Chad Green’s need for a third pitch is obvious after his first big league start

(Norm Hall/Getty)
(Norm Hall/Getty)

Thanks to Luis Severino‘s triceps injury, rookie right-hander Chad Green made his MLB debut last night, allowing six runs (four earned) on eight hits and a walk in four-plus innings against the Diamondbacks. He struck out five and allowed two homers. It wasn’t the worst first career start by a Yankee, but it wasn’t great either.

Despite the numbers, I thought Green’s raw stuff looked pretty good most of the game. His fastball was consistently in the mid-90s and he showed a sharp — albeit inconsistent — mid-80s slider at times as well. Here’s the PitchFX info for his outing, via Brooks Baseball:

Chad Green pitch selection

Getting six whiffs on 30 total swings against the fastball is really good! The slider … not so much. Green threw 19 sliders and only eight were strikes, though, to be fair, home plate umpire C.B. Bucknor seemed to have a tight zone all night. Both teams had some borderline calls not go their way.

What we don’t see in the PitchFX data is a third pitch, or more precisely a second offspeed pitch. The scouting report on Green says he started throwing a splitter last season but we sure didn’t see it last night. Arizona’s left-handed batters went 4-for-10 with only one strikeout and three swings and misses against Green. The lack of a second secondary pitch was a clear weakness.

This was never more obvious than during Jake Lamb’s fifth inning at-bat with runners on first and second. Green got ahead in the count 0-2 against the left-handed batter, but he had nothing to put Lamb away, so eventually the count ran full, then bam. Homer.

Chad Green Jake Lamb

(PitchFX classified a slider as a curveball for whatever reason. The manually classified data at Brooks Baseball corrected it.)

If there was ever a time to show the splitter, that was it. Green was facing Lamb for the third time — Lamb had a hit in each of his first two at-bats — and he had him in an 0-2 count with two runners on base in a tie game. It didn’t even need to be a good splitter. It only needed to be something different to keep the hitter guessing.

Green’s slider has reportedly improved over the last few weeks thanks to some tinkering by Triple-A Scranton pitching coach Tommy Phelps — “It seems to have some more depth, which is important. Obviously he’s got a very good fastball, and it’s got some sink to it,” said Joe Girardi to Wally Matthews — and that’s good. Improving a breaking ball is a positive. He’s going to need more than that slider to remain in the rotation long-term though.

Left-handed batters have punished Green in the minors — they hit .299/.355/.451 against him in a full season at Double-A last year — so this is an ongoing problem. The scouting report says he has a splitter, and I’m sure he does somewhere, but we didn’t see it last night and it hasn’t kept even minor league lefties at bay. I was impressed by Green’s fastball/slider combination overall against the D’Backs. That won’t be enough though. He’ll need to show a third pitch more often to have success as a starter going forward.

Rotation and middle relief remain problems as the offense starts to turn things around

(Norm Hall/Getty)
(Norm Hall/Getty)

For the first four or five weeks of the season, the Yankees sank like a stone in the standings because the offense was unable to get much of anything going. The struggled to score night after night and it wasn’t one or two guys who were short-circuiting the offense. Everyone except Starlin Castro was a problem for a few weeks there.

Thankfully the offense has started to right the ship, even considering the two runs scored in last night’s loss. The Yankees have won eight of their last 13 games and they’ve scored five runs or more six times in those 13 games. They did it only five times in the first 24 games of the season. It’s not much, but it’s progress. The offense is trending in the right direction, by and large.

The pitching, on the other hand, has been an issue pretty much all season. Masahiro Tanaka has been very good overall and the back end of the bullpen has been ridiculous, but that’s about it. The CC Sabathia/Ivan Nova rotation spot has been fine too I guess, and while Nathan Eovaldi has had his moments, he’s still super unpredictable from start to start. He’s great one night and he can’t get out of the fifth inning five days later.

Last night’s 12-2 loss was the fourth time in the last seven games the Yankees have allowed at least seven runs. They rank 20th among all teams in ERA (4.48) and 18th in FIP (4.12). The rotation is 24th in ERA (5.01) and 19th in FIP (4.44). That’s bad. Legit bad. Not “bad but you can squint your eyes and it’s okay” bad. I mean bad bad. The middle innings are a question and rotation is a straight up liability.

The offense was always going to improve at some point because the Yankees are not nearly as bad as they looked. They weren’t going to hit .100-something with runners in scoring position all year and guys like Mark Teixeira, Jacoby Ellsbury, and Chase Headley weren’t going to slump forever. Is the offense a powerhouse? Of course not. But April was just an awful slump. It wasn’t representative of the team’s true ability.

I’m not so sure about the rotation though. We’ve been talking about Eovaldi’s and Michael Pineda‘s potential for weeks and months — we’ve been talking about it since last year, basically — and yeah, that potential exists, but the only thing those two have proven at this point is the ability to be consistently inconsistent. You go into each start hoping for a strong outing and are completely unsure if you’ll get it.

Sabathia has probably been the Yankees’ second best starter this year, which is as much praise for Sabathia as it is a knock against the rest of the rotation. Luis Severino was a total disaster before getting hurt. Severino’s awfulness has been the real rotation killer. Everyone expected him to take a step forward this year and emerge as a rock for the rotation. The opposite has happened. Now guys like Nova and Chad Green are being forced into action.

The Yankees, as it stands right now, do not have the pitching to be a legitimate contender. Tanaka is awesome and the back of the bullpen is as good as it gets. The other eight pitching roster spots leave an awful lot to be desired. And there’s not much the Yankees can do about it right now either. They can swap out some relievers, but, at the end of the day, it’s going to come down to Pineda and Eovaldi being difference makers. Severino righting the ship as well.

We’re approaching the quarter point of the season and the sample size ain’t so small anymore. The rotation has been one of the ten worst in baseball overall and the pitching staff as a whole isn’t much better. It shows in their record in blowouts: the Yankees are 5-11 in games decided by four or more runs. They seem to win close games by turning things over to the end-game relievers and lose blowouts because the rest of the staff is so shaky.

The offense is the main reason the Yankees are 16-21, their worst record through 37 games since starting 15-22 in 1995. They were unable to put runs on the board for far too long. The pitching might be what prevents the Yankees from climbing out of this early season hole though. They’re allowing 4.62 runs per game on average, and that is simply too much to overcome on a consistent basis.

D’Backs hammer Yankees 12-2 in series opener


Source: FanGraphs

That was not a fun way to start the road trip. A bunch of pitchers who started the season in Triple-A — well, three of the four started the season in Triple-A, the other was in an independent league — let the Diamondbacks pull away in the middle innings of Monday’s series opener. The final score was 12-2 Arizona. West Coast night games get bullet point recaps, so let’s get to it:

  • Bad Start, Bad Finish: In his MLB debut, Chad Green looked pretty good in the second, third, and fourth innings. The first and fifth innings were the problem. Green gave up a solo homer to Paul Goldschmidt in the first (it happens) and then had to strand runners on second and third. In the fifth, Mark Teixeira dropped a throw on a bunt, then Green gave up a walk, a three-run homer, and a double to end his night. He finished the game having allowed six runs (four earned) on eight hits and a walk in four innings. Get ’em next time, Chad.
  • Two Token Runs: The Yankees did rally to tie the game 2-2 after the D’Backs jumped out to an early lead. A double (Teixeira), a single (Carlos Beltran), and another single (Chase Headley) scored a run in the third, though the Yankees were unable to scratch across any more because Green came up with the bases loaded and two outs. Lame. Then, in the fifth, Jacoby Ellsbury smashed a triple off the wall and scored when the throw to third hit him in the helmet and deflected into the stands. That’s all for the offense.
  • Leftovers: Conor Mullee made his MLB debut in the sixth inning. He walked three and hit a batter. After all he went through in the minors (three elbow surgeries), tonight had to be pretty special for Mullee, regardless of the results … Teixeira went 3-for-4 with a double and seems to be starting to come around with the bat … Aaron Hicks had a loud 1-for-4. He hit four balls on the screws, including one to the deepest part of the park for a fly out … 14 of the final 16 Yankees to bat made outs.

Here are the box score, video highlights, and updated standings. Don’t miss our Bullpen Workload and Announcer Standings pages. The Yankees and D’Backs continue this series with the middle game Tuesday night. Michael Pineda and Zack Greinke is the scheduled pitching matchup.

DotF: Mateo plays second base for first time in Tampa win

The day’s notes:

  • Keith Law (subs. req’d) redrafted the first round of the 2006 amateur draft. Based on what we know now, Law has three 2006 Yankees draftees in the top 15: Dellin Betances (No. 13), David Robertson (No. 14), and Ian Kennedy (No. 15). Joba Chamberlain, Mark Melancon, Zach McAllister, and George Kontos were also mentioned but did not factor into the first round redraft. Clayton Kershaw, of course, was the new No. 1 pick.
  • Both RHP Chad Green, who is making his MLB debut tonight, and LHP Dietrich Enns earned spots in today’s Prospect Report. Enns made his Triple-A debut yesterday and pitched very well, which he’s been doing since returning from Tommy John surgery last summer.
  • LHP Ian Clarkin earned a spot on MLB.com’s Prospect Team of the Week. He fanned a career-high ten batters last week in what was not only his best start since last year’s elbow injury, it was the best start of his career.

Triple-A Scranton (4-1 loss to Louisville)

  • RF Ben Gamel & C Gary Sanchez: both 0-4 — Gamel struck out
  • CF Aaron Judge: 0-3, 2 K, 1 HBP — they checked the ball for bruises after the hit-by-pitch
  • 2B Rob Refsnyder: 1-3, 1 R, 1 2B, 1 K — 22-for-55 (.400) with five doubles and two homers in May
  • 1B Nick Swisher: 1-3
  • LF Jake Cave: 0-3, 1 K
  • LHP Richard Bleier: 7 IP, 9 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 1 BB, 2 K, 1 WP, 1 HB, 15/1 GB/FB — 77 of 102 pitches were strikes (75%) … I’m sure it’s happened before, but I can’t remember any other 15 ground out games in DotF
  • RHP Diego Moreno: 1 IP, zeroes, 2 K, 1/0 GB/FB — eight of 12 pitches were strikes

[Read more…]

Game 37: Green’s Debut

(Aimee Dilge/Times Leader)
(Aimee Dilge/Times Leader)

The season is only 36 games old and already the Yankees have had three players make their MLB debuts (Johnny Barbato, Luis Cessa, Ben Gamel). Tonight will feature their fourth MLB debut of the season as right-hander Chad Green gets the spot start in place of the injured Luis Severino. Green came from the Tigers with Cessa in the Justin Wilson trade over the winter.

What do you need to know about Green? Well, he’ll turn 25 next week, he was an 11th round pick out of Louisville in 2013, and he had a 1.22 ERA (2.12 FIP) in seven starts and 37 innings for Triple-A Scranton before being called up. Green is a low-90s sinker/low-80s slider/low-80s splitter guy. He’s credited the Yankees with helping him improve the slider, leading to that success in Triple-A this year.

So that’s the crash course on tonight’s starter. As for the Yankees overall, they are coming off a fantastic 7-3 homestand and tonight they begin a seven-game West Coast trip in Arizona. The bullpen figures to be short tonight, especially in the late innings. The deeper Green can pitch into the game, the better his chances of getting a W. Here is the Diamondbacks’ lineup and here is the Yankees’ lineup:

  1. CF Jacoby Ellsbury
  2. 2B Starlin Castro
  3. 1B Mark Teixeira
  4. RF Carlos Beltran
  5. 3B Chase Headley
  6. LF Aaron Hicks
  7. SS Didi Gregorius
  8. C Austin Romine
  9. RHP Chad Green

Pretty standard “Phoenix in May” weather in Phoenix today: low-90s and sunny. The Chase Field roof will be open, apparently. Tonight’s game will begin at 9:40pm ET and you can watch on YES. Enjoy the game, assuming you’re planning to stay up.

Injury Updates: Alex Rodriguez (hamstring) took batting practice and did some running. Joe Girardi said the plan is to activate A-Rod off the DL on Thursday, the first day he is eligible to return … CC Sabathia (groin) will come off the DL and start Friday, Girardi confirmed. That’s the first day he is eligible to be activated. Ivan Nova will start Thursday on normal rest.

Monday Night Open Thread

The Yankees are out on the West Coast this week, which means we have to wait a few extra hours for baseball each day. Lame. This is the open thread until the game thread comes along a little later. ESPN is showing the Red Sox and Royals at 7pm ET, plus you have NBA and NHL playoff action on as well. Talk about whatever here.

5/16 to 5/18 Series Preview: Arizona Diamondbacks

Those uniforms make it look like their ankles are bleeding. (Presswire)
Those uniforms make it look like their ankles are bleeding. (Presswire)

It’s time for the first West Coast trip and the first interleague series of the season. This one is a seven gamer through Arizona and Oakland. The Yankees are visiting Chase Field for the first time since 2010 this week. Their starting pitchers for that 2010 series: A.J. Burnett, Andy Pettitte, and Javier Vazquez. Seems like a lifetime ago. The Yankees have won two of three both times they’ve visited Arizona in the regular season. There’s also that whole 2001 World Series thing, but we don’t like to talk about that.

What Have They Done Lately?

The D’Backs have been pretty streaky lately. They have lost their last five games, but prior to that they won five straight, and prior to that they lost six straight and eight of nine. Arizona is 17-23 with a -19 run differential overall. After that busy offseason, they’re currently sitting in the NL West cellar.

Offense & Defense

Arizona’s offense has been about average so far in 2016. They’re scoring 4.38 runs per game — the NL average is 4.41 runs per game — with a team 97 wRC+ overall. (Their non-pitchers have a 103 wRC+.) Manager Chip Hale is without two of his best players: CF A.J. Pollock and RF David Peralta. Pollock has not played this year and is out long-term with a broken elbow. Peralta (96 wRC+) was just placed on the DL yesterday with a wrist issue. Peralta and especially Pollock are two of Arizona’s better players.

Goldy. (Jason O. Watson/Getty)
Goldy. (Jason O. Watson/Getty)

Their best hitter, of course, is 1B Paul Goldschmidt (117 wRC+), who is on the very short list of the best all-around players in the game. That 117 wRC+ is actually way down by his standards; Goldschmidt hit .309/.412/.556 (159 wRC+) from 2013-15. Beyond the big first baseman, the D’Backs have quality supporting pieces in 2B Jean Segura (123 wRC+), OF Yasmany Tomas (121 wRC+), 3B Jake Lamb (115 wRC+), and C Welington Castillo (123 wRC+). UTIL Brandon Drury (131 wRC+) has been pretty excellent as well.

SS Nick Ahmed (31 wRC+) is in the lineup for his glove, not his bat. UTIL Chris Owings (84 wRC+) is a middle infielder who has been playing center field. UTIL Chris Herrmann (128 wRC+) is the backup catcher who can also fill in at other places. OF Rickie Weeks Jr. (59 wRC+) — he added the Junior this season — and IF Phil Gosselin (72 wRC+) are the other bench players. The D’Backs called up veteran OF Michael Bourn just yesterday in the wake of the Peralta injury.

Both Goldschmidt and Ahmed are well-above-average defenders, and both Lamb and Segura are solid as well. The outfield is a mess right now though. Tomas is a straight up bad, Bourn’s legs are close to gone, and the other guys they’ve been sticking in the outfield (Drury, Owings) are playing out of position. Castillo’s good enough behind the plate. Not great, not terrible. Arizona’s infield defense is good. The outfield? Not so much.

Pitching Matchups

Monday (9:40pm ET): RHP Chad Green (No vs. ARI) vs. LHP Robbie Ray (vs. NYY)
Ray has a connection to the Yankees. He was one of the players the Tigers sent to the D’Backs as part of the three-team trade that brought Didi Gregorius to New York prior to last season. The 24-year-old southpaw owns a 4.84 ERA (4.38 FIP) in seven starts and 35.1 innings this year, and aside from his strikeout rate (24.6%), his peripherals are not so good: 11.4% walks, 40.2% grounders, and 1.27 HR/9. Righties have hit him a lot harder than lefties both this year and throughout his career. Ray throws really hard, especially for a lefty. He sits in the mid-90s with his four-seamer and sinker, and has run the four-seamer up as high as 97.7 mph this season. A mid-80s slider is his top secondary offering. He’ll also throw a few upper-80s changeups and low-80s curves per start. Ray is a power pitcher all the way.

Green, meanwhile, is scheduled to make his Major League debut tonight. He came over from the Tigers in the Justin Wilson trade and is filling in for the injured Luis Severino. My guess is Green will be sent down following tonight’s game for either an extra reliever or another bench player (depends on the state of the bullpen). The Yankees have a short bench right now and that’s not ideal in an NL ballpark. CC Sabathia is coming back Friday and will assume this rotation spot. This is very much a spot start for Green.

Greinke. (Daniel Shirey/Getty)
Greinke. (Daniel Shirey/Getty)

Tuesday (9:40pm ET): RHP Michael Pineda (vs. ARI) vs. RHP Zack Greinke (vs. NYY)
The D’Backs gave Greinke a six-year contract worth $206.5M over the winter and they can’t be too thrilled with the super early returns. Greinke, 32, has a 5.26 ERA (3.61 FIP) in eight starts and 49.2 innings, mostly because he’s giving up a lot more home runs (1.09 HR/9) than usual. His strikeout (20.2%) and walk (5.5%) rates are fine, ditto his ground ball rate (47.2%). Lefties have historically had more success against Greinke than righties, but not by much. At his best, Greinke is an artist on the mound, painting the corners and locating with precision. No one in the game has better command, at least when Greinke is pitching like Greinke. His four-seamer and seldom used sinker sit around 92 mph, and he backs them up with upper-80s changeups and mid-80s sliders. He’ll also throw a few slow curves per start that will range anywhere from 65-75 mph. I’m basically ignoring Greinke’s stats right now. I still see him as one of the best pitchers in the world. He reminds me so much of Mike Mussina.

Wednesday (9:40pm ET): RHP Nathan Eovaldi (vs. ARI) vs. RHP Shelby Miller (vs. NYY)
I’m totally cool with trading prospects for established big leaguers, but wow did the D’Backs give up a ton for Miller. Like an absurd amount. It looks even worse now that Shelby has a 6.94 ERA (6.85 FIP) in eight starts and 35 innings. He’s been fighting a weird mechanical issue that has been causing him to hit his hand on the mound during his follow through. It’s a little tough to see in this GIF, but some dirt kicks up from the mound when Miller’s hand hits:

Shelby Miller

Weird, right? He’s actually had to leave a few starts because his hand was cut up from the mound. Miller and Arizona’s pitching coaches have been working hard to get him to finish more upright all season. So far this season Shelby has more walks (14.2%) than strikeouts (13.6%), and he’s been both fly ball (39.3%) and homer (2.06 HR/9) prone. All throughout his career he’s been much more effective against righties than lefties. Miller, 25, is averaging 93 mph with his fastball and 89 mph with his cutter. His changeup lives in the mid-80s and his curveball in the upper-70s.

Bullpen Status

The back-end of Arizona’s bullpen is a microcosm of relievers today. Their three big late-inning arms are a failed starter, a guy with a history of arm problems, and a guy who started throwing submarine as a last resort to save his career. Relievers come in all shapes and sizes. Here is their current eight-man bullpen:

RHP Jake Barrett: 14 IP, 11 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 2 BB, 11 K, 1 HR (0 pitches Sun., 0 pitches Sat.)
LHP Andrew Chafin: 13 IP, 12 H, 8 R, 8 ER, 7 BB, 16 K, 0 HR (0 pitches Sun., 0 pitches Sat.)
RHP Tyler Clippard: 16.1 IP, 17 H, 5 R, 5 ER, 4 BB, 16 K, 2 HR (3 pitches Sun., 0 pitches Sat.)
LHP Zac Curtis: 5 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 4 K, 0 HR (0 pitches Sun., 3 pitches Sat.)
RHP Randall Delgado: 21 IP, 26 H, 14 R, 14 ER, 8 BB, 19 K, 2 HR (0 pitches Sun., 0 pitches Sat.)
RHP Daniel Hudson: 17.1 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 5 BB, 11 K, 0 HR (10 pitches Sun., 24 pitches Sat.)
RHP Evan Marshall: 9.2 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 4 BB, 5 K, 0 HR (0 pitches Sun., 20 pitches Sat.)
RHP Brad Ziegler: 16.1 IP, 19 H, 5 R, 5 ER, 8 BB, 10 K, 0 HR (12 pitches Sun., 0 pitches Sat.)

Marshall is a pretty incredible story. In Triple-A last August he took a line drive to the head and suffered a skull fracture. He needed surgery to relieve pressure on his brain. Marshall was able to work his way back and be a full participant in Spring Training. Incredible, isn’t it? Now here he is in the big leagues. Good for him.

Ziegler (submariner) is the closer and Clippard (failed starter) and Hudson (arm problems) are his setup men. Ziegler’s thing is ground balls (60.4%). Curtis was called up all the way from High-A a few weeks ago and he’s a left-on-left matchup guy. Delgado is the long man and everyone else slots in to the middle innings somewhere. Head on over to our Bullpen Workload page for the status of Joe Girardi‘s relievers. The big three end-game guys probably won’t be available tonight.