Jun
11

Fan Confidence Poll: June 11th, 2012

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Record Last Week: 5-1 (32 RS, 15 RA)
Season Record: 34-25 (281 RS, 241 RA, 34-25 pythag. record), 0.5 games back in AL East
Opponents This Week: @ Braves (Mon. to Weds.), Thurs. OFF, @ Nationals (three games, Fri. to Sun.)

Top stories from last week:

Please take a second to answer the poll below and give us an idea of how confident you are in the team. You can view the interactive Fan Confidence Graph anytime via the nav bar above, or by clicking here. Thanks in advance for voting.

Given the team's current roster construction, farm system, management, etc., how confident are you in the Yankees' overall future?
View Results
Categories : Polls

81 Comments»

  1. Paul VuvuZuvella says:

    8. I could bump to 9 (or maybe 8.5). I was 8 pre-Pineda, 9 post-Pineda, back to 8 post-Pineda injury. With Pettitte unretired and looking good and other rotation parts falling into place, I feel good. Probably will just stay at 8 as a nod to the now good, not great bullpen.

  2. JohnC says:

    Hope they get Soler, especially now as if it looks like they’ve lost out on that 16 year old Tawainese SS they were pursuing. He has agreed to a deal with the Red Sox

    http://taiwanbaseball.blogspot.com/

  3. thenamestsam says:

    I’m at an 8, but if Selig accepts my petition to move the Yanks to the NL I’ll go up to a 13. AAAA indeed.

  4. Will (the other one) says:

    Back to an 8. This past week was the perfect indication of what this team can do when everything is in sync–hopefully the trend will continue as we roll on through the summer.

  5. jjyank says:

    Been at an 8 for a long time now, I see no reason to change. In my mind, an 8 means that this team is capable of winning the World Series, but a few concerns about the future keep me from a 9 or 10. Mostly it’s just a lack of position player prospects at the upper levels, and Betances (control/terrible pitching) and Banuelos (injury concerns) have made the pitching depth a little less shiny. That being said, Andy Pettitte’s successful return has mitigated that, and such concerns are relatively minor given the rate at which prospects flame out.

    These threads are so much more enjoyable when the Yankees are playing well :P

  6. Erica says:

    8. SWEEP!

  7. AJavierkei Pavagawnett says:

    8

    Totally impossible to know what to expect from the starting pitching staff. Are they awesome? Are they terrible? Who could have figured CC would be outpitched by almost everyone else in the Yanks rotation this week.

  8. Robinson Tilapia says:

    It’s been a while, but I’m going to go up to a 9 this week. The team in front of me looks fantastic. The question marks in the rotation have been at thir best for a few turns now, and you have to hope that bodes well for the rest of the season. D-Rob is coming back and, yesterday notwithstanding, Soriano has held down the fort remarkably well. While the development of the two B’s concerns me, I become less concerned when I see both our younger rotation members doing well AND the franchise bringing a kid like Helmsley into the fold. I’m always in the 7-9 range, with constant variance wihin that, but it’s hard not to feel like the upper end of that range right now.

  9. BK2ATL says:

    Staying with my 8. Kuroda is proving his worth, Pettitte is pitching better than we’d all hoped, Nova and Hughes are pitching well and keeping us in games, and our offense is homerific. Damn RISP. LOL!!!

    We’re within 0.5 of 1st place, having survived Mariano’s injury, Robertson’s injury, Pineda’s injury, Garcia’s ineffectiveness as a starter, Gardner’s injury, Swisher’s early injury, Texieira’s sickness, Nunez’ fielding suckiness. How can anyone complain?

    Would be a 8.5 to 9 if we sign Soler. We really need upper level OF prospects to absorb the possible loss of Swisher in the very near future. Granderson will be an interesting case. He’s our CF and most consistent power hitter right now. Can’t count on Tex or A-Rod at the plate.

    • Robinson Tilapia says:

      Suppose they don’t sign Soler, but get two of the high-upside position guys in the draft considered hard signs. How does that change things for you?

      • BK2ATL says:

        I didn’t even consider the recent draft in my rating. Soler projects to be a top 10-20 MLB prospect, according to at least a couple of sources with more knowledge of him that me. We didn’t draft anyone like that, to my knowledge.

        • Robinson Tilapia says:

          He’d be three years away from the bigs (again, reading the same things you are, I’m sure), and the monetary commitment is bigger. The question is what’s preferable: one lottery ticket at a relatively premium price, or more at a lesser price, even if they’re one rung (or more) further down the ladder.

          • Robinson Tilapia says:

            Then again, you should know that I now hit “reload” on MLBTR just to see if there’s a Soler update because this is what we do as Yankee fans. It doesn’t matter what the prize even is. We just want to win it. :)

            • The Big City of Dreams says:

              It doesn’t matter what the prize even is. We just want to win it. :)

              ———————

              Exactly it could be a back-up infielder and Yankees would want to win it lol. I guess it’s that Boss mentality.

          • BK2ATL says:

            Considering that where the Yankees pick in the draft doesn’t afford them the opportunity to select someone like Soler, since this is the last opportunity to get such a talent and for only money, I choose Soler.

            For each of the last 5-10 years of amateur drafts, have any produced a potential stud corner OF for the Yankees??? Yeah we got Austin Jackson, Gardner, Heathcott, and Williams, but none of them have every been described as corner a OF with power and plus defenders.

            There were some who said that Chapman would need significant time in the minors (less than a year). There were some who said the same about Cespedes (none).

            I would say, let’s get Soler, put him in High A and see how he handles that with an eye on elevating him with proven success. Somehow, I don’t think he’d be worse than our current AA or AAA level OF. The first thing would be to get him in the system, for the most reasonable price, considering the market of his talent.

            • Robinson Tilapia says:

              That’s a fair assessment. Some I agree with. Some I don’t, but I certainly think the argument is a good one.

            • Ted Nelson says:

              While I would be happy with Soler… if you don’t know much of anything about the guy, it’s hard to assign him that kind of value. You can point to two guys who worked out… and I can point to guys who didn’t work out.

              I especially don’t think need is a good motivator for signing an amateur. I would ignore Swisher as far as Soler is concerned. Value him based on his skills. Don’t overpay because you could use a RF next year.

              I would say a large part of it is that the Yankees have spent limited resources on RF prospects. They haven’t produced many in large part because they haven’t really focused on them. Probably because they’re pretty abundant at the MLB level and pretty volatile as prospects. They’ve spent a lot of resources on C, CF, and SS/2B (as well as P) and gotten some results there.

              That said… they’ve got Austin and Santana and possibly Bichette who could all play RF in a few years.

              People said Chapman would need several years in the minors to start… and they very well may have been right. Cespedes is 26… Other than saying the consensus isn’t always right, I’m not sure how much they have to do with Soler. The consensus is often wrong in the other direction as well.

              • BK2ATL says:

                I hear your points and understand them well. Swisher SHOULDN’T be a part of this conversation, but he’s not signing a 1 yr or 2 yr contract. Like it or not, we will need a RF in 2013, and I don’t think the Jones/Dickerson/Ibanez combo will suffice. I don’t think Soler would be ready in 2013, but I’d sure like to take that shot and see.

                I haven’t seen much on Soler, but many others have, which is why his market is skyrocketing. Soler doesn’t appear to be a Wily Mo Pena type. They’re talking legit top 10-20 MLB prospect right now. We don’t have anything like that in our system right now. While the name Mason Williams rings bells all over MLB, he was only the #85th BA prospect. While Austin, Heachcott and Santana do not yet even rate much outside of Yankeedom.

                While it’s true that the Yankees haven’t focused on RF prospects, isn’t that a cop-out that they haven’t produced one in many years while drafting each year??? I mean, not even one? By the way, we still have major questions for SS and 2B minor league development.

                I brought up Chapman and Cespedes for specific reasons. Both were somewhat Cuban unknowns, in the “prospect” world. Both had specific unique talents (Chapman a 100+ mph arm with control, Cespedes an athletic power-hitting CF) and at much less significant cost than proven talents like a Randy Wolf or Ted Lilly, or a Jason Werth or Carl Crawford.

                My point is, with a talent like Soler available, and at a fraction of the cost of a free agent, and it’s only money, why not use your resources on this kid???

            • Jimmy McNulty says:

              It’s hard for me to put into words my concern aregarding the future of the Yankees farm system, but you did exactly that. It’s going to be a while before the Yankees have access to this type of high upside talnt, and if they can get him for just money they should absolutely be all over that.

      • Andy in Sunny Daytona says:

        Soler or DJ Williams and Vincent Jackson? I think I go with Williams and Jackson

        • Fernando says:

          I assume you meant DJ Stewart, who has already indicated he is going to play college ball. They also lost out on another two sport OF guy in David Thompson. Best OF lottery tickets left are Vincent Jackson and Ty Moore.

          • Ted Nelson says:

            By speculation is that their priority is Jackson (and maybe others), but if he rebuffs them I can see Stewart coming back into play despite his statements. My guess is they sort of low-balled him after he was at their complex twice already to save the money towards other guys… but if those other guys don’t sign they’ll probably have a lot of money to up their offer to Stewart.

            • Ted Nelson says:

              *My speculation…

              • Fernando says:

                No, that’s a good point about his working out with them. It is possible that they could free up money elsewhere to sign him. Hope they can get one or two of those tough signs OFs(Jackson, Stewart, Moore, Thompson).

          • Andy in Sunny Daytona says:

            Haha. Totally meany Stewart. Too many football names.

  10. Jose M. Vazquez.. says:

    I’m up to an 8 this week based on the good pitching and a walk off win which I had not seen in a while. Also liked the fact that Martin is beginning to hit some. Pettitte has been remarkable. The team as a whole appears to be ready to make a move to the top and leave the others behind.

  11. LarryM.,Fl. says:

    I could go 8.5 with the recent play of the team and the better performance from the rotation. The bullpen is solid in general. The reasons for not going higher in the near future are lack replacement of Gardner’s assets to the team. Still finding it difficult to hit productively with the many opportunities available. But Gardner is the real fly in the ointment. His defense is sorely missed and his speed on the bases which makes us into a better team even with a poor RISP %. Its difficult to score easy runs. Its difficult to force a pitcher to throw fastballs when no speed is on the bases. Granderson is not running as much with no rest in CF. Jeter no rest at SS except for yesterday in a long time. This all leads to a tired club at some important positions.

  12. yoo-boo says:

    #5

    Mo Rivera’s surgery today is the best news of the day.

    • Erica says:

      The team is not that abysmal. A 5?? Really?

      • Jimmy McNulty says:

        Five isn’t really abysmal…five’s average or so. This isn’t high school.

        • Erica says:

          What does high school have to do with this?

          • Robinson Tilapia says:

            I think he’s saying that a 50 would be a terrible grade in high school, but that 5 out of 10 puts you smack in the middle of the road.

            That, or he has a thing for HS freshmen.

            • Erica says:

              Heh. What about 10-point quizzes? My 7th grade pre-algebra teacher had a thing for 10-point tests, which were even more brutal. Or abysmal.

              Listen, each team has its weaknesses – but we’ve seen these guys really turn it around. Save for Rafael’s blown save last night (which, c’mon – Mo hasn’t blown saves before?!), he’s been doing an excellent job.

              Tex is hitting, Russ is hitting… we just need another outfielder and we should be good to go.

              • Robinson Tilapia says:

                I always loved teachers and professors who graded on a curve, where my 45 out of 100 would sometimes be an A-.

                That being said, it’d be very hard to imagine me being right down the middle with this team.

            • Jimmy McNulty says:

              Can’t it be both?

        • Ted Nelson says:

          There’s no uniform grading system. If your frame of reference is the Yankees… sure. My frame of reference is the league, though, and in that case the Yankees are not average at all.

          But… 5 is below average on a 1-10 scale. Closer to “no confidence” than “very confident.” That sort of smack of pessimism to me, too.

  13. MannyGeee says:

    oh Noez! Russell Martin. Automatic out!!!

    Its an 8. show me a healthy Banuelos and a Dellin that doesnt pitch like AJ before I can move up.

  14. Fernando says:

    Add Tyler Austin to the DISABLED LIST per Josh Norris.

    I’d like to see some more signings from the draft. Some teams have signed a ton of players already, though it is obvious they had agreements in place.

  15. Reggie C. says:

    SEIS.

    A sweep of the cross town rivals means little to me. I’d enjoy a break from playing the Mets for a couple years so that at least a few new faces could be in the mix and re-spark this myth of “rivalry.”

    Pineda out. Banuelos rendered irrelevant due to ongoing inflammation. Betances…garbage. DJ Mitchell appears to be regressing start to start. So, aside from the BP help that will arrive shortly, the Yankees are plagued with real concerns on the SP front.

    I’ve said it for a few weeks now on these confidence poll threads, but i’ll re-iterate: Pineda’s lost season makes it difficult for me to hold a positive outlook on the team.

    • Robinson Tilapia says:

      Still a point of view I just don’t get. A guy who never pitched an inning for your team can’t have that much of an impact, not when all five of the current starters have been pitching very well for at least two turns in the rotation now.

      • jjyank says:

        I’m inclined to agree. I voted an 8, and I knocked a point off because of a combination of Pineda, Banuelos, and Betances. Not for 2012, but as a going forward thing. An injury to only one of them wouldn’t warrant a change in my score, but for future projections it is a cause of slight concern to me. I think taking that any further doesn’t make a whole lot of sense though, especially if Hughes and Nova can be serviceable (or better) rotation pieces.

      • Jimmy McNulty says:

        Still a point of view I just don’t get. A guy who never pitched an inning for your team can’t have that much of an impact

        Yes, yes he can. If they sign Cole Hamels to a 6/130 contract and he needs TJ in the offseason that’s a huge hit to team confidence. However, unlike Pineda, Hamels is a known quantity and has a track record of staying healthy and being a superb starter. With Pineda my thinking is the team didn’t quite know what they were getting, but they were pretty sure they were getting something awesome. It was still a pretty risky proposition acquiring a young firethrower. They traded their best prospect in a while for him, and now it’s unclear whether or not he’ll be able to stay healthy. Given this team’s luck with pitchers in the past decade and a half or so, it’s hard to have a positive outlook on this situation.

        when all five of the current starters have been pitching very well for at least two turns in the rotation now.

        See this I don’t get. There’s one starter with an ERA over five and is close to the league lead in XBHs and another that has an ERA close to five and another who is third in the majors in HRs allowed. Two good turns through the rotation doesn’t change that.

        Though I agree with Reggie, with Pineda down (perhaps for the count) and Rivera gone for the season it’s hard to keep as positive of an outlook.

    • Erica says:

      But Pineda isn’t the whole team, nor is he even the whole pitching staff. Can you expand on this?

      • Robinson Tilapia says:

        I mean, I can try and follow the line of thinking. A lot was given up for him, with the expectation that he would really be an anchor on this staff for years to come. People on here were talking about slotting him behind CC, etc. He’s gone from that to “cross your fingers in 2013,” with some high hopes due to the shape of his shoulder, Curt Schilling having the same surgery, etc. We hope for an effective career and hypocritical taxpayer-draining software company, in other words.

        That being said, though, shit happens, and this team has weathered this shit very well. I also always thought we were overstating Pineda following the trade in order to justify it.

        • MannyGeee says:

          “That being said, though, shit happens, and this team has weathered this shit very well.”

          If we can survive the Marte/Feliciano combo, then anything is possible.

        • Jimmy McNulty says:

          First and foremost:

          We hope for an effective career and hypocritical taxpayer-draining software company

          Awesome

          Second: a lot was given up for him and a lot of hopes are riding on him. Cashman himself said that if Pineda doesn’t develop into an ace he’ll consider the trade a failure. I was uneasy on him like I’m uneasy on all young pitchers with <500IP but this injury now makes me especially worrisome about him.

    • Havok9120 says:

      Our rotation has been pitching very well and the pieces we gave up have done very little in a much weaker division (though that will obviously change at some point in Montero’s case). Its a fairly big deal, but its hardly back breaking.

  16. Manny's BanWagon says:

    12 if they sign Soler and 1 if they don’t sign him, especially since we got outbid by the Red Sox for that Taiwanese SS.

  17. OMG! Bagels! says:

    I’m at a 7 only because I have to go to the dentist today. That’s not the Yankees’ fault but I’m in a bad mood. Sorry boys.

  18. CS Yankee says:

    Went to a 9 from being an 8 since the Grit/Mo/Pineda/Campos/etc and RISPfail that arrived a monthe or so ago.

    Second best record in the AL, solid draft with great upside and the SP is rounding into what they are capable of doing.

    A LFer, a Soler, return of the young guns (Manny/Campos/Pineda) to continue their development, and a corrected Nunez fielding and I’ll make the leap back to a 10.

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