson: both 1 for 4, 1 2B – Corona K’ed once, Ajax twice
Todd Linden: 0 for 4, 1 R – 2 for his last 17 (.118)
Shelley Duncan: 0 for 4, 1 K – threw a runner out at home from RF
Juan Miranda: 2 for 4, 1 R, 1 3B – a triple? good for him
Justin Leone: 0 for 2, 2 RBI, 1 E (fielding) - had a pair of sac flies
Eric Duncan: 0 for 4, 1 K - here’s what yesterday’s outfield collision with Austin Jackson looked like
Chris Stewart & Doug Bernier: both 1 for 3 – Stewart allowed a passed ball & was picked off first … Bernier K’ed
Casey Fossum: 6 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 2 BB, 4 K, 1 HB, 7-5 GB/FB – 48 of 82 pitches were strikes (58.5%) … picked a runner off first .. served up a solo jack to an ex-Yank
Anthony Claggett: 3 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 1 K, 5-3 GB/FB – 21 of 30 pitches were strikes (70%)
RAB on RBI Radio
Posted by: | CommentsJust wanted to mention that I’m going to be on RBI Radio around 9:20 tonight to talk about the Yanks. You can listen live by clicking here. Things are going pretty well now, so it should be a good show. Check it out.
Game 52 Spillover Thread
Posted by: | CommentsI blame A-Rod for the end of the errorless streak.
Game 52: Small Sample Size Alert
Posted by: | CommentsNews of the Yankees lineup usually drops sometime around 3, 3:30ish for a 7:00 game. Usually there are no surprises. Yeah, sometimes we get a curveball with Angel Berroa in the lineup, but those are few and far between. Girardi has apparently settled on a certain lineup scheme this year, and he’s sticking with it for the most part. However, upon seeing today’s lineup I had to scratch my head a little, for Nick Swisher was sitting.
Now, I’ve long advocated giving Swish a few days off during his skid. With Melky Cabrera claiming the everyday CF role and with Brett Gardner hitting decently of late, the Yanks could afford to rest the slumping Swish a few times, hopefully helping him get out of his funk. Yet last night Swisher showed signs of a breakout, smacking two doubles including the go-ahead one with the bases loaded in the seventh. One would think that would earn him a start today — wait, scratch that. He’s already the regular starter, so one would think that his performance wouldn’t be cause for a day off.
Yet that’s just what happened. The lineup came out, and Swisher was nowhere to be found. This struck me as odd, and I said so on the Twitter feed. I got a bunch of responses talking about Swisher’s track record against Padilla: 1 for 15 with five strikeouts. So what? Fifteen freaking at bats? That’s a nothing sample. Just read what PeteAbe said about it:
Swisher finally seems to have his swing intact. Why screw him up against a pitcher he obviously can’t hit? Let Gardner start and when the Rangers go to the bullpen, you have Swisher ready and waiting for an at-bat or two.
A pitcher he obviously can’t hit? Nothing is obvious in 15 at bats. If Girardi wants to sit Swish, fine. As Pete also says (and with which I totally, 100%, no doubt agree), “The Yankees have won 15 of 19, let’s give the manager the benefit of the doubt, shall we?” I do like Joe Girardi as manager of this team, and I like him a lot. I sincerely hope he didn’t base this decision on 15 measly at bats.
That said, Brett Gardner has been fine recently and there’s nothing wrong with starting him. Starting Damon is a given because he had last night off, as is Melky because of his absence over the weekend. So please don’t mistake. I’m not complaining about Swisher on the bench, per se. I just don’t want to see him sitting because of a tiny, minuscule, insignificant sample against Padilla. Not to mention, Of those 19 plate appearances, 18 came in 2006 and one came in 2007. So Nick Swisher’s sitting because of something that happened three years ago? Give me a break.
Anyway, enough of the complaining/debunking. Onto the lineups:
1. Derek Jeter, SS
2. Johnny Damon, LF
3. Mark Teixeira, 1B
4. Alex Rodriguez, 3B
5. Robinson Cano, 2B
6. Jorge Posada, C
7. Hideki Matsui, DH
8. Melky Cabrera, RF
9. Brett Gardner, CF
And on the mound, number thirty-four, A.J. Burnett.


