Jun
03

Series Preview: Anaheim Angels

By

Can't read my, can't read my, no you can't read Mike Scioscia face.

There once was a time when the Yankees simply could not beat the Angels. They were just 28-36 against the Halos from 2002 through 2008, but then things changed in 2009. After getting swept in Anaheim right before the 2009 All-Star break, the Yankees went on a big second half run that includes three wins in four regular season games against the Angels, and of course the four games to two series win in the ALDS. It’s been smooth sailing against Mike Scioscia’s fading club ever since.

What Have The Angels Done Lately?

Coming off two straight losses to the Royals, the Angels have won just lost eight of their last 13 games to push their record to 29-29. They do have a positive run different at +3, but for all intents and purposes it indicates that they are exactly what their record suggests they are: a .500 club.

Angels On Offense

(Photo Credit: Flickr user djalpone vs Creative Commons license)

There’s one thing the Angels really lack on offense, and it’s power. As a team, they have just a .133 ISO and 49 homers, both good for tenth place in the American League. The lack of pop is even more noticeable with both Kendrys Morales and Vernon Wells on the disabled list. When Scioscia fills out his lineup card tonight, he’s going to have just two players with more than three long balls at his disposal: Torii Hunter (eight) and Mark Trumbo (ten). The Yankees, on the the other hand, have just one regular (Derek Jeter) with fewer than three homers.

In addition to Morales and Wells, the Halos are also without second baseman Howie Kendrick, who a) kills the Yankees (.371/.441/.481), and b) has been one of the best hitters in baseball this season (.322/.388/.520). It sounds like they might be able to activate him off the disabled list in time for Saturday’s game, however. Their best hitter aside from Kendrick has been Erik Aybar, who sports a .315/.356/.444 line with 14 steals out of the leadoff spot. Maicer Izturis (.285/.354/.414) is the only other regular with both a .310+ OBP and a .400+ SLG. Yep.

Old buddy Bobby Abreu is still doing the on base thing (.388 OBP) and stealing bases (eight), but his power is completely gone (.097 ISO). Hunter’s season line sits at .242/.325/.397, and Alberto Callaspo’s line is a lot like Abreu’s (.299/.371/.388). Trumbo, the rookie first baseman filling Morales’ shoes, is at .255/.305/.467 on the year but .320/.346/.680 over the last two weeks or so. He’ll get himself out on stuff off the plate, but don’t miss in the zone. Another rookie, Hank Conger, has done a decent job of taking playing time away from the certifiably awful Jeff Mathis, but he’s still at .234/.287/.364. The Angels recently picked up Russell Branyan to add some pop, but he wasn’t hitting with the Diamondbacks (.284 wOBA) and has done next to nothing (.095 wOBA) in seven games with Anaheim.

Like Justin Turner a few weeks ago, my pick to annoy the everliving hell out of the Yankees with weekend is Peter Bourjos. The rookie center fielder might be the best defensive outfielder in the game right now, and if you don’t believe me just check out his video highlights on MLB.com. Bourjos is only hitting .236/.292/.382 on the year, but don’t let that fool you. He has some pop and can run, and will do all the little things to annoy the crap out of you in this series. I guarantee he’ll hit at least one triple in these three games. It’s inevitable.

Angels On The Mound

(Photo Credit: Flick user guidotti via Creative Common license)

Friday, RHP Jered Weaver: The Yankees have been facing great pitchers all road trip, so there’s no point in stopping now. Jeff’s younger brother is sporting a 2.48 FIP through a dozen starts this year, striking out more than eight men while walking just over two for every nine innings pitched. He is a fly ball pitcher (37.3% grounders) but he has pretty considerable reverse split over the last two years because his changeup is really good. All those lefty bats – Curtis Granderson, Robinson Cano, and switch hitters Mark Teixeira and Nick Swisher – are going to have to watch out for it. Weaver also throws four and two-seam fastballs right around 90 mph, and his out pitch is a slider in the upper-70′s. He’ll also bust out a curveball from time to time. I suppose the good news is that he’s cooled off after a scorching start, but he still sports at 3.18 ERA in his last five outings. Don’t hate on him for being a Weaver, Jered’s as good as it gets. But this is the third series in a row we’re writing this.

Saturday, RHP Dan Haren: As of this writing, it’s unclear if Haren will even make this start. He had to cut Thursday’s regular bullpen short because of back pain, and the Angels have yet to provide an update. I assume he’s still starting in that case. Anyway, Haren is in the middle of the best year in his career, rocking a 2.54 FIP on the strength of his always stingy walk rate (1.46 BB/9) and a strong homerun rate (0.52 HR/9) that comes from his best ground ball rate (44.6%) in years. He pounds the zone with two and four-seamers around 90 mph, a cutter in the mid-80′s, and then finishes batters off with a splitter around 90 and the occasional changeup or curveball. Only twice this year has he allowed more than three earned runs in a start, and only four times has he allowed more than two earned runs.

Sunday, RHP Ervin Santana: I have this weird disconnect between what I think Santana is and what he really is. He has a 5.55 ERA and a 5.94 FIP in ten career starts against the Yankees, but for whatever reason it’s stuck in my head that he always pitches well against them. It’s probably just me. Anyway, Santana has a respectable 3.81 ERA in 12 starts this season, and he’s actually sporting his best peripherals (7.75 K/9 and 2.47 BB/9) since 2008. The good news is that he’s allowed no fewer than four runs in six of his last nine starts, including four games of five or more runs. Looking at the PitchFX data, Santana’s just a two pitch pitcher these days. He throws his low-90′s fastball more than 60% of the time and his low-80′s slider more than 36% of the time. The other four percent or so is a changeup, but the usage of that pitch has continually decreased over the last few seasons. If Ervin’s going to come after the Yankees with just a fastball and a slider, well that’s just not a fight he’s going to win.

If Haren does not start on Saturday, the Angels will likely just move Santana up a day. He’d make that on regular rest because they had Thursday off. That would then put Joel Pineiro in line for Sunday’s start. The sinkerball extraordinaire missed the start of the season with a shoulder issue, but he’s posted a 3.55 ERA in seven starts since coming back, relying on his usual combination of no free baserunners (1.57 BB/9) and a healthy amount of grounders (52.3%).

Bullpen: Long gone are the days of Scot Shields crushing souls for two innings in front of Francisco Rodriguez, these Angels certainly feature a good ol’ fashioned lolpen. Their 4.28 FIP is fifth worst in all of baseball, and their 3.67 ERA would be a lot worse if not for a 77.4% strand rate. A 6.85 K/9 and 4.45 BB/9 are both bottom six marks in baseball.

Rookie closer Jordan Walden is legit, with an upper-90′s fastball and wipeout breaking ball, but he also walks 4.62 batters for every nine innings. Fernando Rodney walks two guys for every three innings pitched, and Scott Downs has suddenly forgotten how to strike people out (3.71 K/9). At least he has a 60% ground ball rate to get by with. Kevin Jepsen has walked seven and struck out four in ten innings, and Hisanori Takahashi is amazingly homer prone (1.62 HR/9). Long man Trevor Bell is another sub-4.00 K/9 guy (3.86, to be exact), but the secret weapon is Rich Thompson. The right-hander has struck out 9.99 batters per nine innings while keeping the walks down below three per nine. He’s legit, as is Walden, but everyone else is pretty sketchy.

Recommended Angels Reading: True Grich

Categories : Series Preview

18 Comments»

  1. Pat D says:

    I prefer the one where he looks slighty more offended and hurt and has the “You just ran over my dog and drove away” look.

    My dad just insists on calling him “The Pig” due to his cheeks.

  2. CP says:

    There once was a time when the Yankees simply could not beat the Angels. They were just 28-36 against the Halos from 2002 through 2008,

    Doesn’t the second sentence disprove the first? If they won 28 times against them, that clearly means they could beat them.

    • JobaWockeeZ says:

      I was going to say ‘in before someone quotes that and says it’s a success’ but I was beaten.

  3. Yank The Frank says:

    Considering how this road trip started, if we are able to take 2 out of 3 we’ll be 6 and 3. Yowza!

  4. gc says:

    Then there’s the fun of checking out the Halo’s Heaven site, or whatever it’s called these days. Some entertaining stuff around there! I wonder if they’ll accuse Rivera of cheating again.

  5. Yankee Bigot says:

    I still wish we had somehow traded for Dan Haren last season. Oh well. What’s done is done.

    • Clay Bellinger says:

      Nah, they couldn’t offer more than Joe Saunders.

      • “Nah, they couldn’t offer more than Joe Saunders Tyler Skaggs, one of the two or three very best left-handed starting pitching prospects in the entirety of baseball.

        Fixed. I’m so sick and tired of people mischaracterizing that Haren deal like Saunders was the centerpiece. Skaggs was the centerpiece. Skaggs is on par with Manny Banuelos. He’s not chopped liver. The deal was not a stinker.

        • CMP says:

          “Skaggs is on par with Manny Banuelos.”

          Almost but not quite. Skaggs hasn’t pitched above A ball and was the 78th ranking prospect according to Keith Law and 82nd from BA compared to ManBan who has had success at AA and was ranked 12th by Law and 41st by BA.

          I agree with your point that the D’Back didn’t just give away Haren though the Angels did make a nice trade when you consider they got Dan Haren for a package that was no better than what the Yankees traded for Javy Vasquez.

          I also think Clay Bellingers was implying that the Yankees could have and should have matched the Angels deal for Haren and I agree with that.

  6. Phife Dawg says:

    Recommended Angels Reading: True Grich

    No Halo’s Heaven?

    #stillremember2009ALCS

  7. Clay Bellinger says:

    I’m just going to go out on a limb and guess that the ump that Scioscia is making that ridiculous face at got the call completely right.

  8. Cam says:

    Weaver looks cartoonishly huge in that photo, like when he releases that pitch his hand is going to be 5 feet from the plate. And love the caption of Scioscia.

  9. nsalem says:

    I think the Santana disconnect comes from Game 5 2005 ALDS. He came in after the first inning for a supposedly injured Bartolo Colon. He walked the first two batters he faced who both scored but then shut us down for the next four innings. Though his line doesn’t look great for the game he certainly did the job. He really hasn’t hurt us since them. I always thought that Colon’s removal after he took his warm up pitches in inning two was great gamesmanship on Scioscia’s part to throw Mussina (who loved his consistency) off of his game by making him sit. If so it worked as the Angels scored three in the second and two in the third after Mussina had looked quite strong in inning 1. It wasan awful night, the lowlights being the Bubba/Sheffield collision in the second, A-Rod’s very weak gidp in the ninth and bad management in the ninth by both Torre and his bench coach (if I remember correctly it was Girard)i.

  10. vin says:

    Admit it, there is no Recommended Angels Reading. No offense to truegrich, but that fanbase is completely insufferable. Take it from me, I lived in Orange County for 3 years.

  11. Guest says:

    “Coming off two straight losses to the Royals, the Angels have won just eight of their last 13…” Should the just and won be switched there? Because “just 8 of 13″ projects to 100 wins on the year.

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