Fan Confidence Poll: March 27th, 2017

Spring Record: 22-7 (173 RS, 124 RA)
Spring Opponents This Week: Mon. OFF, Tues. vs. DET (no TV), Weds. @ DET (no TV), Thurs. @ PHI (MLB.tv), Fri. @ ATL (YES, MLBN, MLB.tv), Sat. OFF
Regular Season Opponents This Week: Sun. @ Rays (Opening Day!)

Top stories from last week:

Please take a second to answer the poll below and give us an idea of how confident you are in the team. You can view the interactive Fan Confidence Graph anytime via the Features tab in the nav bar above, or by clicking here. Thanks in advance for voting.

Given the team's current roster construction, farm system, management, etc., how confident are you in the Yankees' overall future?
View Results

Open Thread: March 26th Camp Notes

This afternoon’s win — they’ve almost become a formality for the Yankees this spring, haven’t they? — featured two more home runs, raising their Spring Training total to 47 homers in 31 games. They hit 20 in 32 games last year. I do love dingers. Aaron Hicks and Ruben Tejada did the honors today. Hicks and Aaron Judge both had two hits on the afternoon. Greg Bird had one.

Bryan Mitchell started and allowed three runs on six hits and two walks in three innings, though someone in attendance told me Tejada misplayed not one, but two grounders in the two-run second inning. Aroldis Chapman got two outs without incident while Ben Heller allowed two hits and a walk in 1.1 scoreless innings. Today’s game wasn’t televised, so there are no video highlights. Here is the box score and here are the day’s notes:

  • The Yankees have released Jon Niese, the team announced. He’s going to look around for a big league opportunity but could return to the Yankees on another minor league deal. The plan would be for Niese to go to Extended Spring Training to continue building arm strength. Releasing and re-signing Niese would allow the Yankees to avoid paying him the $100,000 retention bonus. Players with six years of service time on a minor league deal get the bonus if they’re not on the MLB roster by a certain date. I count 38 players still in big league camp. [Joel Sherman]
  • Shane Hennigan has the minor league lineups for the day. Blake Rutherford, who is apparently nicknamed “The Barrel” around camp, added 13 pounds over the winter. “He’s still growing, and I think he put on some weight during the offseason, good weight. There’s line-drive, gap power now, but his ability to make consistent contact out front, I think you’re going to see those balls start to loft,” said Low-A Charleston manager Patrick Osborn. More strength is good. Not so sure about that nickname though. [Josh Norris]
  • Bryan Hoch has the day’s pitching assignments and hitting groups. Chad Green started a minor league game while Michell started today’s Grapefruit League game. I think Mitchell has a leg up on a big league rotation spot, though there are only so many innings to go around this late in camp. Green and Mitchell both had to pitch today, so one went to minor league camp.
  • Jordan Montgomery will start Wednesday and Luis Severino will start Thursday. That means neither guy will be on normal rest for Opening Day next Sunday, so they wouldn’t be available out of the bullpen. Could mean they’re both in the Opening Day rotation, could mean nothing. Intrigue! [Mike Mazzeo]
  • The Yankees have an off-day tomorrow and there’s not going to be much going on at the complex. Tomorrow is everyone’s last chance to chill out for a bit before the regular season begins. The Yankees return to action Tuesday night against the Tigers. I assume Masahiro Tanaka is starting since it would line him up for Opening Day. That game won’t be televised.

Here is an open thread for the rest of the weekend. MLB Network is showing spring games live and on tape delay throughout the rest of the day. The (hockey) Rangers, Devils, and Nets are playing, and there are a pair of March Madness games on too. Anything goes here, except religion or politics.

Predictions by Position

(Elsa/Getty)
(Elsa/Getty)

After today, the next time you read a post from me, the Yankees will be three hours away from their first pitch of the season against the Tampa Bay Rays (while we’re on it, how silly is it that even in a dome, the Yankees have an off day after their Opening Day? Isn’t the point of the dome to avoid that? Ugh.). That’s pretty damn cool, huh? It also means you’re in for a flurry of prediction posts, so allow me to be near the top of the list. When September ends, we can all look back at this and laugh at how absurdly wrong I was.

Catcher

Gary Sanchez will struggle at the plate to start the year and a certain segment of fans–the talk radio set–will become frustrated, though his defense is mostly fine. By early June, though, Sanchez will find his stroke and finish the year with about 20 homers and a caught stealing percentage near the top of the league.

Austin Romine will remain the backup all year, turning in a very typical backup season. But, for him, it’s a coup as it lands him a two-year contract after the season to stay on as Sanchez’s reserve.

Carter. (Presswire)
Carter. (Presswire)

First Base

I don’t know exactly what the combination will be or how it will break down to a man, but Greg Bird and Chris Carter will combine for 40 homers.

Shortstop and Second Base

I’m combing these thanks to the Didi Gregorius injury. Ruben Tejada will start the year at short. By mid-April, though, his bat will not be worth the defensive contribution and he’ll be let go. Starlin Castro will slide over to short and “everyone” will get their wish as Rob Refsnyder will be called up to play second, the team willing to live with his defense since his offense will be needed more. He’ll have a hot first week, then cool down just in time for Didi to return and send Castro back to second.

Didi will take a slight step back offensively this year, as will Castro. However, they’ll be able to buoy it with solid defense, becoming one of the top double play combinations in the league.

(Al Bello/Getty Images)
(Al Bello/Getty Images)

Third Base

Chase Headley continues his ‘bounce back’ that started after his terrible beginning to 2016. He ends the year around a 100 wRC+, but his defense begins to show a little bit of wear before he heads into the last year of his contract.

Outfield

Brett Gardner bounces back offensively. The power doesn’t come back totally, but he reaches double digits in homers again and regains some of his base-stealing prowess. Jacoby Ellsbury hovers around where he was last year and his steals stay flat as he’s not apt to run in front of Sanchez or Matt Holliday, whoever occupies the three spot.

Aaron Judge struggles through the first month and is sent down to Scranton and Aaron Hicks takes over in right for a bit. Judge is eventually recalled and put in a platoon to start, but earns his way back into the starting role, promising better things for 2018.

(Kim Klement | USA TODAY Sports)
(Kim Klement | USA TODAY Sports)

Designated Hitter

Holliday shows flashes of his Colorado self, but is generally more like the player he was in St. Louis last year. He surprises, though, with a fair amount of opposite field homers and winds up leading the team in that category.

Starting Rotation

Michael Pineda comes out of the gates like a bat out of hell. He pushes his way into the All Star Game, but falters down the stretch, reminding us more of 2016 than the early part of 2017.

CC Sabathia pitches like a number two for half his starts and a number five for the other half. Masahiro Tanaka again competes for the Cy Young Award, putting up an even better case this year than last year.

Adam loves it. (Jim McIsaac/Getty)
(Jim McIsaac/Getty)

Bullpen

Adam Warren becomes the new Dellin Betances. No, he won’t be as dominant as Dellin, but he’ll move into the multi-inning, high-leverage spot, allowing Betances to join Tyler Clippard and Aroldis Chapman as a more traditional one-inning reliever when Warren is fresh.

Team

What will all this add up to? Somehow, someway, I’m thinking…84 wins. That sounds right, no? What wild, crazy, or boring predictions do you have? If we’re gonna laugh at me in September, let’s laugh at you, too.

Play ball.

Open Thread: March 25th Camp Notes

Fighting Spirit! The Yankees won again today. They rallied for two runs in the ninth. Mason Williams tied the game with an error ball off the first baseman’s mitt, and Pete Kozma won it with a walk-off single. Amazing. Greg Bird launched yet another home run, his seventh of Spring Training. None of his homers sneak over the wall. They’ve all been bombs. He also drew two walks. Tyler Wade hooked a double to right field and also had a near homer caught on the warning track.

Adam Warren got the start and wasn’t crisp at all, allowing four runs (including two homers) in 3.1 innings of work. He struck out four and walked two. Not a great afternoon. Five relievers were used and Jonathan Holder was the most impressive. He struck out one and retired all six men he faced. Here are the box score and video highlights, and here’s the latest from Tampa:

Here is the open thread for the rest of the day. This afternoon’s game will be replayed on YES at 7pm ET, if you’re interested. MLB Network will have other games live and on tape delay pretty much all afternoon and evening. All of the local hockey and basketball teams are playing except the Knicks, and there are a pair of March Madness games as well. Use this thread to talk about anything and everything, as long as it’s not politics or religion. Thanks in advance.

Spring Training Game Thread: A Clue About The Rotation?

(Presswire)
(Presswire)

The Yankees have six exhibition games remaining, and if they’re leaning toward certain players for the fourth and fifth rotation spots, they haven’t said as much. They might be leaving some clues though. Luis Cessa has already been sent to minor league camp, so he’s out of the running. Duh. Also, in recent days Chad Green and Luis Severino came out of the bullpen. Bryan Mitchell and today’s starter, Adam Warren, are still starting. Hmmm.

Of course, both Mitchell and Warren came out of the bullpen earlier this spring, but Opening Day is one week from tomorrow. Would they be making full fledged five or six-inning starts this late in camp while the other guys are throwing three innings in relief if they weren’t the leading candidates for the rotation? What about Jordan Montgomery? Intrigue! I haven’t seen the Blue Jays’ lineup anywhere, so we’re in for a surprise. Here are the players the Yankees will use today:

  1. LF Brett Gardner
  2. CF Jacoby Ellsbury
  3. DH Matt Holliday
  4. 1B Greg Bird
  5. 2B Starlin Castro
  6. 3B Chase Headley
  7. RF Aaron Hicks
  8. SS Tyler Wade
  9. C Austin Romine
    RHP Adam Warren

Available Pitchers: LHP Aroldis Chapman, LHP Tommy Layne, LHP Jon Niese, RHP Jonathan Holder, and RHP Matt Marsh are all expected to pitch today. (Shane Hennigan says Chapman is pitching in a minor league game instead.) LHP Chasen Shreve, RHP J.R. Graham, and RHP Ernesto Frieri are the extra arms.

Available Position Players: C Wilkin Castillo, 1B Mike Ford, 2B Donovan Solano, SS Ruben Tejada, 3B Ronald Torreyes, LF Rob Refsnyder, CF Mason Williams, and RF Zack Zehner will be the second string off the bench. C Kyle Higashioka, C Radley Haddad, IF Pete Kozma, and OF Aaron Judge are the extra players. Ford, Williams, Zehner, and Haddad are up from minor league camp for the day.

It’s a bit cloudy in Tampa this afternoon, though it’s warm and there’s no rain in the forecast, so that’s good. This afternoon’s game will begin at 1:05pm ET. You can watch on YES and the FOX Sports Go app locally, and MLB.tv nationally. Enjoy the game.

Open Thread: March 24th Camp Notes

The Yankees are a team of Grapefruit League destiny. They won again today, this time rallying for two runs in the bottom of the ninth. Minor league camp call-up du jour Trey Amburgey had the walk-off single. The Yankees have won 20 spring games for the first time since winning 24 in 2009. You know what that means, right? Anyway, right field candidates Aaron Hicks and Aaron Judge both had singles. Judge also threw a runner out the plate. Hicks ain’t the only outfielder on the roster who can throw.

On the mound CC Sabathia moseyed on through 5.1 innings of two-run ball. An inordinate number of ground balls found holes during the two-run second inning. Sabathia struck out one. Dellin Betances retired both batters he faced in his first outing back from the World Baseball Classic, and Luis Severino chucked three scoreless innings. He fanned five. Here are the box score and video highlights, and here are the rest of the notes from Tampa:

  • Following today’s game Joe Girardi announced Sabathia will start the second game of the season. Michael Pineda will start the third. Pretty much what I expected. The Rays, meanwhile, announced Chris Archer, Jake Odorizzi, and Alex Cobb will start their first three games in that order. The Yankees open the regular season with a three-game set in Tampa. [Bryan Hoch, Marc Topkin]
  • The Yankees announced another round of roster cuts today: Luis Cessa was optioned to Triple-A and Ji-Man Choi, Dustin Fowler, Clint Frazier, Jason Gurka, and Billy McKinney were reassigned to minor league camp. So I guess that takes Cessa out of the rotation (and bullpen) mix. I count 39 players still in big league camp. Oh, and if you missed it earlier, the Diamondbacks returned Rule 5 Draft pick Tyler Jones.
  • The Yankees had a brief on-field ceremony prior to today’s game to present last year’s Scranton RailRiders with their championship rings. Here are some photos. Pretty cool ring. Scranton beat El Paso (Padres) in last year’s Triple-A Championship Game.
  • Shane Hennigan has the day’s minor league lineups. Heart eyes at the top of the Double-A Trenton lineup. Hitting coach Alan Cockrell said he’s working with Jorge Mateo to widen his stance, which has “kept him on the ball better.” [Brendan Kuty]
  • Tyler Austin said he’s going to be in a walking boot another two weeks. Once healthy, he’s essentially going to have to go through Spring Training to get ready, so he might not return until early-May. Sucks. [Hennigan]
  • Tyler Clippard is back in camp following the World Baseball Classic. Also in camp: Hideki Matsui! He’s there as guest instructor. Cowboys head coach Jason Garrett was in camp today too. The Yankees have brought in coaches from other sports to give motivational speeches and whatnot over the years. [Kuty, Mike Mazzeo]
  • The Yankees are home against the Blue Jays tomorrow afternoon. Adam Warren is lined up to start. That game will be on YES and MLB.tv.
  • And finally, the Yankees will reveal their 2017 commercials next week. I’ve been hoping they had some coming. Neat.

This is the open thread for the night. MLB Network will cover the Yankees as part of their 30 clubs in 30 days tour tonight at 10pm ET, so keep an eye out for that. Also, this afternoon’s game will be replayed on YES (10pm ET) and MLB Network (2am ET), if you’re interested. MLB Network has the Orioles and Twins live right now, plus the Islanders and Nets are playing, and there’s March Madness as well. Talk about anything here as long as it’s not politics or religion.

Diamondbacks return Rule 5 Draft pick Tyler Jones to Yankees

(Getty)
(Getty)

The Diamondbacks have returned Rule 5 Draft pick Tyler Jones to the Yankees, both teams announced earlier today. That means Jones, a right-handed reliever, cleared waivers and was removed from the 40-man roster. The Yankees have assigned him to minor league camp.

Jones, 27, signed with the Yankees as a minor league free agent last offseason. He had a 2.17 ERA (1.50 FIP) with 34.2% strikeouts and 5.6% walks in 45.2 Double-A innings last summer. This spring he allowed five runs (three earned) in 6.2 innings with Arizona. Jones fanned eight and walked none.

The D’Backs aren’t particularly deep in the bullpen and I thought Jones had a chance to stick as a middle reliever. Arizona would have had to carry him on their 25-man big league roster all season as a Rule 5 Draft pick, otherwise put him on waivers and offer him back to the Yankees, which is what happened.

The Yankees still have three other Rule 5 Draft picks out there: catcher Luis Torrens (Padres) and lefties Caleb Smith (Cubs) and Tyler Webb (Pirates). Webb has the best chance to stick with his new team, I believe. Torrens and Smith are almost certainly coming back at some point before Opening Day.