2011 ALDS: Previewing Max Scherzer

Nova, Cano lead Yanks to Game One win
Football Open Thread
(Duane Burleson, AP)

When we previewed Doug Fister yesterday, I mentioned that he had a pretty loose connection to the Yankees. Max Scherzer’s connection to New York is much more ironclad. The 27-year-old right-hander was one of the seven players involved in the three-team trade that brought Curtis Granderson to the Yankees, though he went from the Diamondbacks to the Tigers. Scherzer will be charged with getting his team back in the series this afternoon following their Game One loss.


Scherzer started the year as Detroit’s number two starter behind Justin Verlander, but he basically pitched his way out of that role by posting a 4.90 ERA (~4.40 FIP) through his first 18 starts. That’s part of the reason why went out and traded for Fister. Scherzer finished well, pitching to a 3.89 ERA (~3.80 FIP) in his final 15 starts.

Always a high strikeout guy, Scherzer’s strikeout rate decreased for the third straight season, down to a still stellar 8.03 K/9. He’s gotten the walks under control (2.58 BB/9) but is a fly ball guy (40.3% grounders). I guess the best way to describe Scherzer is enigmatic; he had 20 starts of two runs or less, but also nine with five runs or more.

Pitch Selection

(via Texas Leaguers and FanGraphs)

Scherzer is basically two two-pitch pitchers. He’ll rely on the fastball and slider against righties, and then the fastball and changeup against lefties. All three offerings have been essentially average this year (not much difference between ±0.5 runs from average per 100 pitches and zero), but the pure velocity of his fastball and the ten mile an hour separation between the heat and soft stuff make him tough to handle. Some deception in his delivery, courtesy of one of the most violent head whacks you’ll ever see, helps his cause. Scherzer is definitely one of those guys with better stuff than results, but power repertoires always seem to play up this time of year.

Pitching Pattern

(via FanGraphs)

It’s all fastball, all the time. Even when he’s ahead in the count, there’s still better than a 50-50 chance that Scherzer will go to his heat. I guess when you throw that hard, you should be proud of your fastball. [/Flaherty’d] Scherzer has been quite a bit better at home than on the road, and I’m guessing that’s at least part of the reason why they scheduled him to pitch Game Three in Detroit. The weather threw a wrench into that, so perhaps the Yankees benefit. The good news is that they were the third best fastball hitting team in baseball this year, so Scherzer plays right to their strengths.

Nova, Cano lead Yanks to Game One win
Football Open Thread
  • Tyrion Lannister

    We’re a good fastball hitting team. We hit homers. We should get some runs off this guy with how some of these guys are locked in, especially Robbie Cano. Teix was hitting the ball the other way. ARod hit some balls hard. Crush him.

  • denmings

    Nice scouting report on the pitcher. Looking forward to seeing the yankees sweep this series. woot~

  • Regis

    Max has pitched twice against the Yanks this year.

    April 3 – 5 innings, 9 hits, 6 runs.
    May 4 – 8 innings, 4 hits, 9 strikeouts, 0 runs.

    • Tackaberry

      The former at Yankee Stadium, the later at Comerica Park.

    • JimAbbottFan

      While somewhat comforting to know that his bad performance came from pitching in Yankee Stadium, checking out the stats from that game reminded me how frustrating it was. Hughes pitched poorly and every time the Yankees came close to catching up, the Tigers would get another HR or XBH to pull away.

  • Kosmo

    Yes Mike “Enigmatic“ is the best way to describe Scherzer.

  • Monteroisdinero

    And for those who think Scherzer is Jewish (I know it’s irrelevant) check out this site:


    /appeals to some not all

    • McLovin

      He’s Jewish?

    • http://www.yankeeanalysts.com/ Steve S.

      If he is, Happy Roshashana from one of the goyem.

  • your mom

    I hate Luis Ayala.

  • Pants Lendel-‘Stros.

    This game has a reverse lock feel to it

    • your mom

      IDK, the Tigers offense is hurtin’ for a squirtin’.

      • Pants Lendel-‘Stros.

        No I mean that Mad Max has the potential to shut down this line up like Brandon Morrow has this year.

        I’m confident that Garcia can “5 and Fly” it today with the game still manageable.

        • your mom

          Hopefully we won’t see Luis Ayala again. . . . . . unless we’re up by 10 runs or something.

          • nedro

            “Hopefully we won’t see Luis Ayala again”

            [sigh]…But you know we will.

  • S

    Andy is gonna throw the first pitch out today….let’s win it for him and remind the lefty whats he’s missing

    • I am not the droids you’re looking for…

      Cool I didn’t know that.

  • http://www.yankeeanalysts.com/ Steve S.

    I guess the best way to describe Scherzer is enigmatic; he had 20 starts of two runs or less, but also nine with five runs or more.

    He’s the Tigers’ AJ Burnett.

    • JobaWockeeZ

      Except he’s better.

  • JScott

    The batters will have some heavy duty shadows to deal with during the middle stages of the game.