Sep
02

Another reason to exercise patience with Joba

By

Joba Chamberlain is not currently a pleasant topic among Yankees fans. After three stellar starts to open the second half, he’s been on a slide since, pitching 23 innings and allowing 21 runs in August. His 18:15 K/BB ratio is not pretty either, nor is his .914 OPS against.

While the times haven’t been kind to Joba, many of us are still looking forward to his potential. This is why, to answer a commenter, why he gets so much attention. Poor results don’t take away from his potential as a front-line pitcher. It just means that he’s not accomplishing that at this moment — as a 23-year-old in his second full major league season.

How much patience should the Yankees exercise? Jonathan Lehman of the NY Post points to another young starter who came up as a reliever, then transitioned to the rotation: St. Louis’s Adam Wainwright. At age 24 he began the season in the Cardinals bullpen and moved himself into the closer’s role by season’s end. He was a revelation out there — much like Chamberlain, but over a longer period. The Cardinals then transitioned him back to the rotation, and he’s been a solid contributor ever since.

There are definitely differences between each player’s path leading to and through the majors. Wainwright, a 2000 draftee, didn’t even get a cup of coffee until 2005, and then came up full-time in 2006. This means he spent almost five full seasons in the minors. Joba, a 2006 draftee, spent May through July in the Yankees’ minor league system, missing April with a hamstring injury, and then being called up in August.

Joba dominated out of the gate as a starter in 2008, while Wainwright, despite his more than acceptable ERA, struggled at times. He allowed more than a hit an inning, his walk rate was up, and his strikeout rate was down by 2.5 per nine. Wainwright then showed some improvement the next year, though he spent some time on the DL, while Joba has seemingly regressed a bit in his sophomore campaign.

Most importantly, it appears that the Cardinals did a good job of keeping Wainwright’s innings in check. His 202 innings in 2007 might seem like a huge jump from the 76 he pitched out of the bullpen in 2006, but in 2005 Wainwright tossed 182 innings. He had tossed around 160 innings in 2001 and 2002, making the jump to 182 in 2005 easier to take. To that end, Wainwright has been mostly healthy in the majors, save for a finger sprain in 2008.

At age 27, Wainwright is experiencing what could be a Cy Young season. It wasn’t an easy path there, but the Cardinals were patient with their 6’7″ hurler, and it’s paying off now. Keep in mind, when Wainwright was Chamberlain’s age he had just two major league innings under his belt. He had just finished up a season in AAA in which he pitched 182 innings of 4.40 ERA ball. In 133.2 innings, that’s just about Joba’s ERA now, except he’s doing it at the major league level.

It’s easy to be down on Joba now. He hasn’t pitched well in a month. The Yankees odd handling of him, while completely defensible from a development standpoint, is unfamiliar and is the cause of even more criticism. I don’t think this string of bad starts, even when combined with his other poor outings this year, takes away from his long-term potential. Young pitchers go through growing pains, and patience is necessary. The Cardinals exercised it with Wainwright, and now they have a Cy Young candidate on their hands. The Yankees could find themselves in a similar position a year or two from now.

Categories : Pitching

111 Comments»

  1. JSquared says:

    Finally, my Wainwright example gets its credit… YES!!

  2. Tom Zig says:

    Funny you should mention Adam Wainwright, the Post actually wrote a good piece on Joba. They actually advocated that Joba stay in the roatation (who woulda thunk it?)

    Solid work Joseph.

  3. Another reason to exercise patience with Joba

    http://vids.myspace.com/index......d=56675734

    The full episode. SWEET. If you were searching for a way to waste 21 minutes and 35 seconds, YOU JUST FOUND IT, BUDDY!!!

  4. A.D. says:

    ZOMG ALWAYS A POST ABOUT JOBA!!!!!!!

    In all seriousness, they should exercise plenty of patience, throwing out the “year” of professional ball in 2006, which was really pitching at Nebraska & then Hawaii, he has just under 3 seasons playing professional ball, of which he spent less than 1 in minors. He’s going to struggle with command and mechanics like everyone, and given he has ~250 career major league innings (about the same amount CC threw last year) he’s got plenty of ways to go.

    Keys are:
    He’s shown the dominating stuff, he’s show that he has the skills to go out and dominate everyone at the ML level so its just a matter of consistency.

    Despite his struggle his ERA is still under 4.50

    There’s a long line of guys with great stuff, came up, had their ups and downs, before settling out. This is normal

    Yankees can afford to take their time have their ups and downs.

  5. Amen to this entire post. Nice work, Joe.

  6. Bo says:

    He should get a lot of attention.

    Hes a 23 yr old pitcher with loads of talent and to top it off he has a dynamic personality.

    He hasnt had stage fright in NY and thats one of the things you need to see out of young pitchers (actually any pitcher) in NY.

  7. The lack of patience is, IMO, just a byproduct of many Yankee fans not having seen the development process of a young pitcher in a long, long time. Hopefully, Yankee fans can begin to be as patient as the players they root for are at the plate.

    That last line was so lame.

  8. Rockdog says:

    Good piece, good comments, good site. Fortunately, the Yankees realize that they have a potential front of the rotation starter and will be patient with him. BTW, (and I think you have done this), if you look at Joba’s numbers versus most top starters at his age, they don’t look half bad at all.

  9. chriskeo says:

    Since this is a post about Joba i dont think this question is too off topic: (i apologize if it is)
    Should i drop Joba in my fantasy league right now since he wont do much for me this season and I will not be keeping him for next season.

    • Why won’t you be keeping him for next season? If it’s not a keeper league, from a fantasy perspective, you’re better off finding a starter who will go innings with wins and strike outs right now. If it is a keeper league, hold onto Joba.

    • A.D. says:

      Assuming its a keeper league, guys like Joba are exactly the guys you scramble to get right now.

  10. Makavelli says:

    Fact: Joba Chamberlain pounds 2 Redbulls before he starts/enters a game.

    Maybe he should kick it up to 4…

  11. Some Stupid Troll says:

    Edited by RAB: Some people need new hobbies. Or a life.

  12. Teix is the Man says:

    Next year will be known as ‘the year of teh Joba,’ book it!

  13. JSquared says:

    Did anyone see the Joba Chamberlain to Felix Hernandez Comparison that was on ESPN after he pitched his 3 inning game?

    John Kruk… (as if he knew anything about pitching) was saying how Felix Hernandez has only been pithcing 4 years and Joba 3 years… which i don’t Understand if you’re counting Joba’s first Short year and this year, you should be counting Felix’s First short year and this year, which brings his total to 5…

    The comparison showed Total Innings pitched and Strikeouts and other statistics and Kruk said Joba should be able to pitch however many innings he can…

    As if i don’t hate John Kruk enough…

    • I saw a brief clip in which he compared the two. It was completely out of no where and I didn’t understand it at all. I guess he was saying Joba should be better ’cause he’s older? I have no idea what he meant by it.

      • Mike Pop says:

        Well, he was just saying how the M’s let Felix pitch or w/e and how Joba’s future role is uncertain(which could not be more wrong).

        Well, John. If Yankees didn’t fuck up and put him in the bullpen in 07, he WOULD most likely be pitching more innings right now.

        But like Ben said the other night, who gives a fuck about John Kruk. We really shouldn’t, or else he wins.

        We as Yankees fans, we can’t let John Kruk win.

  14. Reggie C. says:

    Does Joba have any comparables to current AL starters? i’m sure Wainwright is very impressive but I dont watch the Cards…till postseason of course. If Joba is never going to be as good as Verlander in terms of holding his stuff late in games, what do u guys think of a Josh Beckett comp? not original … i know

  15. Joba or Hughes to the pen says:

    Wainwright was a first round draft pick.Joba was a 2 round draft pick because of weight and injury issues.

    Yes lets be patience with Joba but he isn’t this Verlander guy that will dominate now.Joba like all Yankee prospects aren’t great there good.Stop overhyping Joba as a Tim Lincecum guy he isn’t and Hughes isn’t a Pitching Phenom either.

  16. Joseph M says:

    Joba has gone backwards. 2007 he was a big time weapon look at him today. Would anyone want to see Joba listed as the game 4 starter of the Championship Series or World Series. The Yanks should work him out of the pen for the rest of the season and maybe just maybe they can win this thing the way they did in 96 by shutting people down after the 6th inning.

  17. miketotheg says:

    Would you start Joba in a World Series game this year?

    just askin.

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