Feb
23

Yanks land six prospects on BA’s Top 100

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Baseball America released their annual list of the top 100 prospects in baseball today, which you can find here: 1-20, 21-40, 41-60, 61-80, 81-100. Jesus Montero was ranked as the third best prospect in the game, trailing only Bryce Harper and Mike Trout. Domonic Brown and Julio Teheran round out the top five. Gary Sanchez came in at number 30, Manny Banuelos number 41, Dellin Betances number 43, and Andrew Brackman at number 78. Austin Romine snuck in as number 98. I’m pleasantly surprised that Romine made the cut, and that’s really quite a showing for the Yankees. Damn impressive.

This is only the second time in the 21-year history of BA’s top 100 that the Yankees have had six guys appear on the list. The other came back was 1999, with Nick Johnson (18), Ryan Bradley (25), Alfonso Soriano (39), Ricky Ledee (70), Jackson Melian (72), and Drew Henson (100). Only three of those guys made the top 50, though.

Categories : Asides, Minors

69 Comments»

  1. pat says:

    I must admit, I have never heard of Ryan Bradley.

    • Kevin says:

      yeah who the hell is ryan bradley? and 5 royals in the top 20? wow

      • king of fruitless hypotheticals says:

        nor Jackson Melian.

        Does that say anything about how even top 100 prospects can still fail?

        • whozat says:

          Sure. It also says something about the fact that BA weighs upside over probability fairly heavily. I mean, Harper hasn’t even played a professional game yet, has he? Sanchez hasn’t played in a full-season league.

        • MannyGee says:

          yeah, in small print in the bottom, but it only references that Yankees prospects barely make it. Sox prospects are a lock.

        • Accent Shallow says:

          I had to look Bradley up, too. Here is his b-ref minors page. He crushes A+ in 1998, but it looks like he started in the pen before moving to the rotation.

          Melian is one of the saddest stories in prospect watching: Read the last sentence of the first paragraph under the 1997-1999 heading.

      • Avi says:

        Bradley was a right handed starter that dominated in the minors. He pitched briefly for the Yanks in ’98, went back down to the minors to polish his game and was never effective again. I think arm injuries were a part of it.

        • Don W says:

          While he started some games in the minors Bradley had the look of a dominating relief prospect. He flew through the minors going from A+ to the majors at 22. It all blew up on him the next year.

          • bottom line says:

            Bradley looked brilliant in a couple of appearances with the Yankees. I remember him fanning Purdge Rodriguez on a wicked slider. He hurt his arm, though, and was never the same.

      • Thomas says:

        BA lists Odorizzi’s best tool as his delivery. I don’t recall every seeing that before.

  2. Tank the Frank says:

    I just don’t get Bryce Harper. How can he possibly be the #1 prospect in the game? I mean, I get that he’s 18 and his ceiling is already through the roof, but hasn’t even seen one professional pitch. Everything about him right now is projection and sheer fantasy.

    • MannyGee says:

      ummm he hit the back of the Trop…

      sure, it was a 70 mph meatball in a HR derby, and he was hitting from 1st base… but still…

    • The Real JobaWockeeZ says:

      College is considered by some to be the equivalent of low A. And he’s been called the best power prospect ever and the success rate for a top tier hitting prospect is pretty damn good.

      They even broke down his swing and loved it.

    • Chops says:

      It really comes down to how you define “prospect.”

      A lot of people believe that it’s really about ranking potential and their chance to reach that potential. In Bryce Harper’s case, its very high in both cases.

    • Ted Nelson says:

      Certainly there’s a lot of room for error with a teenage prospect, but LeBron was on ESPN and the cover of SI at like 16, 17. Strasburg was #2 last season. So this isn’t really unprecedented.

    • pete says:

      what’s more, he’s a RF. He projects to be a potentially excellent defensive RF, for sure, but he’s not an elite SS or CF or anything.

      • YanksFan in MA says:

        Actually word is he will start out at CF now. Makes sense with Werth at RF for the foreseeable future. Law has been touting this for a while, as a transition to another middle of the field position should be easier for him. Not sure I’m buying that but whatever.

  3. Sweet N Sour Chicken Pot Pie, with tartar sauce says:

    I dont really follow tha minros, is this mOntero a goood proospect. how is #3??

    • Tom Zig says:

      He’s an excellent prospect.

    • Thomas says:

      Just to give you a basis of how good. His bat has been compared to Delgado, Miguel Cabrera, and Frank Thomas, so he is a legit middle of the order, .300 with 30+ HRs batter. His weakness is he is very poor defense at the level of Posada or Piazza (and he is too slow/unathletic to play any position other than C/1B/DH).

  4. Tom Zig says:

    Is 1-20 supposed to be behind the paywall or is it just me

  5. Avi says:

    Amazing showing by the Yanks here. Good to see Jesus get the respect he deserves. Pleasantly surprised Romine made it. I’m also surprised they ranked Banuelos ahead of Betances when they had it the other way around in the Yankee’s top 10.

  6. Tom Zig says:

    stupid question:

    the BA grade is the grade given to that prospect’s best tool, right?

    • Thomas says:

      “We’re focusing on the best tool for each player, handing out a best-case grade on the 20-80 scouting scale—where 20 is the worst, 80 the best, and 50 major league average. Ages are as of March 31, and ETA is the year we expect the player to establish himself as a big leaguer.”

      I assumed when I read the list is was for his best tool, but that quote makes it sound like it is overall best case for the player.

  7. MattG says:

    Ho hum. None of these scouting sites say anything different from the others. Considering that these top 100s are such a mixed bag, you would expect the prospect rankings to have some variance. What variance there is seems to be mostly due to methodology (i.e. weighting ceiling vs probability) than opinion over the players.

    They have to rank it like they see it, but it would be refreshing to see someone drop Trout because he has no power, D Brown because he has no plate discipline, or (hush!) Montero because he has no position.

    • Thomas says:

      Domonic Brown’s IsoD is about 0.070, which is not great but fine if you are a high average hitter (like he is).
      Mike Trout had 28 double, 9 triple, and 10 HR as a 18 year old in A/A+ that shows good power with very good potential.

    • The Real JobaWockeeZ says:

      If you want a different methodology check out this.
      http://projectprospect.com/art.....spect-list

    • RL says:

      …” or (hush!) Montero because he has no position.

      Montero may have no position on the Yankees if he can’t stick at catcher, but if his bat approaches the projected ceiling that has been set, he’ll have a position with some team, either at 1B (if he can make the transition) or at DH. If his bat is truely as good as they project, he will have a position.

    • pete says:

      Montero was 9th in MLB.com’s list. Banuelos was 12th on KLaw’s, 41st here. Etc, etc. There’s plenty of variance, just generally not much amongst the top 5-10 guys.

  8. Monteroisdinero says:

    Montero has Miggy’s bat without the booze for 4-500K a year for the next 5 years or so.

    /nice

  9. Chops says:

    I don’t understand certain tools they have listed.

    Jake Odorizzi’s best tool is his delivery, but what does that mean? Is it a measure of deception? least amount of injury risk?

  10. David says:

    Read Part 1 of Frankie’s emailed Q & A. It could hardly be better.

    Conclusions:

    Montero – definitely MLB catcher.

    Banuelos – ace.

    Betances – ace potential, but more questions.

    Sanchez – ultra impressive, but years away.

    Adams – very good player.

  11. CS Yankee says:

    Was Griffey Jr, the last player to go from HS directly to MLB?

  12. Kiersten says:

    Impressive.

    I don’t follow prospects that closely (just what I read on here), but it seems crazy to me that Sanchez is ranked so high when he’s still so far away. Also thought there would be a bigger gap between Banuelos and Betances.

  13. Jerry In Queens says:

    Mike Leake did it last year

  14. Reggie C. says:

    did Slade Heathcott fall out of the top 100? Iirc, Heathcott made last year’s list. Sure the farm is better than its been for a decade with high ceiling talent, but several of these guys are going to graduAte to the bigs. Would be nice if Marshall and Heathcott put in full seasons.

  15. J.R. says:

    Interesting that Arodys Vizcaino is only listed at 93. From the way he was evaluated in the Braves system (I think number 3 overall) you’d think he would be in the top 50.

    • masonflint says:

      injury concerns?.. i think he had a minor elbow issue last year, and may of had a couple other probs in past years

      • Rick in Boston says:

        Yeah, Viz has had some injury issues. It might also explain why Cashman was so willing to move him in the Logan trade.

  16. AndrewYF says:

    I wonder what the other grades are for Montero if his best tool is a 70 in power. I would guess a 65 hit tool, 55 plate discipline, and like, a 30 on defense.

  17. Ivan says:

    So in the last 4 years, the Yankees have had at least one prospect in the top 5…nice!!!

  18. J.R. says:

    Another interesting fact is that Sanchez is the only player in the top 59 with a projected ETA of 2014.

    • Naved says:

      Didn’t look at the list yet but how about Sano or Machado?

      • Mike says:

        Machado is 2013, but is the same age as Sanchez. I’m assuming this is because SS is easier to learn than C? Or just that he is further along.

        Sanchez grading out at 70 power and Callis saying that his hit tool is about the same is extremely exciting. I know the bust rate on teenagers is enormous, but he doesn’t have to realize anywhere close to all that potential to become a very valuable player if he can stay behind the plate. I think the reports on his defense is that he has the ability to stay at C. He’s athletic, quick, and has a strong arm to offset his size. I’ve read (perhaps in Mike’s to 30) that he projects as the best defensive catcher in the organization.

        Again, huge bust rate on these guys, but I’m much more excited about him than I was about Montero at the same point in their careers. Montero was not even ranked after completing his first year and Sanchez is number 30.

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