Fan Confidence Poll: July 9th, 2012

Nova leads to Yanks to win in Fenway finale
Midseason Review: Meeting Expectations

Record Last Week: 4-2 (39 RS, 35 RA)
Season Record: 52-33 (412 RS, 347 RA, 50-35 pythag. record), 7.0 games up in AL East
Opponents This Week: All-Star Break (Mon. to Thurs.), vs. Angels (three games, Fri. to Sun.)

Top stories from last week:

Please take a second to answer the poll below and give us an idea of how confident you are in the team. You can view the interactive Fan Confidence Graph anytime via the nav bar above, or by clicking here. Thanks in advance for voting.

Given the team's current roster construction, farm system, management, etc., how confident are you in the Yankees' overall future?
View Results
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Nova leads to Yanks to win in Fenway finale
Midseason Review: Meeting Expectations
  • LarryM.,Fl.

    I’m 8.5. Everything appears to be OK but until we get Andy back in the rotation and the situational hitting continues to improve. I just can’t get too crazy with the poll grade. It may seem that 8.5 is too low for the best winning record in the toughest division, I can understand a complaint. But I believe the ability to hit HRs and situational hitting coupled with a strong rotation will put us inline to secure number 28.

    Very pleased with Nova, Hughes, Kuroda and Garcia but for development reasons would rather see Phelps get the spot in Andy’s turn.

    • sodapopinski

      The Yankees are good.

  • Cris Pengiucci

    Still at a 9. Some of the flaws this team has (primarily age and the potential for a decline in the second half because of it) cannot be overcome in the near term. I am concerned about Wade. Seems he may be done, but the team has other options to replace him. Looks like the SP will be able to hold up and there’s always the possibility of a trade in the next few weeks to sure it up this season.

    I remain confidently hopefull (is that possible?) that the organization will field strong teams in years to come despite the publicized $189M budget. 2013 shouldn’t be much of an issue and I think they’ve got a smart enough front office to get the right pieces in place for 2014 and beyond (sure hope Robbie is part of that. Love watching him play!).

  • Johnny O

    9. Does Joba have a 30 day rehab clock? So he could be back early-mid august if no setbacks?

    • A.D.

      He should, but it seems that it’s always pretty easy to re-set those things if need be

  • http://www.twitter.com/matt__harris Matt :: Sec110

    Best record in the bigs without Mo, injuries to key members, zero production from the behind the dish, too many homers and a whole lotta RISP fail….not too shabby.

    • Rich in NJ

      Having Soriano on the shelf has made a huge difference, but that was more a result of luck than by design, because I highly doubt that Levine foresaw how this would unfold when he forced Soriano on Cashman.

      • Cris Pengiucci

        Agree Soriano has been great, but I do give Levine a bit of credit. No one foresaw Mariano’s injury, but the plan was to have Soriano available “in case”. Levine was just foolish in offering the contract that he did.

        • A.D.

          Levine was just foolish in offering the contract that he did.

          Agreed, I don’t think many, if any, fans were upset about adding the player, just that it was a redic contract

          • jjyank

            Yeah, I don’t think there was any much doubt that Soriano makes the team better. Lot of money for a middle reliever, though it looks better in hindsight with Mo going down.

        • Robinson Tilapia

          Randy Levine’s terrible hairdo must have telepathic powers.

          Never liked the contract. Still don’t. Didn’t like the player until just recently. Thank Mo he happened to him around when we needed him, and that he’s stood up to the task, and then some.

      • Bernie Losses: 1

        Indeed it is highly doubtful that anyone would anticipate injuries or decline for a 41-year-old closer. Fans call him God, therefore he must be indestructible.

        • Ted Nelson

          Yeah, while it doesn’t make the contract a good value it wasn’t hard to predict injuries and decline in the bullpen.

  • jjyank

    9 for me. Hard not to feel good about a 7 game lead at the ASB, and taking 3/4 in Fenway always is good for a confidence booster. Plus, I can smack talk to my Red Sox fan coworker this morning. All is good in the world!

    • Erica

      Please update us on your coworker’s state of mind as you are bashing him.

      • jjyank

        He knew what was coming too. As soon as I walked through the door this morning, he just started shaking his head.

      • Robinson Tilapia

        Which reminds me that I need to continue to harass my Sox fan co-worker even while I’m on vacation.

        *sends obnoxious text*

  • Grit for Brains

    Cash-$: Go get Justin Upton.

    • Brian S.

      Don’t tell him what to do.

      • Brian S.

        Also, wouldn’t a trade this winter make more sense?

        • Ted Nelson

          For the Yankees, probably, but if the DBacks move him now the Yankees have to make a decision.

          I’d value him about how they valued Granderson. Contract is more team friendly, but he doesn’t play CF. If you’re striggling offensively in RF you’re a total waste, and while he’s still young Upton seems to struggle as much as he mashes.

          • Fin

            I dont know how you value Upton right now. Hes having a bad year for a RF and he has rumors of a bad shoulder. You have to place at least a little beleif in those rumors as it seems odd to me that AZ would be trying to trade him right now if he was healthy.

  • Eddard

    I don’t know how you can’t be at a 10. We have a huge lead in the division. None of those other teams are even close to being in our league. We need to start getting ready for the playoffs. Don’t use Logan, Soriano, and Robertson as much. Keep resting Jeter and A-Rod at least once a week. Gardner coming back will help the defense and give Granderson more days off. Find out who our #4 will be in the playoffs- Nova or Hughes. Get CC back on track and Andy back healthy and we’re good to go. Joe’s doing a great job.

    • Ted Nelson

      It’s way too early to start thinking playoffs. However, just about everything you recommend for getting ready for the playoffs is just normal stuff they will do. You figure out your playoff rotation by letting them pitch, for example.

  • Robinson Tilapia

    I can’t, in good conscience, vote lower than a 10 here. Look where they are right now and what they continue to overcome. Even at the 9-ish where I’d objectively be at, it’s hard not to round up.

    • jjyank

      I’d be at a 10 for this season, for sure. The only thing preventing me from being at a 10 overall is the potential age related decline of a few key guys over the next several years.

      Though I may change that stance in a year or two if the top prospects are still mashing and are at AAA.

    • Cris Pengiucci

      Love your optomism and I do feel really good about how the season has gone up till now. However, there are still a lot of games to be played and the team does have some flaws (granted, not as many as other teams, but real ones none the less). I am confident that they’ll do well this season, but I stay at a 9 due to the next few seasons as they prepare for and adjust to a slightly lower payroll.

      • Robinson Tilapia

        They’ve all got flaws, though. Ride the first place wave, Cris. You’re right in that it won’t last forever.

    • Erica

      9.999999

  • Erica

    9! Can’t wait for the return of Joba and CC. Loved Andruw this weekend. Loving Tex again. Jeter needs rest, but he still performs.

    Rest up boys – it’s going to be a crazy second half!

    • jjyank

      It was a lot of fun to see Andruw pretend it was like 1999 for a few days.

      • Erica

        YES, made even better because he was pwning the Green Monster and all.

      • Robinson Tilapia

        …..even though his pants know otherwise?

  • thenamestsam

    I’m at a 9 but I’m awarding one bonus point for a great first half to make it an even 10. Injury trouble and a super difficult schedule in the toughest division in baseball and yet we have the best record in the league and the biggest divisional lead. This is a fantastic team and with a bit of luck we’ll be celebrating #28 come Fall.

    Hopes the guys are getting some rest and family time the next couple days, they earned it.

  • BK2ATL

    Sticking with an 8.

    Great to see Freddy step in on Saturday and deliver a clutch performance. Nova did a fine job last night. Hughes is almost there, but needs to figure out how to limit the damage when he gets in trouble. That’s something Nova did last night. Hughes is almost there. Kuroda did a bang-up job in a slugfest on Friday, keeping us in the game. Phelps pitched fairly well last time out. If we can keep up the same once CC gets back, we’re golden.

    Offensively, great to see them knock around Lester, Beckett and the replacements (Morales, Doubront). Andruw regained his power stroke in a sudden and major way. A-Rod and Teix appear to be swinging better. A-Rod’s legs have been re-energized on the basepaths. Cano is still hot. Grandy’s effective, but we need him to steal bases a bit more.

    Defensively, we need a return to the fundamentals. No panic, just some basics when the break is over. I’m thinking this weekend’s sloppy defense was more of a fatigue thing than a downward trend.

    Coming back from the break, we get CC back. Maybe Gardner within a month, along with Joba. Maybe Pettitte and Feliciano in late August-Sept.

    On the farm, wondering what’s going on with Banuelos and Campos. Betances had a good start recently. Hopefully that will trend positively. Nunez is on the way back.

    We’re up 7 games going into the All-Star break, with the best record in MLB, in the toughest division in MLB where every team is .500 or better. We have a great record of late against .500+ teams. Even with the RISPFAIL. There’s just nothing much to complain about. I’m loving it.

    • Reggie C.

      Banuelos’s delayed development and regression from Betances also keep me from going any higher than an 8. I’ve harped over the loss of Pineda from the get-go of the 2012 fan confidence polls as the lost season effects Pineda’s contribution for 2013.

      Anyways, the lack of a clear starter from the farm for next season is a troubling one. There’s still another half season to go in the minors (not sure), so Banuelos still has time to salvage something. He’s got to get back out there soon.

      Yeah, it’d be nice to get a final word on Jose Campos’s elbow. If inflammation is still an issue, how could TJS not be in his future.

      • Cris Pengiucci

        Guess your not counting Phelps as a starter from the Farm. If neither Kuroda or Pettitte return, we’ve got CC, Nova, Hughes, Phelps and (hopefully) Pineda without signing another starter. D.J. Mitchell impressed during ST this year and is doing pretty well in AAA ball. Not a guaranteed top-of-the-line rotation, but I’m sure most teams would take it. I doubt Banuelos will have enough innings to contribute to the ML team all season, but may be able to add something later in ’13. I suspect they’ll be fine.

        • Ted Nelson

          Agreed, Cris

      • BK2ATL

        I’m at 8 mainly because the MLB club has the best record in MLB and that we have some nice prospects in the pipeline, but years away from making an impact.

        Like you, I have some reservations about the upper levels of our organizational prospects. Banuelos, Betances, Nunez and Romine are our top, most MLB ready prospects, but this year they’ve all been injured and/or underwhelming in performance.

        At this stage, we have no one in-house to fall back on, when Swisher is gone. There’s no prospect that could be counted on to step in, like a Reddick was, or a Nava is, or whomever. Heathcott has been a prospect for years, but constantly injured. Mesa’s been on the radar, but just not there. Dickerson is, at-best, a 4th OF, at worse a defensive replacement. The Almontes…who knows.

        Adams is 25 and still a question mark. Laird appears to have topped out as a AAAA-type player. Cervelli isn’t making a case for why he should replace Stewart, and someone needs to. Joseph appears to be having a good year, but I’m not sure what his value is outside of the Yankees’ organization. Warren shit the bed in his start.

        Sanchez, Williams, Austin, Campos, etc. are not going to headline any package for a MLB player of worth to us.

        I say all of this to say, we currently don’t have any prospects in the upper levels that could be counted on to readily contribute to the MLB club, nor to bring back much of value in trade. That is something to concern ourselves with, as we will have upcoming holes to fill over the next 18 months. Between Swisher, Martin, Kuroda, Pettitte, then Cano and Granderson, there will be discussions on how to proceed, but I don’t have that confidence at this moment on whether it can be done internally.

        While I enjoy the current success at the MLB level, I have to temper my excitement, knowing that, for instance, we cannot currently get into the Justin Upton talks to replace Swisher, or anyone else of that stature, based on the fact that we just don’t have the MLB-ready prospect pieces to make it work. I don’t think including Joba and/or Gardner would work, since both are coming off of injuries.

        Still at an 8 though.

        • Ted Nelson

          Lowminors guys headline deals for the top available guys all the time. Saying otherwise is just incorrect.

          The Yankees have a host of guys who could step in and help. They don’t have huge ceilings, but they can help.

  • Reggie C.

    Voted one number but I wish I could take a mulligan on it.

    I’m at an 8. FINALLY!

    The jump up one digit isn’t really influenced by taking 3 of 4 from the Red Sox, but the weekend series really highlighted the impact injuries and an underperfoming rotation can take on a paper good ballclub. We’ve got hit by the injury bug, but man … we’re still capable of fielding the best rotation in the AL for over a month now.

    Though the team is still rolling out Freddy Garcia and the occassional AAA starter a few times more than what i’m comfortable handling, this team could still improve the second half.

    The division is ours to lose. I prefer the driver’s seat anyways!

    • Ted Nelson

      Just about every P is a AAA P before they are an MLB P, and if not they’re usually a AA P or from another inferior league (Indy, Japan, Cuba). Two of their top 5 SPs are on the shelf (not counting CC since it was such a short DL stint) plus their top 2 prospects entering the season aren’t capable of stepping in, yet they can still pick between Garcia and Phelps as their 5th starter… To me that’s incredible. They built a 12 men deep rotation coming into the season.

  • Jose M. Vazquez..

    I am at an 8. Here is why. We have lots of games vs. our own division. We have not yet proven that we can beat the teams in the East with any consistency. Even Tampa and Toronto hold winning records against us and we beat an incomplete Red Sox lineup. Only the Orioles are behind in the season series and even they have made it difficult for us to win.

    • Robinson Tilapia

      You don’t need to win them all. Just win enough of them. They’ve won enough of them thus far to sit comfortably in first place. They can lose to Toronto all they want as far as I’m concerned as long as it all adds up in the end.

      • Ted Nelson

        But the sky is still about to fall because we can’t guarantee that the Yankees will win every single game!

        • Cris Pengiucci

          Or at least every game against our division rivals. Screw the rest of the games!

  • MannyGeee

    I tend to land on an 8 still. We look great right now, damn near unbeatable.

    fatigue running to the end of September worries me, and the errors over the past weekend scare the hell out of me. But that is normal baseball.

  • Ted Nelson

    I’m at a 10 and have been there all season. To me that means top 3 org in MLB (top 10%).

    Best record in MLB in toughest division. Well balanced roster with very good depth. 4 top 40 prospects and an honorable mention (counting Manny since elbow trouble isn’t usually a long-tern thing). Signed 2 top 4 BA IFAs. Had what I think looks like a good draft (whether they sign Hensley or just save the pick for next year, either way might still end up with a guy or two from after round 10). I think that the FO makes good decisions and that ownership will continue to have one of the highest payrolls in the game even as the new rules take hold.

    • Robinson Tilapia

      …b-b-but they say you’re so negative…

      I fully endorse this assessment of the New York Yankees.

    • Cris Pengiucci

      Looks like they are a top 3 org in MLB, yet I have trouble getting myself to vote a 10. Love your explanation and have no legitimate explanation or argument as to why my vote is a more accurate assessment of the team than yours, but I’m still not quite there at a 10.

      • Ted Nelson

        Just a matter of scale I would guess. I look at each point as one tenth of the league, but that’s just my interpretation of the scale. Not any official scale. There have been other people who explain that their scale is relative only to the Yankees, so 5 is an average Yankee-centric rating. Based on the open-endedness of the scale I guess they are just as right.

    • Brian S.

      So would the Mariners be a 9 since they are the #6 org?

      • Robinson Tilapia

        “Now if a SIX became a NINE….”

        – Jimi Hendrix

      • Ted Nelson

        I don’t think the M’s have the #6 org, and I would guess whatever ranking you’re referring to is only MiLB. I think their prospects and you MLBers give them a better ranking than their record, but doubt I’d have then in the top half of the league and probably not top 20. Haven’t actually made my own power rankings, though, have just considered the top of the league relative to the Yanks.

        • Fin

          Fangraphs ranked them 6 in thier org rankings last year, they were significantly lower than that in this years rankings. THey still take alot of shit for that ranking, as they should.

        • Jim Is Bored

          #6 org is a reference to a fangraphs thing.

  • BK2ATL

    I gotta say, I was impressed at how Gomez and Ciriaco came up and performed for Boston this weekend vs. us.

    Do we currently have anything similar in AAA that we could go to in a crunch?

    • Cris Pengiucci

      Trade for Ciriaco. Would love for the Yankees to have someone like him, either to replace Cano should they let hime walk (I hope not!!!!) or to eventually replace Jeter (if he plays SS, can’t remember if he played there or not this weekend) or even be the backup IF who plays 2-3 games/wk. Very dynamic player. If Nunez could play defense ….

      • Ted Nelson

        Not sure if serious. Guy had a .543 OPS in AAA last season, and the only time he was above .700 for a season was his second time through A+ in 2008 at 22. Chances are overwhelming this is a fluke. Probably have better luck trading for Pedro Cerrano as a Swisher replacement.

      • BK2ATL

        Dude, I’m not advocating trading for him. More along the lines of who do WE even have that could step into those roles, if it came to that for a week or two.

        • Ted Nelson

          I was responding to Cris, who did advocate trading for him. Responded to you below

          • BK2ATL

            I caught that. We’re cool.

    • Ted Nelson

      Branyan, Mustelier, Corban Joseph, Dickerson, and Cust are all guys that I think have some small shot at catching fire like that and a good shot at holdong their own. Probably most guys on most AAA rosters do have the ability to catch fire like that for a week or so, but are just really unlikely to happen to at the exact time that they are called up.

      Wise and Nix have already come up to contribute some.

      • BK2ATL

        Yes, Wise and Nix have done better-than-expected.

        I just don’t see the Branyon and Cust duo adding much, since they’d be mainly 1B-DH-types, and we already have Swisher and Chavez as 1B backups.

        Mustelier from what I’ve read is all stick, no D. So that’s not what we need. Dickerson is all glove, no stick.

        Laird appears to be AAAA, maybe on the level of Gomez??? Joseph is having a decent year, maybe on the level of Ciriaco???

        • Ted Nelson

          I think you are seriously overrating the Sox fill-ins and underrating the Yankees. Ciriaco isn’t even a AAAA player: he’s a Ramiro Pena type. Gomez is a JoVa type AAAA player, hadn’t played double digit games at 3B since 2006.

          Branyan is at least as good as Gomez. Cust isn’t much worse than that (Ks a lot, but always has).

          Dickerson is a far, far better hitter than Ciriaco and at least as good as Gomez offensively. He literally has come up to MLB and had entire hot seasons.

          You can’t separate a player’s offense and defense unless you DH them or use them in an extremely limited role. You’re getting Mustelier’s total production. Why don’t the Yankees need to score more runs again?

    • Robinson Tilapia

      Yes. The same dudes people think they waste their time signing and keeping stashed away in AAA.

  • steve s

    If you are going to vote a 10 this is the week as the Yanks first half results are 10 worthy. I am concerned that something is a bit more seriously wrong with Jeter’s shoulder than a “cramp” (it may be a bit paranoid and/or Andy Rooneyish but why does it seem that only ballplayers (always in pretty great shape) get “cramps” and “food poisoning” but most regular people do not get either; obviously a euphemism for management to buy time until they decide to tell you what really happened). Won’t be surprised if he starts 2nd half on DL.

    • Ted Nelson

      People would get cramps if they did more physical activity.

      Not sure how a conspiracy theory that a player might have an injury that isn’t announced yet can impact your voting. I mean you may be right, but 2 points on a ten point scale and an injury you made up is the only reason you give?

      • Ted Nelson

        Sorry. Not sure why I thought you were at 8. Guess I got confised with all the other 8s. My mistake, Steve. Disregard the second paragraph entirely.

        • steve s

          I laughed and have to agree with your first sentence though. After 15+ hours of watching the Yanks-Red Sox on the tube this weekend not alot of muscle activity going on with this spectator!

    • RetroRob

      If he had something more serious, they’d have him off getting MRIs right now, and if they were going to DL him to start the 2nd half on the DL, they’d so so immediately to prevent him from playing in the All-Star Game to prevent any further damage.

      With Jeter, there is always the “concern” he’ll play through the problem, impacting his on-field performance, so hopefully this is nothing major.

      And speaking of the Captain, I believe today is the one-year anniversary of hit #3000. The old man has cranked out 204 hits over the past year. Not bad for a player many thought was finished in June last year.

  • Bavarian Yankee

    still an 8 for me.

    how about AJ Burnett? Aside of his 12 run debacle in 2.2 innings in his 2nd start of the season he has put together an all-star worthy 1st half. I watched his start yesterday and I thought he looks so much more relaxed than the years before. I’m glad he’s doing well again, Burnett and McDonald are 2 very strong starters to lead the Pirates’ rotation.

    Plus they have one of the very best players in the majors in Andrew McCutchen right now, seems like the Pirates finally have a really good shot at having a winning season and perhaps even making the postseason. Reading that the Pirates may trade for Justin Upton sounds awesome to be, a franchise that has a lineup with McCutchen AND Upton seems to have a very bright future. Following the Pirates is just a lot of fun right now, even as a Yankees fan.

    • Brian S.

      It’s amazing what pitching in a large ballpark against weak competition will do for a pitcher!

    • RetroRob

      Is this the Pirates fan confidence poll? : -)

      The Pirates have some very good talent down in the minors, but hopefully they don’t mortgage their future by trading away a large percentage of that talent for Justin Upton. As with anything, it would depend on the price. Hopefully they don’t overreact to their overperformance so far this year. As for AJ, his ERA+ is still just above 100. Solid, but not spectacular. Says much about what goes on in between AJ’s ears and the NL. He’s still a 4.50-4.75 ERA pitcher in the AL East.

      Now back to the Yankees.

      • Bavarian Yankee

        “Is this the Pirates fan confidence poll? : -)”

        no but I thought it’s worth being mentioned, AJ is still one of my favorite players and the Pirates are an exciting team this year.

  • Dela G

    Can we DFA wade already?

    • RetroRob

      No need to. He’s in the minors. Keep the depth. His issues are mechanical. He might end up helping the team down the stretch. Hopefully the calls to DFA Andruw Jones and Freddy Garcia serve to remind the up-and-down nature of MLB.