2011 Draft: Baseball America’s Experts Draft

We haven’t quite reached mock draft season yet, that’s about a month away, but the gang at Baseball America put together their annual Experts Draft and posted it yesterday. It’s not a projection of who will be drafted where, but instead just a list of who they’d take at a given slot (in the first round), as if they were calling the shots for the teams. It’s a snapshot in time (a lot can and will change between now and the draft), but it’s a great overview of each player’s stock at the moment. Best of all: it’s free, you don’t need a subscription. So check it out, no excuses.

 

Hot & Cold: A Yankee Offense Story

(AP Photo/Kathy Willens)

It’s no secret that the Yankees have a great offensive team, they’ve been showing it off pretty frequently in the first few weeks of the season. They’re out-wOBA’ing the rest of the league by several points and are within striking distance of the MLB lead in runs scored despite playing at least two fewer games than 28 other teams. The Orioles are the lone exception, playing just one more game than New York.

Despite that dominant offense, the individual pieces that make up the everyday lineup fall into one of two categories right now: hot or cold. There’s no middle ground, everyone is either tearing the cover off the ball or struggling to find their way on base. It’s far from ideal but they’ve gotten by so far. Let’s quickly recap everyone’s current status…

Derek JeterCOLD Jeter’s been could for a full year now it seems. The Yankees’ captain managed to go 4-for-6 in Sunday’s game, but he still has only seven hits and two walks in his last 33 plate appearances. A .273 OBP (during that stretch) is never good for a leadoff hitter, small sample size or not.

Curtis GrandersonHOT The Grandyman extended his hitting streak to nine games with that ninth inning single last night, during which time he’s hitting .417/.447/.946 with five homers, three doubles, and a triple. That’ll do, that’ll do just fine.

Mark TeixeiraHOT It’s safe to say that Tex has avoided his annual April slump with his monster showing this month, but he’s been even better of late: in his last ten games, the Yankees first baseman is hitting a stout .333/.457/.639 with the same number of walks (eight) as strikeouts.

Alex RodriguezHOT A-Rod‘s never not been hot this year. He went 1-for-4 with two strikeouts last night and is still hitting .346/.478/.750 on the season with nearly twice as many walks (14) as strikeouts (eighth). That man is mighty good at baseball.

Stop swinging at everything, Robbie. (AP Photo/Kathy Willens)

Robinson CanoCOLDAlthough he had a 13-game hitting streak snapped last night and his season line sits at a more than respectable .304/.309/.544, I’m sticking Cano in the cold category because his plate discipline has regressed to cover-the-children’s-eyes levels. He’s striking out in 17.7% of his at-bats (11.9% career) and has drawn just one walk all season, seeing just 3.22 pitchers per plate appearance. Cano’s still getting his hits, but if pitchers throw him anything out of the zone, he’ll get himself out right now.

Nick SwisherCOLD It’s a tale of two Swishers this season. He’s hitting a gaudy .524/.500/.609 as a right-handed batter this year (24 PA) but just .089/.275/.089 as a lefty (58 PA). He also hasn’t hit a homer yet. Since there’s way more righty pitchers than lefties, he goes in the cold bin.

Jorge PosadaCOLD Joe chronicled Jorge’s struggles yesterday, and after last night’s 0-for-3 with a whiff, his season line is down to .145/.243/.435. He’s had just two hits (one homer) in his last 31 trips to the plate. At least there’s not four years left on his contract.

Russell MartinHOT The Yankees’ new catcher hasn’t stopped hitting since showing up to Spring Training, and is currently sitting on a .311/.391/.656 batting line for the season. I don’t think it’s a stretch to say he’s been the team’s best hitter behind A-Rod so far.

Brett GardnerCOLD If it wasn’t for his brilliant defense in left field, Gardner would be useless. He’s hitting just .136/.190/.254 with as many stolen bases (three) as caught stealings on the year, and he’s been ever worse of late: .079/.079/.184 with no stolen bases and all three of those caught stealings in his last eleven games. Gardner hasn’t drawn a walk in 18 days now.

* * *

So that’s five slumping bats (three in a row) out of nine, though I admittedly made a judgment call on Cano. If it makes you feel better, we could call it 4.5 cold bats and 4.5 hot bats. Doesn’t make much of a difference either way. Obviously some of those cold bats are extremely likely to snap out of it and get back to (at least) their career norms, Swisher and Cano for sure, but we can’t be certain about the other three. There’s a very real chance that Jeter and Posada are just straight up done, and perhaps Gardner is incapable of adjusting to the adjustments the league made against him. We can’t say for sure just yet.

Because it’s so early in the season, the best thing to do is just sit back and wait (hope) things correct themselves. They might not, at which point the team will need to make some changes, but 19 games isn’t enough to say anything definitive about anything. It’s frustrating to watch, no doubt about it, but Grandy, Tex, A-Rod, and Martin are enough to carry a team for a little while. At some point the others have to begin contributing though, preferably soon.

Yanks can’t get anything on offense, drop to Sox 2-0

AP photographer Kathy Willens captures last night's game in a single image.

A few times every year there’s a game that is so straight forward that no one wants to relive it. If you saw it, you don’t want to see it described. If you didn’t see it, you’re better off without the frustrating facts. If, for some reason, you chose to skip this one, well done. You will live a less stressful existence for the next 20-odd hours. But considering the frequency of off-days, I’m not sure many of you missed this one.

The Yankees did have some decent at-bats: five, six, seven pitches. They just never amounted to anything. It took them 19 outs before they finally got a hit and finished with just three singles on the day. Two of their precious five base runners were erased via the double play, including Curtis Granderson after a single to lead off the ninth. They weren’t facing the most formidable of foes in Philip Humber, which raises the frustration level. If you believe that the Yankees somehow can’t hit pitchers they haven’t seen previously, you have that to gripe about, too.

It’s not every night that a Yankees pitcher goes into the seventh, and even rarer for him to see the eighth. Yet for the second time in three game that’s what the Yankees got. A.J. Burnett pitched what was easily the best game of his season, lasting eight full innings and needing just 108 pitches to dispatch of 24 White Sox. He didn’t have the swing and miss thing working, as he struck out only two. But he got 11 ground balls and allowed just three hits all evening. It’s a shame to fall so flat in support of such a stellar start.

Then there are the usual gripes. Robinson Cano swings at everything. Jorge Posada looks like he’s 50, Nick Swisher can’t hit from the left side, Rafael Soriano hangs too many sliders and is too smug to catch a pop up, etc. There are plenty to choose from.

Baseball might break your heart and make you tear out your hair, but it always comes back the next day. The Yanks will again trot out their guys to face the White Sox tomorrow evening. Just a hunch, but I’m feeling that they’ll get a few more hits and maybe score a couple’a runs.

Hughes headed for MRI tomorrow

Update (11:41pm): Via Chad Jennings, Hughes did pass all of the strength tests with the doctor(s) today, so that’s encouraging.

Original Post (10:30pm): Following tonight’s loss to the White Sox, manager Joe Girardi told reporters that Phil Hughes will undergo an MRI tomorrow “just to see what’s going on.” Why they didn’t bother to do this when he first went on the disabled list, I don’t know. Hughes experienced a setback during today’s bullpen session, as the right-hander simply said that his arm felt dead after ten or so pitches. Hopefully the MRI comes back clean, but I really wouldn’t be surprised if it didn’t.

Maxwell walks off in Scranton win

Jesus Montero was still limping around the clubhouse today after yesterday’s foul ball to the cup, and in fact the team is sending him for an MRI just to be sure everything’s okay. Poor guy. The good news is that he coached first base for a few innings today, so he’s not completely immobile. The team activated P.J. Pilittere off the disabled list to serve as an extra catcher for now. Dan Brewer was sent to Double-A in a corresponding move, and I hope he actually gets some playing time.

Triple-A Scranton (2-1 win over Syracuse in 13 innings, walk-off style)
Greg Golson, RF: 0 for 6 – ouch, that’ll put a dent in the ol’ batting average … he did throw a runner out at the plate though
Kevin Russo, 2B-3B: 1 for 5, 1 RBI, 1 BB, 2 K
Jorge Vazquez, 1B: 1 for 6, 4 K – 19 whiffs in 18 games
Chris Dickerson, LF: 2 for 6
Justin Maxwell, CF: 1 for 4, 1 R, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 2 BB, 1 K – walk-off homer
Jordan Parraz, DH & Ramiro Pena, SS: both 1 for 5 – Parraz whiffed three times … Ramiro doubles, scored a run, and struck out twice
Brandon Laird, 3B: 1 for 3, 1 2B, 1 BB – was lifted for a pinch-runner in the extra innings, didn’t work
Jose Gil, C: 2 for 4, 1 2B, 1 K – threw out two of five base stealers
David Phelps, RHP: 7 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 2 BB, 6 K, 1 HB, 2-7 GB/FB – 65 of 99 pitches were strikes … picked a runner off first … each start has gotten progressively better, which isn’t surprising at all
Eric Wordekemper, RHP: 1.2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 0 K, 1-1 GB/FB – half of his 18 pitches were strikes
Andy Sisco, LHP: 0.1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 1 K – half of his ten pitches were strikes
George Kontos, RHP: 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 2 K, 1 WP, 1-3 GB/FB – half of his 30 pitches were strikes
Amaury Sanit, RHP: 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 1 BB, 2 K, 2-0 GB/FB – 19 of 32 pitches were strikes (59.4%)

[Read more…]

Game 19: Dirty Laundry

Humber might want to look away after throwing his pitches tonight. (AP Photo/Brian Blanco)

“Let’s be ready to turn this crapp.” That’s what Ozzie Guillen said prior to his White Sox team losing their third in a row and tenth in eleven games yesterday, the second straight time they were shut out. The ChiSox just haven’t been getting it done of late, and they roll into the Bronx tonight to kick off a four-game set against the team with the best winning percentage and second best run differential in the AL.

Thankfully, the Yankees don’t have much crapp to turn around. Yeah, Mariano Rivera‘s blown some saves, but the starting pitching was pretty good over the weekend and the offense is still the best in the game (.366 wOBA, seven points better than the next best team). Hopefully Chicago’s offensive woes help A.J. Burnett coast through six or seven innings tonight, enough that Lance Pendleton can finish things off with a big lead. Here’s the starting nine…

Derek Jeter, SS
Curtis Granderson, CF
Mark Teixeira, 1B
Alex Rodriguez, 3B
Robinson Cano, 2B
Nick Swisher, RF
Jorge Posada, DH
Russell Martin, C
Brett Gardner, LF

A.J. Burnett, SP

Out in the bullpen, Rafael Sorianoshould be a go” tonight, which I suppose is good. Hopefully they won’t need him. First pitch is scheduled for a little after 7pm ET, and the game can be seen on YES locally or ESPN nationally. Enjoy.

Frankie Cervelli Update: Frankie is catching today for High-A Tampa then will catch tomorrow for Triple-A Scranton, and a decision will be made on the next step after that. Joe Girardi indicated over the weekend that they’ll call him up when he’s ready to play a game, meaning they won’t activate him then have him sit for a few days. I wouldn’t at all be surprised if Russell Martin caught tonight and tomorrow, then Cervelli showed up to catch on Wednesday.