May
03

Game 29: Just Win

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(Elsa/Getty)

(Elsa/Getty)

I’ve made an effort to fully adopt Zen Baseball this season, so last night’s loss, while ugly, doesn’t bother me as much as it would have a year or two ago. Just forget about it. Sleep it off and try again today. The quick turn around is good after a game like that.

The Yankees have a chance to end their three-game losing streak this afternoon behind their ace. Masahiro Tanaka told reporters yesterday that he felt his performance has been “so so” so far and that he made an adjustment in an effort to stop walking so many batters. I’m not joking. He really said that. The guy has six walks in 35.2 innings. I love it. Here is the Rays lineup and here is the Yankees lineup:

  1. CF Jacoby Ellsbury
  2. LF Brett Gardner
  3. 1B Mark Teixeira
  4. C Brian McCann
  5. DH Alfonso Soriano
  6. 3B Kelly Johnson
  7. 2B Brian Roberts
  8. RF Ichiro Suzuki
  9. SS Yangervis Solarte
    RHP Masahiro Tanaka

It is gorgeous outside today. Few clouds but lots of sun and blue skies. Perfect afternoon for baseball. First pitch is scheduled for a little after 1pm ET and you can watch on YES. Enjoy the game.

Categories : Game Threads
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  • Yankees designate Chris Leroux for assignment, call up Al Aceves
    By

    The Yankees have designated Chris Leroux for assignment and called up Al Aceves from Triple-A Scranton, according to various reporters at Yankee Stadium. The team needed a fresh arm following last night’s 14-inning marathon and Aceves was scheduled to start today for the RailRiders, so he can give the team plenty of innings if need be.

    Aceves, 31, had a 1.98 ERA (2.43 FIP) in 13.2 innings down in Triple-A. He was pretty awesome for the Yankees in 2009, hurt in 2010, good for the Red Sox in 2011, and awful for Boston from 2012-13. As much as I irrationally want to believe Aceves can revert back to his 2009 form through the magic of the pinstripes, it’s probably not going to happen. All he has to do is be better than the Lerouxs and Bruce Billingses of the world. Welcome back, Ace.
    · (29) ·


Source: FanGraphs

What a ridiculous game this was. Five-man infields, base-running blunders, back-to-back homers, a ninth-inning comeback, Carlos Beltran trying to lay down a bunt*, successful challenges by both managers, the stadium crew cleaning the empty Legends Seats before the game was over, the first 0-for-7 in Derek Jeter‘s career … this one had it all. And yet, all the Yankees got out of it was their third straight loss and a burnt out bullpen. Good job. The Rays walked away with a 10-5 win in 14 innings in Friday’s series opener.

* To be fair, it would have been the most productive thing he’s done at the plate in a week.

Of course, the Yankees have no one to blame but themselves. They blew opportunity after opportunity in extra innings, stranding runners at third base in the 11th, 12th, and 13th innings. There were other runners on too, but only the guy at third mattered. Ichiro Suzuki grounded out to end the 11th, Alfonso Soriano grounded out to end the 12th, and Jeter grounded out to end the 13th. They had a man on third with fewer than two outs in 13th and still couldn’t get him in. The Yankees went with 1-for-12 with runners in scoring position. Gross.

The eighth and ninth inning comebacks were hardly worth the effort. Mark Teixeira and Soriano clubbed back-to-back homers in the eighth, then Jacoby Ellsbury singled in the tying run with two outs in the ninth. The non-Chris Leroux portion of the bullpen allowed just one run in 8.1 innings, striking out ten. They were awesome. Then Leroux allowed five runs on five hits and two walks in one inning. I have to think he’ll be off the roster tomorrow in favor of a fresh arm, among other reasons.

I don’t think I can muster up any more of a recap than that. MLB.com has the box score, FanGraphs some other stats, and ESPN the updated standings. The Yankees will try to get their collective heads out of their asses in the second game of this series on Saturday afternoon, when Masahiro Tanaka gets the ball against Jake Odorizzi. Other than Tanaka, this team is pretty close to unwatchable right now. Check out RAB Tickets if you want to catch the matinee live.

Categories : Game Stories
Comments (100)

OF Ramon Flores earned a spot in the “In The Team Photo” section of this week’s Prospect Hot Sheet. Matt Eddy also put together a cool piece looking at the area scouts who have produced the most big leaguers since 2010. Victor Mata, who is the Yankees’ crosschecker in the Dominican Republic, is tied for the fifth most with six. The team has three other area scouts who produced at least three big leaguers during that time, which is above average compared to the rest of the league.

Triple-A Scranton (10-0 loss to Norfolk)

  • CF Ramon Flores: 0-3, 1 BB, 1 K
  • 3B Scott Sizemore: 1-4, 3 K — 36 strikeouts in 78 total plate appearances this year (46.2%)
  • SS Dean Anna: 1-4, 1 3B, 2 K
  • LF Ronnie Mustelier: 2-3
  • C Austin Romine: 0-2, 1 BB — having just a brutal, brutal season
  • RHP Brian Gordon: 5.2 IP, 8 H, 7 R, 7 ER, 2 BB, 6 K, 4/4 GB/FB — 67 of 102 pitches were strikes (66%)

Read More→

Categories : Down on the Farm
Comments (29)
(Elsa/Getty)

(Elsa/Getty)

Believe it or not, tonight is Joe Girardi‘s 1,000th game as Yankees manager. Time sure does fly, doesn’t it? It feels like just yesterday we were debating whether the team should hire him, Tony Pena, or Don Mattingly. With all due respect to Pena and Donnie, I think it’s safe to say the Yankees made the right decision.

Girardi is the sixth manager in team history to reach the 1,000 games milestone, and, well, it’s going to be a while before he climbs any higher on the team’s all-time games managed leaderboard:

Rk Mgr Yrs From To W L W-L% G>.500 G
1 Joe McCarthy HOF 16 1931 1946 1460 867 .627 593 2348
2 Joe Torre HOF 12 1996 2007 1173 767 .605 406 1942
3 Casey Stengel HOF 12 1949 1960 1149 696 .623 453 1851
4 Miller Huggins HOF 12 1918 1929 1067 719 .597 348 1796
5 Ralph Houk 11 1961 1973 944 806 .539 138 1757
6 Joe Girardi 7 2008 2014 579 420 .580 159 999
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 5/2/2014.

Girardi will still be 137 games short of tying Houk when his just-signed four-year contract expires. Sitting in sixth place for another half-decade isn’t all that bad though. It won’t be that long before Girardi has logged more games as a manager than he did as a player (1,277), which is kinda crazy because he played in parts of 15 seasons. Congrats to Joe on his milestone. Here is his lineup for tonight’s game and here is the Rays’:

  1. CF Jacoby Ellsbury
  2. SS Derek Jeter
  3. RF Carlos Beltran
  4. 1B Mark Teixeira
  5. LF Alfonso Soriano
  6. DH Brian McCann
  7. 2B Brian Roberts
  8. 3B Yangervis Solarte
  9. C John Ryan Murphy
    LHP Vidal Nuno

The weather was damn near perfect in New York today and the same is true tonight. It’s cool and there are some clouds, but the forecast says no rain. Hooray for that. The game is scheduled to begin at 7:05pm ET, and you’ll be able to watch on YES locally and, depending on where you live, MLB Network nationally. Enjoy the game.

Categories : Game Threads
Comments (530)
May
02

2014 Draft: Alex Verdugo

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Alex Verdugo | LHP

Background
Verdugo is an Arizona kid from Tucson, and he stars both as an outfielder and a pitcher at Sahuaro High School. He is hitting .539/.602/.907 with three homers in 26 games this spring, and on the mound he has a 1.63 ERA with 77 strikeouts and 22 walks in 43 innings. Verdugo is committed to Arizona State, where he would presumably be a two-way player for the Sun Devils.

Scouting Report
On the mound, the 6-foot-1 and 190 lb. Verdugo usually sits in the 89-92 mph range with his fastball but has shown some 94s and 95s this spring. His curveball is ahead of his changeup at this point but both pitches look like they will be future weapons. They still need some work, however. Verdugo is an excellent athlete (hence the whole two-way player thing) and his delivery is really smooth and low-effort. He also hides the ball well. At the plate, Verdugo offers some left-handed pop and speed, and obviously he has a strong arm as well. After drawing split opinions in the past, the consensus now is that Verdugo is a better prospect as a pitcher.

Miscellany
In their latest rankings, Keith Law (subs. req’d), Baseball America, and MLB.com ranked Verdugo as the 31st, 41st, and 54th best prospect in the draft class, respectively. Ever since I read this article about the Cardinals’ scouting and development strategies, I’ve kinda had a thing for athletic pitchers. (Hey, St. Louis is pretty good at developing pitchers.) Verdugo definitely fits the bill, and when you add in his three-pitch mix and easy delivery, he seems like the kind of prospect who could really take off under pro instruction. The Yankees don’t pick until the second round (55th overall) this summer.

Categories : Draft
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May
02

RAB Live Chat

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Categories : Chats
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(Jared Wickerham/Getty)

(Jared Wickerham/Getty)

Two weeks ago the Yankees and Rays played a wild four-game series in Tampa, a series that included three blowouts and one 12-inning affair. They split the four games. The division rivalry now shifts to the Bronx for a three-game weekend set.

What Have They Done Lately?
The Rays are 13-16 with a -10 run differential overall, leaving them tied for last place in the AL East. They swept a doubleheader from the Red Sox yesterday but have still lost six of their last nine games and 11 of their last 17 games. Tampa is definitely down right now. Time to start kicking.

Offense
At 4.15 runs per game with a team 105 wRC+, the Rays have been a slightly above-average offense so far this year. They were really struggling to score the last time these two clubs met and the Yankees’ pitching staff was kind enough to help them out of that funk. Tampa does not have any position players on the DL but OF David DeJesus (103 wRC+) is nursing a sore shoulder and has been limited to DH duties for about a week now.

(Brian Blanco/Getty)

(Brian Blanco/Getty)

Through the first month of the season, manager Joe Maddon has been getting excellent production from OF Matt Joyce (154 wRC+), OF Desmond Jennings (139 wRC+), 1B James Loney (134 wRC+), and 2B Ben Zobrist (129 wRC+). I’m not sure I’m ready to live in a world where James Loney is a productive big leaguer. 3B Evan Longoria (106 wRC+) is off to an un-Longoria-like start but he always kills the Yankees. He has hit the most homers at the new Yankee Stadium among visiting players.

The Rays have not gotten much from OF Wil Myers (87 wRC+) and SS Yunel Escobar (78 wRC+) so far, though Escobar hit a monster solo homer off Koji Uehara to win last night’s game. C Ryan Hanigan (127 wRC+) has been the more productive half of the catching platoon with C Jose Molina (-4 wRC+). UTIL Sean Rodriguez (175 wRC+) has been really good in limited playing time, UTIL Logan Forsythe (44 wRC+) not so much. OF Brandon Guyer (-14 wRC+) rounds out the bench. Tampa has only stolen nine bases this year, the third fewest in MLB, so this isn’t the run crazy Rays team we’ve seen for most of the last decade.

Pitching Matchups

Friday: LHP Vidal Nuno (vs. TB) vs. LHP David Price (vs. NYY) (Pitcher GIFs)
Price, 28, has been alternating good starts with not good starts all season (he’s due for a good one, if the trend continues). He owns a 4.75 ERA (3.49 FIP) in six starts and 41.2 innings this year, though his strikeout (10.15 K/9 and 27.2 K%) and walk (1.08 BB/9 and 2.9 BB%) rates are elite. The homer (1.51 HR/9 and 15.9 HR/FB%) and ground ball (40.5%) numbers … not so much. Lefties (.345 wOBA) are uncharacteristically giving him a harder time than righties (.323 wOBA) early on. Price throws his low-to-mid-90s four-seamer and mid-to-upper-80s cutter roughly 70% of the time combined. A low-80s changeup and upper-70s curveball are his secondary offerings. The Yankees scored six runs in five innings against the 2012 AL Cy Young winner two weeks ago. Last time out, Price allowed eight runs in six innings to the White Sox.

Odorizzi. (Rob Carr/Getty)

Odorizzi. (Rob Carr/Getty)

Saturday: RHP Masahiro Tanaka (No vs. TB) vs. RHP Jake Odorizzi (vs. NYY) (GIFs)
The Rays have been adding one young stud pitcher to their rotation per year for what feels like seven or eight years now, but the 24-year-old Odorizzi is a sign times have changed. He has a 6.85 ERA (4.44 FIP) in five starts and 23.2 innings, and he generally isn’t expected to be much more than a back-end starter. The strikeout rate (8.37 K/9 and 20.0 K%) is good, but the walk (4.56 BB/9 and 10.9 BB%), homer (1.14 HR/9 and 10.3 HR/FB%), and ground ball (39.2%) rates are not. Righties (.400 wOBA) have crushed him early on, lefties (.363 wOBA) slightly less so. Odorizzi does throw four different pitches, including a low-90s heater, a mid-80s changeup, a low-80s slider, and a low-70s curveball. The changeup is his go-to offspeed pitch. The Yankees did not face Odorizzi in Tampa two weeks ago and he’s failed to complete five innings in each of his last two starts (four runs in 4.1 innings, four runs in 3.1 innings)

Sunday: LHP CC Sabathia (vs. TB) vs. LHP Erik Bedard (vs. NYY) (Pitcher GIFs)
You know the Rays are out of young pitchers when Bedard is in their rotation. The 35-year-old has a 5.52 ERA (3.81 FIP) in 14.2 innings across three starts and one relief appearance so far. He’s walked exactly as many men as he’s struck out (6.14 per nine and 14.1%) and, despite a low ground ball rate (36.7%), he’s yet to allow a dinger. Bedard has had no platoon split whatsoever early on. An upper-80s fastball sets up his mid-70s changeup and trademark mid-70s curveball. Bedard allowed four runs in 3.2 innings against the Yankees two weeks ago, though he held the Red Sox to one run in five innings last time out.

Bell. (Scott Iskowitz/Getty)

Bell. (Scott Iskowitz/Getty)

Bullpen Status
Yesterday was a rough day for the Rays bullpen in terms of their workload: they threw 8.1 scoreless innings. Both closer RHP Grant Balfour (6.28 FIP) and setup man LHP Jake McGee (1.92 FIP) pitched in both ends of the doubleheader, so they might not be available tonight. In fact, the only relievers who didn’t pitch yesterday are RHP Heath Bell (4.26 FIP) and RHP Josh Lueke (4.33 FIP).

The rest of Maddon’s bullpen features RHP Joel Peralta (4.06 FIP), RHP Brandon Gomes (3.80 FIP), and RHP Juan Carlos Oviedo (2.43 FIP). Oviedo is the pitcher formerly known as Marlins closer Leo Nunez. If Balfour is unavailable tonight, I’m guessing Peralta will be the closer du jour. The Yankees were off on Monday and rained out on Wednesday, so their bullpen is in good shape. Check out our Bullpen Workload page for recent reliever usage details, then check out The Process Report for the best Rays analysis out there.

Categories : Series Preview
Comments (10)

Only six questions this week — not including yesterday’s Mark Teixeira question — but they’re good ones. Remember to use the Submit A Tip box in the sidebar to send us anything throughout the week.

(Presswire)

(Presswire)

Mads asks: Might the injury to Michael Pineda be a blessing in disguise? If the Yankees were to make it deep into the playoffs, he would still be available to them, since he hasn’t reached his innings limit. So it might not be so bad that he is out for a couple of weeks.

Maybe. We said the same thing about Bartolo Colon‘s hamstring injury a few years ago, but he came off the DL and wasn’t nearly as effective. He admitted to being apprehensive about cutting it loose after getting hurt. There’s always a chance Pineda will come off the DL and not be the same pitcher, so who knows if he’ll even be worthy of a rotation spot late in the season? His injury is a concern given its proximity to his surgically repaired shoulder too. The Yankees definitely needed to monitor Pineda’s workload this season but now it’s out of their hands for at least a few weeks. It might help keep him fresh deep into September and possibly October, sure, but there’s also a chance it completely derails his season.

Dan asks: Looking back on it now, since we have at least a little bit of a contribution to point to from Pineda, and also the hope of more to come, would you prefer the deal that brought in Pineda over the failed one for Cliff Lee the year before? I mean, Zach McAllister still was sent away in a complete waste of a trade for Austin Kearns, and David Adams is still David Adams. I don’t really know to be honest. Is it still too early to tell?

As the story goes, the Yankees and Mariners had agreed to a trade that would have sent Lee to New York back in July 2010. Jesus Montero, David Adams, and Zach McAllister were the package going to Seattle. However, Adams was still on the mend from his traumatic ankle injury at the time, and the Mariners balked once they reviewed his medicals. They asked for Eduardo Nunez instead and the Yankees weren’t happy they reneged after essentially having a handshake agreement in place. They said no and that was that.

The Yankees had the best record in baseball at the time of the non-trade and they had just won the World Series the year before, so they were still a league superpower with legit championship aspirations. They eventually lost the ALCS to Lee and his new Rangers teammates. Obviously we have no idea how things would have played out had the Yankees landed the southpaw, but I don’t think it’s unreasonable to say their chances of winning the World Series would have gone from very good to super duper good.

Because of that, I would have rather made that deal than the Pineda deal. It doesn’t have anything to do with Pineda’s shoulder and his recent back issue. The Yankees were on the cusp of a second straight AL pennant without Lee and he could have put them over the top. I’m in favor of adding the impact player when you’re that close to a title. Lee would have only been a rental and Pineda may potential be a good long-term piece for the Yankees, but flags fly forever. Remember: we’re tryin’ to win a ring around here.

Kerwin asks: Can you explain why CC Sabathia has such a distaste for Jackie Bradley Jr.? Is there history between the two?

(Jared Wickerham/Getty)

(Jared Wickerham/Getty)

Hah, I have no idea but it seems mostly harmless and kinda funny. I think it stems from Opening Day 2013, when Bradley went 0-for-1 with two walks against Sabathia. CC appeared to call him a “punk ass motherf**ker” after striking him out in a game later in the season, and since them he’s always seemed to have disdain for Bradley. Last week Sabathia hit him with a pitch — it looked like a breaking ball that got away, so not intentional — and then gave him a mouthful after Bradley stared him down. I don’t know how or why it started, but Sabathia’s beef with Bradley seems like a real thing. For what it’s worth, Bradley is 0-for-8 with those two walks and five strikeouts against CC, so maybe the big lefty is in his head.

New Guy asks: Any updates on Andrew Bailey? I know he’s a David Aardsma type reclamation project, but man. Sure would be nice if he could give the pen a boost later in the year.

The last update I saw on Bailey came way back in the middle of March, when it was reported he was playing catch from 90 feet and hoped to stretch it out to 120 feet within the next week. Hopefully he’s done that by now. Bailey had his shoulder capsule repaired in late-July and it comes with a year-long rehab process. Usually longer, but maybe his rehab will be shorter because he’s only a reliever. The Yankees have maintained that if he does pitch this year, it probably won’t be until September. The structure of his contract — minor league deal with a club option for 2015 — indicates the signing was made with an eye on next year, similar to the Jon Lieber and Aardsma signings a few years ago.

Chris asks: Any thought at a run at Mark Buehrle? He would come cheaper than Cliff Lee. No?

I have to imagine Buehrle would come cheaper, yes. He’s off to a very strong start this year (2.25 ERA and 3.21 FIP), but he’ll revert back to the same ol’ Mark Buehrle once his 2.6 HR/FB% rate returns to its career norms (~10%). His strikeout and walk rates are the same as they always were. Buehrle is owed $18M this season and $19M next season, so he’s not cheap, plus the Blue Jays have made it clear they don’t like trading within the division unless they’re blown away. Maybe that isn’t the case with Buehrle and they’d just be happy to shed his salary. Buehrle isn’t great but he’s pretty reliable and would be an upgrade for the Yankees. I just don’t know if acquiring him from an AL East rival is all that realistic.

(Jared Wickerham/Getty)

(Jared Wickerham/Getty)

Donny asks: After seeing Yangervis Solarte go through his first mini-slump of the season and reading/hearing analysts describe teams pitching him differently with more offspeed stuff, it got me wondering: what does the pitch f/x data look like now compared to the beginning of the season? Does this data support those analyses? Or is this simply a hot bat normalizing to the player Solarte actually is?

Anecdotally, it seemed like Solarte was starting to see more offspeed pitches in the middle of last month, after teams got a look at him and realized they would need something more than a fastball to get him out. After going 12-for-28 (.429) to start the season, Solarte has gone only 12-for-51 (.235) since. The good news is that he is still walking and making contact — 2/2 K/BB in the first eight games, 11/10 K/BB since — so he hasn’t been completely lost at the plate.

Yangervis played 22 games prior to last night — couldn’t wait around for the various PitchFX sites to update overnight, so last night’s game is not included in the table below — and let’s break his season down into two seven game segments and one eight game segment to see how he’s being pitched. Courtesy of Brooks Baseball:

All Counts Solarte Ahead Pitcher Ahead
FB% OFF% FB% OFF% FB% OFF%
Games 1-7 51.2% 48.8% 75.0% 25.0% 22.2% 77.8%
Games 8-14 66.4% 33.6% 89.5% 10.5% 57.6% 42.4%
Games 14-22 68.2% 31.8% 69.8% 30.2% 61.0% 39.0%

Obligatory reminder that we are talking about very small samples here, so don’t take these numbers to heart. We’re just looked at them for fun.

Anyway, contrary to the theory that he was seeing more offspeed stuff, pitchers have generally thrown Solarte more fastballs as the season has progressed. The pitch type linear weights at FanGraphs show Yangervis has been most effective against curveballs and sliders and least effective against the various fastballs (four-seamer, two-seamer, sinker, cutter), so I guess it makes sense that pitchers are throwing him fewer breaking balls in recent weeks. Solarte has trouble with the heat, it seems. What did we ever do before we could look this stuff up? Hooray facts.

Categories : Mailbag
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