Shadowing the Sickels’ Mock Draft

Fan Confidence Poll: June 6th, 2011
MLB still probing A-Rod's connection to Galea
(Photo Credit: Andrew Stanfill, The Independent Florida Alligator)

Every year, right before the draft, John Sickels over at Minor League Ball holds a community mock draft where his readers act as scouting directors and made picks for the 30 teams. I acted as the Yankees’ scouting director way back in 2007, and although it was fun it was also extremely time consuming. No way will I do that again. Instead I’ll continue to do what I’ve been doing in the three years since, reviewing the picks made for the Yankees and saying who I would have taken. Best of both worlds.

They did four rounds this year (first, sandwich, second, third), so the Yankees made three picks. They didn’t have one in the first round, but here’s what happened afterwards…

First Pick, Sandwich Round, #51 Overall
Mock Draft: Derek Fisher, OF, Pennsylvania HS
My Pick: Tyler Goeddel, 3B/OF, California HS

Fisher’s a fine pick here, I just prefer Goeddel. I’m a big Hudson Boyd fan (and a fan of high school pitchers in general), so it was tough to leave him on the board (he went the very next pick). Goeddel has the whole hitting thing figured out (at least as much as a high school kid reasonably could), you’re just projecting on the power. Fisher has the power and you’re counting on him learning how to hit breaking balls, which is very tough to do. I would be happy if the Yankees landed either player later tonight, it’s just personal preference here. Everything you need to know about Fisher and Goeddel can be found here and here, respectively.

Second Pick, Second Round, #88 Overall
Mock Draft: Nick Burdi, RHP, Illinois HS
Mike’s Pick: Carl Thomore, OF, New Jersey HS

After missing out on Fisher’s power in the first round, Thomore more than makes up for it here. Pure homerun hitters are in short supply these days, so I wanted to get at least one early, and I mean a legitimate prospect and not a Kyle Roller type (no offense to him). Pitches that break aren’t a huge concern with Thomore either, so I’m very pleased to get two high school bats with upside (and different skill sets) early on. Here’s my write-up.

Burdi is a risky but potentially high reward pick. He showed huge velocity in showcases last summer (like, 95-97 consistently), but he missed some time this spring and hasn’t been the same since. He spent most of his senior year pitching anywhere from 83-93 mph, and his slider varied from unhittable to unusable. Given the declining stuff plus a commitment to Louisville and reports of first round bonus demands, I would have waited a while before pulling the trigger on a guy like Burdi.

Third Pick, Third Round, #118 Overall
Mock Draft: Rookie Davis, RHP, North Carolina HS
Mike’s Pick: Nick Maronde, LHP, Florida

The Davis pick is interesting in that he doesn’t really appear to be much of a prospect. I had never heard of him before and he’s not on any of the top draft prospect lists from the regular publications (Baseball America, Keith Law, etc.). Google led me to this year-old article that may or may not still be valid. Maybe everyone completely missed Davis and he’s some kind of hidden gem, maybe he’s just a friend of whoever acted as the Yankees’ scouting director in the mock draft, maybe he’s something else.

Anyway … I don’t like that the first pitcher I took is a reliever, but Maronde is a prime candidate to be transitioned back into the rotation. His fastball sits 93-96 in relief but a tick lower when he starts, and he backs it up with both a quality slider and a changeup. Those three pitches are why he’s a candidate to start. Maronde’s command came apart a bit when started for the Gators, but I think it’s worth another shot (since my neck isn’t on the line). Worst case scenario, he goes back to being a shutdown lefty reliever. Around these parts, that’ll get you $4M a year without even having to pitch!

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Fan Confidence Poll: June 6th, 2011
MLB still probing A-Rod's connection to Galea
  • MonteroSmash

    I actually would like Maronde, heard good about him ever since 2008 when he was a draftee as a high schooler as well.

  • CP

    Who was making the picks for the Yankees?

  • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside the Elder

    Purke to #71, the Mets.

    That would be awesome for them. A gamble well worth taking for a franchise that needs to hit on some lottery tickets.

    • zs190

      somebody in sandwich round is bound to pop him, I think. Even if not, I’m not sure he would sign for slot money at #71.

      • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside the Elder

        Then Sandy Alderson will go to Fred Wilpon and say “Pay this kid overslot money, we need arms like this to get back into relevance”.

        And Wilpon will listen (and then order Alderson to cover the cost by dumping Carlos Beltran’s salary on some magnanimous, wealthy, handsome, suave owner possibly named “Hank” or “Hal”).

        • Ted Nelson

          Yeah, agreed. Whoever takes Purke has to expect he’s not going to sign for slot. If he does sign for slot, it probably means he has no faith in his arm healing and wants to get some money now. What kind of offer he gets depends on how he does at Cape Cod or wherever between now and August 15 (if that’s the deadline). He signed for $6 mill out of HS before MLB voided it (Rangers under MLB control), and has two more years of eligibility to prove he’s healthy and raise his value. He doesn’t have much reason to sign for slot if he’s confident in his long-term health (not that he has perfect information on the subject).

  • Reggie C.

    George springer or Matt Barnes to the mets would be a major win.

    Go uconn!

  • zs190

    Goeddel would be a really good pick at #51, but I’m hoping for one of the higher upside guys to slide. I’m kind of hoping for Josh Bell for our first pick, even if it’s unlikely.

    • http://www.twitter.com/JoeRo23 The Honorable Congressman Mondesi

      Law doesn’t think he’s falling that far:

      http://twitter.com/#!/keithlaw.....6977823744
      I know what kind of pipe “@NateRittenberry: prob a pipe dream, but any chance Bell falls to 47 & W Sox take him to offset loss of 1st pick?”

      • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside the Elder

        With the Red Sox, Rays, and Tigers all having multiple picks in front of us, I’ve given up on hoping that Bell falls to #51. One of those teams will nab him and pay that fat bonus.

        • Gonzo

          I don’t think the Tigers have any picks in front of the Yankees.

          • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside the Elder

            Bah, Victor Martinez. My bad, forgot.

  • Dion Bo

    I want a linebacker, or a goalie, or someone with multi-sport intangibles that has a cool nickname.

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside the Elder

      We could draft Plaxico Burress. He’s available now.

      • Chops

        He would come in as no-homers defensive outfielder. I bet he could be better than Torii Hunter.

        • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside the Elder

          Nobody would run on his arm. I hear he has a gun.

          http://www.instantrimshot.com

      • CP

        Would he even need to be drafted? Couldn’t the Yankees just sign him as a free agent?

        • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside the Elder

          Otter: Germans?
          Boon: Forget it, he’s rolling.

  • zs190

    not that FanHouse or MLB Bonus Baby are major prospects sites but they have Rookie Davis at 35 and 36 on their big board. Massive guy, 6’4-6’5, 235-245 pounds. Big time power guy with his size and supposedly good bat speed too. On the mound he’s low 90’s RHP with potentially good curveball.

    • zs190

      link for the mini scouting report on Davis

      http://www.mlbbonusbaby.com/20.....2011-draft

    • zs190

      Oh I guess that report was from late last year. Maxed out guy with decent but unspectacular stuff, so maybe he’s not as highly rated this year.

  • Megan

    Charleston has a good offense with a nice mix of prospects and quality filler. Is there any chance that they will be promoted in bunchs to help them have more offensive production and protection at Tampa, which is currently terrible. (Heathcott, Flores, Segedin, Roller, etc.)

  • zs190

    Yeah, I really doubt it too. Dillon Howard, who Yanks looked at extensively, will probably be a late first rounder too.

    I guess nobody besides Josh Bell really seems likely to slide but someone will, can’t wait to see who it is.

    • zs190

      bah, fail at replying, this was meant for Mondesi above re: Bell unlikely

  • RRRRRandy

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pzVbus8CKkQ

    There’s some video of Rookie. It looks like he has some decent stuff. 1:20 is when his curveball or something like that is in action and it’s pretty dirty. Gets lots of swing and misses. Has good movement on his fastball. Plays 1B, but his swing isn’t all that pretty. He’s most def a pitcher.

    I would take my chance on him as a pick, unless of course somebody much better is there.

  • Pat D

    Nice job on the Brackman and Venditte selections, Mike.

    • http://www.riveraveblues.com Mike Axisa

      My best pick was Barry Enright. That’s sad. Mike Stanton was the way to go.

      • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside the Elder

        Brackman was the right pick at the time, but Jordan Zimmerman would have been nice instead.

        #perchancetodream

      • Pat D

        Hey, don’t beat yourself up too much.

        As David Schoenfield pointed out today, you could have done this:

        2009 — Tony Sanchez (4th). Could have had: Mike Trout (25th).
        2008 — Pedro Alvarez (2nd). Could have had: Eric Hosmer (3rd) or Buster Posey (5th).
        2007 — Daniel Moskos (4th). Could have had: Jason Heyward (14th).
        2006 — Brad Lincoln (4th). Could have had: Tim Lincecum (10th).
        2005 — Andrew McCutchen (11th). Could have had: OK, nothing wrong with this pick, although Jay Bruce went with the next choice.
        2004 — Neil Walker (11th). Could have had: Jered Weaver (12th).
        2003 — Paul Maholm (8th). Could have had: Chad Billingsley (24th).
        2002 — Bryan Bullington (1st). Could have had: Prince Fielder (7th).
        2001 — John Van Benschoten (8th). Could have had: David Wright (38th).
        2000 — Sean Burnett (19th). Could have had: Adam Wainwright (29th).
        1999 — Bobby Bradley (8th). Could have had: Carl Crawford (52nd).
        1998 — Clint Johnston (15th). Could have had: CC Sabathia (20th).
        1997 — J.J. Davis (8th). Could have had: Lance Berkman (16th).
        1996 — Kris Benson (1st). Could have had: Jimmy Rollins (46th)
        1995 — Chad Hermansen (10th). Could have had: Roy Halladay (17th).

        • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside the Elder

          As painful as that is, you could do this for every team in baseball.

          • Pat D

            I’m sure. I think in this case it’s the frequency of such high picks and not getting much out of them. Only McCutchen and Walker contribute for them right now, and I guess the jury is still out on Alvarez. Benson was never that good, Bullington was a terrible pick (they could have also had B.J. Upton, Zack Greinke, Cole Hamels and Matt Cain), and some of the recent guys are just blah.

            And of course they were being highlighted since they’re back in the #1 slot today.

            • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside the Elder

              Sanchez and Alvarez are two nice building blocks, though, they’re both good baseball talents. Jameson Tallion and Stetson Allie are nice as well.

              Maybe the Moskos pick was the breaking point that convinced the Pirate braintrust that they had to stop pussyfooting around the draft and load up on talent.

        • Ted Nelson

          Does he use any range of picks later and/or bonus level to limit the selections? It seems pretty reasonable to suggest that they should have taken Weaver over Walker or even Prince over Bullington… but it loses pretty much all credibility to me when he starts suggesting they could have taken Rollins #1. Seems like pure hindsight speculation. Tampa Bay could have taken Pujols #1 instead of Hamilton too.

    • http://twitter.com/tsjc68 tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside the Elder

      Pssh, only 6 picks before Mike took Venditte, the guy drafting for the White Sox took Mike Stanton.

      Axisa should of traded up and nabbed Stanton. What a dumbass.

  • pat

    Big power and can identify a breaking ball? Sign me up.

  • Ted Nelson

    Good stuff, Mike