While I’m sure Nick Swisher doesn’t need defending among RAB’s audience, his name has continued to arise this offseason due to a variety of factors: (a) As the Yankees’ only position-player free agent among the starting nine next offseason, he would seem to be the most tradeable; (b) Some folks are still irrationally mad at Swish for underperforming in three separate and completely unrelated small sample sizes; and (c) the Yankees need pitching, which is basically an extension of (a).
Here’s the problem with any trade speculation involving Swish: Nick Swisher is (as I mentioned in the above-linked piece) the living and breathing embodiment of the ideal New York Yankee on offense, a sabermetrician’s dream of patience and power who led the team in OBP in 2011 with a .374 mark despite starting the season in a horrid slump, notched the best BB% on the team, at 15% — a massive jump from 2010’s 9.1% not to mention the third-best mark in the American League — and finished 11th in the AL in pitches per plate appearance (20th in 2010 and 2nd in the league in 2009).
He’s really quite good at what he does, random postseason struggles aside. This becomes even clearer when taking a quick scan of the 2013 outfield free agent class:
Left fielders
Josh Hamilton (32)
Eric Hinske (35)
Mark Kotsay (37)
Carlos Lee (37)
Juan Rivera (34) – $4MM club option for 2013 with a $500K buyout
Luke Scott (35)
Delmon Young (27)
Center fielders
Michael Bourn (30)
Marlon Byrd (35)
Melky Cabrera (28)
Curtis Granderson (32) – $13MM club option with a $2MM buyout
Angel Pagan (31)
B.J. Upton (28)
Shane Victorino (32)
Right fielders
Matt Diaz (35)
Andre Ethier (31)
Torii Hunter (37)
Mark Kotsay (37)
Carlos Quentin (30)
Juan Rivera (34) – $4MM club option for 2013 with a $500K buyout
Ryan Spilborghs (33)
Ichiro Suzuki (39)
Nick Swisher (32)
Before the Dodgers extended Matt Kemp, fine, I’d have been alright with letting Swish walk in favor of Kemp patrolling whichever section of Yankee Stadium’s outfield he wanted. However, as it currently stands, none of next year’s pending free agent outfielders are better than Swish. The only names on that list that I would maybe think twice about are Carlos Quentin and Shane Victorino, and Swish has been a better offensive player (.370 wOBA) than both outfielders over the last three seasons (both Victorino and Quentin have matching .354 wOBAs during that same timeframe). Yes, we all know Josh Hamilton’s been a beast (.388 wOBA over the last three seasons), but he also can’t stay healthy and will presumably be looking for a huge deal. With all of these players essentially the same age, I’d go with the devil you know who has also played in 150 games in each of his three seasons in pinstripes.
But wait, there’s more. Here’s a rundown of Yankee right-fielders over the last 20 individual seasons, sorted by OPS+:
Rk | Player | PA | Year | Age | G | AB | 2B | HR | BB | IBB | SO | HBP | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Paul O’Neill | 176 | 443 | 1994 | 31 | 103 | 368 | 25 | 21 | 72 | 13 | 56 | 0 | .359 | .460 | .603 | 1.064 |
2 | Danny Tartabull | 152 | 526 | 1992 | 29 | 123 | 421 | 19 | 25 | 103 | 14 | 115 | 0 | .266 | .409 | .489 | .898 |
3 | Gary Sheffield | 141 | 684 | 2004 | 35 | 154 | 573 | 30 | 36 | 92 | 7 | 83 | 11 | .290 | .393 | .534 | .927 |
4 | Bobby Abreu | 138 | 248 | 2006 | 32 | 58 | 209 | 16 | 7 | 33 | 1 | 52 | 1 | .330 | .419 | .507 | .926 |
5 | Gary Sheffield | 137 | 675 | 2005 | 36 | 154 | 584 | 27 | 34 | 78 | 7 | 76 | 8 | .291 | .379 | .512 | .891 |
6 | Paul O’Neill | 137 | 637 | 1997 | 34 | 149 | 553 | 42 | 21 | 75 | 8 | 92 | 0 | .324 | .399 | .514 | .912 |
7 | Paul O’Neill | 137 | 543 | 1995 | 32 | 127 | 460 | 30 | 22 | 71 | 8 | 76 | 1 | .300 | .387 | .526 | .913 |
8 | Paul O’Neill | 136 | 547 | 1993 | 30 | 141 | 498 | 34 | 20 | 44 | 5 | 69 | 2 | .311 | .367 | .504 | .871 |
9 | Paul O’Neill | 130 | 672 | 1998 | 35 | 152 | 602 | 40 | 24 | 57 | 2 | 103 | 2 | .317 | .372 | .510 | .882 |
10 | Nick Swisher | 129 | 635 | 2010 | 29 | 150 | 566 | 33 | 29 | 58 | 0 | 139 | 6 | .288 | .359 | .511 | .870 |
11 | Paul O’Neill | 123 | 660 | 1996 | 33 | 150 | 546 | 35 | 19 | 102 | 8 | 76 | 4 | .302 | .411 | .474 | .885 |
12 | Nick Swisher | 122 | 607 | 2009 | 28 | 150 | 498 | 35 | 29 | 97 | 2 | 126 | 3 | .249 | .371 | .498 | .869 |
13 | Bobby Abreu | 120 | 684 | 2008 | 34 | 156 | 609 | 39 | 20 | 73 | 2 | 109 | 1 | .296 | .371 | .471 | .843 |
14 | Nick Swisher | 117 | 635 | 2011 | 30 | 150 | 526 | 30 | 23 | 95 | 6 | 125 | 5 | .260 | .374 | .449 | .822 |
15 | Bobby Abreu | 113 | 699 | 2007 | 33 | 158 | 605 | 40 | 16 | 84 | 0 | 115 | 3 | .283 | .369 | .445 | .814 |
16 | Raul Mondesi | 110 | 403 | 2003 | 32 | 98 | 361 | 23 | 16 | 38 | 6 | 66 | 2 | .258 | .330 | .471 | .801 |
17 | Paul O’Neill | 107 | 675 | 1999 | 36 | 153 | 597 | 39 | 19 | 66 | 1 | 89 | 2 | .285 | .353 | .459 | .812 |
18 | Paul O’Neill | 104 | 563 | 2001 | 38 | 137 | 510 | 33 | 21 | 48 | 4 | 59 | 2 | .267 | .330 | .459 | .789 |
19 | Raul Mondesi | 96 | 302 | 2002 | 31 | 71 | 270 | 18 | 11 | 28 | 2 | 46 | 2 | .241 | .315 | .430 | .744 |
20 | Paul O’Neill | 92 | 628 | 2000 | 37 | 142 | 566 | 26 | 18 | 51 | 2 | 90 | 0 | .283 | .336 | .424 | .760 |
21 | Shane Spencer | 86 | 329 | 2002 | 30 | 94 | 288 | 15 | 6 | 31 | 4 | 62 | 4 | .247 | .324 | .375 | .699 |
Swish’s three seasons didn’t end up ranking quite as high as I’d have expected, although that’s really more a tribute to how beastly Paul O’Neill was in pinstripes than any shortcomings on Nick’s part.
However, the case for Nick Swisher as one of the best Yankee right-fielders of the past two decades really comes into focus when we look at the cumulative numbers (minimum 300 PAs, sorted by fWAR), courtesy of FanGraphs:
Who knew Danny Tartabull was a regular OBP machine? The Yankees have gotten some pretty robust offensive production out of their right-fielders for a large chunk of the past 20 years. As you can see, Swish is tied for third-best wOBA with Bobby Abreu and Tartabull, but more importantly, has been considerably more valuable than both men in a similar amount of PAs due to his superior glovework.
While the Yankees may not see another Paul O’Neill for a good while — believe it or not, O’Neill actually has a decent case for one of the top Yankee rightfielders of the last 50 years (2nd-highest fWAR, 3rd-highest OBP, 6th-highest wOBA) — they’ve arguably got the second-best thing in Nick Swisher.
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