Aug
09

Fan Confidence Poll: August 9th, 2010

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Record Last Week: 3-3 (28 RS, 27 RA)
Season Record: 69-41 (591 RS, 452 RA, 69-41 Pythag. record), 2.5 games up
Schedule This Week: vs. Red Sox (one game, Mon.), @ Rangers (two games, Tues. and Weds.), @ Royals (four games, Thurs. to Sun.)

Top stories from last week:

Please take a second to answer the poll below and give us an idea of how confident you are in the team. You can view the Fan Confidence Graph anytime via the nav bar above, or by clicking here. Thanks in advance for voting.

Given the team's current roster construction, farm system, management, etc., how confident are you in the Yankees' overall future?
View Results
Categories : Polls

88 Comments»

  1. B-Rando says:

    What are everyones thoughts on how the pitching staff will look when Ace and Andy return?

    Obviously we shouldn’t be counting on too much from Ace, but having him back will certainly be nice.

    With Moseley pitching the way he has been, it would be a tough call to DFA him. So with Ace and Andy coming back who do gets the axe? Gaudin has got to be one of them, but who gets the other?

    Simultaneously, with Logan pitching the way he has been, what do we do with him when Marte is back in action?

  2. Bronx Ralphie says:

    why are the Yankees playing at 2:00 today? They never play at 2. anybody know?

  3. Mike, there’s a top story you left out from last week:

    • The Red Sox had a successful trip to the Bronx, since they managed to not get swept by winning at least one of the four games on the calendar.

  4. Fair Weather Freddy says:

    Good news: AJ was scratched last night, Bad news: He faces Texas and their powerful lineup on Tuesday. YIKES!! With Vazquez going against Lee on Wednesday, chances of a Texas sweep look pretty good. That makes today’s game all the more important.

    • With Vazquez going against Lee on Wednesday, chances of a Texas sweep look pretty good.

      Seeing as how we have the best team in baseball, the chances of a sweep never look good.

      • B-Rando says:

        Seeing as Josh Beckett is facing off against Dustin Moseley on Sunday night, the Yanks are going to need to win Monday to salvage a split against the Sox.

        wait…what??

    • Mike Axisa says:

      I actually like the AJ and Javy matchups vs. Texas. They’re not a patient lineup, and will chase off the plate. AJ’s naturally wild, and that plays right into Javy’s game. Of course they might not win the second game anyway because of Lee.

    • B-Rando says:

      I’m less concerned about matchups with AJ. It seems like when bad AJ shows up, it could be the Richmond Flying Squirrels out there and he would still get lit up. When good AJ shows up it could be anyone and he is able to hold is own.

      It seems to me that AJ just needs to win the battle with himself to be effective.

      • CS Yankee says:

        Don’t disrespect the Flying Squirrels as they feast on nuts.

        /typicalmsmbashingofaj’d

        • bexarama says:

          You know what’d be cool? If ESPN had a “Beckett struggling against the Yankees” montage all queued up like they had that bullshit “AJ struggling against the Red Sox” montage. But I’m not holding my breath, somehow.

    • Andrew says:

      All current members of the Rangers lineup have, for their careers, amassed a .197/.276/.339 slash line against AJ (albeit in a combined 203 plate appearances). Why so pessimistic?

    • pat says:

      Cliff Lee has a National league comfort zone. I worry about his transition to the AL

      /WhattheMSMsaidaboutCC’d

    • bexarama says:

      DOOOOOOOMED!!!!!!

  5. Stu H says:

    It’d be interesting to see the graph annotated, like the FanGraphs game probability, showing what happened that week to cause the dips in fan confidence.

  6. CS Yankee says:

    No one is grading today?

    Although 3-3 isn’t prime as the Jays & Sox aren’t elite teams this year, I’ll stick with a 9 due to the following;
    1) In first place again
    2) Teix, Jete, & Arod seem to be having some QAB’s
    3) The farm is talent heavy with solid backups & development (except maybe OF)
    4) The Great Gazoo play might lead to a call-up for the Jesus prior to 9-1 (postseason eligible)
    5) The return of Pettitte.
    6) The 2nd best team in baseball is having a rough patch and several pitcher’s in question.
    7) Fat Elvis might turn out to be PHAT Elvis…another Cashman heist.
    8) It’s a good thing when you don’t really need to rush a pitcher like Ace back.
    9) Even the farm clubs are sticking it to the Sox.
    10) We are the reining Champions of the world.

    note: Not rushing the Jesus thing and would be fine with him in AAA for another year but damn has he corrected his average and power numbers.

    • 4) The Great Gazoo play might lead to a call-up for the Jesus prior to 9-1 (postseason eligible)

      The lack of a 40-man opening still makes that unlikely, especially since there are other guys in front of Montero developmentally who need to be added to the 40-man this winter for R5 protection (like Laird, McAllister, etc.)

      I bet Jesus stays in Scranton through the AAA playoffs and then comes up and sits on the big league bench at the end of September as a non-40-man ineligible observer.

      • Andy In Sunny Daytona says:

        Also, Jesus could be added to the 40-man roster on the last day of the season and still be elegible for the playoffs.

        • Assuming that Nick Johnson doesn’t return from injury, yes. But if he’s healthy by the last day of the season, I bet we activate him and use either Johnson or Thames for the playoff bench/DH/PH spot instead of jumpstarting Montero’s career.

          The fact that McAllister, Laird, Betances, Suttle, Snyder, and Pope (as well as Pendleton, Kontos, Krum, etc.) all need to be on the 40-man by November 20th and Montero doesn’t is the biggest thing keeping him from joining this club this year. Every DFA and new addition to the 40-man we make going forward has to also consider the moves we plan on making this winter.

          • Andy In Sunny Daytona says:

            Krum? I wouldn’t worry about him.

            My point was that if a player is with the organization before September 1st, whether they are on the 40 man roster at the time or not, are eligible for the playoffs. It’s the “K-Rod” Rule.

      • CS Yankee says:

        In having so many contracts expire, doesn’t that take care of the winter 40-man issue?
        …thinking that Pettitte, Javy, Mo & Jete (for starters) come off the 40-man at season end; until they resign or sign (elsewhere).

        It might not be a bad move in having a third catcher option, if Jorge gets injured the thought of only Gazoo is way too scary. BTW, thought they had another catcher on the 40-man…they don’t.

        • Andy In Sunny Daytona says:

          Fun Fact #58: The Red Sox have 6 catchers on the 40-man roster.

        • Sure, we’ll let some players walk (Nick, Thames, Mitre, etc.) and cut some (WLDR, Huffman, etc.) but we’ll also sign new replacements (Lee, probably a reliever like maybe J.J. Putz, possibly a better backup SS/3B or a new 4th OF).

          We’re not going to have oodles and oodles open 40-man spots for adding young prospects from our system, more like 3-5. And we’ll have 3-5 guys we want to add outside of Jesus Montero.

          Those 40-man slots always get filled up quick, so you shouldn’t add your young guys from the system until absolutely necessary. As good as Montero is, there are other guys more necessary than him at the moment.

          • CS Yankee says:

            A catcher might be the exception to that rule.

            Wasn’t Jorge on the 40-man during the 1996 run purely as a backup plan?

            Although the core-four has five rings, ‘Sada didn’t have an AB in the ’96 PS (i believe), and was on the 40-man as insurance.

            • Jorge was a backup on the 1996 Yankees behind Girardi, yes, but Jorge was also:

              1.) 24 years old
              2.) A veteran of 6 full years in the minors, the past three seasons all at AAA
              3.) Already a honed and trained MLB-capable backstop

              And I’m sure Jorge had been added to the 40-man back in 1994. They didn’t add him in 1996 just to be the third emergency backup catcher.

              Also, for the record, Jorge was not on the 1996 postseason roster.

              • bexarama says:

                He was on the 1995 postseason roster, though.

                As a pinch-runner.

              • CS Yankee says:

                Disagree, Leyritz was the backup to Girardi in 1996.

                I recall (hopefully non-Clemens like) he was touted as the next starting catcher and was on the 40-man…was not chosen in the postseason roster (but was in ’95) and thus was the emergency backup catcher.

                My point is, that you should have a third catcher on the 40-man…and for this year, why not Jesus?

                • And I’ve answered that question for you, several times.

                  1.) We don’t need a third catcher on the 40 man. It would be nice, but it’s a luxury, not a necessity. Plenty of Yankee teams have gone a full season with only 2 catchers on the 40-man.
                  2.) The reason not to add Montero is because he doesn’t need a 40-man spot yet, but several other prospects do. You don’t add youngsters to the 40-man who don’t need to be on there, that’s just blocking yourself from being able to retain a different talented prospect.

                  Adding Jesus Montero now to be a backup-backup catcher (before we have an injury need for him, mind you) would likely cost us something valuable this winter like a Damon Sublett or a Ryan Pope. You don’t give away a Sublett or a Pope just so you can have the piece of mind of knowing that you have a backup to your backup for a few months down the stretch.

                  • CS Yankee says:

                    Relax dude.

                    Different things mean different things to different people.

                    My views, are that having another bat into the lineup in the two-hole can only be achieved if a) there is a worthy bat and b) that he must be on the 40-man prior to 9-1.

                    Now, with the “K-rod” rule it is possible to get him there anyways if needed. #28 is the focus (actually, the only focus for the next few months).

                    Peace out.

      • Ed says:

        On the 40 man roster note… I’m not sure, but I believe that Romine needs to be added to the 40 man after this season, but I don’t think Montero needs to be added yet. That might actually give Romine a leg up over Montero on a call up in an emergency situation.

        On that thought, if Posada couldn’t catch the rest of the way, who do you add to the roster? Moeller, Romine, or Montero? And who starts – one of those three, or Cervelli?

    • vin says:

      I think the acquisition of Berkman eliminated the .1% chance Jesus had of making it to the Bronx this season (injuries excluded).

      Girardi and Cash have to feel comfortable with a Berkman/Thames/Posada DH. And there’s no way they would let a guy like Montero catch in the playoffs.

      • CS Yankee says:

        If Posada goes down with injury then do you want cervelli as your postseason catcher?…I do not!

        Even if you do want Cervelli, who is the backup? Why not have that someone bring their bat with them?

        Hasn’t Jesus has thrown out more in AAA than Cervelli this year?

        Hasn’t the recipe for the Yankees over last 4 rings is to have the bat over the glove in the two-position? Moeller & Romine (although closer) won’t likely do that.

        • If Posada goes down with injury then do you want cervelli as your postseason catcher?…I do not!

          If Posada goes down with injury, the idea of promoting Jesus Montero and tying up a 40-man spot with him becomes more desirable.

          Until Jorge actually does get injured, though, it’s moot.

          • CS Yankee says:

            There must be an exception for catcher’s though, what if your two catcher’s go down in late September…MLB doesn’t want Swisher behind the plate catching.

            • Again, until we actually have an injury, all this is academic.

              You don’t add Montero to the 40-man IN CASE you have an injury to Posada or Cervelli, you add Montero to the 40-man AFTER you have an injury to Posada or Cervelli.

              (And to be frank, you probably add Chad Moeller to the 40-man if you have an injury, so you can DFA him later with no consequences. But I digress.)

              If ‘Sado goes down with a nasty injury on September 2nd, we’d just DL him and move him to the 60-day, thus allowing us to add Montero and get him playoff eligible anyway.

              Don’t put the cart before the horse.

              • CS Yankee says:

                You should be frank more often. Your reason of Moeller in DFA’ing him after the season is just and sound.

                I would rather have a solid bat in reserve in that position and worry about the 40 man after the 28 objective is complete. Cashman will likely have 3 or 4 trades done in that time anyways.

                Whatevs

                • I would rather have a solid bat in reserve in that position and worry about the 40 man after the 28 objective is complete.

                  Montero’s still available in reserve right now, while not on the 40-man, because we can add him if we need him. And if disaster strikes and we need Montero, we’ll add Montero.

                  But only after disaster strikes. Not before. Before disaster strikes, you retain the roster flexibility provided to you by not needing to commit a 40-man spot to Montero until necessary.

  7. Jorge says:

    Still in first place. Still rolling. Still loving what I read every night on DOTF. Still a 9.

    I’m sure somoene could provide more solid evidence as to why it’d be so on here, but I am a bit surprised by how little confidence there’s been in Dustin Moseley. Yes, the guy is a journeyman-type, but I do remember him looking like a respectable major league pitcher when with the Angels. This guy shouldn’t be receiving Aaron Small comparisons (as I’ve seen more than once here), and there’s a whole lot of guys the Yankees have put out there to start these past few years who gave me a much queasier feeling than Moseley does.

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