Shadowing the Sickels’ Mock Draft

(Photo Credit: Andrew Stanfill, The Independent Florida Alligator)

Every year, right before the draft, John Sickels over at Minor League Ball holds a community mock draft where his readers act as scouting directors and made picks for the 30 teams. I acted as the Yankees’ scouting director way back in 2007, and although it was fun it was also extremely time consuming. No way will I do that again. Instead I’ll continue to do what I’ve been doing in the three years since, reviewing the picks made for the Yankees and saying who I would have taken. Best of both worlds.

They did four rounds this year (first, sandwich, second, third), so the Yankees made three picks. They didn’t have one in the first round, but here’s what happened afterwards…

First Pick, Sandwich Round, #51 Overall
Mock Draft: Derek Fisher, OF, Pennsylvania HS
My Pick: Tyler Goeddel, 3B/OF, California HS

Fisher’s a fine pick here, I just prefer Goeddel. I’m a big Hudson Boyd fan (and a fan of high school pitchers in general), so it was tough to leave him on the board (he went the very next pick). Goeddel has the whole hitting thing figured out (at least as much as a high school kid reasonably could), you’re just projecting on the power. Fisher has the power and you’re counting on him learning how to hit breaking balls, which is very tough to do. I would be happy if the Yankees landed either player later tonight, it’s just personal preference here. Everything you need to know about Fisher and Goeddel can be found here and here, respectively.

Second Pick, Second Round, #88 Overall
Mock Draft: Nick Burdi, RHP, Illinois HS
Mike’s Pick: Carl Thomore, OF, New Jersey HS

After missing out on Fisher’s power in the first round, Thomore more than makes up for it here. Pure homerun hitters are in short supply these days, so I wanted to get at least one early, and I mean a legitimate prospect and not a Kyle Roller type (no offense to him). Pitches that break aren’t a huge concern with Thomore either, so I’m very pleased to get two high school bats with upside (and different skill sets) early on. Here’s my write-up.

Burdi is a risky but potentially high reward pick. He showed huge velocity in showcases last summer (like, 95-97 consistently), but he missed some time this spring and hasn’t been the same since. He spent most of his senior year pitching anywhere from 83-93 mph, and his slider varied from unhittable to unusable. Given the declining stuff plus a commitment to Louisville and reports of first round bonus demands, I would have waited a while before pulling the trigger on a guy like Burdi.

Third Pick, Third Round, #118 Overall
Mock Draft: Rookie Davis, RHP, North Carolina HS
Mike’s Pick: Nick Maronde, LHP, Florida

The Davis pick is interesting in that he doesn’t really appear to be much of a prospect. I had never heard of him before and he’s not on any of the top draft prospect lists from the regular publications (Baseball America, Keith Law, etc.). Google led me to this year-old article that may or may not still be valid. Maybe everyone completely missed Davis and he’s some kind of hidden gem, maybe he’s just a friend of whoever acted as the Yankees’ scouting director in the mock draft, maybe he’s something else.

Anyway … I don’t like that the first pitcher I took is a reliever, but Maronde is a prime candidate to be transitioned back into the rotation. His fastball sits 93-96 in relief but a tick lower when he starts, and he backs it up with both a quality slider and a changeup. Those three pitches are why he’s a candidate to start. Maronde’s command came apart a bit when started for the Gators, but I think it’s worth another shot (since my neck isn’t on the line). Worst case scenario, he goes back to being a shutdown lefty reliever. Around these parts, that’ll get you $4M a year without even having to pitch!

Fan Confidence Poll: June 6th, 2011

Record Last Week: 5-1 (29 RS, 13 RA)
Season Record: 33-24 (293 RS, 222 RA, 36-21 pythag. record), two up in loss column
Opponents This Week: Monday OFF, vs. Red Sox (three games, Tues. to Thurs.), vs. Indians (three games, Fri. to Sun.)

Top stories from last week:

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Yanks survive late innings, finish road trip 6-3

Sunday afternoon’s game against the Angels was not an easy one. The Halos seemed to have a runner on base at all times, and in the late innings they often did. The Yankees used some evil homeruns and ugly but effective relief work to win the weekend series and finish the nine game west swing.

Clobbered.

Two Times The Tex, Two Times The Fun

Curtis Granderson has been the Yankees’ best player pretty much all season, but you know what? Mark Teixeira has been pretty damn awesome himself. He went 3-for-4 with two homers in this game, pushing his season line to .258/.365/.549. His 18 homers are one more than Granderson and two behind Jose Bautista for the Major League lead.

The first homer, a solo shot in the third to give the Yankees a two-run lead, was an absolute bomb off a hanging changeup, which is essentially a batting practice fastball. The second homer was a two-run shot in the fifth that turned a 2-2 game into a 4-2 game, another absolute bomb deep into the right field seats. Tex didn’t hit his 18th homerun last season until July 17th, the team’s 90th game. He hit four long balls on the road trip, and has nine homers in his last 16 games overall. That’s pretty nuts. Tex is a streaky dude, and right now he’s locked in.

Swish’s Back

When the road trip started, Nick Swisher‘s season line was sitting at an unsightly .204/.321/.289. He managed to boost that all the way up to .215/.342/.348 during the nine games in Seattle and California, capping the trip off with a solo homer off the right field pole to give the Yankees a big insurance run. Overall, Swish went 8-for-29 (.276) with nine walks (.436), three homers (.655), and just five strikeouts during the trip. That’s the Nick Swisher we all know and love, and I’m glad to see him back. It just adds another level of depth to the lineup.

By The Skin Of Their Teeth

Uuuuge.

The Yankees’ bullpen has been very strong this year, despite getting next to nothing from high priced imports Rafael Soriano and Pedro Feliciano. David Robertson and Joba Chamberlain have done most of the heavy lifted ahead of Mariano Rivera, who’s been his usual brilliant self. Sunday’s game wasn’t so easy though, those three had to combine for 11 outs following a solid but unspectacular effort from Bartolo Colon.

Robertson replaced Colon with one out and a man on second in the sixth, then walked two batters after a fielder’s choice before escaping the inning by striking out Maicer Izturis. He coaxed a ground out from Erick Aybar to start the seventh, then Joba came in only to allow an infield single to Bobby Abreu. He got out of the inning with a strikeout of Howie Kendrick, then pitched around a one out walk in the eight. Rivera nailed down the save despite two singles, escaping the jam thanks to a Torii Hunter ground out.

It was definitely one of those games that does a number on your blood pressure, but all three guys got out of their jams by making big pitches when they had to. It’s cliche, but that’s what happened. Izturis whiffed on a 2-2 curveball in the dirt, Kendrick hacked at a 2-2 curve off the plate, Bourjos grounded int a double play on a 3-2 slider, and Hunter did the same on a 0-1 fastball. All told, the late-game trio of relievers combined to allow six baserunners over the last three-plus innings, but none of them came across to score. Good stuff.

Leftovers

Colon was dominant in the first two innings, but the Halos adjusted their approach and started to swing away at fastballs early in the count with great success. They scored three runs on six hits and two walks off the Yankees’ starter over the next 3.1 innings, and he needed a great barehand play by Robinson Cano to get out of the third inning. It was just the second time in nine starts that Colon failed to complete six innings, but that kind of stuff happens form time to time.

Jorge Posada had perhaps the ugliest 2-for-4 in the history of baseball. He grounded into a double play in the second inning and got thrown out foolishly trying to stretch a double into a triple in the fourth, so he still managed to account for four outs despite the two hits. Seriously, I don’t know how much longer this charade can go on, but it’s pretty obvious that Jorge is dunzo.

Curtis Granderson appears to be slumping, but he reached base twice in the game (single and walk) and has reached in four of his last eight plate appearances. That’ll do. Cano had a hit, Derek Jeter had a hit, and Brett Gardner had a pair of hits, including an RBI double in the second to kick off the scoring. He also got thrown out trying to steal second later in the game, continuing a troublesome trend.

A 6-3 road trip is pretty much the best case scenario, especially considering the high-end starting pitching they faced. In fact, they had multiple run leads against Michael Pineda and Felix Hernandez only to lose the game. I’ll take it, this is as good as west coast road trips get. At 33-24, the Yankees have tied the fading Indians for the best winning percentage in the AL (.579), and their +71 run differential is 20 runs better than anyone else. Their lead in the division sits at two games in the loss column.

WPA Graph & Box Score

MLB.com has the box score and video highlights, FanGraphs the other stuff.

Up Next

Time for the Yankees to come home. They’ll take Monday off then head to the ballpark on Tuesday to take on the Red Sox. Freddy Garcia will kick the series off against Jon Lester.

Heredia’s big day pushes Tampa to win

Carlos Silva was scratched from today’s start with shoulder stiffness, though Triple-A Scranton manager Dave Miley said he’s just being “pushed back.” Good news for Ivan Nova, I supposed. Austin Romine, meanwhile, has a sore back and neck following a collision at the plate the other day, and he might have a concussion. He’s already seen the team doctor, though there’s no timetable for his return to the lineup.

Triple-A Scranton (3-2 win over Toledo)
Greg Golson, CF: 1 for 4, 1 R, 1 K
Ramiro Pena, SS: 2 for 4, 2 R, 1 HR, 2 RBI – 12 for his last 31 (.387) with three doubles and two homers
Jesus Montero, C: 0 for 4, 1 K
Jorge Vazquez, 1B: 1 for 4, 1 K
Brandon Laird, 3B: 2 for 3, 1 RBI – 13 for his last 28 (.464) with four doubles and a homer
Jordan Parraz, DH, Kevin Russo, 2B & Dan Brewer, RF: all 0 for 3 – Parraz struck out
Austin Krum, LF: 1 for 3, 1 SB – threw a runner out at second
Buddy Carlyle, RHP: 4 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 3 K, 3-1 GB/FB – 35 of 51 pitches were strikes (68.6%) … solid job in the spot start for Silva
Ryan Pope, RHP: 2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 0 K, 1-3 GB/FB – 13 of 18 pitches were strikes (72.2%)
George Kontos, RHP: 2 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 2 K, 1-2 GB/FB - 15 of 25 pitches were strikes
Kevin Whelan, RHP: 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 3 K – 12 pitches, ten strikes … he’s been every bit as good as Jon Albaladejo was closing games last year, which is pretty crazy

[Read more…]

Open Thread: Success

(Photo Credit: Flickr user razvan.orendovici via Creative Commons license)

Given the starting pitching they faced, it’s impossible to consider this 6-3 west coast trip anything but a smashing success. It certainly wasn’t easy this afternoon, but all that matters is that it went into the win column. Beautiful. The Yankees get a much deserved day off now, and we’re just 24 hours from the draft. Yippee.

Anyway, here is tonight’s open thread. The ESPN Sunday Night Game is in CitiField for the Mets and Braves (Dickey vs. Hudson), and you’ve also got Game Three of the NBA Finals (8pm ET, ABC). You all know what to do by now, so have at it.