Oct
14

ALCS Scouting Reports

By

Right before the ALDS started, we took a look at some advanced scouting reports provided by the MSM, and sure enough they held true. The Yankees’ powerful offense took advantage of Minnesota’s pitch-to-contact heavy pitching staff, and when Andy Pettitte and Phil Hughes turned in gems behind CC Sabathia, the Twins had no chance.

Now that the Yanks have moved on to the ALCS, let’s look at Keith Law’s (Insider req’d) and Frankie Piliere’s scouting reports for Texas. As you’d expect, both mention that the Rangers will only go as far as Josh Hamilton and Cliff Lee take them. Beyond the two superstars, they need C.J. Wilson to not pitch himself into trouble with walks, which seems obvious enough. Their lineup isn’t terribly deep, with Nelson Cruz and Ian Kinsler representing the only real threats behind Hamilton. Vlad Guerrero, who had a monster first half, wOBA‘d just .327 from July on. Make sure you check the links out, plus this one with four key ALCS matchups courtesy of Piliere.

Categories : Asides, Playoffs
  • Big Stein

    Does anyone take Keith Law seriously? I mean as a member of RSN he has an obvious bias against the Yankees. Let’s remember in Spring Training he ranked the Yankee farm system #25, way behind the putrid, decayed Mets who he ranked #15 and his beloved Sox at #2.

    • http://www.riveraveblues.com Mike Axisa

      You do realize that the Yankee farm system was pretty bad at the start of the season, right?

      • Big Stein

        #25 out of #30? 10 spots below the Mets Mess?

      • http://www.yfsf.org AndrewYF

        Was it bad because of the rankings, or were the rankings just so because it was bad?

        The Yankees definitely did not have the 25th least amount of talent in their minor league system (tough to pull that off when you have a top-5 prospect in your system), the Mets were not good enough to be middle-of-the-road (Who did they have? Mejia and Davis? Niese too, I guess, although he wouldn’t be able to crack the Yankees’ top 10 even last year), and the Red Sox certainly were not good enough to garner a #2 spot. These were extremely poor rankings, there’s no getting around it.

        • http://www.riveraveblues.com Mike Axisa

          No, it was bad. Betances was hurt, Brackman was awful last year, Sanchez was an unknown, Heathcott was an unknown. It was Montero, Banuelos, and Romine, and question marks.

          • Big Stein

            So you thought the Yank system was at the bottom of the barrel and the Sox were the cream of the crop?

            • http://www.riveraveblues.com Mike Axisa

              The Yanks were bottom third, yes. I said so this spring several times. The difference between #20 and #25 is pretty small, not worth getting upset over. The Red Sox were definitely one of the best, definitely top five. I’m not going to get bent out of shape if they were #2 or #4 or #6. It’s all close enough.

          • http://www.yfsf.org AndrewYF

            And that’s different than any other non-top-10 farm system, how?

            No one’s saying the Yankees had a great farm system. They were middle-of-the-road, mostly because of Montero. But you can’t just say ‘without these guys…’ because then you have to say that for every farm system. To say they were near the bottom of the barrel, 10 spots below the barren Mets for chrissake, is ludicrous.

            For an example of a very fair ranking, check out AOL Fanhouse (Frankie Piliere, who is like Keith Law but without the unnecessary snark and need to be ‘extreme’…kinda like the comparison between Chad Jennings and Pete Abe, now that I think about it)

            http://mlb.fanhouse.com/2010/0.....-rankings/

            Much better.

            Plus, it’s not like Keith Law only missed on the Sox, Yankees, and Mets. He had the Giants ranked TWENTIETH.

            It was just a terrible job by Law.

        • Big Stein

          Even Peter Gammons, who has never met a Sox prospect who he didn’t say was great, even Peter Gammons, who predicted the Sox would win the world series this year, even Peter Gammons, who went on the MLB channel in April and said Dice-K would win 20 games this year, even THAT Peter Gammons wouldn’t go as far as Law and say the Sox had the #2 farm talent in the league.

          • http://www.riveraveblues.com Mike Axisa

            What does it matter? Who cares where their system ranks?

            • Big Stein

              it goes to bias. how can his analysis be taken at face value when he puts his thumb on the scales.

              • http://www.riveraveblues.com Mike Axisa

                Then just ignore it.

                • Big Stein

                  I do. I said that in my original post: I don’t take Klaw seriously because he wears a Red Sox uniform when he writes/types. I shake my head when fellow Yankee fans on different blogs get down in the dumps when, for example, KLaw posts Romine is a poor prospect.

  • vin

    For what its worth, Law picked the Yanks to win the WS at the start of the year.

    http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/.....xpertpicks

    His scouting report was pretty solid. Every bit as good a Piliere’s. I try not to get into who’s biased and who’s not, just because I don’t care enough to keep track of such things. Keith has worked for a major league team. Many smart people value his opinion. That buys him credibility in my eyes.

    Remember when Piliere wrote glowing scouting reports on the Killer B’s, then Law followed him up a couple/few weeks later with less than optimistic reports? I honestly think that was due more to the pitchers’ performances on the days they were being observed by these two scouts, rather than bias. But that’s just me.

    • Big Stein

      There are smart people who value the opinion of Peter Gammons (why not, he’s in the HOF) and Bill Simmons, that doesn’t erase their bias.

      Atleast Bill is upfront about tilting for his home town. And I like personally like Peter, but he actually draws a paycheck from the Red Sox, yet people act as if there is no conflict of interest when he files a report on his prime employer – hell, they don’t even mention it.

  • Betsy

    Vin, for those who are not Insiders, could you post Law’s ALCS scouting report?

    Thanks!