Aug
16

One Way To Improve the Pitching Staff

By

When the Yankees surged early in the year, they did it largely on the backs of the pitching staff. Hiroki Kuroda was pitching like an ace, CC Sabathia hadn’t fallen apart, David Phelps came on strong, and Phil Hughes pitched very well in a number of his starts (though got creamed in others). Even Andy Pettite had pitched well, and when he got hurt the Yankees got pretty competent performances in his absence.

This is no longer the case. Since the Yankees tumbled out of first the pitching staff has performed considerably worse, leaving the Yankees in fourth place and six games back of the Wild Card. Worse, they have no games remaining against five of the eight teams ahead of them in the AL standings. If they’re going to fight their ways back into this they need a 1995-esque run, which means running the board against AL East opponents.

The Yankees have addressed one area of weakness, finding a platoon partner for Lyle Overbay in Mark Reynolds. That should give them some additional firepower against lefties, which they sorely need. Yet it won’t be enough on its own. They need plenty of other help to leapfrog four teams and slide into the second Wild Card slot. The pitching staff represents one area where they could make a solid improvement.

Earlier today we learned that Phil Hughes is willing to pitch out of the bullpen next year. My only question is, why wait? Hughes’s 4.97 ERA ranks 43rd out of 46 qualified AL starters. He’s averaging a hair more than 5.1 innings per start. His woes also didn’t start this year. Since his return to the rotation in 2010 he ranks 49th out of 63 qualified starters in ERA. Things have gone downhill since then, as he ranks 39th out of 42 since 2011.

The problem is that the Yankees don’t have a viable replacement at the moment. Adam Warren could perhaps fit the bill, but he’s still an unknown at this point. Brett Marshall hasn’t exactly earned a spot with his AAA performances. Vidal Nuno is on the DL, as is David Phelps. Michael Pineda would have been nice here, but chances are we won’t see him pitch again this year. If the Yankees want to make such a transition, they’d have to look outside the organization.

A couple of well-known pitchers have cleared waivers in the last few days. First is left-hander Erik Bedard, the last remaining Astro earning more than $1 million. His overall season doesn’t look much better than Hughes’s, so that could be an exercise in futility. The other name is quite a bit more interesting: Dan Haren.

Like Bedard, Haren has struggled this year. His 4.82 ERA is actually higher than Hughes’s. Yet that doesn’t tell the whole story. Haren actually had a 6.15 ERA through his first 15 starts, but then went on the DL with right shoulder inflammation. That must have been truly bothering him, because he has been downright phenomenal since his return on July 8th: 2.30 ERA in 43 innings, meaning he’s averaging over six innings per start. Opponents are hitting .191/.250/.283 off him, and he’s struck out 42 while walking just 10.

For their part, the Nats are in a much worse position than the Yankees. They might have fewer teams between them and the second Wild Card (just two), but they’re also 9.5 games back of it with 42 games left to play. Their only chances against teams ahead of them (Atlanta notwithstanding, because that’s simply not happening) come with the last two series of the year, against St. Louis and Arizona. Oh, and they’re under .500 120 games into the season. If they can get even a C prospect and salary relief for Haren, they might as well try.

For the Yanks, the time has come to grasp at straws. That’s exactly what the Mark Reynolds acquisition represents. They’re looking at what’s available and adding where they can. Adding Haren, and moving Hughes to the bullpen, should help shore up both aspects of the pitching staff. They could jettison its weakest member, Joba Chamberlain, in hopes that Hughes not only performs better, but can become a reliable part of the setup crew, as he was in 2009.

(As an added bonus, if the Yanks get this done before the doubleheader Tuesday, both Haren and Hughes are lined up to pitch. That would work out better than having to call up Marshall [assuming David Huff gets DFA'd to make room for Reynolds today].)

Categories : Trade Deadline

14 Comments»

  1. Robinson Tilapia says:

    …sure. I’m game. I always liked pre-mediocrity Danny Haren.

  2. Rod says:

    Awesome analysis.

  3. trr says:

    Interesting article…wonder what it would take – I mean REALLY take-for the Nats to make this deals?

  4. dan2 says:

    very short sighted thinking.

    How much different is Hughes ERA from Sabbathia or Pettitte?

    Let Phil pitch out the year. He is the best free agent pitching option available in 2014 when it comes to cost, performance, and age.
    Don’t giveup on him yet. The same problem you have replacing him now will exist in 2014, especially if Andy hopefully retires. CC is still not certain, Hiroki is aging and can go south at any time and Andy is done. We don’t have the luxury of getting rid of a pitcher in what looks basically like a lost season

    • JCK says:

      How would this be giving up on Hughes next year? This wouldn’t stop them from resigning him if they wanted to… (that’s a completely separate discussion and decision).

  5. NYYROC says:

    Sure, Haren’s 1.58 HR rate will be a big improvement over PH’s 1.66. By all means bring him in. sarcasm.

    • trr says:

      @Dan, @ NYYROC
      As stated in the article, he’s pitching much better in his last 7 starts, certainly better than Hughes over that period. Point is, if the team is to have any chance at all at that last W/C spot we need to make whatever changes can made to upgrade the overall team performance. Status Quo aint’t gonna cut it.

    • Revan says:

      Except Haren’s xFIP is 3.88 which includes his awful beginning. Hughes xFIP is 4.38 which is still bad. Nice cherry pick though

  6. Conor in China says:

    I would like if they got Haren, but I am concerned he cleared waivers. Seems GMs don‘t think he can contribute enough to risk taking on the 4-5 million remaining on his deal.

    As for Hughes, I would not worry about resigning him, it iis not a big loss if he leaves.

  7. Fernando says:

    I have no desire to see Haren. Let’s just see Warren or Marshall. If Haren was a free agent, then Ok…but no desire to give up anything for a futile run at a wild card.

  8. Darren says:

    Yes, please. I’l take Haren and then move Hughes to the pen after he starts Tuesday. He can take Claiborne’s spot.

  9. Tom says:

    I say go get him because Throwing Hughes out there is a LOSS because he can’t keep the ball in the park and he can’t get out of the 5th inning. Put him in the Pen (where he was awsome) and send Joba packing

Leave a Reply

You may use <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong> in your comment.

If this is your first time commenting on River Ave. Blues, please review the RAB Commenter Guidelines. Login for commenting features. Register for RAB.