Aug
12

Food For Thought: World Series WPA Leaders

By

Beyond The Box Score ran a great post today looking at the career leaders in Win Probability Added (WPA) in World Series play. The graphic up top (which you can click for a larger view) is the pitcher leaderboard, and you can click through the link to see the position players. At 2.40 WPA, Mariano Rivera has helped improved his team’s chances of winning in the Fall Classic more than any other player in the modern era (pitcher or hitter), dating back to Red Ruffing in the 30′s and 40′s. That 2.40 WPA came in only 36.1 career World Series innings too. For some perspective, Rivera had a 2.24 WPA in 60 IP last season. That’s how big he’s been in the postseason.

Mike Stanton (the lefty reliever, not the Marlins’ masher) is the only other recent pitcher to crack the top 12 leaderboard (1.59 WPA), Yankees or otherwise. He just barely made it too. Hideki Matsui (1.18 WPA) is the only recent player in the position players top 12, tied with Tim McCarver of all people. Godzilla only has 41 career plate appearances in the World Series, so he sure did a good job of making his contributions count. That list features the greatest Yankees of all-time basically, guys like Lou Gehrig, Mickey Mantle, Babe Ruth, Reggie Jackson … all those guys make an appearance. Check out the post for more info, it’s pretty neat stuff.

Categories : Playoffs

15 Comments»

  1. IRF says:

    No. Sorry. This is all wrong. Mariano Rivera really isn’t good. He’s blown saves in the post season, and he the Yankees haven’t won the WS every year since he became closer.

  2. Justin says:

    I would be insulted to be tied with Tim McCarver for anything.

  3. UncleArgyle says:

    At 2.40 WPA, Mariano Rivera has helped improved his team’s chances of winning in the Fall Classic more than any other player in the modern era (pitcher or hitter), dating back to Red Ruffing in the 30?s and 40?s. That 2.40 WPA came in only 36.1 career World Series innings too. For some perspective, Rivera had a 2.24 WPA in 60 IP last season. That’s how big he’s been in the postseason.

    You sure about that? ESPN’s David Schoenfield had this to say yesterday on Twitter:

    dschoenfield David Schoenfield
    Of course Mo’s postseason numbers are great. Yankees won most of the series in sweeps or 4-1 though. Wasn’t a difference-maker, except ’96.

    So who’s right? The research company, or the ESPN talking head who’s too lazy at this point in his career to do research?

    • Donna L says:

      I guess Schoenfield didn’t watch the 2003 ALCS.

      And didn’t Mo win the World Series MVP in 1999 against the Braves? Yes, it was a sweep, but maybe he had something to do with that?

      • Owen Two says:

        Yes, it was a sweep, but maybe he had something to do with that?

        Good point. Just because a Series is lop-sided doesn’t mean all the games were blowouts.

    • bexarama says:

      Schoenfield was blatantly obviously trolling about Mariano yesterday. Like, laughably obviously.

      Do the Yankees probably win in like 1998 without Mariano? There’s no way to tell for sure, but it’s likely. But he’s been tremendous in the postseason/World Series, even as “just” a relief pitcher.

      • UncleArgyle says:

        Yeah, I thought Schoenfield was really out of line yesterday. He gets paid to talk intelligently about baseball, not to say stupid shit to piss people off.

  4. Heisenberg says:

    No Whitey Ford? Sad face.

  5. CP says:

    Mo’s biggest positive WPA in the World Series:
    1. 2000 WS Game 4: +.360
    2. 1999 WS Game 3: +.305
    3. 2001 WS Game 3: +.303

    Mo’s biggest negative WPA in the World Series:
    1. 2001 WS Game 7: -.625
    2. That’s his only negative WPA appearance in the World Series

    Interestingly, his biggest playoff WPA was the 1995 ALDS game 2 at +.471 (second was 2003 ALCS game 7).

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