Aug
30

Fan Confidence Poll: August 30th, 2010

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Record Last Week: 3-3 (34 RS, 33 RA)
Season Record: 80-50 (697 RS, 534 RA, 82-48 Pythag. record), tied for first in the AL East
Schedule This Week: vs. Athletics (four games, Mon. to Thurs.), vs. Blue Jays (three games, Fri. to Sun.)

Top stories from last week:

Please take a second to answer the poll below and give us an idea of how confident you are in the team. You can view the Fan Confidence Graph anytime via the nav bar above, or by clicking here. Thanks in advance for voting.

Given the team's current roster construction, farm system, management, etc., how confident are you in the Yankees' overall future?
View Results
Categories : Polls

89 Comments»

  1. First team to 80 wins.
    Last team to 50 losses.
    League best 697 runs scored.
    Second fewest 534 runs allowed.
    Best run differential of +163.
    .269 team BA #7.
    .350 team OBP #1.
    .442 team SLG #3.
    .792 team OPS #2 (by .001).
    .802 second-half team OPS #1.
    .349 team wOBA #1.
    ARod, Berkman, Pettitte, Aceves, Marte all rejoining the team soon.
    Miranda, Albaladejo, Moeller, Curtis all coming for extra depth.

    Daddy likes.

  2. Frank says:

    7. Starting pitching is still a major concern (despite Nova’s nice start yesterday) with no Pettitte and a difficult September schedule looming. AJ needs to step up big time.

    • Current playoff odds: 95.5%

      http://www.coolstandings.com/b.....gs.asp?i=1

      September doesn’t matter that much, we’re making the playoffs regardless. We’re not the friggin’ Mets, for Mo’s sake, there’s no imminent collapse around the horizon. The offense can carry the pitching for this last month of playoff seed jockeying.

      Meaning we don’t need to have our pitching truly sorted out until October 5th, and that’s plenty of time to get Pettitte, Aceves, and Marte back and give rest to Hughes/Javy/Burnett and let them try to straighten themselves out.

      We’re good.

  3. Jorge says:

    Down from 9 to 8 simply due to major parts of the team showing their age, increased injuries, and long-term solutions for only some of those clearly visible. An “8″ is still an “8,” though.

    And I cross my fingers and hope the B-12 story is just a bunch of bunk.

  4. Guest says:

    I think the great start of the “Killer Bs” at the AA level and Montero’s continued dominance of the AAA level put me at a 9 organizationally.

    In ManBan, you have a well-regarded pitchability youngster who all of a sudden adds velocity. He’s now, I think, either an elite prospect or on the cusp of becoming an elite prospect.

    Brackman and Betances have both put together a (primarily) healthy year with considerably improved control, allowing their uniquely impressive stuff to shine through.

    And Montero’s dominant July and August show that his bat is absolutely ready for prime time.

    Now, all four of these guys may not become what we hope they will become in the majors. In fact, it is highly unlikely that all four of them will hti their ceilings.

    But the fact remains, the best team in baseball now has five elite prospects who are in AA or higher (these four plus the struggling Romine). Moreover, three of them are starting pitchers and the other two are catchers–two of the most valuable positions on the field.

    We’re in a very good place right now.

  5. Pete says:

    So, we pick up Nick Johnson’s option for 2011, right? He’s *sure* to be healthy next season!

    • larryf says:

      We can pick it up but I don’t think Nick will be able to without re-injuring himself. Any option/contract is too heavy for Nick….

      • I’m also not sure how much of next season he’ll miss due to this season’s surgury. He might not even get the opportunity to hurt himself next year if he’s still rehabbing from this year’s endeavors.

      • Frank says:

        All kidding aside, I think Konerko would be a great DH for this team next season.

        • I’d much rather sign a decent third catcher (like, say, John Buck) and have a three way C/DH timeshare with Free Agent Catcher X/Jorge Posada/Jesus Montero than sign an expensive DH-only bat to a multi-year deal like Paul Konerko and limit our flexibility and defense.

          Flexibility FTW.

          • Zack says:

            I’m all for this.
            That was the idea behind getting Chris Synder- an insurance policy for a 39 year old catcher and a 21 year old catcher.

          • Chris says:

            Is it realistic to expect a backup catcher better than Cervelli to sign with the expectation that he’d play maybe 30 games all season?

            • There’s 324 starts available between C and DH. Jorge gets 140, Jesus gets 100, Buck gets 84.

              84: more than 30.

              • Andy In Sunny Daytona says:

                Only 100 for Jesus?

              • Gonzo says:

                How much do you want to pay Buck for 84 games?

              • Chris says:

                I would be very surprised if the Yankees do something like that. They’re not going to give Posada + Montero a total of 78 starts at catcher. And even if they’d do it, I don’t know that a FA catcher would trust them enough to sign.

                I would expect for of a time share between Posada and Montero at C and DH (70 games each) with the remaining games at C (22) going to the third C and the remaining DH games (only about 13 because of interleague) going to A-Rod.

                • They’re not going to give Posada + Montero a total of 78 starts at catcher.

                  But if Posada + Montero get a total of 162 starts at DH in addition to those 78 starts at catcher, why wouldn’t they do that?

                  They get one of their elite bats in the lineup every day, and often get both of them in the lineup at the same time. Plus, they both stay fresh and lower their risk of fatigue or injury, and get 84 starts of a good defensive catcher who’s not an offensive zero.

                  That’s a win-win-win.

                  • Chris says:

                    They wouldn’t do that because Posada wants to catch (and still can to some extent) and they want to develop Montero as a catcher.

                    Cervelli has started 66 games at catcher this year of 130 played. That puts him on pace for about 83 starts at catcher. If they have Montero and Posada as options for catcher, they’re not going to give a thrid catcher more playing time than Cervelli gets this year.

                    The only way that a third catcher catches 84 games is if Posada is relegated to a full time DH role next year.

                    • The only way that a third catcher catches 84 games is if Posada is relegated to a full time DH role next year.

                      That’s basically what I’m doing. The C/DH timeshare isn’t a true three way split, it’s more Buck/some other FA import as the primary starting catcher, Posada as the primary starting DH, and Montero spelling both of them to get him DH at bats and catching reps.

                      Of those three, if Posada catches the fewest number of games, that’s a good thing. Dude is 39. It’s time for him to play a position that doesn’t require much wear and tear.

                    • Chris says:

                      This is where I disagree. I don’t think Posada is going to be strictly a DH next year (and catch < 20 games) so they can sign another FA catcher. That doesn't seem like a wise use of resources.

                      Keep Cervelli at basically league minimum and catch 20-30 games, have Montero catch about 70-80 and have Posada catch the remaining 60-70, and then spend that money on bullpen arm or a 4th outfielder (or add it on to Cliff Lee's contract).

                    • Gonzo says:

                      I gotta agree that money saved could be a valuable mid-season pick-up, a Thames type bench guy, a defensive bench guy, or added to Lee’s contract.

      • Pete says:

        Yeah, I would bet on some sort of stab wound from the signing pen.

    • Pete says:

      No. Decline the option, offer him a 1 year deal for $600K with $5 million in playing time-based incentives and another $3 million in performance based incentives. If we wind up paying Nick Johnson $8.6 million for a .280/.420/.450 line, I’m cool with that.

      • Chris says:

        You can’t have performance based incentives in MLB.

        Other than that, I agree with your proposal.

      • Mike HC says:

        Decline the option and offer him nothing. Why even deal with him at all? Let him go.

        • Steve H says:

          Why even deal with him at all?

          Because when healthy he is a fantastic player and a perfect fit for this team. If the only risk is 600k and you have a backup plan it’s low risk with potentially huge reward.

          • Mike HC says:

            Even trusting him with the 25th roster spot, taking away a spot from another potentially useful free agent, is too much in my opinion.

  6. I’m still sitting at 7 because the team has been experiencing some nagging injuries. However, I like the production and am confident the pitching will be sorted out come October.

    On a side note, hopefully Aceves gets himself sorted out. He has pitched pretty badly in his rehab starts although I’m hoping that can be chalked up to shaking off the rust.

  7. larryf says:

    I will go with 9. The Post headline was Nova gives Yanks “Shot in the Arm”. No pun intended I’m sure about B-12. I would have gone with “Nova Lox it down” especially on Sunday….

    The writer said “what if he ends up being like Joba?” seriously…..

  8. Beamish says:

    Another week, another 8.

    As long as Tampa keeps pace I am not comfortable with the idea of anything more, but when you look at the statistical success of the team so far (neatly summarized by TSJC in the first reply) in spite of injuries and the occasional offensive dry spell, it is very hard to be pessimistic about this team.

    • whozat says:

      Is this your own website? If so, this is bad form — in addition to being off-topic. Please read the commenting guidelines.

  9. CS Yankee says:

    The news (success) at all the farm levels is huge, but I was thinking about down-grading to a 8 due to not whipping up on the weaker teams during our soft schedule. The last two-plus weeks could be brutal and I want to win the division and let Tampa & Texas go 5 while we reset the rotation for the LCS.

    However, the early Monday “loving life” outlook (mostly TSJC) will keep it as a 9 since we have been playing very well with the replacements while 2/3rds of the lineup are having career worst type of years. Think about that, only 2B, RF & LF are meeting/exceeding their career norms while 6 batting positions are under achieving. The ‘pen has been the beast.

    This team is more talented overall than last years. If they get healthy going into the postseason, they will roll.

  10. Mike HC says:

    10. Name me one team with a better present and future than the Yanks, taking everything into account. There is not one.

  11. bexarama says:

    It’s a 9. The Pettitte news made my pants cry, in a good way.

    (Does this even make sense? No, not really. Just roll with it.)

  12. bigdog5123 says:

    I dont post often, but I am an avid reader. Im at a 9, think we are a lock for a playoff spot. Just wondering what you guys think, with Montero batting over 320 since June 1st in Triple AAA, do we roll the dice and add him to the 40 and 25 man roster before tomorrow so that he is an option for the playoff roster

    • Nick Johnson’s injury means we don’t have to add him before rosters expand, we get an injury exemption and can sub in any single position player onto the postseason rosters regardless of whether or not they were on the active roster on August 31st.

      • bigdog5123 says:

        i may be wrong, but i thought if he wasn’t on the 40 man roster as of Aug. 31 he couldn’t be an injury replacement? If so, I’d at least like to see him added to the 40 man roster so that he could be an option for the playoffs.

        Generally, I agree he should stay down and finish the AAA season and playoffs.

        • You’re wrong, yes. A player on the 60-day DL at the end of the season can be replaced by any player who was in the organization as of August 31st (position player for position player, pitcher for pitcher).

          Montero doesn’t need to be on the 40-man as of midnight tomorrow, he just needs to be a New York Yankee as of midnight tomorrow. Nick Johnson’s injury gives the Yanks one exemption to the normal eligibility requirements.

    • Leo says:

      I think the general consensus is that Montero continues to develop in AAA to be ready for a call up at the beginning of next season. He’s still young and there’s no need to put pressure on him with an early call up and expectation to produce when it could possibly stunt his development.

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