Eddie Bajek at Tigers Thoughts has, with as he calls “reasonable certainty,” reverse-engineered the formula used to determine Type-A & B free agents, and has posted the current rankings of AL catchers. Pudge comes in as the highest ranked Type-B free agent, 0.891 points behind Ramon Hernandez. Under the new CBA, Type-A Type-B FA’s do not need to be offered arbitration to bring compensation. I’d rather see Pudge pick up his game and take the risk of offering arbitration. (h/t MLBTR)
Update (4:51pm): Nevermind, both Type-A & Type-B free agents need to be offered arbitration to yield compensation picks. My bad, yo. · (55) ·
On the one hand, we have an unnamed American League scout: “In a few years, Melky will be playing in some independent league. Or in the Mexican League.” On the other hand, we have Tim Marchman’s urging us not to write off Melky so quickly. It’s the old numbers vs. scouting debate on display for all to see. The scouts don’t like what they see, but Marchman sees historical precedents for players exiled to the Minors who have managed to turn things around. As always, time will tell. · (54) ·
While Tyler Kepner speculates that Carl Pavano could — baring some not-so-catastrophic injury — be Saturday’s starter, Pavano seems to have other plans in mind. According to numerous reports — including one from PeteAbe — Pavano skipped a bullpen session yesterday with a stiff neck. I mean, seriously? Seriously? Just pitch. · (30) ·
In the 7th inning, Michael Kay and Al Leiter do what they do every night at that time: They read the choices for Chevy Player of the Game. As Darrell Rasner’s name garnered the top slot on their slate of candidates, my thoughts flashed, albeit briefly, on the word “jinx.” With the way the Yanks have been playing lately, how could the YES Network be so presumptuous with three innings left in a 1-0 game to start offering up names for Player of the Game?
As luck — or fate — would have it, the Yanks would not win this game, and they didn’t win in spectacular fashion. When the dust settled — and it literally settled as A-Rod was called out at second for the first out of the ninth — the Yanks were emerge 2-1 losers in a game they desperately needed to win. With that loss, they’re one game out of fourth place, 11 games out of first and, more importantly, 6.5 games behind Boston in the Wild Card with 37 games left to play. No wonder Yahoo! Sports ran this image earlier tonight.
Before we really delve into the negatives from tonight, let’s stop and tip our collective caps to Darrell Rasner. The Yanks’ righty had one of his better starts of the year. He went 6.1 innings and allowed a walk and three hits. He struck out three and kept the Blue Jays off base. His only mistake came on a 3-2 pitch that Adam Lind deposited beyond a leaping Bobby Abreu over the right field wall to tie the game at one.
With that out of the way, it’s really hard to say anything nice about the rest of this game. Again, the Yanks didn’t hit with runners in scoring position. Bobby Abreu lead off the fourth with a double and ended up staying on second as the next three batters — A-Rod, Jason Giambi and Xavier Nady — went down with nary a peep. Jason Giambi had four strike outs; A-Rod three. While A.J. Burnett, in his audition, was masterful, the Yanks couldn’t put anything together at all.
Meanwhile, I hate to say this, but in a way, I was right when I questioned Hideki’s arrival last night. Matsui’s return to the lineup — a smashing 0-for-3 performance — pushed Johnny Damon into center field where he made one error early on and then cost the Yanks the game with one of the worst plays you’ll ever see a center fielder make in the 8th inning. Melky Cabrera would have caught that ball; Brett Gardner would have caught that ball; it’s quite possible I would have caught that ball. But Damon didn’t; the Blue Jays scored a second run, and that was that.
Or, that was that until the ninth inning when Alex Rodriguez led off with a bloop base hit over the first baseman’s head and managed to get himself thrown out at second base for the first out of the inning. On the surface, I have no problem with A-Rod’s play. He was trying to make something — anything — happen for a lackluster team and got himself thrown out.
But after watching the replay, I have a problem with A-Rod’s not really running hard to first. He didn’t have second base in his mind out of the box. Only after he saw Lyle Overbay chasing the ball did he turn it on as he rounded first, and by then, it was too late. Much like this Yankee season so far, A-Rod just fell a little short. He was out; the Yanks lost. And that’s that.
Whatever you do, don’t look at Baseball America‘s front page …
Triple-A Scranton (3-1 loss to Rochester) Jason Lane was released, and he’s since signed with Boston
Melky, Shelley & Nick Green: all 1 for 4 – Melky K’ed twice, Shelley once … Green doubled & K’ed twice
Matt Carson & Chad Moeller: both 0 for 4 – Carson K’ed once, Moeller twice
Juan Miranda: 0 for 1, 1 R, 3 BB
Ben Broussard & Chris Basak: both 0 for 3, 1 BB, 1 K
Eric Duncan: 1 for 3, 1 BB, 2 K, 1 E (fielding) – raised his avg to .232
Al Aceves: 6 IP, 3 H, 3 R, 2 ER, 3 BB, 8 K, 5-5 GB/FB – 70 of 108 pitches were strikes (64.8%) … easily his best outing in AAA
Mark Melancon: 2 IP, zeroes, 1 K, 2-3 GB/FB – 15 of 19 pitches were strikes (79.0%)
Steven Jackson: 1 IP, zeroes, 2 K – 7 of 9 pitches were strikes (77.8%)
In a few minutes, the Yankees and the Blue Jays were square off in a key three-game set north of the border. For the Blue Jays, just two games behind the Yankees, this is their opportunity to make a move or play spoiler. The Yankees, as we know, just need to keep winning.
Tonight, though, the Yankees will have to earn it. They’re tossing Darrell Rasner, 5-9 with a 5.18 ERA, against A.J. Burnett. Now, Burnett’s start tonight is something of an audition. On the season, he’s a very respectable 15-9, but his ERA stands at 4.67, a full 0.79 higher than his career line. But against the Yanks this year, he’s 2-0 with a 1.88 ERA in 14.1 innings.
This start is an audition because A.J. Burnett has one of those opt-out clauses in his contract, and nearly everyone watching thinks he’s going to exercise that clause. When Burnett records the first out of the third inning today, he will have reached a three-year innings pitched high, and potential suitors will look at his health and success against the AL’s perennial contenders as they determine whether or not to offer the flame-throwing right-hander a contract.
Today’s game also marks the return of Hideki Matsui. The injured Yankee has been out since the end of June with knee problems. While Matsui will need knee surgery at some point in the near future, he will attempt to play for as long as he can. Matsui was hitting .323/.404/.458 through 69 games prior to his injury. The Yanks sent Justin Christian down to make move for Matsui.
Darrell Rasner P (5-9, 5.18)
Over the last few weeks, Xavier Nady has been a godsend for the Yankees. Twenty one games into his Yankee tenure, Nady is hitting .312/.391/.649 with 7 HR and 18 RBI. His 9.9 VORP in just 87 plate appearances allowed the Yankees to dispatch Melky Cabrera back to AAA. But for all of this success this year, Nady is far exceeding his career .282/.339/.463. It’s possible that Nady could emerge as a Paul O’Neill-like player who really comes into his own; it’s possible Nady’s season is simply a fluke. But to tell what Nady’s season means for the future, SG at RLYW ran the numbers and determined that Nady’s improved offense could be a good sign of things to come. · (35) ·
The USA Olympic baseball team clinched a berth in the medal round thanks to this morning’s 4-2 win over Chinese Taipei, which pushed their record to 4-2. Korea (6-0), Cuba (5-1) and Japan (4-2) also clinched spots in the medal round. Each team still has one game remaining in the preliminaries before starting the Semifinals on Friday. Stephen Strasburg lines for tomorrow’s start against Japan, meaning Trevor Cahill and Brett Anderson will be on the mound for the semifinals and finals (if they make it), respectively. · (24) ·