Apr
05
Fan Confidence Poll: April 5th, 2010
ByRecord Last Week: 0-1 (7 RS, 9 RA)
Season Record: 0-1 (7 RS, 9 RA), 1.0 game back
Opponents This Week: Monday OFF, @ Red Sox (two games, Tues. & Weds.), Thursday OFF, @ Rays (three games, Fri. to Sun.)
Top stories from last week:
- After a long offseason, the 2010 season started and the Yankees began to defend their World Championship. There’s a great deal of history in store this year, but unfortunately it started with a loss to the Red Sox when the pitching let the team down.
- The Yankees are skipping Phil Hughes’ first start and will exercise patience when he struggles.
- The team suffered a rash of minor injuries during the last week of Spring Training, including a sore back for Al Aceves and a cranky shoulder for Damaso Marte. Thankfully everyone finished healthy and the team broke camp with the 25-man roster we all anticipated. For a while it looked like Boone Logan would make the team.
- Chad Moeller was brought back on a minor league deal to upgrade the third catcher situation.
- The team sent a scout to watch Yu Darvish in case he wants to come to the States.
- Alan Horne, once one of the team’s best prospects, will miss the year with a torn rotator cuff.
- MLB’s brass was happy after talking to Alex Rodriguez about Dr. Galea.
- YES reached an in-market streaming deal with Time Warner, and are debuting new graphics this season.
- We announced our plans for the 2010 RAB Pledge Drive. Please consider pledging if you haven’t already.
Please take a second to answer the poll below and give us an idea of how confident you are in the team. You can view the Fan Confidence Graph anytime via the nav bar above, or by clicking here. Thanks in advance for voting.
Given the team's current roster construction, farm system, management, etc., how confident are you in the Yankees' overall future?
102 Comments»
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Confidence Level: 8.
twenty – 8?
Sadly, no.
I mean, yes, I think we’ll win title #28 this year.
My overall confidence level remains an 8, though.
Confidence Level= 7
Worried about Joba. Worried about the impatience with young pitchers going forward. Worried about why they seem to have so little confidence in Robertson.
D-Rob blew last night’s game. Gave the midget a pitch right where he likes it. Or terrible scouting.
Robertson didn’t face Pedroia last night.
That was awesome. You definitely didn’t watch the game.
Yeah, this is already my favorite comment of the day.
Don’t let historical accuracies get in the way of a good rant (or war).
Still an 8. Can’t tell much about a team from one game.
Farm system still has issues, but those can be resolved if people develop as expected this year.
Was pleasantly surprised to hear Granderson draw a walk against Okajima.
Still an 8. Can’t tell much about a team from one game.
Nods in agreement.
Here comes the overreaction
93 votes in and we already have:
One vote of 6
Three votes of 5
One vote of 4
One votes of 2
Four votes of 1
7.78 average after 102 votes is almost a 1/2 point lower than just last week (8.24)
And an “8″ from an eternal opptomist.
8, nothing to do with last night, really more about the handling of young pitching
This. The offense is great and it’s not even firing on all cylinders. Pitching will improve during the season. No concerns about them.
Only thing bothering me is how you said it, the handling of young pitcher.
That, age, and long-term deals make me a 7. There’s a very real chance that next offseason sees them lock up a 36 year old short stop til he’s 42 and fill out the rotation by handing out another Burnett-style deal to a guy who’s in his 30s.
yup, both sources of concern.
as is overspending on a LFer whose biggest asset will likely no longer be an asset towards the back-end of the deal.
…how much do you think we’re paying Brett anyway?
::Not sure if serious::
You know he’s not talking about Gardner, right? He means Crawford, I believe.
yeah, i assume he wasn’t serious. or, he was serious in thinking that gardner should be our long-term solution in LF and not crawford.
oh. he really meant that?
never mind then. let me try again:
homer? SSS!
lefty? best he could do was walk!
#cashmanfail
better?
9 – No ledge in sight, once we get rid of the cobwebswe will be just fine
The people who vote anything below a 7 crack me up. One game and people are already diving off the edge. There goes the season, blahblahblah. Unreal. Makes me laugh!!!
If someone had legitimate concerns about the future of the team (aging players, not a great farm system, development of pitchers, etc) then that could be a reason to vote less than a 7. The real problem are the people who drop their vote from last week to this week because the Yankees lost last night.
This, people scale things a little differently mentally, but changing your vote off of last nights game, especially when plenty of things went well, is just redic.
I’m really not sure what people expect out of the farm system. What are you expecting?
There are teams with several impact players at AA/AAA. The Yanks aren’t one of them. If you’re looking for a “10″, that’s a team that has a big-league squad like the Yanks and a farm like the Rangers. Sure, no such thing exists, but that’s perfection.
But the one position where the Yankees have an immediate need in the next 2 years, they have an impact player. Jeter isn’t going anywhere for at least 3 years. A lot can happen to a minor league system in that time.
The outfield would be nice.
Also, Jeter could get hurt. ARod could get hurt. The dropoff right now is to Ramiro Pena. Is it crazy to want there to be someone with a bat on the left side of the IF?
I’m not saying that this makes me think the organization is a 1. I’m saying that the overall dearth of upside in the high minors beyond The Jesus drops me a notch.
Well, we’ve got Grandy locked into one of the OF spots for the foreseeable future. Swisher’s got the other for as long as we want him. They’re both still in their primes. So we really only need one OF, a leftfielder, and that’s if we don’t move Jeter there at some point.
Maybe Heathcott or DeLeon can be that third outfielder in 3 years or so.
So basically you want an All-Star/HOF-in-waiting in the minor leagues, IN CASE one of them gets hurt? Ok. Based on that criteria, the Farm System is a failure.
The Yankees have basically had the shittiest draft picks for 14 years in a row. Want them to have a great farm? Well, we could have a dozen seasons of 70 Wins. Then, in 2022, I bet we’ll have a great farm.
The Yankees have used International signings and hi-risk/hi-reward pitcher picks pretty well. Let’s remember that in the same way $$$ helps us win, the system is designed to make it VERY hard to get impact farm picks. All in all considered, I think Cashman has done well.
I’m an 8.
The ‘young pitchers’ thing doesn’t bother me in that the Yanks play to Win Now and try to develop players at the same time. Again, a difficult task.
I could go to a 7 or lower with one or more of:
… a serious Injury to ARod, Teix or CC
… a contract for more then 3 years to a certain SS.
… a new owner
The Yankees made their bed with the ARod signing, and the basically MUST signings of Teix and CC. Cashman has shown he can squeeze the dollar with the best of them when need be, but we obviously has budget concerns over then next 6 years.
I would go to a 9 if Cashman offers Jeter 3/$45 or less.
The World is going to end!!!!!!
http://marklhitchcock.com/wp-c.....msday1.jpg (safe)
Still a 9. First game isn’t going to always go the way you want. Farm games don’t start until later this week. I can’t wait.
8. This team is the balls. I have a sense that Joba won’t be Joba the bullpen monster from 2007 this year, which maybe will prompt the team to send him to AAA and let him straighten out his starting shit down there (ok maybe a little too optimistic). Anyway, some relatively reasonable individual accomplishments I’d like to see this year:
CC finish up with his ERA below 3.50
AJ finish up under 4.00
Javy finish up under 4.25
Pettitte finish up under 4.40
Phil finish up under 4.60
6 bullpen arms under 3.80 xFIP (Mo, D-Rob, Ace, Joba, Marte, Park)
900 innings out of rotation
600 PA for Johnson
40+ HRs for A-Rod
35+ for Tex
30+ for Granderson
25+ for Swisher, Cano
20+ for Posada
15+ for Jeter, Johnson
1+ for Gardner
+10 overall UZR for outfield
>-5 overall UZR for infield
105-120 games at catcher for Posada
OPS over .950 for Montero
McAllister in the bigs by year’s end, filling a Justin Masterson-type swingman-y role
2.5+ K/BB for Brackman, Ramirez
Significant time at AAA for Banuelos (coupled with strong performance there)
.780+ OPS for Heathcott
.800+ OPS, good defensive reports for Romine, Sanchez, J.R. Murphy
.800+ OPS for David Adams
<3.50 ERA from Bleich, Warren
I'm sure I'm missing a bunch of things, but if all those things happen, I'll be back up to a 10 by season's end.
agreed.
Maybe a shade lower ERA for Hughes and I think you are spot on with those predictions.
Cano also could have a bigger year than 25 bombs.. just my opinion though… The way he has been hitting, maybe this will be the season the power comes along..
well they weren’t meant to be predictions so much as mildly optimistic expectations.
I’m not sure Banuelos will see any time at AAA this year. No reason to rush him.
I agree with most of this. However, I think I’d be happy if Johnson equals Matsui’s PA total from last season (526).
He’s already 1/105th there.
I have a sense that Joba won’t be Joba the bullpen monster from 2007 this year, which maybe will prompt the team to send him to AAA and let him straighten out his starting shit down there (ok maybe a little too optimistic).
Nobody likes a tease.
Joba will be run out there in high-leverage situations until he fails (or not). If he fails in the ‘pen he will be given garbage time until he can be traded – there seems to be some “organizational bias” against Joba the Starter.
My baseball people people kept telling me: Ken Phelps. Ken Phelps!
there seems to be some “organizational bias” against Joba the Starter.
I think that either Joba is perceived by some in the org. to be lazy or entitled or both. I think it’s crap, but, whatevs, that doesn’t mean anything.
Agreed. I see that sentiment a lot in the articles from B-jobber media people who have “sources” and I don’t get it. There seems to be very little evidence to support it besides 1) Joba’s struggles 2) Misusing quotes from Joba.
Hell, even I have made the case that Joba behaves as if he is entitled – but that has nothing to do with the quality of his arm, just his head.
I just don’t see how pitching in the ‘pen makes him a better starter if that is his ceiling. I really think the current pitching development people see Joba as a reliever only – so he will succeed as such or be traded.
Batshit INSANE:
1+ for Gardner
wait–are you counting inside the parkers? do we go to safeco this year? a stumble there or at
SheaCiti may get him one.They should have combined the new name for the Mets’ park. Shea Stadium and Citi Field could just become “Shiti Stadium”.
I started calling it “Shitty Field” as soon as they named it.
They could all happen, but I think you are a shade on the optimistic side. If you are near correct, #28 is ours.
It has been 8 since the start of Hot Stove and it is still an 8.
Where are the “If you don’t vote 10 tomorrow you are crazy” people from around the 5th inning of last night’s game? Still voting 10 or have you panicked into a 2 already?
They self-defenestrated during the 8th last night.
Ah, defenestration. One of my favorite words. Well played.
yeah, did they just make up that word? i have no idea what fene or fenes means?
Latin, holmes.
Fenestra: window
excuse me holmes, how much for one costa?
I’m an 8 but I voted 10 in a (probably futile) attempt to counteract the over-reactionary people who now think the Yankees will go 0-162.
(probably futile) attempt to counteract the over-reactionary people who now think the Yankees will go 0-162.
1. Yes it’s going to be futile
2. No one should be trying to counter-act any other folks vote. The poll wouldn’t be interesting if a ton of people changed their votes, to something they don’t believe to try and come to an avg based on what they think other people will vote.
Otherwise just have Mike, Ben and Joe tell us what they think the confidence level should be at, based on what they think people will vote.
I’m guessing only 8,9 and 10′s look good for the PS? Maye a 7 squeaks in?
We should be shown on Average of the poll, and another average with the 5′s and below thrown out. A 5 is basically NO CHANCE of the PS, and the Yanks will have to fall pretty hard for that to be a reality.
for the record, I can understand why people have their confidence level below an 8 or whatever based on the farm system, the development or lack thereof of pitchers, etc. But if your confidence level went below an 8 based on *last night’s game* that is a bad, silly, and irrational thing.
14 1s? lol
It’s because we fell below the 1458 HR pace that you mentioned.
EF. I forgot that. Now I’m down to a 2. >:(
I’m at a 7, and that’s mostly based on my worries about the future.
I question the team’s ability to develop a starter and ability to be patient through the maturation process.
Outside of catcher there is limited impact talent in the high minors, most notably in the outfield.
I do like the talent available for the bullpen and the current bullpen construction patterns.
9, because the championship winning team has improved. Last night means nothing, remember 0-8 and last year’s bullpen woes.
Mike, I was hoping you would mention the launch of, the already irrelevant, ESPNNewYork.
ESPN New York is very relevant
FOR ME TO POOP ON!
well played
Taking the biggest boversimplifying, boverreacting idiots in the NYC press corps and giving them a larger, near-nationwide stage.
Ugh.
ESPN should be arrested on some sort of domestic terrorism charge.
I just read today that Curtis Granderson is a bust.
Yeah, I read that article. What was it titled? “Granderson disappoints in Yankee debut, despite home run” or something like that?
I really wish Fire Joe Morgan was run by Yankee fans and still around because this site would be a friggin’ gold mine.
What was that noise I just heard? I think it was the sound of a gauntlet being thrown down.
Three words: Mystique. And. Aura.
(psst I’m doing that RIGHT NOW.)
Park is going to give up a home run every time he comes out of the pen. D:
I get NESN and watch a lot of Sox games. Dustpan is a good player, but only a HR threat on high, middle-in pitches… especially a fastball. That’s when he has his mighty-mouse swing. Hi heat is effective on a lot of players, but not the midget. Either Park missed really badly, or the scouting report should be taken to task.
I refuse to believe that women poop.
There’s a “2 Girls 1 Cup” joke in there somewhere.
Clearly you’ve never been in a long-term, live-in relationship.
I have. There is a reason Mo has blessed the world with the gift of two bathrooms.
http://www.hulu.com/watch/6132.....ove-toilet (safe)
we don’t. If we did, it would be pink and glittery.
Oh crap, we’d excrete Cullens?
A+
for the first time:
that joke
—————
my head
it’s a Twilight joke (the vampires sparkle in the sun)
Their recap was an attempt to put as many clichés in one article as possible.
Maybe Wallace Matthews isn’t a real person, he’s just five manatees swimming in a tank full of idea balls.
I voted a 9. I’m confident we can kick some ass Tuesday and Wednesday. Even if we don’t we have Javy leading the way in the first game in Tampa.
the Yanks I mean.
I’m still an 8. Last night’s game did nothing to worry me. The Yankees are BAMFS even in a loss.
BAMFS. Very well done.
I’ve always been a 9 or 10. I just finished reading the ‘pen audition article, and I still dropped a point because of last night.
I feel so dirty
I vote eleventy!!1!
CHoP missed a spot, Swisher got his crap play of the first half out of his system, Gardner forgot he was in left and not center and C.C. ran out of gas because it was early in the season. Joba is being Joba.
The 2010 New York Yankees are still going to win the World Series.
yeah the gardner letting all those balls get in front of him made me wonder–was he playing deep or were they all just short liners that were very well (or luckily) placed? seemed like he could have been playing shallower with his speed and that stupid outdoor solo tennis practice wall behind him.
Manny was smart and played at about the 220′ mark. It’s natural for OFers not to want to let balls get over their heads, but that is not an issue in Fenway LF. It takes a while to really learn that. Many visiting LFers play to deep at Fenway.
Manny was smart
Does not compute
7.
Down from an 8. Posada’s hitting has to be on point if last night’s defensive display is a indicator of his competence as catcher. BG’s wild throw home was a WTF moment, and he’s got to rein in some of that enthusiasm. Cano on the otherhand has to pick it up a notch … had a single that should’ve been a double. At least Arod appeared fluid on the field, and Grandy made a nice catch in center, so it wasn’t an entirely sloppy game.
I dont mind losing Openers, but the fact the Yankees blew a 5-1 beyond the 5th inning at Fenway kinda pissed me off when I woke up. My anger only increased while on the train heading towards work. I’m at a solid 7.
9-was an 8 until I saw the words Yu Darvish, the mere mention of his name causes immediate JIMP
When can we start referring to Chan ho Park as “Chan ho Yard”?