Archive for July, 2009
Eastern League All-Stars announced
Posted by: | CommentsAll-Star teams for the Double-A Eastern League were announced today, and Zach McAllister, Josh Schmidt, Reegie Corona, Eduardo Nunez and Jorge Vazquez will represent Trenton with the Northern Division club. McAllister and Vazquez were voted in by the fans. Here’s the Southern Division squad. Double-A Trenton manager Tony Franklin and the rest of his coaching staff will run the team since they won the league title last year.
The game is being played at Trenton’s Waterfront Park on Wednesday, July 15th, so if you’re nearby or just want to check out some of the very best young players in the game, here’s a chance to do so without too much hastle.
Looking at the Yankees in June
Posted by: | CommentsIn many regards, the Yankees had a frustrating month of June. They went 15-11, their second-best monthly total of the season, but with tough losses against the Nationals and Marlins as well as another sweep at the hands of the Red Sox, June seemed almost to be a disappointment. As we turn the calendar over to July and the dog days of summer, let’s see how the Yanks performed last month.
We start on the mound. For the month, the Yanks’ hurlers were outstanding. The pitchers sported a combine ERA of 3.55 and a WHIP of 1.228. Both figures are season lows. The staff also supported a K/9 IP of 8.5 and K/BB ratio of 2.47. The bullpen, an Achilles’ Heel early on, sported a 2.46 ERA. The breakdown is as follows:
| Name | G | IP | W | L | ERA | WHIP | H | BB | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Coke | 14 | 12.2 | 0 | 0 | 0.71 | 0.632 | 5 | 3 | 14 |
| Alfredo Aceves | 9 | 13.2 | 2 | 0 | 1.32 | 1.098 | 11 | 4 | 10 |
| Philip Hughes | 8 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1.38 | 0.615 | 5 | 3 | 16 |
| Jose Veras | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.80 | 0.80 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| A.J. Burnett | 5 | 30 | 3 | 2 | 2.10 | 1.30 | 23 | 16 | 35 |
| David Robertson | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2.70 | 1.20 | 7 | 5 | 16 |
| Mariano Rivera | 11 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3.27 | 0.818 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
| C.C. Sabathia | 5 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 3.77 | 0.968 | 23 | 7 | 22 |
| Joba Chamberlain | 6 | 35.2 | 2 | 1 | 3.79 | 1.346 | 33 | 15 | 27 |
| Andy Pettitte | 5 | 26.2 | 2 | 2 | 5.06 | 1.725 | 33 | 13 | 27 |
| Brian Bruney | 6 | 4.2 | 1 | 0 | 5.79 | 1.929 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Brett Tomko | 7 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 6.00 | 1.167 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
| Chien-Ming Wang | 5 | 22.2 | 1 | 3 | 6.35 | 1.676 | 28 | 10 | 19 |
What really jumps out at me are the walks. After issuing 112 free passes in 254.1 May innings — or nearly 4 per 9 IP — the staff held the walks to 3.44 per 9 IP. The strike outs go up, the walks go down, and everyone is happy.
On an individual level, the Phil’s and Al Aceves led the charge from the bullpen. The three of them combined for 39.1 innings, 40 strike outs and just five earned runs. Mariano nailed down nine saves, and outside of one bad start in Boston, A.J. Burnett dominated June.
How then did the Yankees managed to finish just four games over .500 for the month? The offense wasn’t nearly as good as the pitching. For June, the Yanks hit just .253/.354/.433, and their OPS was nearly .060 lower than it was in May. They may have allowed just 102 runs in June, but they scored only 140. They also ran into some bad luck as their Pythagorean expectation pegged them for 17 wins this month.
| Name | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | SB | BA | OBP | SLG | GDP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Ransom | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .400 | .400 | .600 | 0 |
| Brett Gardner | 58 | 48 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | .333 | .439 | .479 | 0 |
| Mark Teixeira | 115 | 95 | 14 | 25 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 1 | .263 | .391 | .495 | 3 |
| Nick Swisher | 95 | 79 | 12 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | .253 | .379 | .506 | 5 |
| Johnny Damon | 98 | 85 | 16 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 3 | .271 | .367 | .518 | 1 |
| Ramiro Pena | 22 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | .333 | .364 | .476 | 0 |
| Derek Jeter | 99 | 87 | 17 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | .310 | .394 | .414 | 4 |
| Alex Rodriguez | 106 | 82 | 13 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 2 | .207 | .387 | .415 | 3 |
| Hideki Matsui | 66 | 54 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | .204 | .348 | .407 | 0 |
| Jorge Posada | 85 | 73 | 11 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | .233 | .329 | .411 | 0 |
| Robinson Cano | 107 | 100 | 14 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 2 | .270 | .308 | .410 | 5 |
| Melky Cabrera | 94 | 80 | 11 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | .225 | .312 | .375 | 1 |
| Francisco Cervelli | 27 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .240 | .269 | .400 | 0 |
| Angel Berroa | 11 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .100 | .182 | .200 | 0 |
The main cause of this offensive malaise were a series of slumps. A-Rod, Hideki, Jorge, Robbie and Melky all had sub-par months, and A-Rod with a .190 BABIP really struggled until the final week.
But now June is over, and July is upon us. The Yankees have won six in a row and a primed for a run at first place. If the pitching can replicate its June success and the bats resembled the last six June games instead of the first 20, this team should be in the driver’s seat until the All Star Break and beyond.
July 2nd Signing Period Primer
Posted by: | CommentsESPN’s Jorge Arangure Jr. has a post up (behind the Insider wall, unfortunately) updating us on all of the recent international free agent stuff. He says the Yanks have been linked to more players than any other team, mostly because they invite pretty much everyone to work out at their Dominican academy. We know they’ve already come to an agreement with catcher Gary Sanchez for $2.5M, but they’re also interested in outfielders Leonardo Fuentes and Jose Alberto Pena, righthander Cristopher Cabrera and shortstop Daimian Arredondo. The Yanks have also been connected to Cuban defectors Jose Iglesias and Noel Arguelles, a second baseman and a lefty pitcher, respectively. And, of course, they’re in on megaprospect Miguel Sano.
Teams can sign amateurs at least 16 years of age starting tomorrow. Don’t miss my talk with Baseball America’s Ben Badler about what he thinks the Yanks could do. Here’s Ben’s list of the top 25 prospects available this year.
Quick Hits: Yankee Stadium, Mariano, Halsey, IIATMS
Posted by: | CommentsA few links that either A) are on subjects which have been beaten to death, or B) aren’t the stuff full posts are made of.
- Dave Allen of FanGraphs looks at the home runs in the new Yankee Stadium by analyzing home runs per ball in air rate by angle. In terms of home run rates he finds no difference in left field, and only a slight increase in right — for right-handed batters. For lefties there’s a significant statistical difference. He concludes: “So it could be that there have just been more power lefties hitting at Yankee Stadium this year compared to 2005-2008. But since the largest increase in HR rate is in the same area of largest outfield fence change I think it is that fence change that is responsible.”
- Meanwhile, at ESPN.com, Tristan Cockcroft tackles the same topic. His is less technical, as he focused more on the narrative of the Yankee Stadium home run pace. He does dig up an interesting tidbit: while there have been 12 home runs hit at the new Stadium which wouldn’t have left the old park, there have also been seven hits in the new yard which would have left the old one. Contrary to Allen, Cockcroft says, without much more than a hittrackeronline.com notation, “the difference in dimensions alone cannot explain this home run surge.”
- Mike Ashmore catches up with former Yank Brad Halsey, who is currently pitching for the Long Island Ducks — and not doing so hot. It appears his torn labrum in 2007 has caused considerable damage to his career.
- Over at Beyond the Boxscore, an experiment based on the almost-trade of Mariano. It looks at the target, David Wells, vs. Mo, based on wins above replacement. Mo is handicapped because of his limited innings in the pen, but even so he matches up well with Wells. Think about it this way: in terms of WAR, the greatest closer of all time matches up with a good, but not great, starter. You can speak to intangibles all you want, and there’s no doubt there are many at play, but in terms of value added to the team, it takes one helluva reliever to match a middle of the rotation starter.
- Make sure to stop by and say hi to Jason, as It’s About the Money, Stupid has some new digs.
Getting up to speed with Joba Chamberlain
Posted by: | CommentsThe Pitch F/X chart of Joba’s fastball velocity over time. (Click to enlarge in a new window)
As Joba Chamberlain skyrocketed his way through the Yankee organization as a starter, the book on him was velocity. During his 2006 appearance in the Hawaiian leagues, Joba was, according to Baseball America’s 2007 prospect list, sitting at 94-97 with his fastball.
The following year, John Manuel had even more glowing praise to offer the Yanks’ youngster. “He reached 100 mph with his fastball as a reliever,” Manuel wrote as he anointed Joba as the Yanks’ top prospect in 2008, “and more impressively can sit at 96-97 mph when he starts.”
Last season, as the Yanks transitioned Joba from Major League reliever to a Major League starter, we saw the velocity and the stuff with our own eyes. Pitching out of the rotation from June until August 4, Joba lived in the upper 90s. His fastball would range from around 94 mph to 100, occasionally dipping lower but not by much. His average was always at 95 or above.
As we all know, on August 4, disaster struck. Joba had to leave a start in Texas — the same mound upon which Phil Hughes ruptured his hamstring in 2007 — with a sore shoulder. He would miss much of August and would return to the bullpen in September. Outside of one or two appearances, his velocity in September was far lower than it had been as a starter in 2008 or as a reliever in 2007 and 2008. He was sitting in the low 90s with peaks at around 97 and an average of around 92. On the season, his final fastball average was 95.2.
This year has seen Joba pick up where he left off in September. Early on in the season, I raised an eyebrow at Joba’s velocity but chalked it up to April. Power pitchers can take a few starts to warm up, and as April turned to May, Joba’s fastball creeped up past those 95- and 96-mph marks. And then it didn’t.
Two back-to-back starts at the end of May and beginning of June highlighted the velocity discrepancies. Against the Rangers in May, Joba’s fastball averaged just over 90 mph, and he peaked around 93. Against the Indians five days later, he had the best fastball of the year, averaging just under 95 and peaking at just over 97. He hasn’t really reached that level yet.
Last night, as the game wore on, Michael Kay, Kenny Singleton and Paul O’Neill noted that Joba’s velocity just wasn’t there. While Joba dialed it up to 95.3 at one point, the velocity histogram from Pitch F/X shows that he was sitting mostly below 91. On the night, his average velocity was again at 92 mph.
At this point, I don’t know what to make of this, and I don’t know why Joba has seemingly lost three miles per hour on his fastball following a shoulder injury last August. If he were hurt, the Yanks wouldn’t be sending him out there every five days, and the team has to be aware of this dip in velocity as well.
For now, it’s not hurting the Yanks. They’re 10-5 in games Joba starts, and while he’s not giving them distance, he’s still striking out better than eight men per nine innings pitched. It’s worth noting too that his breaking pitches haven’t seen a concurrent drop in velocity either. In fact, his curveball is a bit faster this year than it was last year. That’s a different topic altogether but one that could explain Joba’s problems putting hitters away.
Furthermore, moving Joba to the bullpen simply isn’t the answer. If his velocity is lower now as a starter than it was last year also as a starter, it is illogical to assume that he would magically rediscover six or eight miles per hour as a reliever.
As I said, I have no answers. I don’t even know if we should worry about it, per se. It’s something to watch as the season drags on, and if, by the end of the year, the velocity hasn’t returned, then we can start to wonder about the long-term implications of Joba Chamberlain’s Amazing Disappearing Fastball.



