Jul
12

Fan Confidence Poll: July 12th, 2010

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Record Last Week: 6-1 (33 RS, 12 RA)
Season Record: 56-32 (469 RS, 352 RA, 56-32 Pythag. record), 2.0 games up
Schedule This Week: Mon. to Thurs. OFF (All Star break), vs. Rays (three games, Fri. to Sun.)

Top stories from last week:

Please take a second to answer the poll below and give us an idea of how confident you are in the team. You can view the Fan Confidence Graph anytime via the nav bar above, or by clicking here. Thanks in advance for voting.

Given the team's current roster construction, farm system, management, etc., how confident are you in the Yankees' overall future?
Categories : Polls

83 Comments»

  1. Ross in Jersey says:

    Is there a reason 9 was omitted from this poll? YOU’LL VOTE 10 AND GODDAMN LIKE IT

  2. CS Yankee says:

    I’ll go with a 9…on the pace for 100+ wins, SP has been great, Teix is finally heating up, & the overall feel looks solid for the second half.

    Kinda glad we didn’t get Lee (ducks)…although it would have changed the likehood of winning #28 this year from (maybe) 65% to (perhaps) 75%+, it would of made the run a bit dull and the MSM (and general fan base of others) hate would have been at an all time high.

    Seems like we could use a strong bat for DH/OF/PH duties and I wonder what Dunn will cost come late July?

    All is well, looking forward to Jeet/Joba/DH getting on track & thinking that if our old four starters continue to groove we will see Hughes in de 8th come September…not bad at all, not bad at all.

    • Ross in Jersey says:

      Pretty sure Dunn has said he doesn’t see himself as a DH, and he seems like overkill for this team anyway.

      • CS Yankee says:

        The Nats are in last place & should be one of the traders come later in the month…

        The team that aquires Dunn >>> Dunn’s thoughts on what he sees himself at.

        OR

        The chance to win a ring >>>>> what you do for three months of your life.

        I understand his position (from a monetary & longevity POV)but the reality is that he is a very weak MLB fielder but an incredible power bat.

        Lee was overkill (5 solid-great starters), but the overall bench and DH this year is weak so not really overkill, just kill.

    • CS Yankee says:

      Oh, needless to say but Bob Shepard rates at a 10-plus-plus.

      Thanks, Bob for being who you were…the complete professional.

    • Chris says:

      it would have changed the likehood of winning #28 this year from (maybe) 65% to (perhaps) 75%+,

      I think those percentages are both too high. If you assume the Yankees have a 90% chance to make the playoffs and a 90% chance to win each playoff series (which I think it too optimistic – with or without Lee), then their chances of winning the world series is about 65% (0.9*0.9*0.9*0.9). I don’t mean to nitpick, but I think it’s important to be realistic about the chances of winning the WS when voting in the confidence poll.

    • Seems like we could use a strong bat for DH/OF/PH duties and I wonder what Dunn will cost come late July?

      Probably still too much (although they may be more willing to move him for a more reasonable rate now that they’re out of it and if he gives them a quasi-guarantee that he’d come back in the winter). Besides, we can probably cobble together a solid enough DH platoon with Thames + Miranda.

      I’m still more interested in finding a better utility infielder, since getting a near-starting caliber bat that can play 3B/SS allows us to DH ARod and Jeter more as well and kill two birds with one stone.

      If I’m trading for a Natinal, it’s probably Cristian Guzman and not Adam Dunn. Guz is going to cost far less (especially if we eat salary), and he can handle 2B/3B/SS and has played some RF this year; while he’s got no power, he’s hitting .294 and OBPing .343. That’s a quality bench option/fringe starter. He’s also a lock to not get an arb offer due to his high salary, unlike Dunn, so Washington has no compelling reason to hold on to him or price him at Type A levels.

      Splits:
      .268/.325/.333 v RHP (.320 BABIP)
      .347/.381/.439 v LHP (.384 BABIP)

      • CS Yankee says:

        Good choice Guz (early Monday AM pun) it helps us in several IF positions.

        Add a decent MRP (maybe even a LOOGY) & it should carry the day but we better get Miranda some more AB’s to see if he can stick in the bigs.

        • Add a decent MRP (maybe even a LOOGY) & it should carry the day

          I still want to add Octavio Dotel. Sure, he’s got some warts, but like Guzman, he’s not going to cost a ton, and unlike Guzman, he’s a Type B that we likely would offer arb to and net a free sandwich pick from.

          Dotel was god-awful in April, but since May 1st he’s sporting a 2.81 ERA with a .184/.301/.322 against (.250 BABIP) and a 30/12 K/BB in 25.2 IP. He’s not going to solve all our problems, but he’s a decent quality arm that probably doesn’t cost a real prospect but might net one in return next June.

          Oh, and, my second LOOGY idea is still in play, not that anybody wants to listen.

          • Jose the Satirist says:

            Dontrelle is a mess. He won’t be good as a reliever this season. You can count on it.

          • CS Yankee says:

            Always liked Dontrelle but having a LOOGY that walks anyone will bring out the firing squad.

            Dotel was such a g his “rehab” time with the Yankees that I don’t know if I could go through that again.

            Who else you got?

            I would of thought that the whole SD bullpen would have been available by now, but they are playing beyond themselves this year.

    • Mike HC says:

      I think Dunn will cost a lot. If the Yanks see him as a DH, and the Nats value you him as a premier power hitting position player (which they most likely do), the difference in valuations is probably too far apart.

      I can’t imagine a deal where the Yanks trade for Dunn, but I’m sure they might ask just to see what the Nats are looking for.

  3. Doug says:

    The numbers are flip-flopped this week, right? Either that or I’ve gotta stop drinking this early on a Monday.

  4. X says:

    i bet ohnson is making it rain with his surgically impaired wrist and the $$ he stole from us.

  5. Frank says:

    7- The bullpen, besides Mo, is the weak link.

  6. Klemy says:

    I really hate that we haven’t made a move to bring up Tracy and Miranda yet, hopefully coming out of the break. I have seen enough of our current, punch-less bench. I assume they have their reasons, because they have to see what everyone else does.

    Staying at an 8 until something happens to improve the bench and bullpen. I like the team quite a bit, but the holes are worrisome.

    • Mike HC says:

      What holes? Our bench guys are hitting .210 instead of .240?

      Other than having the best closer of all time, our bullpen is up and down?

      Those are not holes, that is a normal baseball team.

    • Big Juan says:

      Interesting that you say “we haven’t made a move to bring Tracy and Miranda up yet” — Tracy’s played 3 games with SWB.

      Agreed on Miranda though.

    • Ross in Jersey says:

      Yeah, it’s kind of a mystery why Miranda isn’t here yet. Maybe they wanted to give him some extra time since he was fresh off an injury? He’s been raking in AAA and Russo sightings happen less often than Haley’s comet these days. Having Miranda and Thames off the bench is a decent amount of pop.

      Also, am I the only one who would rather see Chad Moeller than Cervelli at this point? Cervelli is struggling mightily on both sides of the plate. Might as well let him get back on track in AAA while we make use of a true backup catcher.

      • Mike Axisa says:

        The only thing I can think of is the way the scheduling worked out. He came off the DL when the Yanks were in Oakland, so they didn’t want to fly him across the county and then have him sit around this week during the break. They probably figured it was better to keep him in AAA through the break, and then call him up after.

    • A.D. says:

      Tracy has been in the org for 4 days, wait and see if he hits for an extended period, but I’m sure he’ll get a chance soon enough, if nothing else due to his ability to play 3B.

    • Kiersten says:

      Replace Tracy with Alby and this makes sense.

  7. Ross in Jersey says:

    LoHud has a decent article about the remaining schedule, too. Basically the Yankees schedule the rest of the way is easier than the Red Sox or Tampa schedule. To sum it up, the Yankees:

    - Have 2 less games against winning teams than BOS/TB

    - Have 5 more home games than BOS/TB

    - Have not seen KC yet

    - Are done traveling to the West Coast

    So, hopefully the Yankee offense continues to heat up and they can continue to roll to October.

    • Kiersten says:

      With how much the West sucks this year, I don’t know if it’s necessarily an advantage to not have anymore West Coast trips.

      • Riddering says:

        Playing crappy West Coast teams at home >>> playing crappy West Coast teams on the road.

      • Ross in Jersey says:

        Yeah, still, I’d rather see the Yankees play anywhere except @LAA. The all-star game is probably the first time in forever I’ll be able to watch a game in that stadium and not wonder how the Yankees will lose the game.

        Boston heads out for a long west coast swing right out of the all-star break. It’ll be interesting to see how they handle that, they really can’t afford a bad trip right off the bat.

  8. Riddering says:

    This morning Mr. Boland was on ESPN saying he ranks the 2010 Yankees as less dominant than the 2009 team because of the lack of a solid 8th inning man. All this while a graphic is up showing the starting pitching on average is one run better per nine than last year’s rotation at this time. (I think? It was a wonderfully ridiculous difference.)

    Screw the bullpen. That kind of stat makes my loins quiver.

    9! BOOM.

    • That kind of stat makes my loins quiver.

      Nice to meet a stat that shares a quality with me.

    • Tom Zig says:

      Oh come on you know the 8th inning is more valuable than innings 1-7. GAMES ARE WON AND LOST IN THE 8TH INNING!! The Yankees should put Phil Hughes in the 8th inning to shore up the bullpen. Joba can pitch the 7th, less pressure there for the head case.

      /Did I touch all the narratives?

      • Riddering says:

        You forgot the part where Joba shouldn’t be in the bullpen because it takes too much out of the overweight, uncaring fatass to run from the BP to the mound when he’s called on to pitch.

    • Ross in Jersey says:

      I guess people forget that Hughes, who was dominant all year in the 8th inning, was largely ineffective in the postseason. Yet, that postseason run seemed to finish okay.

      When it comes down to it, in the postseason, the 8th inning role clearly becomes diminished. Joe is much more likely to mix and match and then use Mo for a 4 or 5 out save. Joba for a righty, Marte for a lefty, Mo for the win.

      In any case, saying the team isn’t as good because of a role that doesn’t even matter in the postseason is pretty asinine. Unless he’s suggesting the Yankees won’t make the postseason because of Joba, which is equally retarded.

      • bexarama says:

        I guess people forget that Hughes, who was dominant all year in the 8th inning, was largely ineffective in the postseason. Yet, that postseason run seemed to finish okay.

        THANK YOU. I understand being concerned about the bullpen, and it’s certainly an issue. But I’ve seen people say “Without a dominant 8th inning guy, we have no chance of winning the WS!!!!” Um, Hughes completely sucked throughout pretty much the entire postseason last year, guys. Girardi basically had to tapdance through the bullpen by the World Series. And last year turned out okay.

        • Small sample sizes: Only bring them up when they reinforce our pre-selected narrative.

          Sincerely,
          The MSM

          • Ross in Jersey says:

            Not sure if you’re serious, but if you are…

            Postseason performances are by definition small sample sizes unless your name is Derek Jeter. We can’t just ignore what happens in the postseason because they’re small samples. And its not like I’m using his numbers and saying he’s a choker, just pointing out that the 2009 Yankees won a World Series without an effective 8th inning reliever.

  9. bexarama says:

    I was at a 5, but Pettitte’s Dove commercials put me all the way to 9

  10. bexarama says:

    Also, let me just highlight this:

    Record Last Week: 6-1 (33 RS, 12 RA)

    7 games
    12 runs allowed.

    Girlboner.

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