2011 Draft: Yankees picking 31st overall

ALDS first-pitch times announced
Yanks drop series finale, settle for Wild Card

Now that the regular season is over for all teams, we know with certainty that the Yankees’ first round pick next season will be #31 overall. They finished with the third best record in baseball, but there are some compensation picks early in the draft that push them back a few spots. Depending on how active the free agent market is for Type-A’s, the Yanks second rounder is likely to fall the 80’s somewhere. Of course, they’re very likely to surrender their first rounder to sign one such free agent, so don’t get too attached to that 31st overall pick.

email
ALDS first-pitch times announced
Yanks drop series finale, settle for Wild Card
  • http://twitter.com/iiKeane JobaWockeeZ

    Lol, no they aren’t. The Rangers will.

  • chriskeo

    Cliff Lee > first 80ish picks.

    • http://twitter.com/iiKeane JobaWockeeZ

      Can’t say that for sure.

      • http://twitter.com/SteeeeveO Steve O.

        You’re right. One of those players might be better than Cliff Lee, but a pick from 17 on? Those chances are incredibly low, and it’s much better to just take Lee instead of the draft pick who might never amount to anything.

        • tomaconda

          Halladay was a number 17 pick!

        • tomaconda

          Sabathia was a number 20 pick.

        • tomaconda

          Greg Maddox was a number 32 pick!

        • tomaconda

          Andy Pettitte was a number 594 pick!!

      • Ed

        Sure nothing’s for certain, but, I’d guess the odds of Lee being a better investment than the pick lost from signing him are easily > 90%.

        Odds change a lot when you’re talking about the really early first round picks, but that’s why those picks are protected.

  • http://twitter.com/ngoral Jake LaMotta’s Left Hook fka Johan

    5 years of Cliff Lee > Draft Pick who may never make it to the bigs.

    This is going to be a draft where everybody drops down crazy money on picks, so even if the Yankees don’t have a first rounder, they’ll have plenty of chances to spend big on other picks.

    I still wish Javy didn’t suck so the Yankees could offer him arbitration and get even Type B compensation. Are there any other chances for compensation this year? I haven’t checked the Elias Rankings lately.

    • http://twitter.com/iiKeane JobaWockeeZ

      Berkman and Wood.

      • http://www.mystiqueandaura.com/ JMK

        Neither of which is likely to see arbitration.

        • Fair Weather Freddy

          Wood will be offered arbitration.

          • http://www.twitter.com/deanezag Zack

            Why?

    • http://twitter.com/SteeeeveO Steve O.

      There are other ‘chances’, but they are no reason to offer arbitration. Vazquez, Berkman, and Wood will all get much more than they’re worth and what the Yankees will be willing to pay for them.

    • Gonzo

      You also have to factor in 5/100 when saying Lee is better than the 31st pick. It’s almost a certainty Lee will be better than the pick but then you also have calculate the opportunity cost of that 5/100. I still agree that it’s worth the investment though.

  • FachoinaNYY

    31st pick for Cliff Lee?

    Not the comp Texas was hoping for I bet…

    • Gonzo

      It remains to be seen if the trade was worth it for the Rangers. They’ll find out this week though.

  • Dream of Electric Sheep

    Did we sign anyone significant in IFA this year? 31 picks… price of winning I suppose. The one time we had the 1 overall pick that dude broke his arm or something. I think they need to implement the lottery thingie like in NBA or just lottery period. It’s patently un-Ameirican to punish a team for striving excellence every year!

    Bottom line, the Yankees deserve better fate than these predetermined BS about loser gets the 1st pick. It’s un-natural !

    • http://www.riveraveblues.com Mike Axisa

      No one signed any significant IFA’s yet, unless you count Sano.

      • Dream of Electric Sheep

        Thx, I guess it’s a by product of all the PEDs and Roid rage in D.R. Oh well… I still think the current draft system is BS. As matter of fact , didn’t MLB introduced drafts in the 60s to stop our dynasty?

        • Gonzo

          Basically. The big teams would just sign the best players for the most money. Then MLB tried the Bonus Rule and started the Bonus Babies moniker. They Yankees circumvented that system, then they implemented a draft.

          To be honest, I think the draft has everything to do with owners wanting to reap more of their profits than trying to be competitive.

      • Avi

        Sano was signed last year (’09) when the yanks signed Gary Sanchez. The IFA class is very weak this year.

        • http://www.riveraveblues.com Mike Axisa

          Not Sano, I mean Salcedo.

  • Cecala

    Am I the only one concerned with Cliff Lee being a possible injury risk? The dude has a ton of miles on his arm and he isn’t exactly a spring chicken. That being said though, proven lefty > draftee.

    • Dream of Electric Sheep

      I believe Lee is a cock , ahem , still in his prime. But Yes, back problem is no joke, even for a prime cock.

  • bonestock94

    Of all the draft classes to get totally blown out of the running in. Oh well, I doubt I’ll care if we get Lee.

    • Avi

      The Yankees will most likely have a top ten talent available when they pick at 31 and perhaps at 80 as well.
      Many of the top guys slip due to signability concerns/contract demands, and end up being picked much later than they were projected to go.
      Examples?
      Stetson Allie, Anthony Ranaudo, Nick Castellanos from this past year.
      Andrew Brackman was supposed to go in the top ten picks in ’07.
      If they don’t try to reinvent the wheel by picking a player NOBODY thinks is a first rounder talent (as they did with Cito Culver, CJ Henry, David Parrish, Brandon Weeden, David Walling etc) They’ll most likely end up with a quality prospect.

      • Baseballnation

        So Culver is not a quality prospcet now?