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	<title>Comments on: 2009 Yankees didn&#8217;t fare well in one-run games, blowouts</title>
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	<link>http://riveraveblues.com/2010/02/2009-yankees-didnt-fare-well-in-one-run-games-blowouts-23480/</link>
	<description>A New York Yankees Blog</description>
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		<title>By: hutch</title>
		<link>http://riveraveblues.com/2010/02/2009-yankees-didnt-fare-well-in-one-run-games-blowouts-23480/#comment-768561</link>
		<dc:creator>hutch</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Feb 2010 03:59:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://riveraveblues.com/?p=23480#comment-768561</guid>
		<description>&quot;With regard to run differential, I think you can remove Wang’s starts from the equation because he was obviously pitching with an injury.&quot;

Actually, Wang had essentially no effect whatsoever on the overall record: he contributed to two +5 losses and one +5 win. (See schedule/dates below)

And, the oddity here is that the Yankees performed BETTER pre-ASB in +5 RD games, than they did post-ASB when they had the overall best record in baseball in the May-Sept period:

Pre-ASB Record: 15-8
Post-ASB Record: 16-11

So, really the question is what was different in the second half than the first (and it&#039;s strange because the team had the best record from May, what 15th on?).

Statistical Anomaly Alert:

Months with the fewest +5 results -- June (5) and July (5)
Months with the most: August (12) and September (11)


** CMW Pitching

4/6 (l)
4/9 (w)
4/11 (w)
4/13 (l) **
4/14 (w)
4/16 (l)
4/18 (l) **
4/25 (l)
4/28 (w)
5/9 (l)
5/13 (w)
5/19 (w)
5/20 (w)
5/25 (w)
5/27 (w) ** (Relief App)
5/30 (w)
6/2 (w)
6/9 (l)
6/14 (w)
6/26 (w)
6/27 (w)
7/7 (w)
7/11 (l)

15-8


7/24 (w)
7/27 (w)
7/31 (l)
8/1 (l)
8/6 (w)
8/8 (w)
8/13 (w)
8/16 (l)
8/18 (w)
8/21 (w)
8/22 (l)
8/26 (w)
8/27 (l)
8/29 (w)
8/30 (w)
9/2 (w)
9/4 (l)
9/6 (l)
9/7 (w)
9/11 (l)
9/13 (w)
9/15 (l)
9/19 (w)
9/20 (l)
9/28 (w)
10/2 (l)
10/4 (w)

16-11

btw, somewhere either I&#039;m missing a +5 game or they counted 1 too many as I see 31-18 record in blowouts.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;With regard to run differential, I think you can remove Wang’s starts from the equation because he was obviously pitching with an injury.&#8221;</p>
<p>Actually, Wang had essentially no effect whatsoever on the overall record: he contributed to two +5 losses and one +5 win. (See schedule/dates below)</p>
<p>And, the oddity here is that the Yankees performed BETTER pre-ASB in +5 RD games, than they did post-ASB when they had the overall best record in baseball in the May-Sept period:</p>
<p>Pre-ASB Record: 15-8<br />
Post-ASB Record: 16-11</p>
<p>So, really the question is what was different in the second half than the first (and it&#8217;s strange because the team had the best record from May, what 15th on?).</p>
<p>Statistical Anomaly Alert:</p>
<p>Months with the fewest +5 results &#8212; June (5) and July (5)<br />
Months with the most: August (12) and September (11)</p>
<p>** CMW Pitching</p>
<p>4/6 (l)<br />
4/9 (w)<br />
4/11 (w)<br />
4/13 (l) **<br />
4/14 (w)<br />
4/16 (l)<br />
4/18 (l) **<br />
4/25 (l)<br />
4/28 (w)<br />
5/9 (l)<br />
5/13 (w)<br />
5/19 (w)<br />
5/20 (w)<br />
5/25 (w)<br />
5/27 (w) ** (Relief App)<br />
5/30 (w)<br />
6/2 (w)<br />
6/9 (l)<br />
6/14 (w)<br />
6/26 (w)<br />
6/27 (w)<br />
7/7 (w)<br />
7/11 (l)</p>
<p>15-8</p>
<p>7/24 (w)<br />
7/27 (w)<br />
7/31 (l)<br />
8/1 (l)<br />
8/6 (w)<br />
8/8 (w)<br />
8/13 (w)<br />
8/16 (l)<br />
8/18 (w)<br />
8/21 (w)<br />
8/22 (l)<br />
8/26 (w)<br />
8/27 (l)<br />
8/29 (w)<br />
8/30 (w)<br />
9/2 (w)<br />
9/4 (l)<br />
9/6 (l)<br />
9/7 (w)<br />
9/11 (l)<br />
9/13 (w)<br />
9/15 (l)<br />
9/19 (w)<br />
9/20 (l)<br />
9/28 (w)<br />
10/2 (l)<br />
10/4 (w)</p>
<p>16-11</p>
<p>btw, somewhere either I&#8217;m missing a +5 game or they counted 1 too many as I see 31-18 record in blowouts.</p>
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		<title>By: king of fruitless hypotheticals</title>
		<link>http://riveraveblues.com/2010/02/2009-yankees-didnt-fare-well-in-one-run-games-blowouts-23480/#comment-768421</link>
		<dc:creator>king of fruitless hypotheticals</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Feb 2010 21:39:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://riveraveblues.com/?p=23480#comment-768421</guid>
		<description>Let me fix that for you, since you don&#039;t want to do the math:

One word: “Mo”

Fixed.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Let me fix that for you, since you don&#8217;t want to do the math:</p>
<p>One word: “Mo”</p>
<p>Fixed.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: BomberBanter.com</title>
		<link>http://riveraveblues.com/2010/02/2009-yankees-didnt-fare-well-in-one-run-games-blowouts-23480/#comment-768384</link>
		<dc:creator>BomberBanter.com</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Feb 2010 21:07:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://riveraveblues.com/?p=23480#comment-768384</guid>
		<description>OK, let me re phrase:
&quot;Ha, while I was reading this, I couldn’t help but think of Chien-Ming Wang, and it looks like I’m not alone.&quot;

Tommie, you should have - it would have been well deserved - and well played.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>OK, let me re phrase:<br />
&#8220;Ha, while I was reading this, I couldn’t help but think of Chien-Ming Wang, and it looks like I’m not alone.&#8221;</p>
<p>Tommie, you should have &#8211; it would have been well deserved &#8211; and well played.</p>
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		<title>By: BomberBanter.com</title>
		<link>http://riveraveblues.com/2010/02/2009-yankees-didnt-fare-well-in-one-run-games-blowouts-23480/#comment-768382</link>
		<dc:creator>BomberBanter.com</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Feb 2010 21:06:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://riveraveblues.com/?p=23480#comment-768382</guid>
		<description>who was in the bullpen when they dropped hughes in there?  Jose Veras?  Edwar Ramirez?  not exactly a cast of all stars.  they let Veras go and Ramirez hardly pitched for the rest of the year.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>who was in the bullpen when they dropped hughes in there?  Jose Veras?  Edwar Ramirez?  not exactly a cast of all stars.  they let Veras go and Ramirez hardly pitched for the rest of the year.</p>
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		<title>By: tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Archimedes Torquemada</title>
		<link>http://riveraveblues.com/2010/02/2009-yankees-didnt-fare-well-in-one-run-games-blowouts-23480/#comment-768380</link>
		<dc:creator>tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Archimedes Torquemada</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Feb 2010 21:05:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://riveraveblues.com/?p=23480#comment-768380</guid>
		<description>&lt;b&gt;Ha, while I was reading this, I couldn’t help but think of Wang, and it looks like I’m not alone. &lt;/b&gt;

... nah, too easy.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><b>Ha, while I was reading this, I couldn’t help but think of Wang, and it looks like I’m not alone. </b></p>
<p>&#8230; nah, too easy.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: BomberBanter.com</title>
		<link>http://riveraveblues.com/2010/02/2009-yankees-didnt-fare-well-in-one-run-games-blowouts-23480/#comment-768377</link>
		<dc:creator>BomberBanter.com</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Feb 2010 21:03:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://riveraveblues.com/?p=23480#comment-768377</guid>
		<description>Ha, while I was reading this, I couldn&#039;t help but think of Wang, and it looks like I&#039;m not alone.  Obviously, the Yankees used some under qualified starting pitchers last year:  Wang stunk, Hughes wasn&#039;t that good, Joba had some good starts but struggled, Mitre and Gaudan were not good...  With the addition of Javier Vazquez, you figure you&#039;re only worried about the 5th starter, or maybe 30+ starts during the year as opposed to 60+, so the Yankees&#039; pitching will probably surrender a lot fewer blow out loses.
One easy way to guess at a team&#039;s record is to look at their record from the year before (say 2008, 89 wins) and then look at the roster fluctuation (added Burnett, Sabathia and Teixeira), which you can easily call an improvement over who they replaced and guess how many more wins these guys were good for.  Now there are advanced stats you can use to calculate this, but I think it&#039;s just easier to guess; 2 for each guy seemed reasonable to me, and I picked the Yankees to win 95 games. This didn&#039;t take into account other teams&#039; roster fluctuations or the Yankees improvements in other areas (bullpen, defense), and the Yankees jacked it up to 103 wins.  But, wins aren&#039;t everything - the 04 Yankees won over 100 games, and take a look at that roster; the 09 yankees would DESTROY the 04 Yankees in a 7 games series and mess them up so bad their mothers wouldn&#039;t recognize them in a 5 game series.  Both 04 and 09 were pretty close in win totals, yet the 09 team is so much better.  strangely enough, it seems as though wins aren&#039;t everything.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ha, while I was reading this, I couldn&#8217;t help but think of Wang, and it looks like I&#8217;m not alone.  Obviously, the Yankees used some under qualified starting pitchers last year:  Wang stunk, Hughes wasn&#8217;t that good, Joba had some good starts but struggled, Mitre and Gaudan were not good&#8230;  With the addition of Javier Vazquez, you figure you&#8217;re only worried about the 5th starter, or maybe 30+ starts during the year as opposed to 60+, so the Yankees&#8217; pitching will probably surrender a lot fewer blow out loses.<br />
One easy way to guess at a team&#8217;s record is to look at their record from the year before (say 2008, 89 wins) and then look at the roster fluctuation (added Burnett, Sabathia and Teixeira), which you can easily call an improvement over who they replaced and guess how many more wins these guys were good for.  Now there are advanced stats you can use to calculate this, but I think it&#8217;s just easier to guess; 2 for each guy seemed reasonable to me, and I picked the Yankees to win 95 games. This didn&#8217;t take into account other teams&#8217; roster fluctuations or the Yankees improvements in other areas (bullpen, defense), and the Yankees jacked it up to 103 wins.  But, wins aren&#8217;t everything &#8211; the 04 Yankees won over 100 games, and take a look at that roster; the 09 yankees would DESTROY the 04 Yankees in a 7 games series and mess them up so bad their mothers wouldn&#8217;t recognize them in a 5 game series.  Both 04 and 09 were pretty close in win totals, yet the 09 team is so much better.  strangely enough, it seems as though wins aren&#8217;t everything.</p>
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		<title>By: Templeton "Brendog" Peck</title>
		<link>http://riveraveblues.com/2010/02/2009-yankees-didnt-fare-well-in-one-run-games-blowouts-23480/#comment-768364</link>
		<dc:creator>Templeton "Brendog" Peck</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Feb 2010 20:56:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://riveraveblues.com/?p=23480#comment-768364</guid>
		<description>2nd&#039;d</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>2nd&#8217;d</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Zack</title>
		<link>http://riveraveblues.com/2010/02/2009-yankees-didnt-fare-well-in-one-run-games-blowouts-23480/#comment-768362</link>
		<dc:creator>Zack</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Feb 2010 20:53:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://riveraveblues.com/?p=23480#comment-768362</guid>
		<description>no i understand, but the danger is that we take their run differential with a grain of salt but we often forget about other teams because we dont pay attention to their Anthony Claggets or injured SP messing up the run differential.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>no i understand, but the danger is that we take their run differential with a grain of salt but we often forget about other teams because we dont pay attention to their Anthony Claggets or injured SP messing up the run differential.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Archimedes Torquemada</title>
		<link>http://riveraveblues.com/2010/02/2009-yankees-didnt-fare-well-in-one-run-games-blowouts-23480/#comment-768346</link>
		<dc:creator>tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Archimedes Torquemada</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Feb 2010 20:32:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://riveraveblues.com/?p=23480#comment-768346</guid>
		<description>Hell yeah.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hell yeah.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Matt Imbrogno</title>
		<link>http://riveraveblues.com/2010/02/2009-yankees-didnt-fare-well-in-one-run-games-blowouts-23480/#comment-768345</link>
		<dc:creator>Matt Imbrogno</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 05 Feb 2010 20:27:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://riveraveblues.com/?p=23480#comment-768345</guid>
		<description>http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JOfXc1haEoA (safe)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JOfXc1haEoA" rel="nofollow">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JOfXc1haEoA</a> (safe)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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