While the Jets were busy mauling the Rams, baseball seems to take a backseat during Sundays in November. Later this week, the free agent signing frenzy should kick off, and teams and players are looking to wrap up negotiations fairly quickly.
To that end, John Perrotto, one of Baseball Prospectus’ writers, chimed in with his off-season predictions. While the article is for BP subscribers only, I can summarize his predictions as they relate to a lot of the players we’ve been analyzing lately.
CC Sabathia — Yankees. He sees a bidding war of sorts but writes, “The Yankees will throw so much money at Sabathia that he won’t be able to say no.”
Manny Ramirez — Four years and $100 million from the Dodgers. That’s a good signing for an AL team that can stash ManRam and his bad glove at DH. For the Dodgers, this signing will completely hamstring them.
Mark Teixeira — Ten years and $200 million from the Washington Nationals. Perrotto thinks the DC-area native wouldn’t be able to turn down that deal. If Teixeira cares at all about playing on a franchise with a better future, he won’t land in DC.
Mike Mussina — Retirement or the Yankees. That’s not really going out on a limb.
Andy Pettitte — Pettitte filed for free agency today, and while the AP thinks that means something, it’s simply a formality. The Yanks don’t seem overly enthused with bringing back Pettitte, and Perrotto thinks he’ll head to Houston.
Bobby Abreu — The Yankees. Perrotto thinks Bob will return to the Bronx. Depending on years/dollars, I’m not against this move. He’s better than Xavier Nady.
Jason Giambi — Oakland. Clearly.
Jason Varitek — My personal favorite is the two-year, $20-million deal Perrotto predicts the Sox will give Jason. I really hope this happens. It would be great to see the Red Sox flush money down the toilet just because this guy is the supposed “heart and soul” of the team. It’s either that or watching them trade Clay Buchholz to the Rangers for one of Texas’ better catching prospects. Either way, it seems like a win-win for the Yanks, no?
Those are the highlights. Feel free to discuss this or anything else (such as the Giants-Eagles game that starts at 8:15 p.m.). This thread will take you through to Joe’s overnight unless something unexpectedly important happens.
The Brewers have tabbed Willie Randolph to be Ken Macha’s bench coach. This isn’t a bad gig for Randolph, who hoped to land a managerial spot somewhere this winter. One day, hopefully, Willie can come back to the Yanks. I know he didn’t leave the Mets with the kindest of reviews, but I think he’d make a good manager in the Bronx. · (10) ·
Tom Kackley sent us an e-mail this afternoon:
I’ve been a clubhouse manager in the minor leagues for 20 years, the last four employed by the Yankees. For many years I worked for the Canton/Akron AA affiliate of the Indians. About a week before opening day in 1997, my wife’s sister was murdered by her husband in the most senseless, tragic act of domestic violence. For a long time it was all I could do to deal with the ramifications of this tragedy, and to do my best to raise my late sister-in-law’s son.
Two years ago Phil Hughes was the most prominent player on my team in Trenton. I’ve never been much for collecting autographs, but toward the end of that season I figured I could ask Phil to sign a couple of balls for me that I’d auction off for the local domestic violence shelter. Phil was happy to oblidge, but about ten minutes later he came back to me saying, “Tonto, the balls are only going to bring about $50 each, but I’ve got some other stuff that would be pretty good.”
By game time that night he had loaded up my desk with game used hats, gloves, spikes, photos…all signed. I raised a little over $2600 which at Phil’s request we split between the shelter and a local Trenton youth baseball group.
Last year I collected what I could throughout the season and did the auction on Ebay, raising a little over $5000 for the shelter, much of it on some great stuff Joba signed for me.
Kacley is again auctioning off items to raise money for local shelters. Check out the auction page on eBay. He has memorabilia from Austin Jackson, J.B. Cox, Mark Melancon and Chase Wright, among others. Over the next few days, he’ll be listing items from Joba, Tino Martinez and Mr. October himself, Reggie Jackson.
This is a great opportunity to support an important cause while picking up some one-of-a-kind Yankee memorabilia. Check it out.
Yesterday, this motley crew of late-1990s Yankees gathered to move some dirt and home plate from one stadium to the other. In town for the Joe Torre Safe at Home Foundation dinner honoring the 1998 team, Jeff Nelson, Scott Brosius, Paul O’Neill and David Cone were among the Yankee luminaries who took part in this ceremony.
The weather, as MLB.com’s Anthony DiComo wrote, wasn’t the most cooperative, and the ceremony turned into one involving more mud than dirt. But in the end, everyone seemed to offer up praise for the new stadium.
Check out MLB.com’s photogallery of the event here.
Via Steve, who apparently gets his print edition of the magazine a full week before I do:
- Austin Jackson,OF
- Jesus Montero, C
- Andrew Brackman, RHP
- Austin Romine, C
- Dellin Betances, RHP
- Zach McAllister, RHP
- Al Aceves, RHP
- Phil Coke, LHP
- Mark Melancon, RHP
- Bradley Suttle, 3B
Aceves and Coke? Really?
Sure both guys are big league ready, but they’re low ceiling, back-end starter types. Melancon has a much higher ceiling, and he’s just as big league ready as those two guys. Plus he’s about three years younger. Eh, whatever.
No qualms with the rest of the list, although I would have squeezed Jeremy Bleich into the 9 or 10 spot.
Just a heads up, Baseball America will be posting their Yanks’ top 10 prospects list this Monday. I had stuff to do yesterday, so the regular Friday chat will be held Monday afternoon.
AzFL Peoria (13-4 loss to the other Peoria) season ends on Nov. 20th
Kevin Russo: 2 for 4, 1 CS – extends the hit streak to 16 games … that’s pretty impressive, it can’t be easy to maintain a hit streak like that when you’re not playing every day & hitting in a different spot in the order while playing a different position when you do play
Austin Jackson: 1 for 4, 1 R, 1 K – just 3 for his last 29 (.103)
Juan Miranda: 0 for 4, 4 K – wear that Golden Sombrero with pride, amigo
HWB Waikiki (2-0 win over Honolulu)
Damon Sublett: 0 for 3, 1 K
Jeremy Bleich: 5 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 9 K, 3-4 GB/FB – 51 of 65 pitches were strikes (78.5% !!!) … first action since Oct. 24th, so it looks like elbow surgery will have to wait another day … he’s rockin’ a 28-1 K/BB ratio in his last 24.2 IP (4 starts)
PRWL Mayaguez (8-2 win over Santurce)
Ian Kennedy: 4 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 3 BB, 5 K, 1 HB, 1-5 GB/FB – it’s a ~50 game season, so he should be able to get about 45-50 innings in, which would put him at ~165 IP on the year, meaning he’s good for close to 200 innings next season
AzFL Peoria (7-0 win over Surprise)
Austin Jackson: 0 for 4, 1 R, 1 BB, 1 K
Juan Miranda: 1 for 4, 1 R, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 1 BB, 1 K – had been in an 0 for 14 slump coming into this game
Jeff Marquez: 5 IP, 5 H, 0 R, 0 ER, 0 BB, 3 K, 8-2 GB/FB – 44 of 69 pitches were strikes (63.8%) … picked a runner off second … he really needed a good outing just for his confidence, he’d allowed 20 baserunners & 8 ER in his previous 10 IP (4 appearances)
HWB Waikiki had a scheduled off day.
It looks like the Yanks forgot to pay the rent. According to a rather boring and technical audit — aren’t they all like that? — by New York City Comptroller William Thompson (available here as a PDF), the Yankees misreported some attendance, revenue sharing and cable numbers. As a result, the team owes the city $11 million in Yankee Stadium back rent. The Yanks do not dispute these findings — which include some lofty numbers on concession sales — and have submitted $7 million to the city. The rest the team will fork over in March. It looks like in the midst of a financial crisis, New York City is going to crack down on delinquent bills. · (11) ·
Joe Torre hosted his annual Safe at Home Foundation dinner last night. While the news out of the annual gathering of Yankee luminaries included much of what we already know, Joe Girardi dropped something of a Mike Mussina bombshell.
As far as the Yankee skipper knows, Mussina will be calling it quits some time soon. While this is information Moose passed onto Girardi at the end of the season, Joe had no reason to expect Moose to change his mind.
For the Yankees, this decision has immediate impact. Moose threw 200.1 innings last year to the tune of a 3.37 ERA. He won 20 games for the first time in his career and was 12th in the AL in VORP for pitchers, trailing James Shields by just a few tenths of a point. In other words, he was the Yankee ace, and while he probably wasn’t going to duplicate these numbers next year, his potential departure leaves a gaping hole in the front end of the Yankee rotation, Andy Pettitte or no Andy Pettitte.
Enter Derek Jeter. It seems that Mr. Jeter is fulfilling his role as captain. As NJ.com’s Ed Price reported a few hours ago, Derek and CC Sabathia had a chat about New York. Derek didn’t go into detail, but it sounds like the two players had a nice talk about coming to New York. Clearly, the recruiting effort is on.
If the Yanks land Sabathia — and that’s a big “if” right now with so many other teams involved — the deal will be fraught with risks. The Yankees will be committing a lot of money and a lot of years to a pitcher who has racked up 1659.1 innings and is just a few months past his 28th birthday. In fact, only 45 other players in the history of the game have thrown more innings by that age. As with any long-term deal, it’s a risk.
I believe that it’s a risk the Yankees have to take. Sabathia would immediately stabilize the Yankee rotation and give them a front-end trio with the potential to be as good as any other team in baseball. How many times would you imagine the Yanks losing three games in a row with Sabathia, Chien-Ming Wang and Joba Chamberlain throwing in back-to-back-to-back games?
Of course, the Yankees have a lot of competition for Sabathia. He likes the NL; he’s very good at pitching in the NL and seems to enjoy hitting too. He could end up back near his home in Southern California as well. But the Yankees are interested, and they’re going to put the full-court press on. With Mussina out of the pitcher, Sabathia is the ace the Yanks need. Here’s to hoping they can land him.
It’s a rather quiet day around baseball. The GMs are home; the awards come next week; and the rumors have slowed down. Of interest to Yankee fans are two MLBTR posts.
The first notes that the Brewers expect a counteroffer from CC Sabathia, but this counteroffer won’t come until after other teams can enter the bidding. This leaves the Yanks in a bit of a precarious position. If Sabathia goes back to the Brewers with a counterproposal, it basically means that he’s interested in staying in Milwaukee. The Yanks would have to overwhelm him with an offer to draw him to New York, and that means the team would be bidding against itself. Is it worth it? (My answer: Probably.)
The other post is a simple rundown of Yankee rumors. In a nutshell, it seems that since today is a day that ends in Y, The Post has yet another self-generated Robinson Cano rumor; nobody wants Kei Igawa; the Yanks could bring back both Mike Mussina and Andy Pettitte; and Mark Teixeira can probably handle the pressure of playing in New York. What a relief.
Unless anything major breaks, the three of us will be out enjoying our Friday evenings. Feel free to use this as a general open thread on the Hot Stove, Stephon Marbury or Justin Tuck’s ridiculous fine. In fact, if someone can convincingly explain to me how this hit managed to generate a $7500 levy, I’ll buy ‘em a beer.
Baseball America put out the list of this year’s minor league free agents, 561 in all. The Yanks:
RHP: Oneli Perez (AAA), Scott Strickland (AAA), Jose Valdez (AA), Victor Zambrano (AAA)
LHP: Eric Milton (AAA), Edgar Soto (Hi A)
C: Ben Blumenthal (Lo A), Jason Brown (AAA), Chris Stewart (AAA)
1B: Ben Broussard (AAA), Josh Kreuzer (Hi A)
2B: Bernie Castro (AAA), Nick Green (AAA)
3B: Carlos Mendoza (AA)
SS: Chris Basak (AAA)
OF: Matt Carson (AAA), Edwar Gonzalez (AA), , C.J. Henry (Hi A)
No big losses, all filler types. Eric Hacker & Wilkins DeLaRosa would also have become free agents, but the Yanks added them to the 40-man roster to prevent that. Of course the fun part of this list is digging for sleepers, so here we go: 1B Scott Thorman (ATL), RHP Lee Gronkiewicz (BOS), LHP Carmen Pignatiello (CHC), RHP Zach McClellan (COL), RHP Yorman Bazardo (DET), SS Sergio Santos (MIN), 3B Mike Cervenak (PHI), CF Chris Duffy (PIT), RHP Kevin Cameron (SD), LHP Erick Threets (SF), and 3B Joel Guzman (TB). Couple of upside guys that might figure it out, and a ton of bullpen arms. Can’t have too many of those.
There’s also a couple interesting ex-Yanks’ prospects that I would mind seeing back in the organization, namely OF John-Ford Griffin (LAD), LHP Danny Borrell (OAK), LHP Matt Smith (PHI), and the immortal LHP Sean Henn (SD). Ah memories.
The Organizational Depth Chart has been updated.