Oct
30

From the mailbag: the case for Aaron Rowand

By

Let’s dip into the mailbag again. Clearly, the Yankees’ outfield situation, while not an overwhelming priority, doesn’t stand to be a strength of the team without some serious upgrades. Bobby Abreu may be gone; Xavier Nady‘s production remains anomalous; center field is a huge question mark; and only Johnny Damon, soon to be 35, is a known quantity out there. While I’d advocate for Manny Ramirez, he’s more of a DH type than anything else right now.

To that end, a lot of fans have been inquiring about our thoughts on various trade options. Yesterday, I looked at Magglio Ordoñez. Today we tackle Aaron Rowand. Long-time reader and frequent commenter Stu writes:

Last year at this time, there was much talk about how the Yankees should sign Aaron Rowand. He was coming off a career year at age 29, however. I now wonder whether, after a sub-par year, the Yankees should trade for him. It seems like a decent fit: he wasn’t great, so the Giants should want to pare some of their payroll, while he’d be far better than anything the Yankees have now, and eventually can move to left or right when Austin Jackson is ready. 4 years and 52 million left on his contract is a hefty sum to most teams, but pretty reasonable to the Yankees.

Rowand is an interesting case. With OPS+ numbers of 130, 93, 86, 123 and 94, he seems rather inconsistent. Known for his fielding, his zone rating slipped in 2008, but his range factor remained high. This would seem like your typical case of the Giants’ selling to clear payroll. In that regard, if the Yanks could land Rowand for a B-level prospect and money, it seems like it wouldn’t be a terrible pickup. But there are a few red flag.

Of his last five seasons, Rowand has had two above-average offensive years. One of those came at the age of 26 during his first full year in Chicago. The other came while he was playing in Philadelphia during a season in which Citizens Bank Park seemed to favor hitters. That year, Rowand sported a .937 OPS at home and a .843 OPS on the road. This year, he had a .714 OPS at home and a .784 OPS on the road.

So right now, in Rowand, the Yanks would be getting an aging outfielder whose range seems to be on the decline, can’t hit and is under contract for four years. Rowand would become just another useless, old outfielder on a team that, recently, has specialized in them. He was never as good as Johnny Damon and won’t age gracefully. I just don’t think Rowand is the answer to the Yanks’ center field issues.

Categories : Analysis

58 Comments»

  1. T-Dizzle says:

    We could get him for Austin Jackson and Melancone I bet. Or add Kennedy. Just don’t throw in Hughes. He’s much better than Garner so at least it’s an upgrade.

  2. Mike A. says:

    Below avg player + bad contract. Why would they be interested?

    • EKH says:

      The only way I’m interested is if this is part of a larger package that gets us something really sexy — like Timmy or the Cain&Bum — at a monumental discount. As that shit is crazy talk, even to Sabean, I agree.

  3. Forget Aaron Rowand. That’s just stupid. When A-Jack is ready, he’s our center fielder. No questions asked.

  4. TJ says:

    I like the idea of getting Aaron Rowand. He was a gold glove center fielder in 2007 and would cover a lot of ground in the outfield for the Yanks. I think coming over to the Yankees lineup will also help him offensively. He was asked to be too much for Giants and I think with better hitters around him he could put up good numbers once again.
    As long as the Giants do not ask too much for him, I would not mind seeing Rowand in pinstripes.

  5. TomG says:

    I’d be wary, you really can’t expect a guy who plays flat out like that to age well.

  6. LC says:

    http://mlb.mlb.com/news/articl.....8;c_id=mlb

    so much for the Yanks trading for Jacobs. He just was traded. That sure was fast

    • Thomas says:

      Should the Yankees go after one of the Royals other first basemen?

      They could probably get Shealy pretty cheap and then try a platoon with Miranda.

      Or maybe give up better prospects for either Butler or Kila.
      I am not sure what it would cost, though.

      Any thoughts?

  7. pat says:

    Despite those few horrendous errors in toronto or wherever i think damon could man cf about %75 of the time with gardner filling in the rest. Id much rather entertain trades for a good young corner outfielder than some old crummy cf. Maybe we could dangle some combo of ipk sanchez cervelli coke jones, kontos or maybe even hughes for a guy like billy butler. Hes only 22 and put up a 94 ops+ on a terrible royals team. We could put nady in left and move billy ray to right. Maybe butler sucks maybe everybody hates him im sure you guys will poop on me if so. Bottom line is id much rather trade for a good youngster than effing aaron rowand.

  8. Count Zero says:

    I would sign Jr. as a FA before I would trade anything of value for Rowand.

    At least with Jr. there’s a chance that knee surgery restores his power numbers, and he always did have a Stadium swing. Wouldn’t be all that surprised if he posted one more 140 OPS+ season before he’s done.

  9. Kulish says:

    The Yankees should look into getting Nick Swisher from the White Sox. Can play all three OF positions and 1B. Had a down year but could rebound.

  10. gil says:

    texiera at first and mostly gardner with some edmonds in center hitting with the short porch…or jr

  11. Mike A. says:

    Mike Cameron or bust.

    (please decline the option, Bob Melvin)

  12. Reggie C. says:

    Does anybody know if Alex Gordon is available, and if so, can he play 1B? I’d trade IPK + Miranda for him.

  13. I just bloodied my nose thinking about the horrors of trading for Aaron Rowand.

  14. dan says:

    I’m just throwing this out there, as it would never happen. Giants offer Zito and Lincecum for some scrub, like Mitch Hilligoss. Yanks take on all the salary. Yes? No?

    • Joseph P. says:

      Why the hell would they give away Lincecum?

      • steve (different one) says:

        he’s asking if the Giants would “sell” Lincecum for $90M, since Zito is essentially worthless.

        it would never, ever happen. but it’s a fun question.

        the answer is yes, the Yankees would do that. but the Giants wouldn’t.

        • GG says:

          The award for most hilarious post is already won. No more need apply.

          Maybe we can get Greinke if we take back Gil Meche and Jose Guillens contract too. Throw in Mitch Hilligross (who I am 100% sure this guy has never even seen play and only heard about because of the Santana trade)

    • patw says:

      no way yanks def couldnt take on all that salary and then that linescum person u mentioned. esp not for a top 5 prospect like hilligoss

  15. Matt M. says:

    brett gardner will suffice. he plays great defense and has the potential to get on base at a better clip once he gets adjusted to the league. the yankees can pick up the slack for his weakish bat as we wait for him to get his feet under him.

    because next year you have to assume:
    A) its ’09 so thus AROD is due for another MVP season out of his habit
    B) Jeter will have a healed wrist and wont be captain DP (yes…his defense will leave a lot to be desired still. but thats a problem for another day)
    C) Wang will be healthy and ready to hopefully give 200innings
    D) Cano can at least better his abysmal 2008 campaign
    E) you hope posada catches 120 games optimistically…but you can count on him catching more than 30 (2008) at least
    F) Hughes (and IPK) turned in horrid seasons last year and we STILL finished with the 4th best record…they wont be CY young in 2009, but i think u can reasonably expect one or both to pitch to an era of 4-5 as opposed to 6-9.

    sure to some degree the loss of abreu and giambi will hurt an already hurting offense. but the expected rebound years of a few of our core players, coupled with Teixeria would almost ensure that the yankees can “deal with” Brett Gardner as their CF/9hole hitter.

    AND if you happen to sign CC. (with the reentrance of the absent wang) the rotation becomes a strength.

    to start the season:

    CC
    Wang
    Pettitte
    Joba
    Warm body till Hughes stakes his claim.

    and come playoffs time you’ll assume that Joba’ll slot ahead of pettitte.

    lol i guess that was a long winded way of saying that if we get the top two FA options…we’ll be fine. but its more than that. Murphy’s law was in effect last season….and we still won 89 games. i expect a lot of rebound years from players

  16. GG says:

    Rowand. Pass.

    If they wanted him they could have signed him.

  17. DCR says:

    I would take Rowand if it weren’t for his awful contract. I am patiently waiting to see how Cashman can screw up this winter. There are visions of Gardner in CF and someone not named Mark Teixeira at first base.

  18. DonnieBaseballHallofFame says:

    No way and I like Rowand but he is just a glove, and not even that great but he use to be super speedy. He is NOT a tuff out and is a bad overall hitter.

  19. Bryan says:

    Apparently Chad Cordero is now a free agent, I think that would be a tremendous free agent pickup for the yanks as it would fill the 8th inning bridge (that is if he doesn’t want to close anymore). Any thoughts?

  20. [...] River Ave Blues looked at the pros and cons of making a run at acquiring Aaron Rowand to play center….  Initially this seems like a good idea; I really wanted the Yankees to get Rowand a couple [...]

  21. RobC says:

    wasn’t Rowand waiting to see if the Yanks traded Melky in a Santana deal last winter?
    He plays hard always nice to have guy like that
    some off days might help
    I would take him if he doesn’t cost much more than $$$

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