Joba and the unresolved 8th

(Photo Credit: LM Ortera/AP)

Last night’s game was absolutely heartbreaking when you forget that realistically, few thought the team would pull out a win with the quality of bottom of the order and opposing pitcher, Felix Hernandez, being, well, Felix Hernandez. By now, those who have stood by Joba despite his inconsistency are likely starting to question their commitment. If anything, the game may have crystalized some of the issues we’d seen with Joba Chamberlain this year.

After the game — in which Joba gave up a grand slam to steal Javy’s outdeuling of King Felix — Girardi said he’d continue to stick with Joba. “As we go forward, I would like to have an 8th-inning guy…I’d like to stay with one guy. I’m going to send him back out there,” he told reporters. He also said that Joba’s been “largely good” when they’ve had leads and he’s still re-adjusting to the 8th inning role.

In reality, some of what Joe said is true — he has been largely good (no, really) all things considered, but when he’s been bad, he’s been Ramiro Pena-in-an-0-2-count-against-Strasburg bad. But unfortunately for Joe and the rest of the team, the excuses aren’t really assuaging anyone’s fears. He’s still blowing up in too many games and he’s the primary reason the bullpen is one of the team’s biggest question marks. For an “8th inning guy,” consistency must be greater.

The starter-turned-reliever-turned starter-turned reliever has had some very impressive peripherals on the year and yet they haven’t turned into positive results. Chamberlain, prior to last night’s game, had a K/9 of 9.91, a BB/9 of 3.22, a microscopic HR rate (which will certainly go up), a festive 2.68 tERA and an FIP of 2.35. Yet somehow he also featured an ERA of 4.95 and a BABip of .378, far higher than anything he’s thrown up in his career. So what could possibly explain the drastic divide in what we know statistically should happen, and what has happened?

Undoubtedly, as the BABip and other peripherals indicate, Joba has had quite a bit of pure bad luck. The reason the results have manifested to such proportions, I suspect, is largely what’s happened after the poor luck. In all, there are ten appearances (not including the most recent game with Seattle) in which he’s given up runs. Maybe he just can’t handle the pressure after never quite regaining that plus-plus-plus stuff he had in 2007?

A quick look at those appearances:

  • Joba enters April 4th game against Sox. Starts with a weak groundout to third then gives up seeing-eye single, walk and a deep flyball and then a game-killing single to RF. Leverage Index was .79 (1.0 is considered high leverage).
  • April 11th against Rays, Chamberlain enters and gives up a sharp single then a triple. He settles down then issues a walk before getting a flyball out. Leverage index was again .79
  • Later in April, against the Angels, Joba enters and gives up a LD single then a home run and then recovers to retire three in a row on flyballs. Leverage index was .95
  • In mid-May, against the Twins, Joba had a wild time. He gave up a cheap single to start, then came back with a groundout, a walk, a strikeout, a single, another walk and finally, a home run. Leverage index was 2.47
  • The next game was against the Sox. Chamberlain saw runners reach on grounball single and an error before getting clobbered with doubles and singles. Leverage is 1.90
  • To close out May, in the infamous Cleveland game, Joba watched a seeing-eye single get through. Then was singled and doubled to death. Miserable. Leverage was 1.99. The previous low point of the season.
  • Sandwiched between some nice outings against Baltimore and Houston was a rough spot against the Jays. He threw 6 pitches; Jose Molina hits a double, Fred Lewis hits a GB single, scoring Molina (!) from 2nd. Leverage was 2.79
  • Squaring off against the Phillies, Chamberlain gave up doubles, singles, walks, steals — it was bad from beginning to end. Leverage was .25
  • Against the Bigelow Torre Tea’s in L.A., Chamberlain started off with a walk, got a double play, then saw a single, a stolen base and a double to allow the run to score. Only Torre’s remarkable incompetance saved him from being the goat again. Leverage was .14
  • Last week against Toronto was the previous mishap with Chamberlain. He gave up a scary out in LF (Gardner made a great catch), then saw a walk, a flyout and two singles. He was actually worse than his line looks. Leverage was 2.76

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Joba’s meltdown ends Yanks’ winning streak

With a nice three game cushion in the AL East and seven consecutive wins in their rear view mirror, the Yankees started Saturday’s game with every reason to feel good about themselves. Through seven innings, they still had every reason to feel good about themselves, but a meltdown 8th inning ended the winning streak, shrunk the division lead to two, and once again led to the question: Who, exactly, can be counted on in the bullpen behind Mariano Rivera?

Photo Credit: John Froschauer, AP

The Definition Of Insanity

Do you know what the definition of insanity is? It’s doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. That’s where the Yankees and Joe Girardi are with Joba Chamberlain now. They just keep running him out of there in high leverage spots and expect him to all of a sudden stop sucking. Joba blew the game with an 8th inning appearance I don’t particularly care to recap (single, ground out, single, walk, grand slam), but it’s just the latest example of a guy keeping his job on three-year-old credentials.

I don’t know where the Yankees go from here, but any normal reliever with an 8.71 ERA and a -0.686 WPA since mid-May gets a bus ticket to Scranton. At the very least, he gets moved into a lesser role. The insanity must end.

What Does He Jav To Do To Get Some Run Support?

Photo Credit: John Froschauer, AP

In what has become an all to familiar theme, the Yanks scored basically no runs for Javy Vazquez. Yes, they were facing a great starter in Felix Hernandez, but the guy came into the game with a 3.01 ERA. Even if he threw a complete game, they were entitled to three runs. Yes, I’m kidding. Or am I…

It looked like they’d push some runs across early, with three of the first five batters reaching base, but the only run the Yanks would score came on a Nick Swisher solo shot in the 3rd. Javy has a 2.88 ERA in his last 11 starts, but the Yanks have lost five of those games. In the five losses, including tonight, they’ve scored a total of three runs. In three of the six wins, they scored three runs or fewer. The man should sue for unpaid run support.

In all seriousness though, Javy was pretty damn fantastic tonight. He took a no-hitter into the 6th, worked out of a big-time jam in the 7th, and gave the team every opportunity to win. I know it’s not easy to score runs off Felix, but the Yanks went one-for-eight with men in scoring position, and the one didn’t even score a run. As crazy as this would have sounded in April, Vazquez is the team’s second best starter at this point in time. Sorry, Andy Pettitte lovers.

Photo Credit: John Froschauer, AP

Random Points

Brett Gardner was caught stealing in the 1st for the  fifth time in his last 13 attempts dating back to May 19th. A 61.5% success rate just isn’t good enough for a guy who’s primary role on the team is to cause chaos on the bases.

Robbie Cano foul tipped a pitch into the dirt in the 8th inning, but home plate ump Lance Barksdale instead said he whiffed completely and called it strike three. That was an inning after Barksdale lost track of the count and gave Vazquez an extra ball to work with. Robot umps, they can’t come soon enough.

Unsurprisingly, the bottom third of the order (before Derek Jeter and Jorge Posada pinch hit in the 9th) combined to reach base zero times in ten plate appearances. They also left seven men on base. Throwing Colin Curtis, Frankie Cervelli, and Ramiro Pena out there against Felix Hernandez is like tying someone to a tree in the woods and pouring honey on their chest. The bear ate them alive.

Also, there needs to be less Cervelli in the team’s future. He’s flirting with a .500 OPS over the last two months and he’s clearly not all he’s made out to be on defense. I miss Jose Molina. Seriously.

And sheesh, could Gardner take the bat off his shoulders in the 9th? It’s his fifth time up against Felix, you’d think he’d know the strike zone and his stuff by then. If you’re going to strike out to end the game, at least swing the damn bat.

WPA Graph & Box Score

Here’s the box, here’s the rest.

Up Next

As infuriating as Saturday’s loss was, the Yanks still have a chance to take three of four from Seattle tomorrow. They’ll throw ace CC Sabathia against Ryan-Rowland Smith, who they beat just two weeks ago.

Montero goes deep day after non-trade

Make sure you scroll down for tonight’s game thread.

The Yankees had a scout on hand yesterday to watch 16th rounder Evan Rutckyj pitch for his summer league team. The big Canadian lefty is looking for first round money.

Triple-A Scranton
Game One (3-0 win over Lehigh Valley in 7 innings)
makeup of an April 26th rain out
Reegie Corona, 2B & Greg Golson, CF: both 0 for 2, 1 BB – Corona stole a base & K’ed … Golson threw a runner out at first as part of a double play
Chad Tracy, 3B: 2 for 3, 1 R – they signed him yesterday
Eduardo Nunez, SS: 1 for 3, 1 R, 1 2B, 1 K – nine for his last 43 (.209)
Juan Miranda, 1B: 1 for 3, 1 RBI, 1 K
Jesus Montero, C: 1 for 2, 1 R, 1 HR, 2 RBI – took a big leaguer deep … I guess someone is mad about almost being traded
Jorge Vazquez, DH & Eric Bruntlett, RF: both 0 for 3 – JoVa K’ed twice, Bruntlett once
Chad Huffman, LF: 1 for 2, 1 2B, 1 RBI
Tim Redding: 6 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 3 K, 6-4 GB/FB – 59 of 91 pitches were strikes (64.8%)
Jon Albaladejo: 1 IP, zeroes, 3 K – nine of his 13 pitches were strikes … that’s his 40th career save for SWB, a new franchise record

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Game 87: In 3-D!

Photo Credit: Elaine Thompson, AP

The next big thing in entertainment is going to be 3-D TV, and YES is making history tonight by broadcasting the first ever baseball game in three dimensions. Granted, you need a fancy 3-D TV set, but if you have one and you’re a Verizon FiOS customer, then you’re in luck. You’ll get to see Mark Teixeira hit baseballs right into your living room. If you don’t, don’t worry, there will be a regular old broadcast as well.

As for the actual game, the Yanks won’t be as lucky as they were yesterday today. Felix Hernandez isn’t getting traded before first pitch, so they’re stuck facing the guy that two-hit them in the Bronx last week. Hopefully the Yanks went to town in the video between then and now and will be better prepared for King Felix tonight.

Here’s your starting nine, on the final 10pm ET start of the season…

Brett Gardner, LF
Nick Swisher, DH – this will be his fifth time DH’ing in the last eight games
Mark Teixeira, 1B
Alex Rodriguez, 3B
Robbie Cano, 2B
Curtis Granderson, CF
Colin Curtis, RF
Frankie Cervelli, C
Ramiro Pena, SS

Javy Vazquez, SP

Three lefties in a row? Joe Girardi‘s gone mad, mad I tells ya!

Anyway, like I said, 10pm ET start tonight with YES carrying the game. I’m not sure how this whole 3-D thing works as far as channels and what not, but I assume everyone tunes into YES until further notice. Enjoy the game, no matter how many dimensions you watch it in.

Nick Swisher will participate in Home Run Derby

Via Sweeny Murti, first time All Star Nick Swisher with try his luck in the Homerun Derby on Monday, filling the spot vacated by the “injuredRobbie Cano. The Yankees weren’t too pleased with Cano being in the event, and I can’t imagine that they want Swish there either. Will he come up with a minor injury between now and Monday? My money’s on a sore biceps.

Yankees sign Colombian catcher Alfredo Castellon

A week into the2010 international signing period, the Yankees finally made their first strike, signing 18-year-old Colombian catcher Alfredo Castellon Jr. He was signed after impressing at a tryout camp in Tampa at the end of June, though the terms of the deal are undisclosed. There’s no such thing as having too many young catcher, the Yanks almost showed just how valuable of a commodity they could be yesterday.