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River Ave. Blues ยป How good has Nick Swisher been compared to previous Yankee right-fielders?

How good has Nick Swisher been compared to previous Yankee right-fielders?

December 19, 2011 by Larry Koestler 140 Comments

Hoping For A Homegrown Outfielder In 2013
Scouting the Free Agent Market: Edwin Jackson
(Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

While I’m sure Nick Swisher doesn’t need defending among RAB’s audience, his name has continued to arise this offseason due to a variety of factors: (a) As the Yankees’ only position-player free agent among the starting nine next offseason, he would seem to be the most tradeable; (b) Some folks are still irrationally mad at Swish for underperforming in three separate and completely unrelated small sample sizes; and (c) the Yankees need pitching, which is basically an extension of (a).

Here’s the problem with any trade speculation involving Swish: Nick Swisher is (as I mentioned in the above-linked piece) the living and breathing embodiment of the ideal New York Yankee on offense, a sabermetrician’s dream of patience and power who led the team in OBP in 2011 with a .374 mark despite starting the season in a horrid slump, notched the best BB% on the team, at 15% — a massive jump from 2010’s 9.1% not to mention the third-best mark in the American League — and finished 11th in the AL in pitches per plate appearance (20th in 2010 and 2nd in the league in 2009).

He’s really quite good at what he does, random postseason struggles aside. This becomes even clearer when taking a quick scan of the 2013 outfield free agent class:

Left fielders
Josh Hamilton (32)
Eric Hinske (35)
Mark Kotsay (37)
Carlos Lee (37)
Juan Rivera (34) – $4MM club option for 2013 with a $500K buyout
Luke Scott (35)
Delmon Young (27)

Center fielders
Michael Bourn (30)
Marlon Byrd (35)
Melky Cabrera (28)
Curtis Granderson (32) – $13MM club option with a $2MM buyout
Angel Pagan (31)
B.J. Upton (28)
Shane Victorino (32)

Right fielders
Matt Diaz (35)
Andre Ethier (31)
Torii Hunter (37)
Mark Kotsay (37)
Carlos Quentin (30)
Juan Rivera (34) – $4MM club option for 2013 with a $500K buyout
Ryan Spilborghs (33)
Ichiro Suzuki (39)
Nick Swisher (32)

Before the Dodgers extended Matt Kemp, fine, I’d have been alright with letting Swish walk in favor of Kemp patrolling whichever section of Yankee Stadium’s outfield he wanted. However, as it currently stands, none of next year’s pending free agent outfielders are better than Swish. The only names on that list that I would maybe think twice about are Carlos Quentin and Shane Victorino, and Swish has been a better offensive player (.370 wOBA) than both outfielders over the last three seasons (both Victorino and Quentin have matching .354 wOBAs during that same timeframe). Yes, we all know Josh Hamilton’s been a beast (.388 wOBA over the last three seasons), but he also can’t stay healthy and will presumably be looking for a huge deal. With all of these players essentially the same age, I’d go with the devil you know who has also played in 150 games in each of his three seasons in pinstripes.

But wait, there’s more. Here’s a rundown of Yankee right-fielders over the last 20 individual seasons, sorted by OPS+:

Rk Player OPS+ PA Year Age G AB 2B HR BB IBB SO HBP BA OBP SLG OPS
1 Paul O’Neill 176 443 1994 31 103 368 25 21 72 13 56 0 .359 .460 .603 1.064
2 Danny Tartabull 152 526 1992 29 123 421 19 25 103 14 115 0 .266 .409 .489 .898
3 Gary Sheffield 141 684 2004 35 154 573 30 36 92 7 83 11 .290 .393 .534 .927
4 Bobby Abreu 138 248 2006 32 58 209 16 7 33 1 52 1 .330 .419 .507 .926
5 Gary Sheffield 137 675 2005 36 154 584 27 34 78 7 76 8 .291 .379 .512 .891
6 Paul O’Neill 137 637 1997 34 149 553 42 21 75 8 92 0 .324 .399 .514 .912
7 Paul O’Neill 137 543 1995 32 127 460 30 22 71 8 76 1 .300 .387 .526 .913
8 Paul O’Neill 136 547 1993 30 141 498 34 20 44 5 69 2 .311 .367 .504 .871
9 Paul O’Neill 130 672 1998 35 152 602 40 24 57 2 103 2 .317 .372 .510 .882
10 Nick Swisher 129 635 2010 29 150 566 33 29 58 0 139 6 .288 .359 .511 .870
11 Paul O’Neill 123 660 1996 33 150 546 35 19 102 8 76 4 .302 .411 .474 .885
12 Nick Swisher 122 607 2009 28 150 498 35 29 97 2 126 3 .249 .371 .498 .869
13 Bobby Abreu 120 684 2008 34 156 609 39 20 73 2 109 1 .296 .371 .471 .843
14 Nick Swisher 117 635 2011 30 150 526 30 23 95 6 125 5 .260 .374 .449 .822
15 Bobby Abreu 113 699 2007 33 158 605 40 16 84 0 115 3 .283 .369 .445 .814
16 Raul Mondesi 110 403 2003 32 98 361 23 16 38 6 66 2 .258 .330 .471 .801
17 Paul O’Neill 107 675 1999 36 153 597 39 19 66 1 89 2 .285 .353 .459 .812
18 Paul O’Neill 104 563 2001 38 137 510 33 21 48 4 59 2 .267 .330 .459 .789
19 Raul Mondesi 96 302 2002 31 71 270 18 11 28 2 46 2 .241 .315 .430 .744
20 Paul O’Neill 92 628 2000 37 142 566 26 18 51 2 90 0 .283 .336 .424 .760
21 Shane Spencer 86 329 2002 30 94 288 15 6 31 4 62 4 .247 .324 .375 .699
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 12/1/2011.

Swish’s three seasons didn’t end up ranking quite as high as I’d have expected, although that’s really more a tribute to how beastly Paul O’Neill was in pinstripes than any shortcomings on Nick’s part.

However, the case for Nick Swisher as one of the best Yankee right-fielders of the past two decades really comes into focus when we look at the cumulative numbers (minimum 300 PAs, sorted by fWAR), courtesy of FanGraphs:

Who knew Danny Tartabull was a regular OBP machine? The Yankees have gotten some pretty robust offensive production out of their right-fielders for a large chunk of the past 20 years. As you can see, Swish is tied for third-best wOBA with Bobby Abreu and Tartabull, but more importantly, has been considerably more valuable than both men in a similar amount of PAs due to his superior glovework.

While the Yankees may not see another Paul O’Neill for a good while — believe it or not, O’Neill actually has a decent case for one of the top Yankee rightfielders of the last 50 years (2nd-highest fWAR, 3rd-highest OBP, 6th-highest wOBA) — they’ve arguably got the second-best thing in Nick Swisher.

Hoping For A Homegrown Outfielder In 2013
Scouting the Free Agent Market: Edwin Jackson

Filed Under: Analysis Tagged With: Nick Swisher, Paul O'Neill

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