Nov
09

Fan Confidence Poll: November 9th, 2009

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Record Last Week: 1-1 (13 RS, 11 RA)
Season Record: 103-59 (915 RS, 753 RA), won AL East by 8 games, finished with the best record in MLB by 6 games, won 27th World Series

Top stories from last week:

Please take a second to answer the poll below and give us an idea of how confident you are in the team. You can view the Fan Confidence Graph anytime via the nav bar above, or by clicking here. Thanks in advance for voting.

Given the team's current roster construction, farm system, management, etc., how confident are you in the Yankees' overall future?
View Results
Categories : Polls

134 Comments»

  1. Voting a sentimental ten.

    Honestly, I’d say it’s between a 9 and a 9.5. It’ll be very interesting to see what they do in the coming weeks to sort out the OF/DH situation.

  2. Mike Pop says:

    Diez

  3. Jake H says:

    10 we just won the WS. You have to be a 10 until the offseason really starts.

    • Pete says:

      Not necessarily. There’s always holes to fill and improvements to make. The Yanks won it all in spite of some weaknesses, such as the lack of a reliable starter beyond CC, Andy or AJ.

      I voted an 8, and only because there’s still a lot of unresolved issues right now. That number will definitely change as the winter goes along, though.

      • Chris says:

        The Yanks won it all in spite of some weaknesses, such as the lack of a reliable starter beyond CC, Andy or AJ.

        I disagree with that statement. I think that Gaudin is as good a starter as Blanton, and possibly as good as Pedro. The difference is that the Yankees had the sense to not allow him to start in the playoffs.

        • Co-sign.

          (I actually think Blanton and Pedro are both better starters than Gaudin, but the difference is small enough that your general point is right. The Yankees have weaknesses in the same way that every team has weaknesses, but we have far fewer of them, and our strengths are strong enough to allow us to hide our weaknesses is ways other teams simply can’t.)

          • king of fruitless hypotheticals says:

            Tangent.

            Mo et al allow us to hide our weaknesses like nobody else can…distracted by explosions of sound and light that have nothing to do with fireworks from A-bombs from Matsui (my lifetime favorite Sterling comment) et the other al make it pretty easy to remember we’ve got Joba and Phil Phreakin’ Hughes as our 4 and 5 starters next year!!!

        • Chris C. says:

          Dude, the Yankees didn’t win because they started everyone on short rest and kept Gaudin out of the mix. They won because they have a tremendous line-up, and the Phillies have shitty pitching outside of Cliff Lee.

          I mean c’mon, Burnett and Pettitte pitched to a combined 10.55 era on short rest. The best thing you can say about that move is that it didn’t hurt the team.

          • Pete says:

            In all fairness, Pedro pitched a pretty decent Game 2 and Blanton was holding his own in Game 4. If Hamels is the Hamels of 2008, Phillies win Game 3 and it’s a different series.

            Not that the Yankees rotation would have looked any different…

      • Chris C. says:

        “Not necessarily. There’s always holes to fill and improvements to make. The Yanks won it all in spite of some weaknesses, such as the lack of a reliable starter beyond CC, Andy or AJ.”

        LMAO. The Yanks were 6-0 this season in ballgames started by Chad Gaudin. Just because Girardi didn’t want to start him in the postseason doesn’t make him dogshit.
        Truth is, Gaudin had a pretty nice season, and you’re calling him a weakness? Spoiled Yankee fan.

        • Pete says:

          I didn’t mention Gaudin specifically and I wasn’t implying that he was ‘dogshit’, all I said is that the 4th spot in the rotation was not a reliable one for the WS.

          That may *sound* spoiled, but you want to have at least one guy in the 4th game of a playoff series give you at least 5 innings, ala Joe Blanton.

          Gaudin looked good in spots, admittedly, but the need for his services didn’t arise until the World Series, and at that point he hadn’t pitched in a month. Would you *honestly* throw someone into a World Series Game 5 who hadn’t thrown a live pitch in a month?

  4. The Honorable Congressman Mondesi says:

    Ok you positive posse bastards, I voted a celebratory 10 this week. If ever there was a week to throw all evaluation rationales out the window, this is it.

  5. Frank1979 says:

    “Season Record: 103-59 (915 RS, 753 RA), won AL East by 8 games, finished with the best record in MLB by 6 games, won 27th World Series.”

    Translation: Total Domination.

    10.

  6. Jake H says:

    Really the poll should be only 10′s.

  7. 10, YOU JUST WON THE MOTHERFUCKING WORLD SERIES, BATMAN

  8. My confidence level: 10.

    If we go out and sign John Lackey and Matt Holliday, my confidence level will skyrocket up to an 8.

    • IF Holliday’d be willing to take a short term deal–2-4 years–I still think he’d be the best bet for LF. He can hit and can play defense (despite the NLDS). However, the chances of that happening are pretty damn slim.

      • IF Holliday’d be willing to take a short term deal–2-4 years–I still think he’d be the best bet for LF.

        I concede your point. If things were different, they wouldn’t be the same.

        However, the chances of that happening are pretty damn slim.

        Change “pretty damn slim” to “totally fucking impossible”, and then you’d have an accurate statement.

    • Doug says:

      MLBTR has us inking Lackey (well, at least Tim over there does). Personally, don’t see it. Can’t see us saddled with another 5/$80M+ pitching contract

  9. A.D. says:

    Unlike Mondesi I have self control, and thus I am staying 9.

  10. Andy in Sunny Daytona says:

    I love the fact that last week’s Confidence Poll was at a year high 9.27. I guess being only 1 win from a World Series title will give people confidence.

    • January 1 through Inning 8 of Game 6 of the World Series: “I’ve got a bad feeling about this team. We suck, we’re deeply flawed, we’re gonna crash and burn miserably. Confidence Level: 4″

      Inning 9 of Game 6 of the World Series: “This team totally rocks. Confidence Level: 10!”

      The day after Game 6 of the World Series: “We got lucky, this team still sucks, we’re deeply flawed, we’re gonna crash and burn miserably. Confidence Level: 4.1.”

  11. Drew says:

    I started the season at 8. About halfway through the season I moved up to 9. That’s what I voted again today. If and when Cashmoney signs A-rold I can see my self moving up to a ten. I’ll also move up to ten if we get one more young position player in AA or higher that shows serious potential.

  12. Jeremy says:

    I am at a lowly 9. I know, I am a terrible person.

    Here are my causes for “concern”:

    -AJ makes me nervous. I don’t like having a 1.4 WHIP pitcher who leads the league in walks and wild pitches as our #2.

    -Wang might never pitch for the Yankees again, which would be a damn shame.

    -Pettitte could retire, and he would be very tough to replace.

    I am not at all concerned about the lineup. The Yankees will figure something out when it comes to Damon, Matsui, or a big FA signing to replace them.

    • My retorts:

      -AJ makes me nervous. I don’t like having a 1.4 WHIP pitcher who leads the league in walks and wild pitches as our #2.

      That’s fair. However, If Andy comes back for another year, and Joba and Hughes continue on their normal development roads that all young starters experience, by this time next year, AJ might not be our #2 starter, he might be our #5 starter. No, that’s not hyperbole. Joba and Hughes are both thiiiiiiiiiiiisclose to dominance. With talented kids, sometimes it’s just a sudden flick of a lightswitch.

      -Wang might never pitch for the Yankees again, which would be a damn shame.

      Agreed. His loss may ultimately be no great shakes, though. Excepting Wang, we still have CC-AJ-Andy-Joba-Hughes right now, plus IPK-Gaudin-Mitre ready to contribute immediately, plus Nova-McAllister-Bleich-Vizcaino-Heredia-ManBan-Brackman-Betances all cooking on the back burner, and we’re the likely favorites to land Chapman. We’ve got arms.

      -Pettitte could retire, and he would be very tough to replace.

      Agreed. But, he’s not irreplaceable. I’d prefer not to replace him, but he’s far from irreplacable.

      • Jeremy says:

        I’d go as far as to say that Pettitte is irreplaceable, in that nowhere else can you find a guy who is a strong bet to give you about 200 innings and an above-average ERA on a one-year deal.

        He is not, however, indispensable.

      • Stan Van Jeremy says:

        by this time next year, AJ might not be our #2 starter, he might be our #5 starter. No, that’s not hyperbole. Joba and Hughes are both thiiiiiiiiiiiis close to dominance. With talented kids, sometimes it’s just a sudden flick of a lightswitch.

        Yes, that’s not homerism or anything. Joba sucked this year, and Hughes spent the last 4 months of the season in the bullpen. And yet you’re ready to say they might surpass Burnett in the rotation.

        I know you’re a pretty well of poster around here, but I can’t possibly agree with that sentiment at this point in time.

        • Jack says:

          Joba sucked this year

          From two threads over:

          For the first three months — and not coincidentally, through his first 110.2 innings — he was masterful. After 20 starts, Joba was 7-2 with a 3.58 ERA.

          He’ll be fine, he just ran out of gas.

  13. Daniel says:

    I voted 7. I’m a little bit concerned that it took 6 games to win the World Series.

    /Costanza’d

  14. The future that concerns me most is in the field down the road. I’ve got faith in the Yankees’ pitching prospects, mostly ’cause there are a good deal of them, but not too much in the position players outside of Jackson, Montero, and Romine.

  15. Reggie C. says:

    Confidence level = 10.

    Tim dierkes thinks the Yanks have serious enough rotation issues beyond CC and AJ such that Dierkes has John Lackey signing with the Yanks. Interesting take , but I think other squads will be more aggressive in pursuing Lackey.

    Under what scenario would anyone here think a Lackey signing makes sense?

  16. CountryClub says:

    We heard a lot during the season that Hal agreed to sign Tex only after Cash agreed to cut payroll this offseason.

    Now, who knows if that’s accurate or not. But it’s at least possible that the Yanks might not make any moves of consequence. I can read the rants from the Cashman haters now.

  17. Bob Turley (PMT) Rawlings says:

    Just don’t understand where the market for Johnny Damon is. He was invaluable for us this past season, but can’t see how other teams would shell out BIG bucks and multi-years for player who cannot throw at all and is a marginal/poor outfielder. He will return to Bronx for 1 or 2 years at severe pay cut.The Yankees are the only team he makes sense for.
    This is not a knock on JD; it’s just that in the curent economical environment he has limited value to other teams.

    • whozat says:

      Defensive evaluation is pretty poor in a lot of front offices, and a Proven Winner like Damon who just came off of a very good World Series and had overall excellent offensive numbers this season will tantalize front offices who want to show their fanbase they’re serious about winning.

    • Bob Stone says:

      Bobby Abreu just set the market number. Abreu is very similar to Damon in offense and defense and got 2 years, $19 million (with an $9 million option that vests with 550 PA’s and a $1 million buyout).

  18. steve s says:

    With the free agent list for 2010 and 11 as posted above and with all the non-tenders expected this year and in 10 and 11 baseball is fast approaching as reality the Charlie Finley idea of everyone is a free agent every year. Whatever you can say good or bad about him the man was way ahead of his time on this idea and many others.

    • Bob Stone says:

      Very true. He proposed raising the mound years before it happened in 1968 and also proposed using bright orange baseballs to increase offense and excitement in the game.

      He was the first to sell off big free agents like Vida Blue and Catfish Hunter.

      He was truly a visionary.

  19. vin says:

    My first 10. Fuck yeah!

  20. Dela G says:

    i voted a 1 because last week was a different era

    [/alex gonzalez’d

    jk, i voted a ten

  21. Riddering says:

    Confidence level for next year: 10.

    I cannot freaking wait for a rotation of CC-A.J.-Andy-Joba-Hughes with Montero, Jackson, and Champman DOTF.

    Confidence level in my ability to not go crazy this winter: -1.

  22. Bob Stone says:

    I’m with Matt ACTY/BBD and The Honorable Congressman Mondesi with a celebratory 10. But beyond the excitement and joy of our 27th Championship I am an 8-9 as we go into the offseason and will vote that way next week.

    There are so many variables up in the air between now and this time next year to really be at a 10 (unless you are tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside). There are so many question marks.

    The main questions are (not necessarily in this order):

    1) How will Joba perform as a starter.
    2) How will Hughes perform as a starter
    3) Matsui
    4) Damon
    5) Pettitte
    6) Multiple questions in the bull pen: Marte, D-Rob, Melancon, etc.
    7) What will other teams do? The Phillies are a damn good team with a few pieces that fell off the cliff, namely Lidge and Hamels and Ryan Howard. Can we beat that team if all three of those players had a GREAT series? Not to mention other teams we have to get past first (the Red Sox and Angels are not going to roll over and die and do nothing to improve).
    8) Wang – Will he return to his 19 Win/year form? If so When? Will the Yankees even take a chance on that?
    9) Injuries – We saw how devastating the loss of a player like Posada can be in 2008. We were fairly lucky in 2009. I keep my fingers crossed for the 2010 season as we have quite a few older players.
    10) Luck – There is an element of luck especially in the playoffs. Will we have it run with us or against us in 2010.

    I’m not even including questions about the farm system as I am looking at 2010 only. I can’t look beyond that because the 2010/2011 free agent class is so strong and anything can happen.

    I truly appreciate the optimists on this site but would love to see someone comprehensively justify a TRUE 10 rating at this point. I could accept it last week, but now we are in a new season and all bets are off.

    It’s going to be a fairly quiet off season for the Yankees in my opinion (especially compared to last year) and I am quietly optimistic for 2010.

    What a great year and a great Championship in 2009!

  23. Ross says:

    I don’t understand how this isn’t a 10 right now. If it wasn’t a 10 last week at this time and isn’t a 10 now, when would your confidence be a 10!?

    • Bob Stone says:

      As I stated just above, I was at a 10 last week and GAVE a celebratory 10 this week but I am really at an 8-9 for the future of the Yankees. I don’t understand how anyone could be higher than an 8 or 9 right now.

      • YankFan says:

        B/c of the other organizations question marks? Question marks that are greater than the Defending World Champion NYY.

        How does Boston improve their offense? And that’s if they even stay status quo w/ Bay.
        Does LA/Anaheim/Orange County sign their FA’s? If not, who replaces them?
        Does Hamels come back? Who’s their 3rd starter in Philly?
        Does St. Louis resign Holiday or DeRosa? How do they get replaced?
        LA Torres pitching staff? Does Manny get back to being Manny?

        And those are the better teams after the NYY.

        • Bob Stone says:

          Granted . . . the Yankees do have fewer questions than other teams. But there are many variables in play that could run in favor or against the Yankees bewteen now and this time next year.

          My point is that to be a a TRUE 10 right now, you’d have to feel GUARANTEED that everything falls the Yankees way. And as much of an optimist as I am, we don’t live in a perfect world (ie where everything goes the Yankee’s way every year). That’s a good thing. It wouldn’t even be sporting or any fun if the Yankees were guaranteed a World Championship every year. If that was the case everyone would stop watching (including me) and baseball would disappear.

          You’ve made a halfway decent argument to somewhat refute my point #7, but you have a long way to go to justify being at Confidence Level 10.

        • andrew says:

          According to our our friends who run RAB, we should NEVER, EVER make our decisions based on another team. Although they usually are referring to player acquisitions, I think it applies here as well. Just because the Sox have issues, doesn’t mean the Yankees don’t have issues as well. I won’t say i’m at a confidence level of 10 just because i think the sox are at an 8.

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