Apr
05

Fan Confidence Poll: April 5th, 2010

By

Record Last Week: 0-1 (7 RS, 9 RA)
Season Record: 0-1 (7 RS, 9 RA), 1.0 game back
Opponents This Week: Monday OFF, @ Red Sox (two games, Tues. & Weds.), Thursday OFF, @ Rays (three games, Fri. to Sun.)

Top stories from last week:

Please take a second to answer the poll below and give us an idea of how confident you are in the team. You can view the Fan Confidence Graph anytime via the nav bar above, or by clicking here. Thanks in advance for voting.

Given the team's current roster construction, farm system, management, etc., how confident are you in the Yankees' overall future?
View Results
Categories : Polls
  • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a The Large Sample Size

    Confidence Level: 8.

    • PaulF

      twenty – 8?

      • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a The Large Sample Size

        Sadly, no.

        • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a The Large Sample Size

          I mean, yes, I think we’ll win title #28 this year.

          My overall confidence level remains an 8, though.

  • Mattingly’s Love Child

    Confidence Level= 7

    Worried about Joba. Worried about the impatience with young pitchers going forward. Worried about why they seem to have so little confidence in Robertson.

    • OldYanksFan

      D-Rob blew last night’s game. Gave the midget a pitch right where he likes it. Or terrible scouting.

      • http://www.riveraveblues.com Mike Axisa

        Robertson didn’t face Pedroia last night.

      • H.W. Plainview

        That was awesome. You definitely didn’t watch the game.

        • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a The Large Sample Size

          Yeah, this is already my favorite comment of the day.

          Don’t let historical accuracies get in the way of a good rant (or war).

  • Accent Shallow

    Still an 8. Can’t tell much about a team from one game.

    Farm system still has issues, but those can be resolved if people develop as expected this year.

    Was pleasantly surprised to hear Granderson draw a walk against Okajima.

    • http://mystiqueandaura.com Steve H

      Still an 8. Can’t tell much about a team from one game.

      Nods in agreement.

  • Doug

    Here comes the overreaction

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a The Large Sample Size

      93 votes in and we already have:

      One vote of 6
      Three votes of 5
      One vote of 4
      One votes of 2
      Four votes of 1

      • Doug

        7.78 average after 102 votes is almost a 1/2 point lower than just last week (8.24)

      • Andy in Sunny Daytona

        And an “8″ from an eternal opptomist.

  • A.D.

    8, nothing to do with last night, really more about the handling of young pitching

    • JobaWockeeZ

      This. The offense is great and it’s not even firing on all cylinders. Pitching will improve during the season. No concerns about them.

      Only thing bothering me is how you said it, the handling of young pitcher.

      • whozat

        That, age, and long-term deals make me a 7. There’s a very real chance that next offseason sees them lock up a 36 year old short stop til he’s 42 and fill out the rotation by handing out another Burnett-style deal to a guy who’s in his 30s.

        • Doug

          yup, both sources of concern.

          as is overspending on a LFer whose biggest asset will likely no longer be an asset towards the back-end of the deal.

          • king of fruitless hypotheticals

            …how much do you think we’re paying Brett anyway?

            • http://cid-e3a022289d65b5c0.skydrive.live.com/self.aspx/Assorted/foul.jpg Andy in NYC aka the Other Oofys

              ::Not sure if serious::

              You know he’s not talking about Gardner, right? He means Crawford, I believe.

              • Doug

                yeah, i assume he wasn’t serious. or, he was serious in thinking that gardner should be our long-term solution in LF and not crawford.

              • king of fruitless hypotheticals

                oh. he really meant that?

                never mind then. let me try again:

                homer? SSS!
                lefty? best he could do was walk!

                #cashmanfail

                better?

  • Couchy

    9 – No ledge in sight, once we get rid of the cobwebswe will be just fine

  • paul

    The people who vote anything below a 7 crack me up. One game and people are already diving off the edge. There goes the season, blahblahblah. Unreal. Makes me laugh!!!

    • Chris

      If someone had legitimate concerns about the future of the team (aging players, not a great farm system, development of pitchers, etc) then that could be a reason to vote less than a 7. The real problem are the people who drop their vote from last week to this week because the Yankees lost last night.

      • A.D.

        This, people scale things a little differently mentally, but changing your vote off of last nights game, especially when plenty of things went well, is just redic.

      • Andy in Sunny Daytona

        I’m really not sure what people expect out of the farm system. What are you expecting?

        • whozat

          There are teams with several impact players at AA/AAA. The Yanks aren’t one of them. If you’re looking for a “10″, that’s a team that has a big-league squad like the Yanks and a farm like the Rangers. Sure, no such thing exists, but that’s perfection.

          • Andy in Sunny Daytona

            But the one position where the Yankees have an immediate need in the next 2 years, they have an impact player. Jeter isn’t going anywhere for at least 3 years. A lot can happen to a minor league system in that time.

            • whozat

              The outfield would be nice.

              Also, Jeter could get hurt. ARod could get hurt. The dropoff right now is to Ramiro Pena. Is it crazy to want there to be someone with a bat on the left side of the IF?

              I’m not saying that this makes me think the organization is a 1. I’m saying that the overall dearth of upside in the high minors beyond The Jesus drops me a notch.

              • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a The Large Sample Size

                Well, we’ve got Grandy locked into one of the OF spots for the foreseeable future. Swisher’s got the other for as long as we want him. They’re both still in their primes. So we really only need one OF, a leftfielder, and that’s if we don’t move Jeter there at some point.

                Maybe Heathcott or DeLeon can be that third outfielder in 3 years or so.

              • Andy in Sunny Daytona

                So basically you want an All-Star/HOF-in-waiting in the minor leagues, IN CASE one of them gets hurt? Ok. Based on that criteria, the Farm System is a failure.

          • OldYanksFan

            The Yankees have basically had the shittiest draft picks for 14 years in a row. Want them to have a great farm? Well, we could have a dozen seasons of 70 Wins. Then, in 2022, I bet we’ll have a great farm.

            The Yankees have used International signings and hi-risk/hi-reward pitcher picks pretty well. Let’s remember that in the same way $$$ helps us win, the system is designed to make it VERY hard to get impact farm picks. All in all considered, I think Cashman has done well.

            I’m an 8.
            The ‘young pitchers’ thing doesn’t bother me in that the Yanks play to Win Now and try to develop players at the same time. Again, a difficult task.

            I could go to a 7 or lower with one or more of:
            … a serious Injury to ARod, Teix or CC
            … a contract for more then 3 years to a certain SS.
            … a new owner

            The Yankees made their bed with the ARod signing, and the basically MUST signings of Teix and CC. Cashman has shown he can squeeze the dollar with the best of them when need be, but we obviously has budget concerns over then next 6 years.

            I would go to a 9 if Cashman offers Jeter 3/$45 or less.

    • http://yanksdraftsandprospects.blogspot.com/ Jake H

      The World is going to end!!!!!!

  • http://yanksdraftsandprospects.blogspot.com/ Jake H

    Still a 9. First game isn’t going to always go the way you want. Farm games don’t start until later this week. I can’t wait.

  • http://mystiqueandaura.com/ pete

    8. This team is the balls. I have a sense that Joba won’t be Joba the bullpen monster from 2007 this year, which maybe will prompt the team to send him to AAA and let him straighten out his starting shit down there (ok maybe a little too optimistic). Anyway, some relatively reasonable individual accomplishments I’d like to see this year:

    CC finish up with his ERA below 3.50
    AJ finish up under 4.00
    Javy finish up under 4.25
    Pettitte finish up under 4.40
    Phil finish up under 4.60

    6 bullpen arms under 3.80 xFIP (Mo, D-Rob, Ace, Joba, Marte, Park)

    900 innings out of rotation

    600 PA for Johnson

    40+ HRs for A-Rod
    35+ for Tex
    30+ for Granderson
    25+ for Swisher, Cano
    20+ for Posada
    15+ for Jeter, Johnson
    1+ for Gardner

    +10 overall UZR for outfield

    >-5 overall UZR for infield

    105-120 games at catcher for Posada

    OPS over .950 for Montero

    McAllister in the bigs by year’s end, filling a Justin Masterson-type swingman-y role

    2.5+ K/BB for Brackman, Ramirez

    Significant time at AAA for Banuelos (coupled with strong performance there)

    .780+ OPS for Heathcott

    .800+ OPS, good defensive reports for Romine, Sanchez, J.R. Murphy

    .800+ OPS for David Adams

    <3.50 ERA from Bleich, Warren

    I'm sure I'm missing a bunch of things, but if all those things happen, I'll be back up to a 10 by season's end.

    • SamVa

      agreed.
      Maybe a shade lower ERA for Hughes and I think you are spot on with those predictions.

      Cano also could have a bigger year than 25 bombs.. just my opinion though… The way he has been hitting, maybe this will be the season the power comes along..

      • http://mystiqueandaura.com/ pete

        well they weren’t meant to be predictions so much as mildly optimistic expectations.

    • Andy in Sunny Daytona

      I’m not sure Banuelos will see any time at AAA this year. No reason to rush him.

    • http://richardiurilli.wordpress.com/ Richard Iurilli

      I agree with most of this. However, I think I’d be happy if Johnson equals Matsui’s PA total from last season (526).

      • Andy in Sunny Daytona

        He’s already 1/105th there. :)

    • Beamish

      I have a sense that Joba won’t be Joba the bullpen monster from 2007 this year, which maybe will prompt the team to send him to AAA and let him straighten out his starting shit down there (ok maybe a little too optimistic).

      Nobody likes a tease.

      Joba will be run out there in high-leverage situations until he fails (or not). If he fails in the ‘pen he will be given garbage time until he can be traded – there seems to be some “organizational bias” against Joba the Starter.

      My baseball people people kept telling me: Ken Phelps. Ken Phelps!

      • Andy in Sunny Daytona

        there seems to be some “organizational bias” against Joba the Starter.

        I think that either Joba is perceived by some in the org. to be lazy or entitled or both. I think it’s crap, but, whatevs, that doesn’t mean anything.

        • http://twitter.com/riddering Riddering

          Agreed. I see that sentiment a lot in the articles from B-jobber media people who have “sources” and I don’t get it. There seems to be very little evidence to support it besides 1) Joba’s struggles 2) Misusing quotes from Joba.

        • Beamish

          Hell, even I have made the case that Joba behaves as if he is entitled – but that has nothing to do with the quality of his arm, just his head.

          I just don’t see how pitching in the ‘pen makes him a better starter if that is his ceiling. I really think the current pitching development people see Joba as a reliever only – so he will succeed as such or be traded.

    • king of fruitless hypotheticals

      Batshit INSANE:

      1+ for Gardner

      wait–are you counting inside the parkers? do we go to safeco this year? a stumble there or at Shea Citi may get him one.

      • Andy in Sunny Daytona

        They should have combined the new name for the Mets’ park. Shea Stadium and Citi Field could just become “Shiti Stadium”.

        • http://cid-e3a022289d65b5c0.skydrive.live.com/self.aspx/Assorted/foul.jpg Andy in NYC aka the Other Oofys

          I started calling it “Shitty Field” as soon as they named it.

    • OldYanksFan

      They could all happen, but I think you are a shade on the optimistic side. If you are near correct, #28 is ours.

  • Beamish

    It has been 8 since the start of Hot Stove and it is still an 8.

    Where are the “If you don’t vote 10 tomorrow you are crazy” people from around the 5th inning of last night’s game? Still voting 10 or have you panicked into a 2 already?

    • whozat

      They self-defenestrated during the 8th last night.

      • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a The Large Sample Size

        Ah, defenestration. One of my favorite words. Well played.

        • king of fruitless hypotheticals

          yeah, did they just make up that word? i have no idea what fene or fenes means?

          • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a The Large Sample Size

            Latin, holmes.

            • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a The Large Sample Size

              Fenestra: window

              • king of fruitless hypotheticals

                excuse me holmes, how much for one costa?

  • http://richardiurilli.wordpress.com/ Richard Iurilli

    I’m an 8 but I voted 10 in a (probably futile) attempt to counteract the over-reactionary people who now think the Yankees will go 0-162.

    • A.D.

      (probably futile) attempt to counteract the over-reactionary people who now think the Yankees will go 0-162.

      1. Yes it’s going to be futile
      2. No one should be trying to counter-act any other folks vote. The poll wouldn’t be interesting if a ton of people changed their votes, to something they don’t believe to try and come to an avg based on what they think other people will vote.

      Otherwise just have Mike, Ben and Joe tell us what they think the confidence level should be at, based on what they think people will vote.

      • OldYanksFan

        I’m guessing only 8,9 and 10′s look good for the PS? Maye a 7 squeaks in?

        We should be shown on Average of the poll, and another average with the 5′s and below thrown out. A 5 is basically NO CHANCE of the PS, and the Yanks will have to fall pretty hard for that to be a reality.

  • bexarama

    for the record, I can understand why people have their confidence level below an 8 or whatever based on the farm system, the development or lack thereof of pitchers, etc. But if your confidence level went below an 8 based on *last night’s game* that is a bad, silly, and irrational thing.

    • bexarama

      14 1s? lol

    • Jose

      It’s because we fell below the 1458 HR pace that you mentioned.

      • bexarama

        EF. I forgot that. Now I’m down to a 2. >:(

  • Rick in Boston

    I’m at a 7, and that’s mostly based on my worries about the future.

    I question the team’s ability to develop a starter and ability to be patient through the maturation process.

    Outside of catcher there is limited impact talent in the high minors, most notably in the outfield.

    I do like the talent available for the bullpen and the current bullpen construction patterns.

  • bonestock94

    9, because the championship winning team has improved. Last night means nothing, remember 0-8 and last year’s bullpen woes.

  • Andy in Sunny Daytona

    Mike, I was hoping you would mention the launch of, the already irrelevant, ESPNNewYork.

    • bexarama

      ESPN New York is very relevant

      FOR ME TO POOP ON!

      • Templeton “Brendog” Peck

        well played

      • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a The Large Sample Size

        Taking the biggest boversimplifying, boverreacting idiots in the NYC press corps and giving them a larger, near-nationwide stage.

        Ugh.

        ESPN should be arrested on some sort of domestic terrorism charge.

        • Andy in Sunny Daytona

          I just read today that Curtis Granderson is a bust.

          • bexarama

            Yeah, I read that article. What was it titled? “Granderson disappoints in Yankee debut, despite home run” or something like that?

            I really wish Fire Joe Morgan was run by Yankee fans and still around because this site would be a friggin’ gold mine.

            • http://twitter.com/riddering Riddering

              What was that noise I just heard? I think it was the sound of a gauntlet being thrown down.

              • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a The Large Sample Size

                Three words: Mystique. And. Aura.

                • bexarama

                  (psst I’m doing that RIGHT NOW.)

          • http://twitter.com/riddering Riddering

            Park is going to give up a home run every time he comes out of the pen. D:

            • OldYanksFan

              I get NESN and watch a lot of Sox games. Dustpan is a good player, but only a HR threat on high, middle-in pitches… especially a fastball. That’s when he has his mighty-mouse swing. Hi heat is effective on a lot of players, but not the midget. Either Park missed really badly, or the scouting report should be taken to task.

      • Andy in Sunny Daytona

        I refuse to believe that women poop.

        • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a The Large Sample Size

          There’s a “2 Girls 1 Cup” joke in there somewhere.

        • http://twitter.com/riddering Riddering

          Clearly you’ve never been in a long-term, live-in relationship.

          • Andy in Sunny Daytona

            I have. There is a reason Mo has blessed the world with the gift of two bathrooms.

        • bexarama

          we don’t. If we did, it would be pink and glittery.

          • http://twitter.com/riddering Riddering

            Oh crap, we’d excrete Cullens?

            • bexarama

              A+

              • king of fruitless hypotheticals

                for the first time:

                that joke

                —————

                my head

                • bexarama

                  it’s a Twilight joke (the vampires sparkle in the sun)

    • Jose

      Their recap was an attempt to put as many clichés in one article as possible.

      • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a The Large Sample Size

        Maybe Wallace Matthews isn’t a real person, he’s just five manatees swimming in a tank full of idea balls.

  • http://stateofmlb.blogspot.com Hangoverologist

    I voted a 9. I’m confident we can kick some ass Tuesday and Wednesday. Even if we don’t we have Javy leading the way in the first game in Tampa.

    • http://stateofmlb.blogspot.com Hangoverologist

      the Yanks I mean.

  • http://twitter.com/riddering Riddering

    I’m still an 8. Last night’s game did nothing to worry me. The Yankees are BAMFS even in a loss.

    • http://mystiqueandaura.com Steve H

      BAMFS. Very well done.

  • king of fruitless hypotheticals

    I’ve always been a 9 or 10. I just finished reading the ‘pen audition article, and I still dropped a point because of last night.

    I feel so dirty :(

  • H.W. Plainview

    I vote eleventy!!1!

    CHoP missed a spot, Swisher got his crap play of the first half out of his system, Gardner forgot he was in left and not center and C.C. ran out of gas because it was early in the season. Joba is being Joba.

    The 2010 New York Yankees are still going to win the World Series.

    • king of fruitless hypotheticals

      yeah the gardner letting all those balls get in front of him made me wonder–was he playing deep or were they all just short liners that were very well (or luckily) placed? seemed like he could have been playing shallower with his speed and that stupid outdoor solo tennis practice wall behind him.

      • OldYanksFan

        Manny was smart and played at about the 220′ mark. It’s natural for OFers not to want to let balls get over their heads, but that is not an issue in Fenway LF. It takes a while to really learn that. Many visiting LFers play to deep at Fenway.

        • bexarama

          Manny was smart

          Does not compute

  • Reggie C.

    7.

    Down from an 8. Posada’s hitting has to be on point if last night’s defensive display is a indicator of his competence as catcher. BG’s wild throw home was a WTF moment, and he’s got to rein in some of that enthusiasm. Cano on the otherhand has to pick it up a notch … had a single that should’ve been a double. At least Arod appeared fluid on the field, and Grandy made a nice catch in center, so it wasn’t an entirely sloppy game.

    I dont mind losing Openers, but the fact the Yankees blew a 5-1 beyond the 5th inning at Fenway kinda pissed me off when I woke up. My anger only increased while on the train heading towards work. I’m at a solid 7.

  • Frigidevil

    9-was an 8 until I saw the words Yu Darvish, the mere mention of his name causes immediate JIMP

  • SEF

    When can we start referring to Chan ho Park as “Chan ho Yard”?