Archive for May, 2010
Where are they now? Yankees offseason targets part II
Posted by: | CommentsHow are the offseason targets of the Yankees faring so far in 2010? Every offseason all big name and big money free agents are tied to the Yankees. Obviously this is often posturing by the agents to drive up the bidding elsewhere (if the Yankees truly have no interest). I’m going to look at a few of the players they likely had at least a passing interest in and how they are faring so far in 2010. It’s truly to early to judge any of these contracts any differently than I would have when they were first signed, but it’s interesting nonetheless to see how these players are faring so far. Last weekend I touched on the hitters, today I will address the pitchers.
Ben Sheets
| W/L | ERA | WHIP | IP | FIP | K/9 | BB/9 | BABIP |
| 2-3 | 5.70 | 1.66 | 42.4 | 4.96 | 6.8 | 4.60 | 0.327 |
Sheets missed all of 2009 with injury and was a big question mark heading into the offseason. Would he return to greatness or was he too big of an injury risk. Sheets ended up doing very well for himself getting a 1 year/$10 million contract from the A’s. While the A’s likely overpaid, it’s only for 1 year. If they are in contention and Sheets is pitching well it will look good, and if they aren’t in contention but Sheets is pitching well, he’s a prime trade candidate. Sheets has struggled so far (and been a little unlucky) as you can see, but has shown signs of life lately. There were reports that he was tipping his pitches and he was getting crushed early. After combining for just 16 strikeouts in his first 6 starts, Sheets has 16 in the past two over 12.1 innings. Sheets needs to cut down on the walks, as he walked just 2.1 batters per 9 innings in the NL and is more than double that so far this year. If it’s the beginning of his turnaround, and he stays healthy, Sheets should have a strong season going forward.
Justin Duchscherer
| W/L | ERA | WHIP | IP | FIP | K/9 | BB/9 | BABIP |
| 2-1 | 2.89 | 1.36 | 28.0 | 4.59 | 5.8 | 3.90 | 0.274 |
The Duke got off to a good start, but is already on the DL. While he is expected to come off this weekend and make a start, he would have been a risky signing to rely on in the rotation. He also missed all of 2009 and coming into 2010 had made just 27 starts in his career. He would have been a nice pickup for the pen in a long role similar to Aceves, but there was significant risk involved. He resigned with the A’s for 1 year/$2 million, which could end up being a bargain. If healthy, the Duke should provide a lot more value than that, and could also be trade bait at the deadline if the A’s are out of it. While his BABIP against of .274 is lower than the major league average, it is right in line with his career, so expect him to continue to outperform his FIP, though not as drastically as he is so far.
Joel Pineiro
| W/L | ERA | WHIP | IP | FIP | K/9 | BB/9 | BABIP |
| 2-4 | 4.50 | 1.48 | 42.0 | 4.02 | 6.0 | 1.90 | 0.338 |
The Angels signed Pineiro to a 2 year/$16 million deal which isn’t bad from a long term perspective, but if they are expecting the 2009 Pineiro, I’m guessing they will be slightly disappointed. Pineiro could succeed with his repertoire in the NL, but at best will be a league average pitcher in the AL. If he can throw 200 innings at league average that provides value, but there isn’t a team in the AL that won’t be thrilled to see him take the bump in a playoff game if the Angels make it. He’s been a little unlucky on balls in play so far, which has helped lead to his league leading hits allowed total. Pineiro surprisingly is getting more strikeouts than normal (4.8/9 in 426.1 innings with St. Louis) and is keeping walks down. His strikeout rate will likely fall, but so will his BABIP against. Again, not a star, but Pineiro figures to provide some value for the Angels this year.
John Lackey
| W/L | ERA | WHIP | IP | FIP | K/9 | BB/9 | BABIP |
| 4-1 | 4.60 | 1.44 | 43.0 | 4.37 | 5.7 | 3.60 | 0.303 |
The best of the free agent pitchers available, Lackey got by far the highest contract of any free agent pitcher, more than doubling the next highest pitcher for total dollars. Lackey signed with the mid-market Red Sox for a 5 year/$82.5 million deal, very similar to the deal the Yankees signed A.J. Burnett to after the 2008 season. Lackey has struggled so far, but does have a long term track record of success in the AL. The move to the AL East is bound to hurt his stats though, and he’s not quite the innings eater he used to be as he has missed time with injuries in the past 2 seasons. So far Lackey has the lowest K rate of his career, and the highest BB rate. Not a good trend, and if he wasn’t 4-1, the Boston media would be all over him.
Aroldis Chapman
| W/L | ERA | WHIP | IP | FIP | K/9 | BB/9 | BABIP |
| 3-1 | 2.84 | 1.42 | 31.2 | 3.98 | 9.82 | 4.91 | 0.296 |
Chapman signed with the Reds for 6 years/$30.25 million. While probably a little steep, if that was the cost to the Yankees, I would have been on board with the signing of Chapman as a lottery ticket. The deal could be a steal if he lives up to his abilities, but he’s still a huge question mark. It made more sense for Chapman to sign with a team like the Reds, so for the Yankees to have signed him I’m sure the cost would have been higher. Chapman has pitched well so far in AAA, but there are certainly some red flags with the control. If he’s walking almost 5 batters per 9 in AAA, what’s he going to do at the major league level? In an admittedly very small sample size, Chapman is having a lot more success against left handed batters, with a 16.2 K/9 vs. 8.2 vs. RHB. That is something to watch going forward, as RHB have just a .246 BABIP against Chapman, so he is due for some regression there.
You can check out the rest of my work over at Mystique and Aura
Granderson runs pain-free
Posted by: | CommentsYesterday we got injury updates on both Nick Johnson and Chan Ho Park. In today’s Daily News we get an update on Curtis Granderson. He ran pain-free, and could continue his rehab by taking batting practice and maybe even shagging fly balls today. We’re at the two-week mark for his injury — though it seems much longer — so we shouldn’t expect him to get into rehab games for another week, week and a half.
Trenton makes it nine wins in a row
Posted by: | CommentsFormer Yankee farmhand Ben Julianel called it a career. He’s probably best know as the guy they traded to Florida for Ron Villone before the 2006 season, but he had a pretty nice year out of the bullpen for Tampa & Trenton in 2004.
Triple-A Scranton (2-1 win over Charlotte)
Kevin Russo, CF: 1 for 3, 1 BB, 1 K – they’re going to really start to move him around to increase his already strong versatility
Reegie Corona, 2B: 1 for 4, 1 K, 1 SB
Eduardo Nunez, SS: 1 for 4, 1 2B, 1 RBI, 1 K – obligatory link to this
David Winfree, 1B & Jon Weber, DH: both 0 for 4, 1 K
Jesus Montero, C: 1 for 3, 2 K – nice little four game hitting streak
Chad Huffman, LF, Reid Gorecki, RF & Matt Cusick, 3B: all 1 for 3 – Huffman hit a solo jack, K’ed & threw a runner out at second … Gorecki K’ed … Cusick scored a run
Zach McAllister: 7 IP, 7 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 0 BB, 2 K, 1 WP, 1 HB, 8-7 GB/FB – 57 of 82 pitches were strikes (69.5%) … he had a six pitch inning … 52 hits allowed in 45 IP
Mark Melancon: 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 1 K, 2-0 GB/FB - 11 of his 18 pitches were strikes
Jon Albaladejo: 1 IP, zeroes, 1 K, 1-1 GB/FB – eight of his 12 pitches were strikes
Open Thread: Another series win
Posted by: | CommentsAnother home game, another rock solid win for the Yankees. Whenever the Twins play in the Bronx, they must feel like the Yanks felt all those years playing in Anaheim. This series is already in the bag, so tomorrow’s house money day with The Sergio Mitre Experience on the mound.
I recommend going out and enjoying yourself on this gorgeous Saturday evening, but if you’re stuck in front of a computer, then use this as your open thread. The Mets-Marlins are on WPIX, plus the Cardinals-Reds (MLB Network) are on as well. Anything goes, so have at it.
A closer look at Marte
Posted by: | CommentsNote: This was written prior to Marte’s appearance against Thome this afternoon. Sure, he was able to get Thome out, but he still made a few mistakes that ended up not hurting him. That’s baseball! I’m hesitant to say “Marte is back” as a result, though he did look improved.
With all the issues the Yankees are currently facing, the bullpen is relatively low on the list of major concerns for the team. Joba has looked great of late, Mariano is Mariano, Park and Aceves should be returning shortly, and our AAA callups Ivan Nova and Romulo Sanchez impressed in their short stints. With major and minor injuries throughout the roster, the struggles of Damaso Marte, David Robertson and Boone Logan aren’t going to be front page news in Yankeeland. After all, two of the three are just lefty specialists (one likely to be sent down when Park returns) and Robertson could be sent to AAA to work on his issues. Whatevs. But make no mistake, all is not well on the left-turn front.
Let’s take a look at last night’s game. Marte entered with a man on second and Joe Mauer at the plate. Marte misses on a first pitch slider outside. He returns with a fastball for a called first strike. It had good velocity but ended up nowhere near where Cervelli set up. At this point, I’m fairly worried. If there’s a short list of guys you absolutely do not want to miss on pitches, Mauer is on it. Then, for some reason, Damaso leaves a slider without much movement in the center of the plate, about belt high. Against Joe Mauer he’s fairly fortunate the ball was only smoked for a single, scoring Denard Span from second. Unfortunately, Brett Gardner attempted to nail Span at the plate and his throw was way up the line. Why he did that is a mystery to me.
Herein lies the problem: Marte was brought in as an expensive reliever (the contract extension still seems a bit of a blunder as of this writing) with the one goal – to get out tough lefties. He hasn’t done it with much regularity a a Yankee and while Burnett had command issues (and certainly not helped by a pygmy-sized strike zone), wouldn’t you rather have the better pitcher face the better hitters? Mauer’s no slouch against lefties, either. He hits them to the tune of .313/.376/.417. I understand why Joe made the decision and it’s much easier to second guess the Yankee manager from the comfort of my garden apartment, but I’d argue you’d rather have the better pitcher in against the better pitcher, especially if neither has much of a platoon split. All of Burnett’s pitches are better than Marte’s offerings.
Back to the action. So Mauer moves up to second and Morneau is now the batter. Morneau hasn’t been phenomenal against left-handers throughout his career, but as Mike noted in last night’s recap, why let their only really dangerous hitters beat you? With first base open, you’d think they’d not give Morneau anything to hit, if not walk him altogether, right? On the sixth pitch of the at bat, Morneau slams another high slider with little break. Boom! Double! Mauer scores. With the lead gone, Girardi then intentionally walks Michael Cuddyer (a righty) to get to Jason Kubel (a lefty, who has managed to do virtually nothing but walk and strike out all year). He flies out to Marcus Thames, inning over. But the damage was done. If not for A-Rod‘s heroics, Marte likely becomes the game’s goat, though true to form, Randy Winn would have given him a good run at it.
Damaso has some alarming peripherals this year. Now bear in mind, he hasn’t had many innings to accumulate a definitive sample size, but the numbers etch out many of his struggles. Let’s first take a look at plate discipline:
On the year, Marte is eliciting an O-Swing % of 16.2%, which basically says that his stuff doesn’t have a lot of movement where hitters bite at balls slicing out of the zone. In fact, batters are only swinging at a total of 31.6% of Marte’s pitches, about 15 points lower than league average. It gets worse. Only 40.4% of Marte’s pitches find themselves in the strike zone, but hitters are hitting 92% of them. I don’t need to tell you that’s a bad combination.
His velocity is is about 1 mph slower than it had been in 2009 and 2 mph slower than 2008, the year he was traded to the Yankeees. He’s getting older and it’s still very early, so that might go up as he finds himself further removed from shoulder surgery. Maybe more alarming is his PitchFX data. As a Pirate in 2007, his fastball had good vertical rise – moving 9.5”. Today it moves almost 2 ” lower, but a bit more in on left-handers. In 2007 his slider was a also a different looking offering. It was quicker and tighter than it is today – the pitch had a horizontal break of 1.0 inches and a vertical break of -4.6 inches. Now, in 2010, strictly as a LOOGY, Marte’s horizontal break is -7.6 inches and it moves vertically -2.1 inches. Essentially, his new slider is a larger, sweeping pitch that moves across the plate significantly more. We can’t gather any truly damning evidence, as Marte has been injured but this far he’s shown to be a different pitcher.
Unfortunately, that pitcher is also walking close to a career high at 6.14/9 while striking out a career low at 7.36/9. Girardi’s continually given Marte high-leverage situations, even as he has allowed inherited runners to score at an alarming rate (half of his 8 inherited runners have scored), and has issued far too many walks to yield good reults. A look at his shutdowns/meltdowns paints another grim picture. Marte has four meltdowns and not a single shutdown, which accompanies his team-low “clutch” score at -0.59.
Damaso Marte‘s career sample suggests he should at least be an excellent option to get lefties out, if not more. This isn’t just some guy pulled from the stands. He’d been a closer – and an effective one at that – and we like to defer to the greater sample if we can. In his case, his track record is very, very good. But he hasn’t done much good this year and with the exception of last year’s playoffs, has overall been an unmitigated disaster in New York. It’s still very early in the season and I’m optimistic he can return to form, but given the volatility of relievers, Marte’s lesser stuff and his injury history, it’s not crazy to think Marte could find himself DFA’d at some point, contract and all.
There don’t appear to be better lefty specialist options (*cough* Boone Logan) in house, so Girardi surely wants to give Marte every opportunity possible to come in and be a reliable specialist. At this point in the season it’s understandable. But at what point do you say enough is enough? If his appearances continue to resemble last night’s, we may be looking at a new slew of matchups quicker than we think.
Vazquez skipped again
Posted by: | CommentsWhile Tuesday’s rainout forced the Yankees to use Sergio Mitre for a second straight start, it also afforded them some flexibility the next time through the rotation. They’ll use it to skip Javier Vazquez’s next start, which would have come Monday or Tuesday against Boston. Instead he’ll start the series opener against the Mets Friday night at Citi.
Clearly, the Yanks want Vazquez to get a few more starts under his belt before placing him in a high-pressure game. They’re not going to be able to have Vazquez skip the Sox every time through, and at some point he’s going to have to pitch in a big game. Skipping his last start seemed to work, though, so maybe they’re in the process of getting him back on track.
Also, make sure to check out injury updates on Nick Johnson and Chan Ho Park below.
Injury Updates: Chan Ho Park & Nick Johnson
Posted by: | CommentsFinally, some good injury news. Prior to this afternoon’s game, GM Brian Cashman confirmed that Chan Ho Park would be activated off the disabled list in time for tomorrow’s game. He’s been on the DL for just about a month with a hamstring issue, but apparently he’s good to go after make two rehab appearances (one in Extended Spring Training, one in Triple-A) last week. With Al Aceves on the shelf for the foreseeable future, getting CHoP back is going to be a nice boost to a bullpen that been pretty shaky before the 8th inning.
Meanwhile, the news for Nick Johnson isn’t as promising. He received a cortisone shot in his wrist, and there’s only a 50% chance that it’ll take care of the inflamed tendon. If it doesn’t, he’ll have to go under the knife, which means 4-6 weeks before he could even pick up a bat. They’ll know whether he needs surgery or not within ten days or so. Just putting it all together, Johnson might not be back until August if he has surgery since he’ll need time for a minor league rehab assignment and what not.
Game 36: Andy Returns
Posted by: | CommentsAfter missing a start with some minor elbow inflammation, Andy Pettitte returns to the bump this afternoon as the Yankees look to pick up yet another win over the Twins at home. Minnesota is sending Francisco Liriano out there as they try to win for just the fourth time in the Bronx during the Ron Gardenhire Era, and all he’s done this year is post a 2.24 FIP with a 50.9% groundball rate (zero homers!) in six starts. He’s completely annihilated lefthanded batters as well (1.64 xFIP), so it might be a tough day for Robbie Cano and Brett Gardner. Here’s the lineup that’ll try to figure him out…
Jeter, SS
Swisher, RF – I guess the bicep is okay
Teixeira, 1B
A-Rod, 3B
Cano, 2B
Posada, DH
Thames, LF
Cervelli, C
Gardner, CF
And on the mound, Andrew Pettitte.
Nothing like a Saturday game under the sun. First pitch will be at 1:05pm ET, and the game can be seen on YES. Enjoy.
Link Dump: Laziness, Girardi, House For Sale, Salty, and Tebow
Posted by: | CommentsSome Saturday morning links for your reading pleasure.
Putting data behind the obvious
Rob Iracane over at Walkoff Walk takes a look at a subject touched on many times here with regards to players who are questioned about hustle. It’s a good read and even though what Rob writes is well known, the simple data he compiled is alarming.
Joe Girardi gets some credit
If you’re a Joe Girardi fan, enjoy this while it lasts. Michael Rosenberg at SI lays out reasons for why Girardi is a perfect manager for the Yankees, without ignoring some of his faults. If you can’t stand Girardi, take a peek and see if Rosenberg does anything to sway you.
In the market for new house?
‘Duk over at Big League Stew writes about the Field of Dreams being up for sale in Iowa for $5.4 million. For anyone who has seen the movie, it’s a pretty good read, and it’s interesting to know what happened to the field since.
Remember this guy?
It seems like Jarrod Saltalamacchia should have been an All-Star several times by now, but his career as a catcher is heading in the wrong direction. Bob Hersom of okcredhawks.com takes a look at Salty’s issues throwing the ball back to the pitcher. The good news is Salty is hitting the ball well, so hopefully he either figures it out soon or his bat is strong enough to get him in the majors as a 1B/DH. There’s always room in the majors for guys with 14 letter last names who married a teacher from his high school.
Well, if the whole football thing doesn’t pan out
Interesting story (scroll to bottom) in the Memphis Commercial Appeal about Tim Tebow taking batting practice with the Memphis University School baseball team. Long story short, he crushed the ball. Just in case he doesn’t make in the NFL, maybe he should keep his swing sharp.











