2007 Dominance Factors

RAB Fantasy Baseball League
Mo looks fine in bullpen session

Yesterday I took a look at how the Yanks’ minor league pitchers performed in 2008 using a new metric call Dominance Factor. DF was developed by Brett Sullivan of Project Prospect, and measures performance based on strikeout, walk and groundball rates, as well as age relative to level. I went through the whole schpeel yesterday, so I’m not going to explain everything again.

No one really separated themselves from the pack in 2008, but that certainly doesn’t hold true for 2007. Phil Hughes paced the organization with a score of 85.98, easily blowing by David Robertson‘s organization leading 68.46 DF in 2008. The only pitcher within 23 points of Phil was Joba Chamberlain, who didn’t have anyone within nine points of him. Combining Joba’s High-A and Double-A stats (he only threw 8 IP in Triple-A, so I’m leaving that out), his aggregate DF in 2007 was 76.01, nearly ten full points behind Hughes. That’s kind of crazy. Oh, and looking at the list, is it safe to say that David Robertson has been the Yanks’ most dominant minor league pitcher over the last to years? I think so.

I’ll try to get to the 2006 numbers this week, but until then check out the really big table after the jump. (click for a larger view)


RAB Fantasy Baseball League
Mo looks fine in bullpen session
  • http://www.spartacus.schoolnet.co.uk/CRsmithT1.jpg tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

    T-Clip put up a 40.02 in AA and a 45.60 in AAA… I’d love to know what Jon Albaladejo’s 2007 dominance factor numbers were. Can you whip those up, Mike?

    • http://www.riveraveblues.com Mike A.

      Ask and you shall receive:

      Double-A: 39.74
      Triple-A: 57.90

      T-Clip’s combined DR in 2007 was 44.05. Albaldejo’s was 42.06.

      • http://www.spartacus.schoolnet.co.uk/CRsmithT1.jpg tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

        Based on that, if you could go back in time and undo the trade, would you?

        I still like Alby better than T-Clip.

        • Jack

          I still like Alby better than Eric Bedard Jr.


          • Andy In Sunny Daytona

            I wish he was Eric Bedard Jr.

            • http://www.riveraveblues.com Mike A.

              No no no, that’s Chase Wright.

              • Jack

                Dammit! I knew I’d screw that up.

  • Cor Shep

    save the big three!

  • Thomas

    Hey Mike, how has Tim Norton been doing? I know he got hurt (don’t remember the injury), but do you know how he is doing now?

  • Andy In Sunny Daytona

    I still think that the strike-out percentage should be weighted higher.

    Mike, what type of pitcher are they trying to project? A Kevin Brown type? A Derek Lowe? It seems to be a sinker happy stat.

    • Whozat

      Doc halladay

      • http://www.spartacus.schoolnet.co.uk/CRsmithT1.jpg tommiesmithjohncarlos a/k/a Ridiculous Upside

        If you think about it, Halladay is the ultimate goal that young pitchers should emulate and would love to become someday. An ace that gets a lot of strike outs, a lot of groundballs, doesn’t allow baserunners, keeps the ball in the ballpark, works efficiently and economically, and goes deep into games with a solid, repeatable, fairly-stress free delivery.

        Roy Halladay has probably been the best pitcher of the post Pedro era. (Yes, that includes Santana and Sabathia.)

        • KW

          I dunno, he’s up there, but there are a ton of good pitchers in the last 4-5 years. Tim Hudson? Roy Oswalt? Brandon Webb? Santana and Sabathia also both have arguably better stats. In addition, Halladay hasn’t always been the model of health.

      • Andy In Sunny Daytona

        Good call Dr. I always forget about Doc. TSJC, you are absolutely right, he’s a beast.

  • SWB

    A chart like this also shows how much turnover there is in the minor league systems each year. Kind of crazy to look at potential pitching staffs this year and looking at names on the list who are no longer here or playing ball

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