2013 Draft: Kyle Serrano

2013 One-Third Point Season Review
2013 Draft: MLB.com's Mock Draft v2.0

The 2013 amateur draft is less than one week away, so between now and then I’m going to highlight some prospects individually rather than lump them together into larger posts.

Kyle Serrano | RHP

Serrano attends Farragut High School in the Knoxville suburbs. His father Dave is a long-time college head and pitching coach who currently calls the shots at Tennessee after stints at UC Irvine and Cal State Fullerton. Kyle missed most of his junior year with a cracked rib and is committed to (you guessed it) Tennessee.

Scouting Report
Listed at 6-foot-1 and 185 lbs., Serrano broke out in a huge way this spring. He generates easy 90-94 mph velocity with a clean and compact delivery that he repeats very well. An upper-70s/low-80s power curveball is a true out pitch for him, with a sharp bite and hard finish at the bottom of the zone. It’s one of the best breaking balls in the entire draft, college or high school. Serrano also throws a very advanced changeup, especially compared to other high schoolers. That isn’t much of a surprise given his father’s reputation for teaching the pitch. He throws strikes and has now stuff, so the only real knock on Serrano is his size. That frame doesn’t lend itself to much projection.

Keith Law (subs. req’d) and Baseball America ranked Serrano at the 21st and 35th best prospect in the draft class, respectively. For what it’s worth, Law said Serrano is one of several prep pitchers the Yankees are monitoring in his latest mock draft. They have three first round picks (26th, 32nd, 33rd) and plenty of draft pool money to throw around. Serrano was considered unsignable coming into the year, but his stuff now lines up with his asking price and he seems likely to turn pro if drafted high enough. There’s an awful lot to like here — growing up around the game at a reasonably high level should make adjusting to pro ball less of a concern — even though 6-foot-1 righties usually aren’t a popular demographic.

2013 One-Third Point Season Review
2013 Draft: MLB.com's Mock Draft v2.0
  • jjyank

    I always water at the mouth a bit when I hear about a player that young with a good change up. That seems to be the pitch that holds a lot of starters back from reaching their full potential. It seems to me that a lot of guys have a good fastball and a curveball/slider as an out pitch. But a guy with a good fastball, a curveball out pitch, and an advanced change up at a young age? I like. It would be nice if he was like 6’4”, 220 lbs., but I don’t think his size is the end of the world. Seems like a good gamble for one of those first three picks.

    On a more general note, I’ve never been more excited for a draft. Really curious to see what the Yanks’ haul looks like.

    • Wolfgang’s Fault

      Love the power in this kid’s lower half. Tom Seaver was only 6′ 1″ & last time I checked, he turned out ok. Would be thrilled if they drafted & signed this kid!!!

  • Robinson Tilapia

    I just had a serrano ham sandwich. It’s a sign.

  • crawdaddy

    He’s about the same size as Greinke and Mussina with maybe a little more growth left in him. He has an advance pitching arsenal that includes a curveball and changeup that must have the Yankee guys getting a hard on for, but a team like Atlanta or some other pitching-centric team probably loves him too.

    • Robinson Tilapia

      Agreed. I wouldn’t be concerned with his size considering the success of the two guys you mentioned.

      Definitely one of the write-ups by Mike I’ve read thus far that has me most excited.

    • Bo Knows

      the prospect scouting report sounds very similar to one done in 2003 on Greinke


  • CONservative governMENt

    After being burned in the Culver draft I’ve tried to avoid getting hyped on specific players, but it is nice atleast to hear that the Yankees are linked to some of the players rated near their draft spots.

    • Robinson Tilapia

      You’ve got to approach this knowing they’re all a crapshoot, and that even top overall picks fail. I don’t get worked up over any of this and think about it more as to the overall haul than the top picks.

    • Bo Knows

      Anyone of these guys can crap out or deem to be a bad pick in the future.

      I bet more than some Royals fans are wishing their team passed on Bubba Starling with that #5 pick

      • JobaWockeeZ

        Well yes in baseball the vats majority flames out but theoretically your first round pick should at one point be one fo your top prospects for your team. Thus he becomes a valuable trade chip.

        Casey “Hall of Fame, as good as Strasburg” Kelly is a bust but he was picked 30th overall and became the centerpiece in landing Adrian Gonzalez. Even if they don’t pan out the prospect has to be good enough to be a valuable trade chip. No one is lining up for Culver.

        • Bo Knows

          I doubt too many are lining up for Starling either

          also I am obligated to mention that Casey Kelly is the Spartacus of pitching; he is a man among boys, the pitching Phenom of the world.
          His fastball is better than Aroldis Chapman’s, his Curveball more splendid than Clayton Kershaw’s, his changeup would make Pedro’s look like the nonexistent change that Phil Hughes allegedly throws. His cutter makes Mo look and giggle like a Japanese school girl…..and speaking of Japanese school girls, Kelly’s slider breaks hearts more than Yu Darvish walking the streets of Tokyo.

    • JobaWockeeZ

      I like to think the reach is intentional so they can sign 1st round talents later in the draft like Mason Williams for example.

    • Scout

      Not to worry: I’m sure Damon Oppenheimer, first-round draft guru, has unearthed another Culver out there. Happily, though, with three first-round picks he can’t screw it up this time, at least not completely. Right?

      • sas

        Kill youself

  • CONservative governMENt

    With a draft pool I can buy that to a degree. Mason Williams was in an uncapped draft, there for the taking no matter who the 1st rounder was.

    Still very excited for this draft!