Yu’s on first?

No one is trying to lowball the Twins
A-Rod, Boras really not talking

Via MLB Trade Rumors comes the news that the Yankees have their eyes — and checkbook — on 21-year-old Iranian-Japanese pitcher Yu Darvish. Darvis, according to East Windup Chronicle, is already one of the most dominant pitchers in the NPB and could command upwards of $12 million a year from a Major League team. Darvish will pitch for Japan at the 2008 Olympics — the last featuring baseball as an Olympic Sport — and the Nippon Ham Fighters could post him following the 2008 season. While the reports of the Yankees’ interest seem rather speculative, Darvish would be an intriguing pickup to say the least.

No one is trying to lowball the Twins
A-Rod, Boras really not talking
  • dan

    Why would they post him? In Japan you need 10 years of service time before becoming a free agent, so Darvish would have 7 more seasons to play in Japan before being allowed to come to the US as a free agent. Unless they can get like $65million I can’t see why they’d post him this early in his career.

  • Nick

    That’s exactly why they would post him.

    Admittedly, they would lose revenue via ticket sales, as Yu is essentially a Japanese superstar. However, it’s generally accepted that Yu at age 21 is more talented than Matsuzaka was at the same age. This would mean that the Ham Fighters can expect a posting fee well northward of Dice-K’s $51.1M. In a league where a $4M salary is steep, that’s a huge amount of money. Perhaps even enough to cover the ticket sales the Ham Fighters would lose as a result of posting Yu.

    The variable in all this is Yu himself, I’m afraid. In various interviews Darvish has made it clear that he does not plan to leave Japan any time soon for “greener” pastures. However, as always, money is the best negotiatior. We’ll see if Yu has the same sentiment when he stands to make upwards of $12M a year.

  • RollingWave

    Unless the parent company runs into some serious finanial trouble or Yu Darvish demand to be posted i don’t see how he’s comming anytime until a few years into the next decade.

  • DanElmaleh

    I wonder how many keeper leagues Darvish gets drafted in this year?

  • dan

    I posted this on MVN before, since they posted the youtube video….

    “He doesn’t throw hard at all. If he hit 90 at all, it was once or twice. He seems to only throw 2 pitches, that 89 mph fastball and a pretty good slider. This was from 2006, so he could have added some heat, but if this video is what we’d be getting, I’d have to say that I’m not impressed.”

    Its like a 4-5 minute highlight reel, and his fastest pitch, if I remember correctly, was at 148km/hr (roughly 91-92 mph, I made a mistake in my original post). Most were at 88-89 mph. Velocity isn’t everything, but at first glance he doesn’t seem like anything to write home about.

  • Marcos

    Kei Igawa part 2

    • dan

      That’s what I’m thinking. Except Darvish doesn’t even throw with his left arm to make up for his seemingly lacking ability.

      By the way, I’m not a scout, so I could be horribly wrong about his actual pitching ability. But I think that I, as well as most people reading this, can watch someone and see whether or not he’s good. If he’s good and someone knows it for sure, then please correct me.

    • steve (different one)

      what are you basing this on?

  • daneptizl

    dan, you need to check your math because he sat at around 145-6 km/hr which would be about 91, hitting 150 km/hr or 93 mph.

    • dan

      Right, I know. My original post (in italics) had incorrect math. After that, I said that 148km/hr is roughly 91-92. Using a .62 multiplier its 91.76mph, using .622 multiplier it’s 92.1 mph. My italics post used .6 incorrectly, what follows that used .62

  • Adrian-Retire21

    No one say Kei Igawa.Remember people knew Kei Igawa was a #3 uy in the N.L.Then the Yankees had Igawa pitch in the best hitting lineups division in baseball.

    This kid is only 21 and is already nasty.

  • http://www.thebronxzoo.wordpress.com iYankees

    According to Darvish Watch (check http://thebronxzoo.wordpress.com/2008/01/01/yanks-interested-in-young-iranian-japanese-pitcher/), Yu hits the mid to low 90’s with his fastball (91-95?), and does have a plus slider AND curve (although, they may exaggerate, because his slider looks a lot better than his curve).

    He was a phenomenal pitcher last year (a little over 100 hits in 200+ innings) but does have some control issues. He does have the tendency to get a bit wild with his breaking stuff and he does experience first inning meltdowns (a la Jaret Wright?).

  • Jeff

    Think this is way pre-mature. It’s going to take at least another year of good pitching in Japan before your could even consider trying to pay Matsuzaka-like money. How much risk are teams willing to put up with?
    Also being married to an actress in Japan makes me think he’d have pretty good motive to stay home.

  • Dave M

    This could be great. If he has a bad game, we can all shout “Yu suck!” :-)

  • Bo

    It’s always fantastic to do scouting reports via you tube highlights.

    That’s rich.

  • http://riveraveblues.com Mike A.

    No. No no no no no no no no. No.

    Way too much cheddar for an unknown commodity, especially when he’s only 21. Dice-K, supposedly the greatest Japanese pitcher since General Tso, was barely league average this year. The Yanks have alot of money, but that doesn’t mean they should spend it stupidly.

  • TurnTwo

    so is there any difference between Yu Darvish and a Whirling Dervish?

  • Nick

    Wow. There’s really no adjustment period with you guys, huh? Remember Josh Beckett had a 5 ERA in 2006. It’s pretty unfair to judge Dice-K’s performance off of his first year in America. For what it’s worth, statistically Dice-K had a smoother first year coming from another continent than Beckett did switching leagues.

  • Bo

    I’d take Dice K on the Yanks right now.

  • mooks

    I Only have a few concerns.

    Off the bat, for a 6’5 guy, he only weighs 185. He needs to ass AT LEAST 30 pounds to his frame if he is going to hold up over the course of a MLB season (I’m factoring in his height for the reason I’m saying he needs to weigh more, if he was shorter or taller, it would be different).

    2) He is still developing, yea, he is doing well over in japan, but one more year there, might still not be enough, he actually might even need to spend some time in the minors here (not likely, but possible).

    There are also some questions about how hard he actually throws, with the reports going from 88 mph to 95 mph. We don’t know what his best (not to be confused with fastest) velocity is.