It’s a popular topic every year, especially at times like this, when the Yankees completely suck. When does a team’s record really start the mean something? Steal of Home took a look at the correlation between end-of-month winning percentage and end-of-season winning percentage, and found that it isn’t until the middle of August that we really know which teams are contenders and which are pretenders, though the great teams and the terrible teams will stand out by the end of June.
Since the Bombers are always playing in the great team end of the pool, we’ll get an idea of how good they really are around about five or six weeks from now. I recommend reading the post though, that’s some very interesting stuff. (h/t FanGraphs Community)