Anyway, here is tonight’s open thread. MLB Network is showing a regional game at 7pm ET and there’s a College World Series game on as well (Oregon State vs. LSU at 7pm ET on ESPN). Also, the Mets are playing out on the West Coast later tonight. May the baseball gods have mercy on their souls.
With the short season leagues set to begin this week, the Yankees have locked up many of their late round draft picks these last few days. Here are my Day One, Day Two, and Day Three draft recaps, and here are all of the Yankees’ picks. Now here are the latest signings (and non-signings):
- Louisiana-Lafayette OF Steven Sensley (12th) has signed, reports William Weathers. No word on his bonus, though there’s no reason to think it’s above the $125,000 slot for picks after the tenth round. Scouting director Damon Oppenheimer called Sensley his draft sleeper. “We like his exit velo, power, athleticism,” he said to Randy Miller. Exit velo for a college kid! Anyway, Sensley hit .314/.417/.576 with eleven homers in 57 games this spring.
- Maryland HS RHP Harold Cortijo (14th) has signed. His high school coach posted a photo of the contract signing on Twitter. No word on the bonus, though I think there’s a chance Cortijo will get more than the $125,000 slot. He was said to be very committed to junior college, which would have allowed him to re-enter the draft next year.
- Rhode Island C Chris Hess (17th) has signed, according to the school’s Twitter feed. Again, no word on the bonus, though as with Sensley, odds are it is not over $125,000. Hess hit .347/.414/.581 with eight homers and 12 steals in 53 games as a senior this spring.
- Georgia HS Pat DeMarco (24th) is not planning to sign, according to his Twitter feed. He’s one of the highly ranked players who slipped to Day Three due to signability concerns. DeMarco grew up in New York City, graduated high school in Georgia, and is committed to Vanderbilt.
- Lane College LHP Austin Crowson (26th) has not yet decided whether to turn pro, according to Steve Mims. “Not sure yet, still discussing everything. I’m going to take my time,” he said. Crowson is at a junior college, so he could re-enter the draft next year.
- Norfolk State RHP Alex Mauricio (27th) has signed, according to his dad’s Twitter feed. No word on his bonus yet and chances are we’ll never find out. These under-slot late rounders are rarely reported. Mauricio hit .345/.427/.528 this spring and had a 3.49 ERA with 55 strikeouts in 59.1 innings. The Yankees drafted him as a pitcher.
- Louisiana HS SS Hayden Cantrelle (40th) wants to “keep his options open,” reports Trey Labat. Cantrelle has a number in mind, and if the Yankees meet it, he’ll sign. He’s a legitimate football prospect in addition to baseball, and he made it no secret he wants to go to college.
Our Draft Pool Tracker page is up and running. You can use that to keep tabs on the bonus pool situation between now and the July 7th signing deadline. The Tracker is available at all times under the Resources pull down menu in the nav bar at the top of the site.
The season is over for Gleyber Torres. The Yankees announced this afternoon that their top prospect, and one of the best prospects in baseball, will soon undergo Tommy John surgery on his left elbow. Torres tore his ulnar collateral ligament when he hyper-extended his elbow on a play at the plate over the weekend.
Here is video of the play:
Torres, 20, came over from the Cubs in the Aroldis Chapman trade last summer. He hit .287/.383/.480 (142 wRC+) with 14 doubles, seven homers, a 20.0% strikeout rate, and a 12.8% walk rate in 55 games and 235 plate appearances between Double-A and Triple-A this season.
Reports indicated the Yankees were planning to call up Torres later this season to take over at third base, though obviously that is off the table now. Baseball, man, It can be a real son of a bitch. Get well soon, Gleyber.
So that road trip could have gone better, huh? If it makes you feel any better, the Yankees were one reliever getting hot away from going 4-3 in the seven games rather than 1-6. They had a lead with no more than six outs to go in three of those losses. “These are the times you find out what you’re made of as a team,” said Matt Holliday to Erik Boland after yesterday’s game. Anyway, I have some thoughts, so let’s get to ’em.
1. I think the odds are pretty good, maybe as good as 70/30, that Chance Adams will make his next start in the big leagues. CC Sabathia is going to be out a while and piggybacking Luis Cessa and Chad Green — Joe Girardi didn’t trust Cessa to go through a lineup a third time last year, so it’s not just yesterday — doesn’t strike me as something the Yankees would do for an extended period of time. Adams hasn’t slowed down a bit since the promotion to Triple-A, and heck, he’s already thrown more innings with the RailRiders than Jordan Montgomery did last year (40.2 to 37). It’s getting to the point where there’s no sense in wasting those bullets in the minors when he could possibly help you win in the big leagues, you know? Maybe the Yankees want to wait until his command improves, though they’re not shy about using command-challenged pitchers in the rotation at the big league level. There’s an open rotation spot and an open 40-man roster spot. Seems like it might be about that time to give Adams a shot.
2. The Gleyber Torres injury stinks and I’m glad it’s not more serious. It looked pretty bad. The first thing that popped into my head when I saw the play was A.J. Pollock last year. He fractured his elbow on an similar play at the end of Spring Training and missed basically the entire season. Here’s video of the Pollock injury. Looks like an innocent little slide! Torres is going for more tests today, though initial x-rays came back negative and he was diagnosed with a hyper-extension, so that’s encouraging. Hopefully there’s no ligament damage or anything. Torres says he already feels better, for what it’s worth. Anyway, that’s just a fluke-ish injury on a common baseball play. It happens. As long as the injury isn’t serious, the biggest negative here is the lost playing time, specifically the lost reps at third base. Gleyber’s bat has come around the last two weeks or so — he’s gone 18-for-45 (.400) with three doubles, one triple, and two homers in his last 12 games — but everyone in the organization seems to agree he needs more work at third base before being a big league option. The injury doesn’t eliminate the possibility of a big league call-up later this season. It might delay it a little bit, however.
3. The bullpen struggled big time during the West Coast trip, and with that happening, Dellin Betances‘ recent workload has become a bit of a hot topic. His lack of work, that should be. YES put up this graphic during Saturday’s game:
Ten innings in five weeks for one of the best relievers on the planet on a first place team. Yeesh. That is partly due to the offense. The Yankees have won a ton of blowouts this season — they’re 19-2 in games decided by at least five runs, which is nearly one-third of their games played — and Betances doesn’t pitch in blowouts. It’s also due to the fact he was the closer and got saved for save situations, which is silly, but it is what it is. Here’s what I wrote after the Aroldis Chapman injury:
I wonder whether it would be smart to let Tyler Clippard close rather than Betances. Clippard could start the ninth inning fresh with no one on base, allowing Betances to remain a setup man and potentially put out fires in the seventh inning on occasion … Hopefully Clippard and Betances (and Warren) are lights out and who pitches when isn’t a big deal. I just worry we’re going to see seventh or eighth inning leads evaporate with Betances sitting in the bullpen, being held back for the save situation.
That is pretty much exactly what happened on the West Coast trip. The Yankees had a late-inning lead in three of the six losses. In another, the game was tied in the seventh. Betances pitched in one of those games. Sigh. Dellin has thrown 21.2 innings through 67 games this season. Through 67 games last year, he’d thrown 32.2 innings. The year before it was 35 innings. The year before that is was 38.2 innings. Considering Betances wore down in September each of the last two seasons — and that the postseason is a very real possibility for the 2017 Yankees — perhaps the light workload now will pay dividends later. Then again, Dellin has always been a guy who needs regular work to keep his mechanics in check. He says so himself. Surely there was a happy medium to be struck while Chapman was out, right? Something between being overworked and throwing only ten innings in five weeks? Whatever. What’s done is done. It just irked me to see Betances marginalized by the save rule.
4. As for the rest of the bullpen, I said the other day the Yankees might need more help than a healthy Chapman, and a potential problem is that bullpen help tends to be quite expensive at the trade deadline. It’s not just the Chapman and Andrew Miller types. The Dodgers gave up Yordan Alvarez, a really good prospect (No. 14 in the Astros system), to get Josh Fields last year. Josh Fields! Even though I’m not the world’s biggest Clippard fan, getting him for a busted prospect last summer was a pretty shrewd move, and I’m hoping Brian Cashman can swing something similar this trade deadline. I just have no idea who that pitcher is, that veteran change of scenery guy. John Axford, maybe? A.J. Ramos? I’m not sure. And are any of them better than what the Yankees already have? I suppose they don’t have to be, necessarily. They’re better than someone in the organization and the extra depth helps. Point is, I get the sense the bullpen we see right now won’t be the bullpen the Yankees have in August and September.
5. Last weekend Aaron Judge hit that hilariously awesome 495-foot home run against the Orioles, though I thought it was only his second most impressive home run of the game. He hit an opposite field shot a few innings later. Remember this?
6. Does the recent Jean Segura extension mean anything for Didi Gregorius? Segura, who was two years away from free agency at the time of the extension, received five years and $70M coming off a season in which he hit .319/.368/.499 (126 wRC+). Gregorius is hitting .330/.351/.500 (124 wRC+) right now, and if the Yankees were to sign him after the season, he’d be two years away from free agency. Similar point of their careers and similar platform year production, with the giant caveat that Gregorius still has 90-something games to play this year, so who knows where his numbers will end up. Remember, Segura hit .252/.285/.331 (65 wRC+) with +0.3 WAR from 2014-15. He stunk. Then he had one big year and got paid. Why? Because good shortstops are valuable and damn hard to find. Gregorius was good during his first two years with the Yankees and he might be taking his game to another level this season. I know the Yankees have a ton of shortstops in the minors. That’s great. I don’t consider their presence enough of a reason to not explore a long-term extension with Gregorius. If nothing else, an extension would make him more valuable in a trade. The Segura deal provides a contract benchmark. You can be sure Gregorius and his agent will reference it in any extension talks.
7. Regarding last week’s amateur draft, my guess is the Yankees had to resort to Plan B with Clarke Schmidt and Matt Sauer. The player(s) they really wanted in the first round was off the board (Nick Pratto? Trevor Rogers?), and the backup plan was a below-slot deal with the injured Schmidt in the first round and Sauer (or a similar prospect who slipped) in the second round. Scouting director Damon Oppenheimer kinda sorta hinted at that after the draft. “This could have easily become a three-straight-position-players at the top of the draft,” he said to Randy Miller. I don’t love the Schmidt pick and would have preferred one of the comparable healthy players still on the board, specifically Evan White (RAB profile), David Peterson (RAB profile), or D.L. Hall (RAB profile), but I’m just an idiot blogger. The Yankees are smarter and have more information than me. My educated guess, based on following the draft for nearly two decades now, is that selecting an injured mid-first round talent in the middle of the first round was not Plan A. The Yankees probably had their eyes on someone else, and when that someone else wasn’t available, they shifted gears.
8. I do like the Yankees’ recent trend of taking lower level arms in minor trades rather than cash and I hope that continues indefinitely. They’ve done this twice recently. They got rookie-baller Yoiber Marquina from the Indians for Nick Goody and Low-A righty Matt Frawley from the Pirates for Johnny Barbato. Both Goody and Barbato had been designated for assignment, so the Yankees had zero leverage in trade talks. They had to be moved and everyone knew it. That’s why the majority of players who have been designated are traded for cash. And from what I understand, the cash sum is usually equal to the $50,000 waiver fee, which isn’t much in the grand scheme of things. The Yankees don’t need cash. I’d rather see them roll the dice with lower level power arms. If they work out and contribute in some way (for the MLB team, as a trade chip, etc.), great! If not, well no big deal. The Astros had some success with a similar strategy, most notably getting David Paulino (Jose Veras trade) and Francis Martes (Jarred Cozart trade) as live-armed rookie ball kids, and developing them into top prospects. I see no downside to picking up a young arm as the last piece in a trade or instead of cash. Eventually you’ll hit on one of them.
Well, that was awful … but Yankeemetrics still has Fighting Spirit and all the stats you need to know.
One Strike Away
The nightmare road trip, which started in Anaheim, continued as the Yankees headed north to Oakland and suffered a brutal 8-7 loss on Thursday night. It was a game of extreme highs and lows, a back-and-forth rollercoaster ride that ended in one of the most crushing defeats of the season so far.
The Yankees kept falling behind … but somehow staged four separate game-tying rallies and finally surged ahead in the top of the 10th … only to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. In the bottom of the 10th, Gio Gallegos surrendered a two-strike, two-out, bases-loaded RBI single that flipped the Yankees one-run advantage into another walk-off loss.
The details of this game were so chaotic and unprecedented, let’s run through it with bullet points:
- It was the Yankees third walk-off loss to the A’s in the last six seasons (since 2012); no other non-AL East team has more than one walk-off win against the Yankees in that span.
- It was their first walk-off loss to any team when they were one strike away from a win since April 15, 2007 against the A’s. Yikes, the Marco Scutaro game.
- And finally … Before Thursday, the last (documented) time the Yankees had an extra-inning, walk-off loss, when leading with two outs and one strike away from a win, was June 4, 1988 against the Orioles. This game remains one of the most excruciating regular-season losses the Yankees have ever had, as they blew a two-run lead and lost on a rare three-base error in the 14th inning. Welp.
Back to Thursday night … Before the heart-breaking ending, the Yankees had taken the lead in the top of the 10th on a bases-loaded sac fly by Starlin Castro. Thankfully, Castro gives us our Obscure Yankeemetric of the Week:
This was the second time Castro had delivered a go-ahead sac fly in extras since joining the Yankees, also doing it against the Mets last August. Since sac flies were officially recorded in 1954, only three other players have hit multiple go-ahead, extra-inning sac flies in a Yankee uniform – Bernie Williams, Ruben Sierra and Horace Clarke.
It was deja vu all over again for the Yankees on Friday night as they lost another winnable game thanks to a late-inning meltdown by the depleted bullpen.
Four straight soul-crushing defeats, and in each of those four games a reliever has taken the loss. I scoured the Yankees’ boxscores and, in the last two decades, couldn’t find a four-game stretch where a relief pitcher took the loss in each contest. I was too depressed to research any further back.
Amidst the doom-and-gloom of this latest gut-punch loss was the shining star of Aaron Judge, who finished with two hits, two runs scored and three RBIs. He blasted his 23rd home run of the season, a three-RBI opposite field shot in the third inning.
The most amazing part of Judge’s power is that he is not just a pull-happy slugger. Check out this beautiful spray chart (LOL, the 495-foot home run that is literally off the chart):
According to the hit location data at baseball-reference.com, after Friday night’s game, his homer distribution was nice and symmetrical: six to left, 11 to center and six to right. He was a ridiculous 17-for-27 (.630) and slugging 1.407 when putting the ball in play to right – both those marks were easily the best in baseball among players with at least 25 batted balls to the opposite field.
Judge also checked off another milestone on Friday, scoring his 60th run of the season. The list of other Yankees in the last eight decades to reach 60 runs in the team’s first 65 games is a short, but holy-cow good one: A-Rod (2007), Rickey Henderson (1986), Mickey Mantle (1956, ’57) and Joe DiMaggio (1941).
Terrible Tanaka, again
The road trip from hell continued on Saturday afternoon with the Yankees extending their season-high losing streak to five games after another disaster, dinger-filled performance by Masahiro Tanaka.
The home run derby started on Tanaka’s first pitch of the game, which Matt Joyce deposited into the right-centerfield seats. It was the third leadoff homer allowed by Tanaka this season, one shy of the Yankees single-season record set by Stan Bahnsen in 1970. The only other Yankees to give up three leadoff homers in a season are Hiroki Kuroda (2014) and Catfish Hunter (1976).
Unsurprisingly, this is the current batting line for hitters leading off a game against Tanaka: .571/.571/1.286 — eight hits in 14 at-bats, including three homers and a double. Oh, and this is what happens when opponents put the first pitch of a plate appearance in play against Tanaka: .478 batting average and 1.130 slugging percentage — 22 hits in 46 at-bats, including nine doubles and seven homers.
The A’s pummeled Tanaka for two more home runs, bringing his season total to 21, the most homers ever allowed by a Yankee pitcher at this point in the season (team’s 66th game).
The silver lining in Tanaka’s atrocious outing is that 10 of the 12 outs he got were via strikeouts, showing that he still has the nasty, elite stuff to dominate hitters at times. His 10 strikeouts were the most by any Yankee that pitched no more than four innings in a game.
But, of course, there were the dreaded mistake pitches that the A’s crushed for three homers. In the end, Tanaka produced one of the most bizarre pitching line in baseball history. Going back to 1913 (our limit for complete gamelogs), Tanaka is the only major-league pitcher to strike out 10 batters and surrender at least three homers in an outing of four innings or fewer. History!
Goodbye and good riddance to the west coast
The Yankees miserable seven-game road trip mercifully came to an end on Sunday, fittingly with another hideous loss. They finished up 1-6 in California, the first time they won one game or fewer on a road swing of at least seven games in more than two decades. They went 1-8 on a nine-game trip from May 23-31, 1995 through Anaheim, Oakland and Seattle.
As poorly as the Yankees played in Oakland, it was certainly an unexpected sweep by the home team: Entering this weekend, the Yankees were the only AL team that had not been swept in a series, and the Athletics were the only AL team that had yet to sweep a series this season. ‘Ya know, Suzyn …’
The most excruciating part of this current free-fall is that the Yankees had a chance to win probably every game, and have only been outscored by a mere nine runs during their six-game losing streak. The last time they endured a six-game stretch of games with six losses and run differential of no worse than negative-9 was June 29-July 4, 1975.
Three of the four losses in this series, and four of the six on this trip, were by exactly one run, as the Yankees record in those games fell to 7-12. Those 12 losses match the same number the Yankees had last year, when they went 24-12 in one-run games. Hey, at least Aroldis Chapman threw a perfect eighth inning and averaged 101.3 mph on the seven four-seam fastballs he threw, according to brooksbaseball.net.
Record Last Week: 1-6 (30 RS, 37 RA)
Season Record: 38-29 (383 RS, 275 RA, 43-24 pythag. record)
Opponents This Week: Mon. OFF, vs. Angels (three games, Tues. to Thurs.), vs. Rangers (Fri. to Sun.)
Top stories from last week:
- The West Coast trip from hell started Monday in Anaheim. The Yankees did win the series opener 5-3 thanks to Aaron Judge‘s late home run. They lost 3-2 Tuesday in extra innings, then wasted opportunities in Wednesday’s 7-5 loss.
- The Yankees went to Oakland next, and they blew an extra innings lead in Thursday’s 8-7 loss. Another late lead was blown in Friday’s 7-6 loss. Masahiro Tanaka was hit hard again in Saturday’s 5-2 loss. Sunday’s 4-3 loss completed the disaster road trip.
- Injury Updates: CC Sabathia (hamstring) landed on the disabled list with a Grade II strain. Greg Bird (ankle) had his rehab stint halted because he still doesn’t feel right. Gary Sanchez (abductor) missed two games but has since returned to the lineup. Aaron Hicks (Achilles) is day-to-day. Adam Warren (shoulder) was placed on the disabled list with inflammation. Gleyber Torres (elbow) will have more tests today after a hyper-extension.
- Ronald Herrera, Domingo German, Ben Heller, and Luis Cessa were all involved in shuttle moves throughout the week. Tommy Layne accepted his outright assignment and joined Triple-A Scranton. Jon Niese has been released from his minor league deal. The Yankees acquired Matt Frawley from the Pirates to complete the Johnny Barbato trade.
- The Yankees selected South Carolina RHP Clarke Schmidt with their first round pick. Here are my Day One, Day Two, and Day Three draft recaps. Their third (Arkansas RHP Trevor Stephan) and fifth (Rice RHP Glenn Otto) round picks have already signed.
- Aaron Judge has not yet been invited to the Home Run Derby even though he is the leading vote-getter among AL players for the All-Star Game. The Yankees want Sanchez to shed some bulk to improve his blocking.
Please take a second to answer the poll below and give us an idea of how confident you are in the team. You can view the interactive Fan Confidence Graph anytime via the Features pull-down menu in the nav bar above, or by clicking here. Thanks in advance for voting.
The Yankees lost six (6) games in a row to cap off this miserable West Coast trip. Getting swept by the Athletics in a four-game series is a cherry on the top. Today, they drew first blood by taking a 2-0 lead, but the A’s scored four off Luis Cessa in the third and the Yankees simply could not rally. Yuck. It is easily the lowest point of the 2017 Yankees season so far. Let’s just get it out of the way with a recap done in bullet-point style.
- Getting ahead: The Yankees got the first run of the game when Matt Holliday drilled a solo homer to lead off the top of the second. He got a fastball upstairs from Jharel Cotton and took it pretty, pretty far (433 feet) into the center field seats. They added another in the top of the third. Brett Gardner doubled to deep right to start the frame and Aaron Judge hit a soft single off the end of his bat to drive him in. 2-0 Yankees. Maybe this game was going to be different than the previous five! And, of course, the bottom of the third came.
- Getting all of them out of the way: The Yankees gave the lead back and then more (surprise, surprise). Cessa got into a trouble after allowing a single to Josh Phegley and a double to Matt Joyce, making it runners on second and third with one out. Chad Pinder hit a double to right to drive both of them in and the Yankees lead was gone. It was an annoying sequence of pitches – Cessa kept throwing towards the outside corner and Pinder fouled a bunch off. He got a hold of a slider that didn’t break sharply and tied the game up. Two batters later, Khris Davis went deep on a fastball upstairs to make it 4-2 Athletics. I, for one, am shocked that a guy with a 4.15 ERA/4.41 FIP in the AAA this season couldn’t rescue the Yankees out of the losing streak. Anyways, that was all the Athletics needed today.
- The attempts to rally: The Yankees got one back right after. Leading off the fourth, Didi Gregorius pulled one just inside the foul pole to make it 4-3 A’s. From the fifth to the eighth innings, however, Yankees only managed two baserunners (Gardner single in the fifth and Judge HBP in the eighth) and, of course, came up with zilch. They had a chance to tie it up in the ninth inning. With one out against Sean Doolittle, Gregorius hit a grounder to short that seemed like an easy out, but the shortstop Chad Pinder badly missed his throw and the ball went into the Yankee dugout. As a result, Didi advanced to second. However, Chase Headley followed it up with a strikeout and Chris Carter popped out to end the game rather swiftly.
- Leftovers: After Cessa, three bullpen arms went scoreless overall to keep it a one-run game. Chad Green continues to make his case to stay in the ML roster long-term by throwing two scoreless innings while striking out two. Tyler Clippard followed it up with a scoreless one in the seventh. Aroldis Chapman made his comeback in the eighth, hitting 100 mph a several times while pitching an easy 8-pitch 1-2-3 inning. The Yankees got one of the big bullpen arms back, so they got that going for them.
Here’s today’s box score, updated standings and WPA graph. The Yankees are back in Bronx on Tuesday against the LA Angels to start a six-game homestand. Thank God that trip is over now. Hope the Astros win again tonight to keep the Yankees in the first place in the AL East. Also, hope you all have a great Father’s Day!