Jun
25

6/25-6/27 Series Preview: Texas Rangers

By
(Jason O. Watson/Getty)

(Jason O. Watson/Getty)

The Yankees have played every AL team this season except for three, and they’ll cross one of those off the list this week: the Rangers. The Twins and White Sox will come along eventually. New York and Texas have some recent history, dating back to the playoffs in the late-1990s playoffs as well as the 2010 ALCS.

What Have They Done Lately?
The Rangers have been very hot and cold of late, and they’re coming off five straight wins. Not long before that, they lost six straight. Overall, they are 44-32 with a +26 run differential this season, the best record and fourth best run differential in the AL.

Offense
At 4.4 runs per game with a team 97 wRC+, the Rangers can score some runs even though they do not have the same kind of high-powered offense we’re used to seeing. They are without southpaw masher UTIL Jeff Baker (288 wRC+ vs. LHP) and CF Craig Gentry (64 wRC+), who are both on the DL with hand problems. Baker actually sprained his thumb high-fiving a teammate, in case you need to laugh at someone else’s injuries for once.

Andrus. (Tom Szczerbowski/Getty)

Andrus. (Tom Szczerbowski/Getty)

Manager Ron Washington has a deep lineup with seven regulars who are producing at a league average rate of better. 2B Ian Kinsler (126 wRC+) is fresh off the DL and the leadoff hitter, SS Elvis Andrus (52 wRC+) bats second, former Yankee DH Lance Berkman (104 wRC+) bats third, and 3B Adrian Beltre (121 wRC+) cleans up. OF Nelson Cruz (124 wRC+), C A.J. Pierzynski (111 wRC+), 1B Mitch Moreland (129 wRC+), and CF Leonys Martin (100 wRC+) usually follow the top four in some order. OF David Murphy (72 wRC+) is the final regular. Those are the nine guys Washington runs out there pretty much everyday.

The Rangers are actually carrying three catchers, though C Robinson Chirinos (37 wRC+ in limited time) can play a bunch of other positions as well. C Geovany Soto (76 wRC+) is the traditional backup. OF Engel Beltre was just called up and has yet to get into a game. Whenever he does, it will be his big league debut. IF Jurickson Profar (83 wRC+) is baseball’s top prospect and something more than a part-time utility infielder. The starting nine can mash overall, but guys like Pierzynski, Cruz, Murphy, Moreland, and Martin are worse off against same-side pitchers. The switch-hitting Berkman has traditionally fared worse against lefties than righties.

Starting Pitching Matchups

Tuesday: RHP Hiroki Kuroda vs. RHP Yu Darvish
Texas was nice enough to rearrange their rotation a bit so Darvish could start tonight’s game rather than their last game against the Cardinals on Sunday. Thanks for that. The 26-year-old has dominated this year, pitching to a 2.84 ERA (2.83 FIP) with an insane strikeout rate (12.17 K/9 and 34.2 K%). He also doesn’t walk many (2.75 BB/9 and 7.7 BB%) and gets a decent amount of ground balls (46.0%). You can take him deep (0.98 HR/9 and 13.8% HR/FB) on occasion, however. Darvish is a true six-pitch pitcher, sitting in the low-to-mid-90s with his two- and four-seamer and in the upper-80s with his cutter and splitter. A sharp low-80s slider is his top strikeout pitch, and he’ll also mix in a floating upper-60s curveball. He can varying the break on the slider — one goes side-to-side, another breaks hard and down — so he’s really a seven-pitch pitcher. Sounds like fun. Darvish struck out ten Yankees in 8.1 scoreless innings the only time he’s faced them, and that came early last year when New York had a much, much better lineup.

Grimm. (Jim Rogash/Getty)

Grimm. (Jim Rogash/Getty)

Wednesday: LHP Andy Pettitte vs. RHP Justin Grimm
The Rangers have almost a complete rotation on the DL, so the 24-year-old Grimm has been forced onto the staff for most of the year. His 5.57 ERA (4.32 FIP) is backed by decent peripherals: 7.18 K/9 (17.9 K%), 3.10 BB/9 (7.7 BB%), 1.24 HR/9 (11.6% HR/FB), and 42.7% grounders. Grimm sits in the low-90s with his four-seam fastball, which he uses to set up his upper-70s curveball and low-80s changeup. The curve is his go-to secondary pitch; he throws it almost 30% of the time and it keeps him from showing a platoon split. The Yankees have never faced Grimm, who has 86.2 career innings to his credit.

Thursday: RHP Phil Hughes vs. LHP Derek Holland
Holland, 26, is very quietly having an excellent year now that he’s gotten his homer problem under control (0.56 HR/9 and 6.3% HR/FB). Well, he’s probably at least a little lucky with the homers given that HR/FB rate, which is especially low given his home ballpark. Holland has a 3.43 ERA (2.80 FIP) with very good strikeout (8.35 K/9 and 22.2 K%) and walk (2.32 BB/9 and 6.2 BB%) totals. He gets a ground ball on 42.5% of balls in play. Working off a sinker that sits in the low-to-mid-90s, Holland uses low-80s sliders and changeups as his primary offspeed weapons. A mid-70s curveball will also make an appearance. The Yankees have faced him a bunch of times over the years and have typically hit him very hard — 41 runs and 75 base-runners in 39.2 innings.

Nathan. (Dilip Vishwanat/Getty)

Nathan. (Dilip Vishwanat/Getty)

Bullpen Status
Like the Bombers, Texas was off on Monday and they have a rested bullpen. Closer RHP Joe Nathan (2.90 FIP) has never met a big game he can’t blow, especially against the Yankees. Unfortunately this series really doesn’t qualify as “big.” RHP Tanner Scheppers (3.84 FIP) and LHP Robbie Ross (2.32 FIP) are the primary setup men while RHP Jason Frasor (4.07 FIP) and LHP Neal Cotts (2.23 FIP in limited time) do the middle relief thing. RHP Ross Wolf (3.43 FIP) and RHP Kyle McClellan (5.33 FIP) are the extra arms.

Both Mariano Rivera and David Robertson have had two straight days off, so they’re in good shape. Pretty much every middle reliever appeared in Sunday’s game, though that’s no real biggie. The Yankees are in fine bullpen shape going into tonight’s series opener. Our Bullpen Workload page has all the details. Now that Baseball Time In Arlington is defunct, Lone Star Ball is my (Texas) Rangers blog of choice.

Categories : Series Preview
  • alen

    thinking about going to Thursday’s game. school is over and my son wants to see his first Yankee game.

    not wanting to pay all the money to see Phil Hughes though

    • LK

      If you can, go on Wed. night. Chance to see Pettitte is likely his final season, and probably the offense’s best chance to put up runs in the series as well.

      • alen

        wednesday would be awesome since the price is cheaper, but not this week. and its too far to go back to queens at night. but if i go on thursday i might splurge into section 231

        might see the Mets on July 4th. they are getting better, bryce harper is on DL and counting the days there is a high chance of matt harvey pitching that day

    • Robinson Tilapia

      I hope Phil Hughes throws a perfect game, just for you.

  • LK

    I could see all these games going either way. It’s hard to be optimistic with this offense against Darvish, but Kuroda can shut down Texas as well. They really need to get Pettitte and Hughes on track. Andy hasn’t been good since coming off the DL, and Hughes just hasn’t been good period. I’d say that have a pitching advantage in game 2 with disadvantages in games 1 and 3. Either way, the offense just HAS to be better than they’ve been lately, right? I mean I knew this lineup wasn’t going to mash, but holy hell.

  • Robinson Tilapia

    Afraid of Darvish, obviously, but at least we’re throwing someone ourselves who could limit the runs on their end and allow us to squeak it out there (as if there’s any other way.)

    We’ll take one of the other two and SHOCK THE WORLD, BY GAWD tonight.

    Also, Zoilo will not go cold yet this series.

    • Pat D

      GOOD GAWD, THAT’S ZOILO’S MUSIC!!

    • trr

      Tonight???
      Robby, I think I would be shocked, but with Kuroda pitching at least it’ll be close…maybe somebody can get a hold of one and we win by 1 run

      • I’m One

        Cano & Zoilo both go yard. Hopefully someone gets on base in front of at least one of them before they hit it out.

    • MannyGeee

      King Zolio will carry us to the promised land.

      • trr

        Amen!

  • Pat D

    Why is it that when I see that picture of Washington my immediate thought is “Cocaine is a helluva drug?”

    • LK

      My immediate reaction is to curl up in the fetal position muttering about mid-inning pitching changes.

      • Robinson Tilapia

        Sounds like withdrawal symptoms.

        • LK

          Trust me, I’d love to “suffer” withdrawal from mid-inning pitching changes.

          • Jim Is Bored

            Amen.

    • trr

      He’s bald and proud of it. Most guys now just shave their heads, but not Ronnie W

      • Robinson Tilapia

        Maybe he should. He looks like Sherman Hemsley there.

        • trr

          hahaha!

    • Dan

      Hey Pat! I know what you mean when you say that. You’ll think something similar when you look at this baseball card.

      http://24.media.tumblr.com/tum.....o1_400.jpg

  • Fin

    If anyone is betting man, whos betting the Yankees score more than 1 run tonight?

    • trr

      ummm, errr…

    • Robinson Tilapia

      I’ll bet you one million internet pretend dollars they do.

      • Fin

        Come on man, I don’t have that kind of pretend internet money.

        • FEED.ME.MORE!

          “It’s all about the Internet Pretend Benjamins, Baby”

  • WhittakerWalt

    “…now that he’s gotten his homer problem under control…”

    Sure wish our guy could do the same.

  • Mandy Stankiewicz

    “Baker actually sprained his thumb high-fiving a teammate, in case you need to laugh at someone else’s injuries for once.”
    Thank you.

  • J-Money

    Why didn’t Darvish pitch Sunday? Did they really have to push him back to face the horrible lineup of the Yankees. Seriously, do the Yankees ever miss an opposing teams ace?

    • trr

      It’s just on any given night anybody can look like an ace against us!

  • Eddard

    Having Phil Hughes pitch against Texas is a mistake. Cashman doesn’t view Nova as a threat to Hughes. Does he even watch the games? Normally, the Yankees crush Derek Holland but that was the old Yankee lineup that was actually good. This lineup he’ll saw right through.

  • Robinson Tilapia

    Kay is schooling a “TEH YANKS SHOULD HAVE REBUILT” caller right now on the radio. Love it.

  • FEED.ME.MORE!

    Hopefully Texas and St. Louis show Yankee fans and the organization that the “Sign this guy or we’re doomed” mindset needs to go.

    • JobaWockeeZ

      It really does need to go but at this point it’s the total truth. If they don’t keep signing a major free agent every two or three years the team will fall apart.

  • http://www.penuel-law.com/ Cuso

    Looks like Wash is slingin some crack-rock.