Musings on Manny

If the Yankees d sign Manny you can probably expect half the teams in baseball to boycott the next season.

How much will Manny provide at DH over Matsui?

CHONE projects 50 runs over replacement for Manny (135 games), and 26 runs over replacement for Matsui (125 games). So we’d be paying $42 million dollars (with luxury tax, as Mike said above) for 2 1/2 wins in each of the next two years. If you don’t like including the tax, then it’s still $6 million per win over the next two years, which doesn’t sound like a bargain to me.

In isolation, Manny looks very attractive (not physically of course). But when the alternative is Matsui, I think I’ll stick with what he have.

I think the Yanks would have to dump Matsui’s salary and try to get value back for Nady while having that particular trading partner offer something substantial prospects. I just don’t see a team out there willing to take on Matsui’s contract.I thought Seattle would be a potential suitor but they want to cut payroll. Ultimately, I don’t this will happen.

Here’s my take on it from yesterday’s open thread
“Since this is an open thread, here’s my view on the whole Manny thing:
I know everyone on this blog hates to see “CASHMAN WHY ARE WE NOT SIGNING MANNY OMFG”
But let’s look at this from the owner’s perspective, if you spent $400+ Million this off season, would another 75M hurt? I think Manny can be acquired for 3 years, 25M per. After all baseball is a business, face it, our goal is to win the world series in 2009. Anything short of a championship can then be deemed a failure, and if number twenty-seven isn’t acquired in 2009 then we can consider Teixeira’s, CC’s and Burnett’s salaries for 2009 a waste. No?
The longer Manny stays unemployed, the more attractive he becomes.
You have to look at this as an investment, we don’t have to pay him 60 of the 75M the first year, because after the first year is when he becomes the most valuable to US. In 2010, we lose Nady, Damon and Matsui. With Manny in the lineup, none of those players become a necessity. Manny can patrol LF and Swisher can be the Right-fielder, CF is open to whoever can perform better than the next man.
After 2009, the Yankee payroll will shed:
Matsui___13 Million
Damon___13 Million
Nady_____6.5 Million
Pettite____5.5 Million
Wang_____5 Million
Molina____2 Million
Melky_____1.4 Million
That’s 46.4 Million, chances are we’ll pick some of these guys back up.
But you get the point.

In the end you have to also look at revenues, with Manny in the Bronx ticket sales will sky-rocket, merchandise sales of #99 are going to be huge, and your chances of winning will also increase.

If we can get him in this bull market for only 3 years then I say “WHY NOT!?”
2009 line up:
Damon OF
Jeter
A Rod
Manny OF
Teixeira
Matsui DH
Posada
Cano
Brett OF

2010:
Brett* OF
Jeter
A Rod
Manny OF
Teixeira
Posada
Swisher OF
Cano
XXXX DH/OF

I’m home sick this saturday, i guess you can tell”

I accidentally replied to a comment from 12 hours ago, meant to post this down here:

Despite the arbitrary, meaningless number that is “2009 payroll” (CC and Tex’s signing bonuses say hello), Manny seems like a sturdy financial investment. He’ll bring along increased merchandise sales and even higher rating projections on YES, and that should compensate for the extra money we’d have to fork over to get the guy, including the cash we’d need to eat for a Matsui trade. And if we win the World Series – and Manny would definitely assist in doing so, well, that obviously justifies just about all the moves we’ve made this winter. And c’mon, he would brutalize Boston 18 games a year plus mash the heck at of the ball all post season long.

We can’t “Let’s just get Manny cuz we can!!!!” We don’t have space on the 40 man and we’re going to need to trade our over populated outfield…
Matsui is going to be very hard to trade, and I’d stick with Damon, Nady and Swisher. If we could I’d give up both Nady and Swisher but that seems very unlikely. Manny in NY won’t happen.