Mateo, Judge, Sanchez all rank among MLB.com’s top 100 prospects

Mateo. (Post and Courier)
Mateo. (Post and Courier)

Last night, MLB.com wrapped up their preseason prospect ranking series with their annual top 100 list. Dodgers SS Corey Seager grabbed the top spot and was followed by Twins OF Byron Buxton and Nationals RHP Lucas Giolito in the top three. As always, MLB.com’s scouting reports are free. They’re a great resource.

The Yankees landed three players on the top 100 list: SS Jorge Mateo (No. 30), OF Aaron Judge (No. 31), and C Gary Sanchez (No. 59). Mateo was the 11th shortstop on the list, Judge was the eighth outfielder, and Sanchez was the second catcher. Three top 60 prospects is pretty darn good considering RHP Luis Severino and 1B Greg Bird graduated to MLB last year.

Mateo led professional baseball with 82 steals last year, so it’s no surprise the scouting report calls him a “true top-of-the-scale runner.” He’s also lauded for his “wiry strength,” though the power he shows in batting practice has yet to translate in games. That’s not unusual for kids that young. “With his actions, range, hands and arm, he’ll stay at shortstop for the long term,” said the write-up.

“Depending on how much Judge balances power versus discipline, he could be a higher-average hitter with 20 or so homers per season or more of a masher who delivers 30-plus long balls,” said MLB.com. Judge will work on tightening up his strike zone in Triple-A next season before getting an opportunity to assume the big league right field job long-term.

As for Sanchez, the scouting report says if he “stays behind the plate and realizes his power potential, he can be an All-Star.” That’s not surprising. Sanchez has always had the raw tools. He just had to work on turning those tools into baseball skills, and he’s done that in recent years, especially behind the plate. Sanchez still has work to do defensively, of course.

There’s a good chance Sanchez will graduate to the big leagues this summer, and Judge may do the same depending on his strike zone coverage progress in Triple-A. Interestingly, Jim Callis says Mateo has the potential to jump into the top five prospects next year. The global top five. All prospects, regardless of position. The Yankees haven’t had a top five prospect since Jesus Montero.

Aaron Judge ranks eighth on MLB.com’s list of the top ten outfield prospects

(Presswire)
(Presswire)

MLB.com’s look at the top ten prospects at each position wrapped up yesterday with the outfield. Twins OF Byron Buxton claimed the top spot — doesn’t it feel like he’s been around forever? hard to believe 2016 will only be his fourth full year of pro ball — and is followed by two Rangers prospects, OF Lewis Brinson and OF Nomar Mazara. OF Aaron Judge ranks eighth.

“He scuffled (in Triple-A), but even though he profiles as a potential slugging run producer, he’s also shown an ability in the past to make adjustments. Once Judge does that, he should be ready for his New York debut,” said the write-up. MLB.com’s scouting reports are free, as always. Here’s a snippet of their latest report on Judge:

Built along the lines of Giancarlo Stanton, Judge has similar strength, leverage and huge raw power. He focused on working counts and the middle of the field during his 2014 pro debut, but he started to turn his right-handed swing loose more often last season … An excellent athlete for his size, Judge has average speed and a strong arm. He has spent the bulk of his pro career in right field, but he could play left and fill in in center if needed.

Judge, 23, did hit .224/.308/.373 (98 wRC+) in 61 Triple-A games last year, but he still finished the season with a .258/.332/.446 (124 wRC+) line and 20 homers in 127 total games. He’ll return to the RailRiders this year and work specifically on controlling the outer half of the plate. Experienced Triple-A pitchers chewed him up with soft stuff away last summer.

I still consider Judge the Yankees’ top prospect but that is not the consensus. He struggled in Triple-A and Jorge Mateo is the new hotness. (And Gary Sanchez raked in the Arizona Fall League.) This is a what have you done for me lately world. Anyway, the long-term right field job is wide open. After some more tune-up time in Triple-A, I’m sure Judge will get an opportunity in the Bronx. The Yankees seem dedicated to their youth movement.

Sanchez ranked second on the catcher list and Rob Refsnyder ranked ninth on the second base list. Mateo was an honorable mention for the shortstop list. The Yankees did not have any players among the top ten righty pitcher, lefty pitcher, first base, or third base prospects.

Jorge Mateo gets honorable mention among MLB.com’s top ten shortstop prospects

(MiLB.com)
(MiLB.com)

MLB.com’s look at the top ten prospects at each position continued yesterday with shortstop, a position that is always loaded with talent. Dodgers SS Corey Seager and Phillies SS J.P. Crawford claim the top two spots. You could easily argue they are the two best prospects in baseball right now, regardless of position.

Yankees SS Jorge Mateo did not make the top ten list, but he did earn an honorable mention. Like I said, shortstop is always crazy stacked, and the 20-year-old Mateo is not quite in the top tier after just one year in full season ball. Here’s MLB.com’s blurb. As always, their scouting reports are free:

Jorge Mateo began earning Jose Reyes comparisons as soon as he made his U.S. debut in 2014, and he lived up to them by leading the Minors with 82 steals in his first taste of full-season ball last year. His top-of-the-line speed, offensive upside and defensive chops make him the Yankees’ shortstop of the future.

The Reyes comp doesn’t bug me as much as the Aaron Judge-Giancarlo Stanton comp, but it’s still crazy unfair to Mateo. For starters, Reyes hit .307/.334/.434 (102 wRC+) in the big leagues when he was Mateo’s age. The Mets called him up at 19 and he played 69 games in his age 20 season. Also, Reyes is a switch-hitter and Mateo is a right-handed hitter, and that’s a huge difference for speed guys. Lefty hitters can jailbreak out of the batter’s box.

Anyway, Mateo will open this coming season with High-A Tampa and figures to reach Double-A Trenton in the second half, as long as everything goes well. He hit .278/.345/.392 (114 wRC+) with a pro ball leading 82 stolen bases last year, and if he does something like that again next year, Mateo will definitely be a top ten shortstop prospect. No doubt about it.

Gary Sanchez ranked second on the catcher list and Rob Refsnyder ranked ninth on the second base list. The Yankees didn’t have anyone on the righty pitcher, lefty pitcher, first base, or third base lists. The outfield list will be released later today and Judge is a safe bet to make an appearance, likely somewhere in the 6-10 range.

Judge, Mateo, Sanchez all make Baseball Prospectus’ top 101 prospects list

Judge ... and Sanchez! (Rob Carr/Getty)
Judge and Sanchez at the Futures Game. (Rob Carr/Getty)

We are now firmly in preseason prospect ranking season, and earlier this week Baseball Prospectus teased their annual by posting their top 101 prospects list. You can see the PDF right here. The whole thing is free. No subscription required. Dodgers SS Corey Seager claims the top spot and is followed by Twins OF Byron Buxton and Nationals RHP Lucas Giolito in the top three.

The Yankees have three players on the top 101: OF Aaron Judge (No. 18), SS Jorge Mateo (No. 65) and C Gary Sanchez (No. 92). Judge is the fifth outfielder on the list, behind Buxton, Rangers OF Nomar Mazara, Padres OF Manuel Margot, and Rangers OF Lewis Brinson. Sanchez is the fifth catcher behind Cubs C Willson Contreras, Athletics C Jacob Nottingham, Phillies C Jorge Alfaro, and Pirates C Reese McGuire.

“Judge should make his debut in the Bronx sometime in 2016, but it feels like a man of his proportions and potential needs a nickname. For opposing pitchers he might very well be ‘Judge Dredd,’ or when he fires one back up the box, ‘Judge Holden,'” said the write-up. I agree, Judge needs a good nickname. Judge Dredd is a little too obvious though. Nicknames have to come organically. You can’t force ’em. We’ll come up with a good one in due time.

As for Mateo, the write-up says he is “an 80 runner fully capable of stolen-base titles” while adding he “offers a potentially solid glove at shortstop as well.” As with any 20-year-old speedster in Single-A, the question is whether his bat will play and allow him to reach base often enough to raise hell. “The bat is still quite raw,” said the report. “But he can challenge the old adage that ‘you can’t steal first.’ Every ball in play is a potential single, and every ball up the alleys a potential triple.”

Sanchez “took steps forward on both sides of the ball in 2015, and the plus power and plus-plus arm that have kept him on every new iteration of this list are still very much present,” according to the BP crew, who noted this was Sanchez’s sixth year on the BP 101. Geez. It figures to be his last, however. Sanchez has the inside track on the backup catcher’s job, and even if he doesn’t find himself on the Opening Day roster, a midseason call-up feels inevitable.

Judge, Mateo, and Sanchez represent the crown jewels of the Yankees’ farm system along with RHP James Kaprielian. Those four are clearly the top prospects in the system. There’s a pretty significant gap between them and everyone else. Judge, Mateo, and Sanchez should appear on all top 100 lists this spring and Kaprielian might sneak one on or two as well.

Rob Refsnyder ranks ninth among MLB.com’s top second base prospects

(Presswire)
(Presswire)

MLB.com’s look at the top ten prospects at each position continued yesterday with second base. Red Sox 2B Yoan Moncada predictably topped the list, and was followed by Reds IF Jose Peraza and Cubs 2B Ian Happ in the top three. Rob Refsnyder placed ninth on the top ten list. MLB.com’s scouting reports are free, as always.

“An outfielder at Arizona, Refsnyder’s transition to second base has been slow and steady. It’s always encouraging when a solid hitter in the Minors performs well in his big league debut, and that’s exactly what Refsnyder did in 2015,” said the write-up. Here’s a piece of their latest scouting report:

He recognizes pitches and manages the strike zone better than most players. Refsnyder’s compact right-handed stroke yields line drives to all fields and he projects to top out at 12-15 homers per season … While Refsnyder has improved at second base, he’s not a smooth defender and likely won’t ever be more than adequate there. He’s not suited for the left side of the infield, though he has the average speed and arm strength to get the job done on an outfield corner.

Like it or not, the Yankees have made it pretty clear they’re not comfortable with Refsnyder playing a full-time role at this point in time. They didn’t give him much of a look despite Stephen Drew‘s long stretches of nothing last year, then they acquired Starlin Castro to be their long-term second baseman earlier this offseason.

That isn’t to say the Yankees will never be okay with Refsnyder playing regularly. It might happen someday. Right now though, there’s no obvious place for him on the 25-man roster, which means another season in Triple-A. There are pretty much only two ways Refsnyder can have an impact for the 2016 Yankees: 1) Castro or Didi Gregorius get hurt, or 2) as a trade chip. That’s about it.

Gary Sanchez ranked second on the MLB.com’s catchers list and the Yankees did not have any representatives on the right-handers, left-handers, or first basemen lists. (Greg Bird no longer qualifies as a prospect. Too much MLB time.) The third base list comes out later today and the Yankees won’t have anyone on that either. Shortstops is tomorrow and Jorge Mateo figures to crack the top ten, though shortstop is always a super deep prospect position.

Gary Sanchez ranks second on MLB.com’s top ten catcher prospects list

(Presswire)
(Presswire)

The crew at MLB.com is the middle of their series ranking the top ten prospects at each position. The Yankees didn’t have anyone on the right-handed pitcher or left-handed pitcher lists, but C Gary Sanchez ranks second on the catcher list, behind only Cubs C Willson Contreras. As always, MLB.com’s scouting information is free.

“Sanchez resuscitated his prospect stock last season between the Double-A and Triple-A levels, and he made his big league debut in early October,” said the write-up, which also mentioned the persistent questions about his defense. There’s reason to think he’s improving defensively, however. Here’s a snippet of their latest scouting report:

Sanchez’s combination of bat speed, strength and loft in his right-handed swing allow him to drive balls great distances … Sanchez still can get overly aggressive at the plate, which hampers his ability to hit for average, and his receiving and blocking still need more polish. But he did show improvement in those facets of his game and played with more passion in 2015. If Sanchez stays behind the plate and realizes his power potential, he can be an All-Star.

It seems like Sanchez has the inside track for the backup catcher’s job heading into the 2016 season, though the Yankees could send him back to Triple-A for a little more work on his defense. And, as I mentioned in the mailbag this morning, sending him down for 35 days will delay his free agency another year. That seems tempting.

Either way, Opening Day roster or not, Sanchez has a clear long-term future with the Yankees following the John Ryan Murphy trade. Brian McCann is still quite productive, but he will be 32 next month and he has a ton of innings on his body, so at some point the Yankees will have to scale back his workload. Sanchez will be the guy to pick up the slack, a la Jorge Posada and Joe Girardi from 1997-99.

Aaron Judge claims top spot on Baseball Prospectus’ top ten Yankees prospects list

Judge. (Presswire)
Judge. (Presswire)

Prospect season is in full swing now. One day after Baseball America published their top ten Yankees prospects list, the crew at Baseball Prospectus did the same. For BP, the top ten list plus the write-up for the top prospect are free. Everything else is behind the paywall. Here’s the top ten:

  1. OF Aaron Judge
  2. SS Jorge Mateo
  3. C Gary Sanchez
  4. RHP James Kaprielian
  5. OF Dustin Fowler
  6. 2B Rob Refsnyder
  7. RHP Drew Finley
  8. 3B Eric Jagielo
  9. RHP Brady Lail
  10. LHP Ian Clarkin

Again, as a reminder, both RHP Luis Severino and 1B Greg Bird are no longer prospect eligible, which is why they’re not on the list. They both exceeded the rookie playing time limits this past season.

Judge, Mateo, Sanchez, and Kaprielian are very clearly the top four prospects in the organization right now, as I said yesterday. We could argue the precise order until we’re blue in the face, but those are the four guys. It’s them, then everyone else right now.

The BP gang appears to be quite high on Fowler — “If he isn’t an everyday center fielder at the highest level, he could be a very good fourth outfielder,” said the write-up — and I’m glad to see someone shares my Finley affection. I’m not sure Finley’s a top ten guy, but he’s close.

Both Jagielo and Clarkin were understandably dinged in the rankings after losing so much time to injury in 2015, but the BP crew opted not to ignore their ceilings. I don’t know where Jagielo will play long-term, but he can mash. Clarkin didn’t have surgery and showed his pre-injury stuff in the Arizona Fall League.

“Recent success with early-round draft picks and aggressive tactics in the July 2nd market have given the Yankees a deep system with a healthy mix of almost-ready major-league regulars and teenagers with loud tools,” said the write-up, which also listed SS Wilkerman Garcia, OF Leonardo Molina, C Luis Torrens, 3B Dermis Garcia, and LHP Jacob Lindgren as other interesting prospects to watch. One of those things is not like the others.

The Baseball Prospectus feature also includes a ranking of the top ten players in the organization age 25 or younger. Severino sits in the top spot, followed by Judge, Mateo, Sanchez, Bird, Kaprielian, Fowler, Refsnyder, RHP Bryan Mitchell, and LHP Chasen Shreve. SS Didi Gregorius, 2B Starlin Castro, and RHP Nathan Eovaldi all missed the age cutoff by a few weeks and weren’t eligible for the 25 and under list.

Of nothing else, the 25 and under list shows how much better shape the Yankees are in right now than a year ago. Last year Molina was in the top ten under 25 list and, uh, no. This year eight of the ten are either in MLB or will be very soon. “The Yankees of the future likely won’t take shape for a year or two at least,” said the write-up, “but if the end of 2015 was any indication, we’ll get an increased glimpse into its promise in 2016.”