Kevin Goldstein’s Top 101 Prospects List

Fan Confidence Poll: February 28th, 2011
2011 Season Preview: Derek Jeter

Baseball Prospectus’ Kevin Goldstein posted his list of the top 101 prospects in baseball today, with Jesus Montero checking in at number three. He trails only Bryce Harper and Mike Trout, in that order. Domonic Brown and Julio Teheran round out the top three. The trio of Manny Banuelos, Gary Sanchez, and Dellin Betances are all scrunched together at numbers 27, 29, and 32, respectively. That’s it for the Yankees though, just four players on the list, though all of them are among the top 32 prospects in the game.  That’s pretty dang good.

As far as I can tell, the list is free for all to see.

Fan Confidence Poll: February 28th, 2011
2011 Season Preview: Derek Jeter
  • Tophitter

    Wow ten Royals made the list, this organization should be making some better showing as far as their major league record is concern by at least 2014. The next two years will be with the training wheel but by 2014 with the right vets the Royals should be in the hunt for the AL WL.

    • pat

      Or the AL Central.

    • Ted Nelson

      It’s definitely a good thing for them, but even among top 100 prospects the success rate isn’t that great. If they get 5 good to very good players out of this group of 10–which I think would be above average–that helps a whole lot but they’re still going to have to make other good moves to be a good team.

  • LarryM.,Fl.

    I have seen Montero and Betances play against the Phillies on TV. Montero looked comfortable at the plate and behind the plate. Sure there’s some work to be done but I see if him on the team no later then May /June if not out of ST. It all depends on injuries and Cervelli’s progress.

    Betances looked excellent. If Banuelos and Sanchez are as good than the Yanks should resist offers including these four farm hands. The Yanks should try to go with Nova at the 4 slot and make do with Garcia or Colon preference on Garcia if he wavers give the bunch at AAA a shot. They’ll have more than enough ability to keep us in the game. Winning 9-8 is OK. All games pitched by #4,5 will not be offensive in nature.

    • jsbrendog (returns)

      betances did not look excellent. he had contorl issues had trouble keeping the ball down and almost hit one of the phillies in the face. 2 of the strikeouts wer eon alls up out over the plate that if they werent 95-96 mightve gottne crushed. h elooked good for this earlym but excellent is nowhere near true

      • Rick in Boston

        I think it’s somewhere in between where LarryM and jsbrendog see it. He had some electric stuff, but his control was off because he was overthrowing. I’m awaiting his next outing, where he will hopefully be more relaxed. I’d also like to see multiple innings out of him.

        • All Praise Be To Mo

          Yea, hopefully his next outing he’ll have more control, be calmer. This was his 1st time on tv right? Hopefully he’ll look better, but that 97 mph fastball with that curveball he was breaking off, wow you can dream on that.

          • Rick in Boston

            I’m not sure (Mike might know), but I think it was the first time Betances had been in a Major League-level exhibition game.

      • Guest

        But they were 95-96 MPH. And, that’s not a fluke. He lives 94-96, touches 97.

        Dominant fastballs should be thrown up in the zone anyway.

        He did roll a couple of curves, but he snapped of a couple too.

        One-inning is waaaaay to small a sample to draw any meaningful conclusions, except one: Betances has top-end stuff.

        A lot of people have top-end stuff and aren’t great or even good; let’s hope Betances harnesses his top-end stuff and reaches his cieling, which is pretty much as high as it gets.

      • LarryM.,Fl.

        He looked excellent to me for his first inning of ST. 3 K’s and 1BB is a nice start. Sure he overthrew on some pitches but when the heart rate reduces to about 80/90 bpm. you will see a better product. More toward the end of the ST.

    • Johnny O


    • Ted Nelson

      “The Yanks should try to go with Nova at the 4 slot and make do with Garcia or Colon preference on Garcia” “Winning 9-8 is OK. All games pitched by #4,5 will not be offensive in nature.”

      Garcia allowed 3 or fewer ERs in 21 of 28 starts last season… not sure why he’s suddenly going to start giving up 8 R/start. He averaged 5 2/3 innings per start. The White Sox won 18 of his 28 starts.

  • Teh Comp Pick

    Jose Iglesias higher than any of the prospects the Pads got in the Gonzo deal. A good SS who can’t hit. Hype machine much?

    • Accent Shallow

      Well, the Casey Kelly Hype Machine surprisingly was deactivated immediately after the trade.

      Seriously, though, Kelly is a great example of the disconnect between scouting and results. Although prior to 2010, it wasn’t even the stuff, it was all projection.

    • camilo Gerardo

      maybe, or maybe the package prospects were overhyped

      insert cKelly joke

    • Thomas

      Conversely, Ranaudo was only 100 and people keep trying to hype him as Kelly’s replacement, so Goldstein isn’t really buying in to all the hype. Maybe he just really likes Iglesias and thinks he will hit.

      • Rick in Boston

        I think it’s also the limited number of top-end shortstops out there right now. If Inglesias can hit at league average for a few seasons with Gold Glove-caliber defense, he can be very valuable. Ranaudo is probably not going to get much better than he is now – but he’s still a solid MLB starter.

    • Big Apple

      Iglasias has rocketed up the list faster than superman….apparantly he is a modern day ozzie smith who can now hit.

      i did read a report that he was very disappointing in the AZ fall league.

      • Rick in Boston

        I’m thinking he might end up being Rey Ordonez, v2.0.

    • UncleArgyle

      Jose Iglesias also is the only Cuban born player in the history of Cuban born players not to have his true age questioned.

      • Andy in Sunny Daytona

        He’s actually younger. Iglesias is only 10 years old.

    • Ted Nelson

      I tend to agree that Iglesias is the new Casey Kelly, but… In fairness we’re basing him not being able to hit on 284 PAs, 236 of which came at AA at “20 years old.” If that’s his real age, he’s still got plenty of time. We’re dealing with small samples, but he crushed the NYPL for a dozen games before stinking it up in the Eastern League for 57. We’re all still high on Montero despite his horrible start. And fairly high on Romine despite his horrible finish.

      I have no idea what Goldstein’s experience with Iglesias is, but if he saw him hitting with Cuba and in the NYPL and saw him overmatched in AA, he might think the kid can hit and just needs to adjust.

      SS in general can’t hit, also. This is why I’ve been beating the Nunez drum for so long… not that I think Nunez is good, but that SS stink. You can be a solid-ish starting SS with a wOBA around .300. That’s just not true anywhere else besides C.

  • camilo Gerardo

    who is the BA writer that had our top 4 in his top20?

  • Big Apple

    there are so many of these prospect lists…good to see the yanks ranking highly in all of them.

    Casey Kelly seems to slip down a few notches everytime a poll is posted…how long will it be before he’s not even on the list anymore?

    • CS Yankee

      Right after Theo drafts & inks the next superkid (7th of July, 2011).

  • Big Apple

    Here’s what I take from the Sox off season moves….our farm system isn’t that good…otherwise Lars Anderson and Josh Reddick would be playing 1B and LF.

    Only way that the sox stole AGonz from the pads is because Hoyer is calling the shots in SD.

    Sox still think Michael Bowden is #3 starter potential.

    • dennis

      all beer leagues need #3 starters.

  • David

    Montero looks like he could actually be #1. Average MLB catchers that hit .320 with 35 home runs don’t come along very often.

    • bexarama

      He might not be a catcher, though. That’s mostly what’s holding him back, well that and the fact that other guys are darn good prospects too.

      • David

        To me, for the first time it looks like he will stick at catcher, which is what the ultra-knowledgeable Frankie Piliere has said all along.

        • pete

          Frankie Piliere has always had a massive yankee boner though.

          • Andy in Sunny Daytona

            What I like about Piliere is that he’s a scout, unlike other “prospect experts” who have “unnamed scouts” telling them what to think, he thinks for himself.

            • Andy in Sunny Daytona

              Piliere actually sees these guys play, more than once, and evalutes them from there. *coughcoughKlaw*

          • David

            Girardi has consistently praised his improvement at catcher so far. That is all that you need to know. He will be starting by June at the latest. Martin has a one year deal and is nothing more than a stopgap. Cervelli is a competent backup. Sit back and enjoy this monster. He hit some balls at Scranton last year that were shocking, like 400 feet to right center when it looked like he was out ahead and fooled. A rough start could be expected, but when he adjusts you are looking at a .300 hitter with power to all fields.

            • Ted Nelson

              “Girardi has consistently praised his improvement at catcher so far. That is all that you need to know.”

              Pretty sure that’s not all we need to know…

              Brandon Wood also looked like a beast in the minors. There’s just no way to say that any prospect is a sure thing.

              “Martin has a one year deal and is nothing more than a stopgap.”

              He’s under team control for 2 years. The Yankees can offer him arb to keep him in 2012.

          • Monteroisdinero

            Don’t we all?


            • David

              Watch and see. You have doubts. I predict he is our starting C very soon, and is a beast of a hitter.

    • Ted Nelson

      Besides whether he sticks at C, you also have to consider that his poor 1st half did happen. He adjusted and his season averages were good but not great. Doesn’t mean he’ll repeat his 2nd half success. A lot of lists are giving him the benefit of the doubt over a guy like Brown who OPS’d almost .100 points higher than Jesus in 2010.

      I think he’s a great prospect, but there’s no use in pretending like he’s the only prospect ever who is a sure thing just because he’s your favorite team’s best prospect. His chances are relatively high, but there have been plenty of “can’t miss” prospect who missed.

      • David

        I don’t like him because he is my favorite teams best prospect. I like him because I have seen him about a dozen times and have concluded that he is a freakishly gifted natural hitter.

  • Jerome S.

    Sick of seeing Bryce Harper as No. 1. Yeah, his supposed ceiling is as high as it gets, but can we let him play at least one official minor league game before he becomes the best prospect?

    • Plank

      Wouldn’t Harper’s ceiling be similar to where Montero is now? That is as a corner outfielder. I think the Boras hype machine is starting earlier and earlier.

      I’m not saying Harper isn’t the real deal, I’m saying the best case scenario is him turning into Montero if everything breaks right. Montero should be ranked higher.

  • Luis Sojo the Pasta Eating Machine

    Anyone else surprised at how high Domonic Brown is on every list? I’ve seen way more of him than any other prospect on these lists and every time I’ve seen him I haven’t been impressed.

    • Ted Nelson

      He OPS’d .980 across AA and AAA last season. I’m not too surprised to see him where he is.

  • godfather

    need to see what jesus would do, as it were; find out what he has, not deal him at the first chance — and that includes for liriano, who’s always thisclose to the dl and perhaps worse