What to make of Phil Coke
ByWhat good is a lefty in the pen if he’s vulnerable to lefties? Chris Davis’s homer yesterday was the sixth Phil Coke has allowed to fellow lefties, calling his effectiveness into question. And with good reason. He’s had stretches of effectiveness, but there have been times when he’s just plain bad. Unfortunately, many of those bad times come against left-handed hitters, the very ones he’s most often charged with retiring.
This has left many wondering whether Coke is fit for duty in the Yankees bullpen. After yesterday’s game he has a 5.05 ERA, up from 3.15 on July 3. Clearly he’s on the downswing, right? Well, maybe not. While Coke isn’t nearly as good as he was earlier in the season, he still might have something to offer the Yanks.
Phil Coke had a great run in June and July. In 22.1 innings, he allowed just seven runs, striking out 22 against five walks. Opponents managed just a .508 OPS against him, and his GB/FB ratio was 1.85. After a rocky start to the season, it looked like he had settled into his bullpen role, which was mostly relegated to the seventh inning and lefties in the eighth.
(Of those seven runs he allowed in those two months, four came in one game, against the Angels when seemingly none Yankees managed to pitch well. So outside of one game, he was even more remarkable.)
Unfortunately, August started off quite poorly for Coke, as he allowed six runs while recording just one out on August 1 against the White Sox. That pumped up his ERA from 3.77 to 4.98, further showing why ERA is a poor indicator for a reliever’s effectiveness. He blew one game, which was pretty much blown in the first place, but had his ERA climb by more than a run. That should tell you all you need to know.
Then, of course, came the home run to Victor Martinez, which left a sour taste in our mouths. The Yanks came back to win that game, but that doesn’t erase Coke’s troubles. And then again yesterday, he gave up that three-run jack to Davis, putting a 3-2 game pretty much out of reach.
For the most part, Coke hasn’t been bad. He’s had a number of outings in which he has allowed multiple runs, which is never a good thing. He also has three blown saves, five if you count the two he recently blew that the Yanks came back to win. But he’s also had stretches where he pumps strikes and gets the Yanks through the later innings. He’s also done a decent job of keeping opponents off base — .223 batting average against and a .290 on-base against.
The problem with Coke this year is leaving sluggable balls over the plate. That is evidenced by his slugging against, .418, which is pretty bad considering the .223 average opponents have off him, and his HR/9, 1.6. We know Coke can pitch well. He did it for two straight months, minus one blip. He’s had some struggles lately, but for all we know that could be related to his new role, a reliever (he was a starter all of his career prior to last year), and a new setting, the majors. With rosters expanding, the Yanks can afford to give him time to settle down. Given the way he pitched earlier this year, he could be an asset in the playoffs.




I guess Joe forgot Damaso Marte is sitting in the bullpen. Maybe he is only availabe to carry Sergio Mitre’s luggage to and from the airport.
I’m curious, if Marte had struggled yesterday, would you and other people have said that Marte isn’t completely dependable yet and that we should have put in Coke (or Hughes would have been better for me)?
He’s not going to go to Marte with much frequency because hes been hurt.
Salty,
I would say Phil Coke has given up 9 homeruns in 51.2 innings! Of the 41 hits he has given up, 9 are homeruns. He is not a shutdown pitcher, especially against lefthanded hitters (Davis, Mauer, Morneau). Marte has been an excellent reliever in the past and pitched well until getting hurt in the WBC. When are they going to find out if he can help (2 innings since returning from DL)? As for Hughes, it is a joke that he is sitting in the bullpen getting only 8 innings in August!
“The problem with Coke this year is leaving sluggable balls over the plate.”
Yeah. That’s a pretty significant issue.
The article actually started off as questioning Phil’s breaking ball against lefties, but it appears that’s not something I can prove.
I know it’s a SSS but is his slider less, well, slidey than last year maybe? Or even month to month this year?
He managed to go through all of June without allowing a homerun, and only one in April.
This probably leads nowhere I’m just picking things out of the air to wonder about.
If he only allowed 1 in April, it was on Opening Day to Cesar Izturis.
That’s the one! It’s a very special achievement.
Even though you really can’t prove it totally, his slider is -0.8 runs worse than league average, compared to his fastball, which is +6.2 runs better than league average. And assuming he faces more lefties, his bad slider to lefties would probably correlate to his spotty performances.
What’s interesting about Coke is that he’s still effective against lefties, with a .209/.235/.400/.635 line against (vs .243/.364/.446/.810 against righties). It’s pretty amazing that he can give up a HR every 20 PA against lefties and still hold them to such a low OPS.
Hopefully Marte shows signs of life and can take over the main lefty role. Coke is as volatile as they come, while he’s great when he puts everything together, he’s equally as bad when that slider doesn’t bite.
GIrardi also overworked him earlier in the year. Not in terms of innings but for end of July early August it seemed like he was up in the pen every game.
Mike Stanton he aint!!
You know what this means (although Joe wasn’t as critical)…he’s going to go on a roll from here!!!
His numbers vs. lefties don’t say it all. Lefties just have very good ABs agianst him. I recall several times despite getting lefties out, the ball was hit on the screws. In my view, he’s been way over hyped. I don’t trust him at all in a close game.
Coke hasn’t been bad?
He’s allowed 9 homers in 51 innings.
6 of them to lefty’s
For a lefty reliever that is not bad. It is horrendous.
My only response to this:
10101011100101
ICWUDT
there are 10 types of people: those that understand binary, and those that dont.
That was the cleverest blog comment I think I’ve ever read.
Coke’s strength is also his weakness. He throws strikes. Like any reliever, his aggregate results get skewed by individual bad outings. I haven’t run the numbers, but it seems to me that on the season he’s had many more good outings than bad. He has been dominant at times, too.
I think managers are getting better data, and the slave-like adherence to the use of the “situational lefty” is fading, at least some. Some lefty batters are almost worthless against lefty pitchers, but not all, and at least it seems like managers don’t reserve the lefty reliever for the lefty batter exclusively as much as they used to. I think Girardi uses Coke as a generic reliever, not a lefty specialist per se. Maybe he leans toward him, when facing a lefty, all things being equal, but I don’t think Girardi would proclaim Coke worthless because he’s given up lots of homers to lefties.
Anyway…Chris Davis does have pretty dramatic platoon splits, but the one thing that’s closest to “normal” for him against lefties is homers, where he has 4 in 89 PA, versus 12 in 201 PA against righties, nearly the same HR ratio. I guess you can say Coke “failed,” but sometimes guys hit homers.